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1518 Pacific St

Duplex · 2 units: 3 bed / 1 bath and 2 bed / 1 bath · 2,591 sq ft

Saint Paul, MN · Battle Creek – Conway – Eastview – Highwood Hills (Southeast) · View the listing ↗

Far off

Photos courtesy of RE/MAX Results, via Realtor.com.

Asking price
$449,900
2 units · $225K per unit
Monthly cash flow
−$1,138
at 20% down, 7%
Estimated rent
$3,050/mo
low confidence · 7 rentals within 1.5 mi
Break-even price
$236,151
where cash flow hits $0

Adjust the numbers See the full breakdown

First look

This is a 1965 split-level up/down in St. Paul, and the price doesn't work as a rental. At $449,900 our underwriting shows about -$1,138/month and a 3.4% cap rate, and break-even is near $236K. The seller paid $431K in March 2024, so they are asking more after a short hold. The listing states no rents and no leases, so get the rent roll or find out whether the seller lives there. Also check the rental license, the $432 in assessments, and the garage 'third income stream' claim, which is only a projection. It only makes sense as an owner-occupant house hack, or after a big price cut.

Things to consider

  1. Price vs. rents Estimated rents of about $1,725 and $1,325 can't carry a $449,900 price with $8,257 in taxes. Cash flow is deeply negative, so only a big price drop or owner-occupancy makes sense.
  2. Non-homestead taxes The $8,257 tax bill is on a non-homestead basis and is a large share of expenses, so check what you would owe as an owner-occupant versus an investor.
  3. Rental licensing and rent cap No rental certificate is on file, and St. Paul caps increases on sitting tenants at 3%. That limits rent growth if the units are leased.
  4. Recent updates reduce capex Roof, windows, water heater and A/C were reportedly replaced in the last 8 years, so near-term repairs should be lower. Ask for permits and dates.Listing says: “new roof, windows, tankless water heater, A/C units”
  5. Highway noise The property is close to I-94, which can reduce rents and appeal to tenants.
  6. Garage income is unproven The listing does not give any rent for the garage and may not allow rental use. Don't count it in the numbers.Listing says: “potential to serve as a lucrative third income stream”

From the photos

Listing photo 2
1 of 8Plus

Stucco and stone-veneer exterior looks fresh with a new-looking porch roof and bay window; no visible damage

Listing photo 6
2 of 8Plus

Upper unit kitchen has oak cabinets, granite-look counters and stainless appliances; dated style but in good shape

Listing photo 10
3 of 8Plus

Lower unit has its own kitchen with stainless appliances and tile floor, supporting two separate units

Listing photo 9
4 of 8Check

A tankless water heater is visible and a laundry stack with a utility sink is in the lower level. Check whether laundry is shared or per-unit

Listing photo 9
5 of 8Check

Forced-air ductwork is visible; one furnace or two is unclear, so confirm separate systems and whether heat is metered per unit

Listing photo 8
6 of 8Check

Bathroom is tidy with tile wainscot and a newer tub; the photo shown looks older than a recent remodel, so confirm which unit it is

Listing photo 4
7 of 8Plus

Windows look newer and the flooring appears to be durable laminate/bamboo-look; no obvious water damage

Listing photo 1
8 of 8Check

No photos of the roof, electrical panels, garage or the backyard patio

Based on 10 of the listing photos. Photos can hide as much as they show; an inspection is the real answer.

Condition and repairs

  • doneNew roof (within last 8 years)Listing says: Numerous upgrades have taken place over the last 8 years: new roof, windows, tankless water heater, A/C units
  • doneNew windowsListing says: Numerous upgrades have taken place over the last 8 years: new roof, windows, tankless water heater, A/C units
  • doneTankless water heaterListing says: Numerous upgrades have taken place over the last 8 years: new roof, windows, tankless water heater, A/C units
  • doneA/C unitsListing says: Numerous upgrades have taken place over the last 8 years: new roof, windows, tankless water heater, A/C units
  • doneLower unit full bathroom remodelListing says: full bathroom remodel in the lower unit

AI-assisted first read of the listing description and photos (Claude), checked against public records. Every rent and repair above quotes the listing; verify with the agent, leases and an inspection.

The numbers

Down payment %
Offer $
Management
Interest rate %
Edit rents, costs and assumptions

Default: 20% down (no PMI), offer at asking, self-managed, 7.00% for 30 years, buyer pays closing costs (3%).

The deal

Price
$449,900
Cash to close
$103,477
Price per unit
$224,950
GRM
12.3

Each month

Cash flow
−$1,138/mo
Cash-on-cash
−13.2%
Cap rate
3.4%
DSCR
0.52×

Break-even

Price that breaks even
$236,151
Rent that breaks even
$4,509/mo

Long run

Year 30: property vs stocks
$1.03M vs $1.65M
Cash flow turns positive
year 28

Monthly

Monthly breakdown

Rent$3,050
Vacancy (6%)−$183
Collected$2,867
Property tax Public record−$688
Insurance Estimate−$204
Water, sewer, trash Estimate−$170
Lawn care ($120 × 6 mo ÷ 12)−$60
Repairs (8% of rent)−$244
Capital reserve (8% of rent)−$244
Net operating income$1,257
Mortgage (principal + interest)−$2,395
Cash flow−$1,138
Principal paid down (equity, not cash)$305

Cash flow each year

Rents +3%/yr (St. Paul's cap for sitting tenants), costs +3.5%/yr. Red bars are months you'd cover out of pocket.

30 years

How those totals add up

If you buy this building$1,030,595
Your equity when you sell
$1,026,503

Sells for $1,092,025 (value up 3% a year), minus 6% selling cost ($65,522). Rent paid down $359,920 of loan.

Rental profits, invested at 7%
$4,091

$3,915 of cash flow over 30 years, plus what it earned invested.

Same money in stocks$1,654,320
Cash to close, invested at 7%
$787,693

$103,477 put into an index fund instead of the down payment and closing costs.

Monthly shortfalls, invested
$866,627

$202,884 you'd have paid in while the building lost money, invested instead.

Stocks come out $623,725 ahead after 30 years.

Future dollars. At 3% inflation, divide year-30 figures by about 2.4 for today's buying power. Rental profits are assumed invested, not spent.

30 years: this property vs. the same money in stocks

This propertyStocks at 7%

Year 30 (loan paid off): property $1.03M, stocks $1.65M. Stocks win.

Comparable rentals

The closest rental listings with each unit's bedroom count, as of 2026-10-06. The estimate is the median asking rent of every rental we found nearby (the count is shown for each); houses are left out. Asking rents from Realtor.com rental listings, not signed leases.

3 bed estimate $1,725/mo · range $1,450–$1,950 · 7 rentals within 1.5 mi

AddressRentBd / BaSq ftDistanceListedType
1465 Minnehaha Ave E Apt 1, Saint Paul $1,200 3 / 1 950 0.8 mi — Apartment
1950 Burns Ave, Saint Paul $2,068 3 / 1.5 1,537 0.9 mi 2024-04-12 Apartment
1056 3rd St E, Saint Paul $1,695 3 / 1 925 1.0 mi 2026-08-20 Apartment
1056 3rd St E, Saint Paul $1,695 3 / 1 925 1.0 mi 2026-09-17 Apartment
1124 Minnehaha Ave E Apt 1, Saint Paul $1,750 3 / 1 832 1.1 mi 2026-03-25 Apartment
880 Wilson Ave, Saint Paul $1,425 3 / 1 — 1.3 mi 2026-07-21 Apartment
Ross Ave Unit 1090, Saint Paul $1,910 3 / 1 — 1.3 mi 2026-09-02 Apartment

2 bed estimate $1,325/mo · range $1,275–$1,500 · 16 rentals within 1.5 mi

AddressRentBd / BaSq ftDistanceListedType
1351 Conway St, Saint Paul $1,179 2 / 1 756 0.5 mi 2024-06-02 Apartment
1884 Wilson Ave Unit 4, Saint Paul $1,325 2 / 1 1,000 0.8 mi 2026-09-23 Apartment
1034 Suburban Ave E Unit 301, Saint Paul $1,270 2 / 1 620 1.0 mi 2026-05-02 Apartment
1034 Suburban Ave E Unit 307, Saint Paul $1,270 2 / 1 620 1.0 mi 2026-05-02 Apartment
1428 7th St E, Saint Paul $1,624 2 / 1 835 1.0 mi 2025-01-03 Apartment
1000 McLean Ave, Saint Paul $1,299 2 / 1 734 1.1 mi 2026-07-14 Apartment
1439 7th St E, Saint Paul $1,400 2 / 1 — 1.1 mi 2026-07-02 Apartment
1430 York Ave, Saint Paul $1,155 2 / 1 835 1.2 mi 2024-04-26 Apartment
948 Euclid St Unit 1, Saint Paul $1,400 2 / 1 972 1.2 mi 2026-09-23 Apartment
1891 7th St E, Saint Paul $1,295 2 / 1 750 1.3 mi 2026-01-14 Apartment

On the maps, this property and comparable rentals. Comparable rentals and rent estimate: Realtor.com rental listings. Rents are asking rents from listings; check them against the actual leases.

Red flags and opportunities

Watch for

  • highNo rent roll, rents or lease status given; pitched partly as owner-occupant or multigenerational home, so the building may be owner-occupied with no tenant history Listing says: flexibility of an owner occupant, full rental property, or a multigenerational home · AI review
  • highAsking price is far above what rents support; cash flow is deeply negative at ask Based on: data: underwriting.cash_flow_monthly · AI review
  • mediumNo rental certificate (CofO) on file in the city's data. Ask whether the building is licensed as a rental and when it was last inspected. Public record: St. Paul Certificate of Occupancy – Residential: no record for 1518 PACIFIC ST (dataset last updated mid-2025)
  • mediumAbout 142 m from I 94: traffic noise usually costs $50–100/month in rent. Based on: OpenStreetMap: nearest motorway (I 94) at 142 m
  • mediumAsking is $213,749 above the price where cash flow breaks even ($236,151) at the default scenario. Based on: Derived: price $449,900 vs. break-even $236,151
  • mediumSeller bought in March 2024 for $431K and is asking about $19K more; county market value is $381K Based on: data: county.last_sale_price · AI review
  • mediumGarage income is speculative and may not be legal or permitted as a rental Listing says: potential to serve as a lucrative third income stream · AI review
  • low$432 in special assessments on the payable 2026 tax bill (often street, sewer or code-enforcement charges). Ask what they're for, whether they continue, and whether the seller pays them off at closing. Public record: Ramsey County parcel 342922340026: special assessments (payable 2026) = $432.50
  • lowPhotos show a tiled utility room with a kitchen-like area in the lower level; confirm the layout and egress for the 2-bed unit Based on: photo 10 · AI review

Opportunities

  • Owner-occupy one unit and rent the other, which reduces the negative cash flow Listing says: flexibility of an owner occupant, full rental property, or a multigenerational home · AI review
  • Heated, finished garage with a 200-amp service could be a paid rental or workshop space if allowed Listing says: The garage is heated and finished, equipped with a dedicated 200-amp service. · AI review
  • Recent big-ticket updates lower near-term capex Listing says: new roof, windows, tankless water heater, A/C units · AI review

Questions for the agent

  • Is the seller living in a unit? What are the actual rents, lease terms and move-in dates?
  • Is the property licensed as a rental in St. Paul and when was it last inspected?
  • What are the $432 in special assessments for, and do they continue?
  • Can I see the permits for the roof, windows, bathroom and garage electrical work?
  • Is the garage permitted for anything beyond parking, and what would a tenant pay?
  • Are utilities separately metered, and who pays heat, water and trash today?

Bottom line

Nice, updated up/down, but at $449,900 it doesn't pencil as a rental; consider it only as a house hack or at a much lower price. AI-assisted summary

What the records say

Where each number comes from

Property tax / yr Public recordRamsey County record, payable 2026 (non-homestead)$8,258
Insurance / yr Estimateestimate. from units, square feet and age; get a quote$2,448
Water, sewer, trash / mo Estimateestimate. $85/unit/mo, owner-paid$170
Heat / mo Assumptionassumption. tenants pay heat; confirm with the agent$0
Lawn care / mo Assumptionassumption. $120/mo for 6 months, spread over 12; no snow removal$60
Repairs / capital reserve Rulerule. base rate8% / 8%

Price history Realtor.com

On the market since 2026-08-29 (37 days, relisted 1×); last sold for $431,000 on 2024-03-08; listed for rent at $1,500/mo on 2026-08-18.

DateEventPrice
Listed$449,900
Removed—
Removed—
Listed for rent$1,500/mo
Rent changed$1,500/mo
Rent changed$1,550/mo
Rent changed$1,575/mo
Rent changed$1,595/mo
Rent changed$1,600/mo
Listed for rent$1,650/mo
Sold$431,000
Sold public record$93,500

County record Public record

Recorded astwo family dwelling - up/dwn
Living units2
Year built1965
Market value (2026)$381,000
Property tax, payable 2026$8,258
Special assessments$432
Homesteadno
Last sale2024-03-08 · $431,000

Source: Ramsey County parcel records.

City rental certificate (CofO)

No record in St. Paul Certificate of Occupancy – Residential (dataset last updated mid-2025).

Nearest highway

I 94, about 142 m away.

Crime in Battle Creek – Conway – Eastview – Highwood Hills

1,114 incidents in the last 12 months (48 per 1,000 residents), +7% vs. the year before. St. Paul police incidents, excluding proactive visits and community events.