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1064 Lawson Ave E

Duplex · 2 units: 1 bed / 1 bath ×2 unit split estimated · 1,624 sq ft

Saint Paul, MN · Payne – Phalen (Railroad Island) · View the listing ↗

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Photos, via Realtor.com.

Asking price
$200,000
2 units · $100K per unit
Monthly cash flow
−$137
at 20% down, 7%
Estimated rent
$2,150/mo
medium confidence · 23 rentals within 1.5 mi
Break-even price
$174,208
where cash flow hits $0

Adjust the numbers See the full breakdown

First look

This is a 1948 side-by-side rambler with two 1-bed/1-bath units at $200K, and our numbers show roughly -$137/month cash flow and a 5.6% cap rate at the ask. That loses money, and it assumes rents near $1,075 per unit with no stated rents to back them up. The photos show open wall framing and torn plaster, so 'cosmetic work' looks like an understatement, and I'd get a contractor bid before anything else. The listing says the big systems are new, but I'd verify permits and ages for the roof, furnaces and windows. Worth a showing only if the price reflects a real gut-level rehab and the rental license can be sorted out.

Things to consider

  1. Rehab scope is probably larger than 'cosmetic' Open framing and damaged finishes mean real labor and permit costs, which would deepen the negative cash flow.From photo 6
  2. Returns are negative at the ask At roughly -$137/month cash flow, the deal loses money before any vacancy or repair, and break-even price is around $174K.
  3. Rents are unverified There are no stated rents, and our estimates range from $925 to $1,450 per unit, so the income side is a guess.
  4. Rental licensing is unclear No rental certificate is on file, so you may need an inspection and repairs before you can legally rent.
  5. Big-ticket updates should be verified New roof, furnaces and windows are the main value, so confirm ages and permits before paying for them.Listing says: “Major high-ticket updates have already been done”
  6. Bedroom-addition upside is speculative Lower-level rooms need egress, ceiling height and code compliance to count as bedrooms, and a sitting tenant's rent is capped at 3%.

From the photos

Listing photo 6
1 of 7Concern

Wall framing is stripped to studs with torn plaster in the entry area, so demolition appears unfinished.

Listing photo 4
2 of 7Concern

Kitchen ceiling and walls show heavy peeling paint or plaster. Cabinets and countertops appear old and worn.

Listing photo 2
3 of 7Plus

Exterior shows newer-looking siding and vinyl windows, consistent with the listing's claims.

Listing photo 8
4 of 7Concern

Bathroom has an older tiled tub surround and a newer vanity and toilet. Tile and caulk appear dated.

Listing photo 3
5 of 7Check

Floors appear to be a newer laminate or vinyl-plank in the living room, not the hardwood the listing mentions.

Listing photo 1
6 of 7Check

Roof is only partly visible, and there are no photos of furnaces, water heaters, the electrical panel or the basement.

Listing photo 9
7 of 7Check

Several doors and entries in the back hallway suggest separate entrances and a stairway down to a lower level.

Based on 10 of the listing photos. Photos can hide as much as they show; an inspection is the real answer.

Condition and repairs

  • neededInterior cosmetic workListing says: Interior does need cosmetic work, so bring your vision!
  • doneNew roofListing says: including a new roof, siding, furnaces for both units, windows, washer and dryer
  • doneNew sidingListing says: including a new roof, siding, furnaces for both units, windows, washer and dryer
  • doneNew furnaces for both unitsListing says: including a new roof, siding, furnaces for both units, windows, washer and dryer
  • doneNew windowsListing says: including a new roof, siding, furnaces for both units, windows, washer and dryer
  • doneTrees removedListing says: washer and dryer and trees removed, which saves you A TON of time and money!

AI-assisted first read of the listing description and photos (Claude), checked against public records. Every rent and repair above quotes the listing; verify with the agent, leases and an inspection.

The numbers

Down payment %
Offer $
Management
Interest rate %
Edit rents, costs and assumptions

Default: 20% down (no PMI), offer at asking, self-managed, 7.00% for 30 years, buyer pays closing costs (3%).

The deal

Price
$200,000
Cash to close
$46,000
Price per unit
$100,000
GRM
7.8

Each month

Cash flow
−$137/mo
Cash-on-cash
−3.6%
Cap rate
5.6%
DSCR
0.87×

Break-even

Price that breaks even
$174,208
Rent that breaks even
$2,326/mo

Long run

Year 30: property vs stocks
$658K vs $385K
Cash flow turns positive
year 7

Monthly

Monthly breakdown

Rent$2,150
Vacancy (6%)−$129
Collected$2,021
Property tax Public record−$336
Insurance Estimate−$184
Water, sewer, trash Estimate−$170
Lawn care ($120 × 6 mo ÷ 12)−$60
Repairs (8% of rent)−$172
Capital reserve (8% of rent)−$172
Net operating income$927
Mortgage (principal + interest)−$1,064
Cash flow−$137
Principal paid down (equity, not cash)$135

Cash flow each year

Rents +3%/yr (St. Paul's cap for sitting tenants), costs +3.5%/yr. Red bars are months you'd cover out of pocket.

30 years

How those totals add up

If you buy this building$657,789
Your equity when you sell
$456,325

Sells for $485,452 (value up 3% a year), minus 6% selling cost ($29,127). Rent paid down $160,000 of loan.

Rental profits, invested at 7%
$201,464

$115,126 of cash flow over 30 years, plus what it earned invested.

Same money in stocks$385,029
Cash to close, invested at 7%
$350,164

$46,000 put into an index fund instead of the down payment and closing costs.

Monthly shortfalls, invested
$34,865

$5,408 you'd have paid in while the building lost money, invested instead.

The building comes out $272,760 ahead after 30 years.

Future dollars. At 3% inflation, divide year-30 figures by about 2.4 for today's buying power. Rental profits are assumed invested, not spent.

30 years: this property vs. the same money in stocks

This propertyStocks at 7%

Year 30 (loan paid off): property $658K, stocks $385K. The property wins.

Comparable rentals

The closest rental listings with each unit's bedroom count, as of 2026-10-06. The estimate is the median asking rent of every rental we found nearby (the count is shown for each); houses are left out. Asking rents from Realtor.com rental listings, not signed leases.

1 bed estimate $1,075/mo · range $1,000–$1,175 · 23 rentals within 1.5 mi

AddressRentBd / BaSq ftDistanceListedType
870 E Cook Ave Unit 3, Saint Paul $900 1 / 1 580 0.4 mi — Apartment
1272 Magnolia Ave E Apt 104, Saint Paul $850 1 / 1 675 0.4 mi — Apartment
1269 Cook Ave E Apt 208, Saint Paul $850 1 / 1 600 0.4 mi — Apartment
1267 Cook Ave E, Saint Paul $850 1 / 1 600 0.4 mi 2025-01-03 Apartment
1348 Ames Ave, Saint Paul $1,050 1 / 1 600 0.6 mi 2025-12-18 Apartment
1419 Case Ave E, Saint Paul $1,099 1 / 1 512 0.8 mi 2026-06-22 Apartment
1439 Case Ave, Saint Paul $1,099 1 / 1 512 0.8 mi 2026-08-24 Apartment
1430 York Ave, Saint Paul $995 1 / 1 — 0.8 mi 2024-04-26 Apartment
1455 Minnehaha Ave E Apt 203, Saint Paul $977 1 / 1 600 1.0 mi — Apartment
1465 Minnehaha Ave E Apt 204, Saint Paul $1,006 1 / 1 600 1.0 mi — Apartment

On the maps, this property and comparable rentals. Comparable rentals and rent estimate: Realtor.com rental listings. Rents are asking rents from listings; check them against the actual leases.

Red flags and opportunities

Watch for

  • highInterior looks well beyond cosmetic: exposed studs, torn plaster and open wall cavities Based on: photo 6 · AI review
  • mediumNo rental certificate (CofO) on file in the city's data. Ask whether the building is licensed as a rental and when it was last inspected. Public record: St. Paul Certificate of Occupancy – Residential: no record for 1064 LAWSON AVE E (dataset last updated mid-2025)
  • mediumKitchen ceiling and walls have peeling, flaking paint or plaster, which may point to past moisture Based on: photo 4 · AI review
  • mediumDescription pitches adding bedrooms in lower-level rooms, but legality and egress are unconfirmed Listing says: turning the lower rooms into legal bedrooms and renting it out to roommates · AI review
  • mediumThin cash flow at the ask leaves little cushion for the rehab or vacancy Based on: data: underwriting.cash_flow_monthly · AI review
  • low$432 in special assessments on the payable 2026 tax bill (often street, sewer or code-enforcement charges). Ask what they're for, whether they continue, and whether the seller pays them off at closing. Public record: Ramsey County parcel 282922130061: special assessments (payable 2026) = $432.50

Opportunities

  • Add legal bedrooms in the lower level to raise rent, if egress and the city allow it Listing says: There's room for equity to increase income on both lower level units · AI review
  • Separate utilities mean tenants can carry their own bills Listing says: Units already have separate utilities! · AI review
  • Corner lot with room for added parking or a future garage Listing says: two parking pads or future garage · AI review
  • Seller's price is $50K above the 2021 sale, but the county values it below the ask, so there is room to negotiate for the rehab Based on: data: county.market_value · AI review

Questions for the agent

  • What are the rents, lease terms and move-in dates for each unit, or are both vacant?
  • Which permits were pulled for the roof, siding, furnaces and windows, and when?
  • Why are the walls open in photo 6, and what was the plan or scope of work?
  • What are the $432 special assessments for, and does the seller pay them at closing?
  • Is the building licensed as a rental, and has the city inspected it?
  • Does the lower level have egress windows and ceiling height to be legal bedrooms?

Bottom line

Newer shell and separate utilities are appealing, but open walls and negative cash flow at $200K mean you should price in a real rehab before offering. AI-assisted summary

What the records say

Where each number comes from

Property tax / yr Public recordRamsey County record, payable 2026 (non-homestead)$4,032
Insurance / yr Estimateestimate. from units, square feet and age; get a quote$2,206
Water, sewer, trash / mo Estimateestimate. $85/unit/mo, owner-paid$170
Heat / mo Assumptionassumption. tenants pay heat; confirm with the agent$0
Lawn care / mo Assumptionassumption. $120/mo for 6 months, spread over 12; no snow removal$60
Repairs / capital reserve Rulerule. base rate8% / 8%

Price history Realtor.com

On the market since 2026-09-18 (17 days); last sold for $150,000 on 2021-12-29.

DateEventPrice
Listed$200,000
Removed—
Listed$240,000
Sold public record$150,000
Sold$55,300
Listed$59,900
Sold public record$50,000
Sold public record$53,500

County record Public record

Recorded astwo family dwelling - side/side
Living units2
Year built1948
Market value (2026)$187,300
Property tax, payable 2026$4,032
Special assessments$432
Homesteadno
Last sale2021-12-23 · $150,000

Source: Ramsey County parcel records.

City rental certificate (CofO)

No record in St. Paul Certificate of Occupancy – Residential (dataset last updated mid-2025).

Nearest highway

I 94;US 10;US 61, about 2235 m away.

Crime in Payne – Phalen

1,695 incidents in the last 12 months (51 per 1,000 residents), −10% vs. the year before. St. Paul police incidents, excluding proactive visits and community events.