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1047 5th St E

Duplex · 2 units: 2 bed / 1 bath ×2 unit split estimated · 1,631 sq ft

Saint Paul, MN · Dayton's Bluff · View the listing ↗

Overpriced

Photos courtesy of Keller Williams Realty, via Realtor.com.

Asking price
$289,900
2 units · $145K per unit
Monthly cash flow
−$467
at 20% down, 7%
Estimated rent
$2,550/mo
medium confidence · 8 rentals within 0.75 mi
Break-even price
$202,093
where cash flow hits $0

Adjust the numbers See the full breakdown

First look

This is a 1914 up/down in Dayton's Bluff with a 2024 roof, siding and windows, which removes the biggest capital items. The numbers don't work at $289,900. Our underwriting shows about -$467 a month and a 4.45% cap rate, and the price is nearly $88K above break-even. Rent estimates are only about $1,275 per unit, so rents won't close that gap. The description gives no rents, no lease terms, no utility details and no second-unit description, and the photos show only the main floor. Ask for the rent roll, the upper unit's condition and the heating setup first. At this price it's only worth a showing if the seller moves a lot or you plan to live in one unit.

Things to consider

  1. Price is far above what rents support Our underwriting shows negative monthly cash flow and a break-even price about $88K below ask. Only a big price cut or an owner-occupant plan makes it work.
  2. Upper unit is a blank Half the income and condition risk is undescribed, with no photos, rent or lease information. Don't offer before seeing it.Listing says: “The second unit creates even more possibilities, whether you're looking for rental income”
  3. Rents are modest and capped for sitting tenants Estimates are about $1,275 per 2-bed. St. Paul's 3% cap limits how fast rents can rise on existing tenants.
  4. New exterior lowers capital risk A 2024 roof, siding and windows mean fewer big near-term bills, but interior systems are unknown.Listing says: “The siding, roof, and windows were all replaced in 2024”
  5. Taxes are at the non-homestead rate The county shows $5,466 in tax with no homestead, plus assessments. That is a heavy cost against rents of about $2,550 combined.

From the photos

Listing photo 7
1 of 7Plus

Main-floor kitchen appears recently renovated: granite island, stainless appliances, gas range, recessed lights. It looks move-in ready.

Listing photo 1
2 of 7Plus

Exterior shows newer gray siding, a newer shingle roof and newer-looking windows, which match the 2024 claim.

Listing photo 9
3 of 7Concern

Bathroom looks dated: clawfoot tub with a shower riser, pedestal sink, and textured drop-ceiling tiles. It is functional but not updated like the kitchen.

Listing photo 4
4 of 7Plus

Hardwood floors in the living areas and bedroom look good, with original woodwork and stained glass kept intact.

Listing photo 10
5 of 7Check

A floor vent is visible, which suggests forced-air heat. Confirm the furnace's age and whether each unit has its own system.

Listing photo 1
6 of 7Check

No photos of the upper unit, basement, furnace, water heater, electrical panel or a second kitchen. The unit count and the upper unit's condition can't be confirmed.

Listing photo 1
7 of 7Check

Front steps and stone retaining walls look aged. The entry appears to serve one front door, so check how the upper unit is accessed.

Based on 10 of the listing photos. Photos can hide as much as they show; an inspection is the real answer.

Condition and repairs

  • doneSiding replacedListing says: The siding, roof, and windows were all replaced in 2024
  • doneRoof replacedListing says: The siding, roof, and windows were all replaced in 2024
  • doneWindows replacedListing says: The siding, roof, and windows were all replaced in 2024

AI-assisted first read of the listing description and photos (Claude), checked against public records. Every rent and repair above quotes the listing; verify with the agent, leases and an inspection.

The numbers

Down payment %
Offer $
Management
Interest rate %
Edit rents, costs and assumptions

Default: 20% down (no PMI), offer at asking, self-managed, 7.00% for 30 years, buyer pays closing costs (3%).

The deal

Price
$289,900
Cash to close
$66,677
Price per unit
$144,950
GRM
9.5

Each month

Cash flow
−$467/mo
Cash-on-cash
−8.4%
Cap rate
4.5%
DSCR
0.70×

Break-even

Price that breaks even
$202,093
Rent that breaks even
$3,157/mo

Long run

Year 30: property vs stocks
$746K vs $749K
Cash flow turns positive
year 16

Monthly

Monthly breakdown

Rent$2,550
Vacancy (6%)−$153
Collected$2,397
Property tax Public record−$455
Insurance Estimate−$202
Water, sewer, trash Estimate−$170
Lawn care ($120 × 6 mo ÷ 12)−$60
Repairs (8% of rent)−$204
Capital reserve (9% of rent)−$230
Net operating income$1,076
Mortgage (principal + interest)−$1,543
Cash flow−$467
Principal paid down (equity, not cash)$196

Cash flow each year

Rents +3%/yr (St. Paul's cap for sitting tenants), costs +3.5%/yr. Red bars are months you'd cover out of pocket.

30 years

How those totals add up

If you buy this building$745,727
Your equity when you sell
$661,443

Sells for $703,663 (value up 3% a year), minus 6% selling cost ($42,220). Rent paid down $231,920 of loan.

Rental profits, invested at 7%
$84,283

$60,582 of cash flow over 30 years, plus what it earned invested.

Same money in stocks$749,479
Cash to close, invested at 7%
$507,562

$66,677 put into an index fund instead of the down payment and closing costs.

Monthly shortfalls, invested
$241,916

$45,093 you'd have paid in while the building lost money, invested instead.

Stocks come out $3,752 ahead after 30 years.

Future dollars. At 3% inflation, divide year-30 figures by about 2.4 for today's buying power. Rental profits are assumed invested, not spent.

30 years: this property vs. the same money in stocks

This propertyStocks at 7%

Year 30 (loan paid off): property $746K, stocks $749K. Stocks win.

Comparable rentals

The closest rental listings with each unit's bedroom count, as of 2026-10-06. The estimate is the median asking rent of every rental we found nearby (the count is shown for each); houses are left out. Asking rents from Realtor.com rental listings, not signed leases.

2 bed estimate $1,275/mo · range $1,175–$1,350 · 8 rentals within 0.75 mi

AddressRentBd / BaSq ftDistanceListedType
948 Euclid St Unit 1, Saint Paul $1,400 2 / 1 972 0.4 mi 2026-09-23 Apartment
207 N Maple St, Saint Paul $1,150 2 / 1 600 0.6 mi 2026-03-12 Apartment
1000 McLean Ave, Saint Paul $1,299 2 / 1 734 0.7 mi 2026-07-14 Apartment
283-289 Bates Ave, Saint Paul $1,124 2 / 1 711 0.7 mi 2026-04-29 Apartment
1351 Conway St, Saint Paul $1,179 2 / 1 756 0.7 mi 2024-06-02 Apartment
701 E 3rd St, Saint Paul $1,099 2 / 1 880 0.7 mi 2024-04-15 Apartment
1034 Suburban Ave E Unit 307, Saint Paul $1,270 2 / 1 620 0.7 mi 2026-05-02 Apartment
1034 Suburban Ave E Unit 301, Saint Paul $1,270 2 / 1 620 0.7 mi 2026-05-02 Apartment

On the maps, this property and comparable rentals. Comparable rentals and rent estimate: Realtor.com rental listings. Rents are asking rents from listings; check them against the actual leases.

Red flags and opportunities

Watch for

  • highNo rents, leases or occupancy given. The upper unit is barely described, so income is unverified. Listing says: The second unit creates even more possibilities, whether you're looking for rental income · AI review
  • mediumAsking is $87,807 above the price where cash flow breaks even ($202,093) at the default scenario. Based on: Derived: price $289,900 vs. break-even $202,093
  • mediumRental license is only pending, and it expires 2026-10-07. Confirm it is current and covers two units. Based on: data: city.rental_license · AI review
  • mediumSeller bought at $249K in 2022 and asks $289,900 now. County market value is $268,800. Based on: data: county.last_sale_price · AI review
  • low$572 in special assessments on the payable 2026 tax bill (often street, sewer or code-enforcement charges). Ask what they're for, whether they continue, and whether the seller pays them off at closing. Public record: Ramsey County parcel 332922210108: special assessments (payable 2026) = $572.02
  • lowMarketed to owner-occupants as much as investors, so pricing may not reflect rental income. Listing says: Live in one and rent the other, add it to your portfolio, or make it work for your lifestyle. · AI review

Opportunities

  • Exterior capital items are done, so near-term reserves can be lower. Verify permits. Listing says: The siding, roof, and windows were all replaced in 2024 · AI review
  • House-hack option: live in one unit and rent the other to offset the cost. Listing says: Whether you're looking to owner-occupy and have additional rental income · AI review
  • The main unit's kitchen is already updated, so it should rent well and need little work. Based on: photo 7 · AI review

Questions for the agent

  • What are the current rents and lease end dates for each unit? Is either month-to-month, or is either vacant?
  • What are the $572 in special assessments for, and does the seller pay them off at closing?
  • Is heat separate for each unit, or is there one furnace? Who pays gas, electric and water?
  • Are permits on file for the 2024 roof, siding and windows?
  • What condition is the upper unit in? Can I see photos of it, the basement, the furnace and the electrical panel?
  • Is the St. Paul rental license current for two units, and why is its status pending?

Bottom line

Updated exterior and a nice main-floor kitchen, but at $289,900 the rents can't carry it, so only pursue it as a house-hack or at a much lower price. AI-assisted summary

What the records say

Where each number comes from

Property tax / yr Public recordRamsey County record, payable 2026 (non-homestead)$5,466
Insurance / yr Estimateestimate. from units, square feet and age; get a quote$2,429
Water, sewer, trash / mo Estimateestimate. $85/unit/mo, owner-paid$170
Heat / mo Assumptionassumption. tenants pay heat; confirm with the agent$0
Lawn care / mo Assumptionassumption. $120/mo for 6 months, spread over 12; no snow removal$60
Repairs / capital reserve Rulerule. built 1914: +1 pt capital reserve8% / 9%

Price history Realtor.com

On the market since 2026-09-15 (20 days); last sold for $249,000 on 2022-03-17.

DateEventPrice
Listed$289,900
Sold$249,000
Relisted$234,900
Removed—
Relisted$234,900
Removed$234,900
Relisted$234,900
Removed$234,900
Listed$234,900
Sold public record$137,000
Sold public record$88,926
Sold public record$163,000
Sold public record$55,000
Sold public record$31,000

County record Public record

Recorded astwo family dwelling - up/dwn
Living units2
Year built1914
Market value (2026)$268,800
Property tax, payable 2026$5,466
Special assessments$572
Homesteadno
Last sale2022-03-15 · $249,000

Source: Ramsey County parcel records.

City rental certificate (CofO)

Residential 2 Units: 2 unit(s), B, status pending, renews 2026-10-07.

Nearest highway

I 94;US 10;US 61, about 873 m away.

Crime in Dayton's Bluff

970 incidents in the last 12 months (52 per 1,000 residents), −6% vs. the year before. St. Paul police incidents, excluding proactive visits and community events.