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1514 Maryland Ave E

Duplex · 2 units: 2 bed / 1 bath ×2 unit split estimated · 1,440 sq ft

Saint Paul, MN · Greater East Side · View the listing ↗

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Photos, via Realtor.com.

Asking price
$195,000
2 units · $98K per unit
Monthly cash flow
−$45
at 20% down, 7%
Estimated rent
$2,300/mo
medium confidence
Break-even price
$186,498
where cash flow hits $0

Adjust the numbers See the full breakdown

First look

This is a half-finished renovation, not a rental. The listing sells it as 'finish the project and build instant equity,' but nobody is paying rent today and the work is unpriced. At the $195K ask, our model shows about -$45/mo cash flow before any rehab, with a break-even price near $186K. That assumes the building is finished and rented at roughly $1,150 per unit, so rehab cost and lost rent come on top. The seller paid $165K in 2023, so ask what was done since. Check the permits, the rental license status and the scope of work before a showing. Only look if you can price the rehab with a contractor and the deal still works.

Things to consider

  1. Rehab cost is the biggest unknown Our underwriting assumes a finished, rented building. Any rehab budget, plus months without rent, comes on top of a deal already near break-even.Listing says: “Come finish the project and build instant equity!”
  2. Numbers are thin even at completion About -$45/mo at ask and a break-even price of $186K mean the price needs to drop to make sense for a buy-and-hold.
  3. Rental licensing is unconfirmed No rental certificate is on file, so you cannot legally rent until inspection and licensing are done, which can delay income and add required repairs.
  4. Rents are capped for sitting tenants only With a vacant, newly finished building, you may set initial rents near market, about $1,150 per unit, but later increases are limited to 3% a year.
  5. Lot and garage add real value Off-street parking and a shop are uncommon for a small multifamily in this area and could help with tenant demand or extra income.Listing says: “a massive 0.35 acre lot and a large oversized garage + shop”

From the photos

Listing photo 1
1 of 6Concern

Boarded-up window on the side wall, which looks like unfinished window work

Listing photo 1
2 of 6Concern

Exterior wooden stairs and landing to the upper unit look weathered; check for rot and railing safety

Listing photo 1
3 of 6Check

Siding appears fairly intact and the building looks straight, but the age and condition of the roof are not visible

Listing photo 1
4 of 6Plus

Separate exterior entrances appear to serve upper and lower units, consistent with a duplex layout

Listing photo 1
5 of 6Plus

Detached garage or shop is visible at the rear, and there is paved parking beside the building

Listing photo 1
6 of 6Check

No interior, kitchen, mechanical or panel photos were provided, so the extent of the remodel cannot be judged

Based on 1 of the listing photos. Photos can hide as much as they show; an inspection is the real answer.

Condition and repairs

  • neededDuplex remodel unfinished; buyer must complete the projectListing says: Here is your chance to finish remodeling a duplex
  • neededKitchen cabinets, doors and windows are on site, not yet installedListing says: All supplies on site are included in the sale: kitchen cabinets, doors, windows, etc.

AI-assisted first read of the listing description and photos (Claude), checked against public records. Every rent and repair above quotes the listing; verify with the agent, leases and an inspection.

The numbers

Down payment %
Offer $
Management
Interest rate %
Edit rents, costs and assumptions

Default: 20% down (no PMI), offer at asking, self-managed, 7.00% for 30 years, buyer pays closing costs (3%).

The deal

Price
$195,000
Cash to close
$44,850
Price per unit
$97,500
GRM
7.1

Each month

Cash flow
−$45/mo
Cash-on-cash
−1.2%
Cap rate
6.1%
DSCR
0.96×

Break-even

Price that breaks even
$186,498
Rent that breaks even
$2,359/mo

Long run

Year 30: property vs stocks
$746K vs $347K
Cash flow turns positive
year 3

Monthly

Monthly breakdown

Rent$2,300
Vacancy (6%)−$138
Collected$2,162
Property tax Public record−$350
Insurance Estimate−$198
Water, sewer, trash Estimate−$170
Lawn care ($120 × 6 mo ÷ 12)−$60
Repairs (8% of rent)−$184
Capital reserve (9% of rent)−$207
Net operating income$993
Mortgage (principal + interest)−$1,038
Cash flow−$45
Principal paid down (equity, not cash)$132

Cash flow each year

Rents +3%/yr (St. Paul's cap for sitting tenants), costs +3.5%/yr. Red bars are months you'd cover out of pocket.

30 years

How those totals add up

If you buy this building$746,208
Your equity when you sell
$444,917

Sells for $473,316 (value up 3% a year), minus 6% selling cost ($28,399). Rent paid down $156,000 of loan.

Rental profits, invested at 7%
$301,290

$156,031 of cash flow over 30 years, plus what it earned invested.

Same money in stocks$346,818
Cash to close, invested at 7%
$341,410

$44,850 put into an index fund instead of the down payment and closing costs.

Monthly shortfalls, invested
$5,408

$775 you'd have paid in while the building lost money, invested instead.

The building comes out $399,390 ahead after 30 years.

Future dollars. At 3% inflation, divide year-30 figures by about 2.4 for today's buying power. Rental profits are assumed invested, not spent.

30 years: this property vs. the same money in stocks

This propertyStocks at 7%

Year 30 (loan paid off): property $746K, stocks $347K. The property wins.

Comparable rentals

Nearby rentals RentCast matched to each unit type, as of 2026-10-02. The estimate above is RentCast's, weighted toward the closest matches.

2 bed / 1 bath estimate $1,150/mo · range $1,000–$1,275

AddressRentBd / BaSq ftDistanceListedMatch
1727 Reaney Ave E, Saint Paul 55106 off market $1,460 2 / 1 1,346 1.0 mi 2026-05-08 97%
1266 Hazelwood St, Apt 102, Saint Paul 55106 off market $1,195 2 / 1 — 0.2 mi 2025-10-28 94%
1288 Hazelwood St, Apt 301, Saint Paul 55106 off market $1,195 2 / 1 — 0.2 mi 2025-10-28 94%
1077 Van Dyke St, Apt 206, Saint Paul 55119 off market $1,115 2 / 1 — 0.7 mi 2026-06-19 93%
1067 Van Dyke St, Apt 101, Saint Paul 55119 off market $1,095 2 / 1 — 0.7 mi 2026-04-15 93%
1851 Magnolia Ave E, Apt 104, Saint Paul 55119 $1,095 2 / 1 — 0.7 mi 2026-09-30 93%
1067 Van Dyke St, Apt 304, Saint Paul 55119 off market $995 2 / 1 — 0.7 mi 2026-02-15 93%
1858 Magnolia Ave E, Apt 203, Saint Paul 55119 off market $995 2 / 1 — 0.8 mi 2026-08-19 93%
1865 Magnolia Ave E, Apt 201, Saint Paul 55119 $995 2 / 1 — 0.8 mi 2026-10-02 93%
1851 Magnolia Ave E, Apt 208, Saint Paul 55119 off market $995 2 / 1 — 0.7 mi 2026-01-28 93%

On the maps, this property and comparable rentals. Comparable rentals and rent estimate: RentCast. Rents are asking rents from listings; check them against the actual leases.

Red flags and opportunities

Watch for

  • highUnfinished remodel; scope, budget and permit status unknown, and the property is likely unrentable now Listing says: Come finish the project and build instant equity! · AI review
  • mediumNo rental certificate (CofO) on file in the city's data. Ask whether the building is licensed as a rental and when it was last inspected. Public record: St. Paul Certificate of Occupancy – Residential: no record for 1514 MARYLAND AVE E (dataset last updated mid-2025)
  • mediumProperty likely vacant and not producing income during the rehab; carrying costs and taxes continue Based on: data: county.tax · AI review
  • mediumBoarded-up window and a steep, worn wooden exterior staircase to the upper unit suggest deferred upkeep and possible safety or code issues Based on: photo 1 · AI review
  • mediumSeller's 'instant equity' claim is unsupported; the numbers show negative cash flow at ask even after completion Based on: data: underwriting.cash_flow_monthly · AI review
  • low$927 in special assessments on the payable 2026 tax bill (often street, sewer or code-enforcement charges). Ask what they're for, whether they continue, and whether the seller pays them off at closing. Public record: Ramsey County parcel 272922210001: special assessments (payable 2026) = $927.46

Opportunities

  • Large 0.35 acre lot with an oversized garage and shop gives parking and storage; possible extra income from garage or shop rental Listing says: massive 0.35 acre lot and a large oversized garage + shop · AI review
  • Materials already on site may save some rehab cost, if they are usable and the right quantity Listing says: All supplies on site are included in the sale · AI review
  • Price is only modestly above the 2023 sale of $165K, so room to negotiate down toward break-even or lower given rehab risk Based on: data: county.last_sale_price · AI review

Questions for the agent

  • What work is done and what is left? Can I see permits and any contractor bids or invoices?
  • What condition are the electrical, plumbing and heating systems in, and were they replaced or opened up?
  • Is the building licensed as a rental, and will it pass a city inspection and get a certificate of occupancy?
  • What are the $927 special assessments for, and does the seller pay them at closing?
  • Why did the project stall? Was it money, permits or a contractor issue?
  • Are the stored materials new and complete, and is there an inventory?

Bottom line

A stalled rehab priced as if it were finished; the numbers are already thin at $195K before you spend a dollar on repairs. AI-assisted summary

What the records say

Where each number comes from

Property tax / yr Public recordRamsey County record, payable 2026 (non-homestead)$4,205
Insurance / yr Estimateestimate. from units, square feet and age; get a quote$2,376
Water, sewer, trash / mo Estimateestimate. $85/unit/mo, owner-paid$170
Heat / mo Assumptionassumption. tenants pay heat; confirm with the agent$0
Lawn care / mo Assumptionassumption. $120/mo for 6 months, spread over 12; no snow removal$60
Repairs / capital reserve Rulerule. built 1909: +1 pt capital reserve8% / 9%

Price history Realtor.com

On the market since 2026-09-17 (18 days); last sold for $130,000 on 2023-10-23; listed for rent at $800/mo on 2015-01-15.

DateEventPrice
Listed$195,000
Sold public record$130,000
Rental removed$800/mo
Listed for rent$800/mo
Sold public record$65,000
Sold public record$260,000
Sold public record$174,000
Sold public record$77,000

County record Public record

Recorded astwo family dwelling - up/dwn
Living units2
Year built1909
Market value (2026)$212,300
Property tax, payable 2026$4,205
Special assessments$927
Homesteadno
Last sale2023-09-18 · $165,000

Source: Ramsey County parcel records.

City rental certificate (CofO)

No record in St. Paul Certificate of Occupancy – Residential (dataset last updated mid-2025).

Nearest highway

I 94, about 2732 m away.

Crime in Greater East Side

1,138 incidents in the last 12 months (37 per 1,000 residents), −13% vs. the year before. St. Paul police incidents, excluding proactive visits and community events.