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1407 State Hwy

Fourplex · 4 units: 3 bed / 1 bath and 2 bed / 1 bath ×3 unit split estimated · 5,304 sq ft

Alexandria, MN · View the listing ↗

Cash flows

Photos, via Realtor.com.

Asking price
$320,000
4 units · $80K per unit
Monthly cash flow
$553
at 20% down, 7%
Estimated rent
$4,550/mo
medium confidence
Break-even price
$423,867
where cash flow hits $0

Adjust the numbers See the full breakdown

First look

This is not a rental you can buy and operate. It's a gutted, vacant building sold as a redevelopment or commercial play. The underwriting in FACTS (about $553/month cash flow, 8.5% cap) assumes four finished, rented units, and that income doesn't exist today. The photos show stripped kitchens, exposed subfloor, and open framing and plumbing, so budget a full rebuild before any rent comes in. The commercial rezoning is only that the city has 'expressed interest', which is not approval. Verify zoning, the legal unit count, and the well and septic before you spend on a showing.

Things to consider

  1. Income is zero today The underwriting assumes four finished, rented units. A buyer would carry the price, taxes and a full renovation before any rent arrives.
  2. Rezoning is only interest, not approval A commercial use is speculation until the city approves it. The legal unit count and use could also be affected after demolition.Listing says: “The City of Alexandria has expressed interest in having this property become commercially zoned”
  3. Rebuild cost is unknown and likely large Kitchens, baths, floors and finishes all need to be redone across four units, with no way for the seller to share the cost.From photo 7
  4. As-is sale with unverified records No county parcel match means taxes and unit count are unverified. Get permits, taxes and legal status confirmed.Listing says: “All offers must include an "As Is" Addendum.”
  5. Private well and drainage The property runs on a well, and a stream crosses the yard. Water quality and flood risk affect financing and insurance.Listing says: “A private well with a newer pump currently serves the property.”

From the photos

Listing photo 7
1 of 8Concern

Interior appears fully demolished: bare OSB subfloor, stripped walls, and open stud framing. Full rebuild needed.

Listing photo 4
2 of 8Concern

Bathroom floor is cut open, exposing supply and drain piping and bare subfloor; the new shower and toilet look in place but the floor is unfinished.

Listing photo 8
3 of 8Check

Lower-level or utility space shows open stud walls with dark, possibly damp-stained material; check for past water intrusion.

Listing photo 7
4 of 8Concern

Kitchen in photo 7 has old cabinets, a stripped sink area and exposed plumbing stubs. Appliances and finishes are gone.

Listing photo 10
5 of 8Concern

Another bathroom looks dated with worn vinyl flooring, grime and a skylight or window; appears untouched by the demo.

Listing photo 2
6 of 8Check

Exterior is two-story with older vinyl or aluminum siding, a detached or attached garage and mature trees. Roof condition isn't visible.

Listing photo 1
7 of 8Check

Yard has a stream or standing water running across it; check flood zone and drainage near the building.

Listing photo 6
8 of 8Check

No photos of the furnace, water heater, electrical panel, roof or basement, so major systems are unseen.

Based on 10 of the listing photos. Photos can hide as much as they show; an inspection is the real answer.

Condition and repairs

  • neededInterior demolition completed; full renovation needed to finish the projectListing says: completed the interior demolition in preparation for renovation, giving the next owner a blank slate
  • neededSold as-is, as-is addendum required on all offersListing says: All offers must include an "As Is" Addendum.
  • doneNewer well pumpListing says: A private well with a newer pump currently serves the property.
  • doneCity water stubbed to the property, assessment paidListing says: City water has been stubbed to the property, with the assessment already paid.

AI-assisted first read of the listing description and photos (Claude), checked against public records. Every rent and repair above quotes the listing; verify with the agent, leases and an inspection.

The numbers

Down payment %
Offer $
Management
Interest rate %
Edit rents, costs and assumptions

Default: 20% down (no PMI), offer at asking, self-managed, 7.00% for 30 years, buyer pays closing costs (3%).

The deal

Price
$320,000
Cash to close
$73,600
Price per unit
$80,000
GRM
5.9

Each month

Cash flow
$553/mo
Cash-on-cash
9.0%
Cap rate
8.5%
DSCR
1.32×

Break-even

Price that breaks even
$423,867
Rent that breaks even
$3,803/mo

Long run

Year 30: property vs stocks
$2.21M vs $560K
Cash flow turns positive
year 1

Monthly

Monthly breakdown

Rent$4,550
Vacancy (6%)−$273
Collected$4,277
Property tax Listing−$300
Insurance Estimate−$410
Water, sewer, trash Estimate−$340
Lawn care ($120 × 6 mo ÷ 12)−$60
Repairs (10% of rent)−$455
Capital reserve (10% of rent)−$455
Net operating income$2,256
Mortgage (principal + interest)−$1,703
Cash flow$553
Principal paid down (equity, not cash)$217

Cash flow each year

Rents +3%/yr, costs +3.5%/yr. Red bars are months you'd cover out of pocket.

30 years

How those totals add up

If you buy this building$2,206,414
Your equity when you sell
$730,121

Sells for $776,724 (value up 3% a year), minus 6% selling cost ($46,603). Rent paid down $256,000 of loan.

Rental profits, invested at 7%
$1,476,294

$620,861 of cash flow over 30 years, plus what it earned invested.

Same money in stocks$560,262
Cash to close, invested at 7%
$560,262

$73,600 put into an index fund instead of the down payment and closing costs.

The building comes out $1,646,152 ahead after 30 years.

Future dollars. At 3% inflation, divide year-30 figures by about 2.4 for today's buying power. Rental profits are assumed invested, not spent.

30 years: this property vs. the same money in stocks

This propertyStocks at 7%

Year 30 (loan paid off): property $2.21M, stocks $560K. The property wins.

Comparable rentals

Nearby rentals RentCast matched to each unit type, as of 2026-10-05. The estimate above is RentCast's, weighted toward the closest matches.

3 bed / 1 bath estimate $1,475/mo · range $1,175–$1,775

AddressRentBd / BaSq ftDistanceListedMatch
3904 County Rd, 42 NE Unit Ne, Alexandria 56308 $1,650 3 / 1 — 6.1 mi 2026-10-05 88%
122 City Park Rd, Alexandria 56308 $1,300 3 / 1 — 6.7 mi 2026-10-05 87%
1717 Nokomis St, Apt C, Alexandria 56308 $950 3 / 1 — 7.7 mi 2026-10-05 85%
1721 Nokomis St, Apt 2, Alexandria 56308 $950 3 / 1 — 7.7 mi 2026-10-05 85%
1805 7th Ave E, Alexandria 56308 $1,595 3 / 1 950 7.9 mi 2025-01-07 84%
2110 Lakepark Ave, Apt 2, Alexandria 56308 off market $1,500 3 / 1 — 8.0 mi 2026-05-07 84%
411 Elm St, Apt 3, Alexandria 56308 $1,500 3 / 2 — 6.6 mi 2026-10-05 81%
316 Broadway St, Alexandria 56308 off market $2,000 3 / 2 1,579 6.6 mi 2025-08-13 80%
623 Oak St, Apt 1, Alexandria 56308 off market $1,550 3 / 2 — 7.3 mi 2026-08-18 79%
3703 S Broadway St, Apt 401, Alexandria 55308 $1,785 3 / 2 — 8.1 mi 2026-10-05 78%

2 bed / 1 bath estimate $1,025/mo · range $850–$1,225

AddressRentBd / BaSq ftDistanceListedMatch
310 Holmes Ave, Unit 4, Brandon 56315 off market $975 2 / 1 — 5.2 mi 2026-07-02 89%
101 4th St E, Apt 7, Brandon 56315 $895 2 / 1 700 5.3 mi 2026-10-01 89%
101 4th St E, Brandon 56315 $895 2 / 1 — 5.3 mi 2026-08-04 89%
319 Fairgrounds Rd, Apt 202, Alexandria 56308 $779 2 / 1 700 6.2 mi 2026-10-01 88%
303 6th Ave W, Apt 2, Alexandria 56308 off market $950 2 / 1 — 6.6 mi 2026-08-08 87%
303 6th Ave W, Apt 4, Alexandria 56308 off market $950 2 / 1 — 6.6 mi 2026-06-17 87%
202 George St NW, Alexandria 56308 off market $995 2 / 1 — 6.6 mi 2026-01-10 87%
320 Irving St, Alexandria 56308 off market $1,400 2 / 1 864 6.7 mi 2026-08-24 86%
320 Irving St, Apt 2, Alexandria 56308 off market $1,400 2 / 1 864 6.7 mi 2026-04-22 86%
321 Jefferson St, Apt 2, Alexandria 56308 off market $1,125 2 / 1 430 6.8 mi 2026-08-21 86%

On the maps, this property and comparable rentals. Comparable rentals and rent estimate: RentCast. Rents are asking rents from listings; check them against the actual leases.

Red flags and opportunities

Watch for

  • highFully gutted and vacant. No rent income today, and the underwriting cash flow isn't real until the building is rebuilt. Listing says: The owners have vacated all tenants and completed the interior demolition in preparation for renovation · AI review
  • mediumCouldn't match this address to a county parcel record, so taxes and unit count are unverified. Public record: County parcels: no match for 1407 STATE HWY
  • mediumSold as-is: the seller won't fix what the inspection finds. Price that in. Listing says: "investment opportunity! All offers must include an " As Is " Addendum."

Opportunities

  • Possible commercial rezoning could widen the uses, but it is not approved Listing says: The City of Alexandria has expressed interest in having this property become commercially zoned · AI review
  • Highway frontage with high visibility, useful for a business use Listing says: excellent visibility and exposure along Hwy 29 · AI review
  • City water assessment already paid, so a future hookup avoids that cost Listing says: City water has been stubbed to the property, with the assessment already paid. · AI review

Questions for the agent

  • Is the property currently zoned for 4 residential units, and is the 4-unit use still legal after demolition? Has the city put the rezoning interest in writing?
  • Were permits pulled for the demolition, and were asbestos, lead and mold tested for? Who did the work?
  • What caused the water damage or opened floors in the bathroom and utility areas (photos 4, 8, 9)?
  • What is the septic or sewer situation, and when was the well last tested?
  • What were the rents and occupancy when it operated as 4 units? Can you share a rent roll and tax bill?
  • Will the city allow the units to be rebuilt as rentals, or does the rezoning push toward commercial only?

Bottom line

This is a gutted shell sold as-is, a project with real rebuild costs and zoning questions, not a cash-flowing 4-plex at $320K. AI-assisted summary

What the records say

Where each number comes from

Property tax / yr Listinglisting, tax year 2026. The tax the listing states. If the seller lives there it may be at the lower homestead rate; an investor owner pays the non-homestead rate, often 20–40% more on the owner's unit.$3,606
Insurance / yr Estimateestimate. from units, square feet and age; get a quote$4,926
Water, sewer, trash / mo Estimateestimate. $85/unit/mo, owner-paid$340
Heat / mo Assumptionassumption. tenants pay heat; confirm with the agent$0
Lawn care / mo Assumptionassumption. $120/mo for 6 months, spread over 12; no snow removal$60
Repairs / capital reserve Rulerule. 9 bedrooms: +1 pt repairs for wear; "as is" in the description: +2 pts each10% / 10%

Price history Realtor.com

On the market since 2026-09-14 (21 days); last sold for $290,000 on 2024-07-25.

DateEventPrice
Price changed$275,000
Listed$320,000
Sold$290,000
Sold$170,000
Listed$195,000
Sold$155,000
Price changed$169,900
Price changed$174,900
Price changed$179,900
Removed$184,900
Listed$184,900
Listed$184,900

From the listing Listing

Listed asfour plex
Property tax, 2026$3,606
CountyDouglas
Parcel number636302460

As the listing states it (NorthstarMLS, via Realtor.com). We don't have county records here yet; check the tax, homestead status and special assessments with the county.

Crime, rental-license and vacant-building records are only available for St. Paul and Minneapolis so far. Check with Alexandria on rental licensing before you buy.