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1537 E 38th St

5 units · 5 units: 2 bed / 1 bath ×3 and 1 bed / 1 bath ×2 unit split estimated · 3,456 sq ft

Minneapolis, MN · Bancroft · View the listing ↗

Cash flows

Photos courtesy of National Realty Guild - Broker, via Realtor.com.

Needs more info before these numbers mean much. The city's rental license covers 4 unit(s); this analysis counts 5.

Asking price
$680,000
5 units · $136K per unit
Monthly cash flow
$122
at 20% down, 7%
Estimated rent
$6,800/mo
low confidence · 6 rentals within 0.75 mi
Break-even price
$702,852
where cash flow hits $0

Adjust the numbers See the full breakdown

First look

This is a renovated Minneapolis fourplex that the county counts as five units, asking $680K after buying at $445K 19 months ago. Our numbers work modestly at the ask: about +$122/month cash flow and a 6.6% cap rate, with a break-even price near $703K. The listing shows no rents, no leases and no permits, so the turn-key claim rests on cosmetic work you can see and systems you can't. Before a showing, nail down the real unit count and license status, the rent roll, and whether the renovation was permitted. After 209 days on market, there's room to negotiate below the ask.

Things to consider

  1. Price vs. numbers At the ask the property runs slightly positive cash flow, and break-even is about $23K above ask. That is a thin cushion, so any offer has to start from the numbers, not the renovation story.
  2. Unit count and licensing If the fifth unit isn't legal or licensed, you could lose that rent or face orders to fix it. Confirm with the city before you offer.
  3. Tier 2 rental license More violations than typical means more inspections and repair orders, which raises your expenses and effort.
  4. Flat roof Flat roofs fail without warning and cost a lot. Get the age and a moisture scan before closing.
  5. Quick flip pricing The seller paid $445K in 2025 and is asking $680K. Cosmetic work rarely adds $235K. Ask for receipts and permits.
  6. Heating setup Four boilers plus mini-splits means a lot of equipment to maintain. Who pays for each affects true cash flow.Listing says: “four 75,000 BTU boilers, four high-capacity water heaters, four pressure tanks”

From the photos

Listing photo 4
1 of 7Plus

Exterior shows new-looking porch decking and fresh paint on stucco trim. Updates appear recent.

Listing photo 10
2 of 7Plus

Kitchens show new dark shaker cabinets, granite-look counters and stainless appliances. They appear fresh but builder-grade.

Listing photo 7
3 of 7Plus

Vinyl plank flooring and new windows in the living areas appear recent and low-maintenance.

Listing photo 6
4 of 7Check

Wall-mounted units in the units appear to be the through-wall heating and cooling type. Check the type, age and operating cost.

Listing photo 1
5 of 7Plus

Detached garage and large parking area visible, supporting the parking claim.

Listing photo 3
6 of 7Check

Several buildings appear very close on the lot lines, and the front walk and yard look rough. The photos don't show the roof, boilers, panels, basement or bathrooms.

Listing photo 5
7 of 7Check

Photos show only a few units' interiors. Two entry doors and one unit door are visible. Confirm the number of kitchens and meters.

Based on 10 of the listing photos. Photos can hide as much as they show; an inspection is the real answer.

Condition and repairs

  • doneNew siding, exterior paint, new upper rear windowsListing says: brand-new siding, exterior paint, and new upper rear windows
  • doneUpper balcony rebuilt with new decking and flooringListing says: a fully rebuilt upper balcony featuring new decking and flooring
  • doneFront porch flooring replaced and stucco restoredListing says: The front porch flooring has been replaced and the stucco professionally restored
  • doneNew carpet on common stairwaysListing says: new carpeting on the stairways
  • doneUnits remodeled: kitchens, baths, flooring, lighting, mini-splitsListing says: new kitchens, updated bathrooms, new flooring, fresh paint, modern light fixtures
  • neededBasement is unfinishedListing says: the possibility of finishing the basement and installing coin-operated laundry machines

AI-assisted first read of the listing description and photos (Claude), checked against public records. Every rent and repair above quotes the listing; verify with the agent, leases and an inspection.

The numbers

Down payment %
Offer $
Management
Interest rate %
Edit rents, costs and assumptions

Default: 20% down (no PMI), offer at asking, self-managed, 7.00% for 30 years, buyer pays closing costs (3%).

The deal

Price
$680,000
Cash to close
$156,400
Price per unit
$136,000
GRM
8.3

Each month

Cash flow
$122/mo
Cash-on-cash
0.9%
Cap rate
6.6%
DSCR
1.03×

Break-even

Price that breaks even
$702,852
Rent that breaks even
$6,644/mo

Long run

Year 30: property vs stocks
$3.12M vs $1.19M
Cash flow turns positive
year 1

Monthly

Monthly breakdown

Rent$6,800
Vacancy (6%)−$408
Collected$6,392
Property tax Public record−$586
Insurance Estimate−$492
Water, sewer, trash Estimate−$425
Lawn care ($120 × 6 mo ÷ 12)−$60
Repairs (8% of rent)−$544
Capital reserve (8% of rent)−$544
Net operating income$3,741
Mortgage (principal + interest)−$3,619
Cash flow$122
Principal paid down (equity, not cash)$461

Cash flow each year

Rents +3%/yr, costs +3.5%/yr. Red bars are months you'd cover out of pocket.

30 years

How those totals add up

If you buy this building$3,123,958
Your equity when you sell
$1,551,506

Sells for $1,650,538 (value up 3% a year), minus 6% selling cost ($99,032). Rent paid down $544,000 of loan.

Rental profits, invested at 7%
$1,572,452

$756,838 of cash flow over 30 years, plus what it earned invested.

Same money in stocks$1,190,557
Cash to close, invested at 7%
$1,190,557

$156,400 put into an index fund instead of the down payment and closing costs.

The building comes out $1,933,401 ahead after 30 years.

Future dollars. At 3% inflation, divide year-30 figures by about 2.4 for today's buying power. Rental profits are assumed invested, not spent.

30 years: this property vs. the same money in stocks

This propertyStocks at 7%

Year 30 (loan paid off): property $3.12M, stocks $1.19M. The property wins.

Comparable rentals

The closest rental listings with each unit's bedroom count, as of 2026-10-06. The estimate is the median asking rent of every rental we found nearby (the count is shown for each); houses are left out. Asking rents from Realtor.com rental listings, not signed leases.

2 bed estimate $1,450/mo · range $1,275–$1,575 · 6 rentals within 0.75 mi

AddressRentBd / BaSq ftDistanceListedType
3725 Cedar Ave S, Minneapolis $1,349 2 / 1 767 0.2 mi 2026-06-30 Apartment
3715 Columbus Ave S Apt 2, Minneapolis $1,395 2 / 1 920 0.6 mi — Apartment
3715 Columbus Ave S Apt 4, Minneapolis $1,495 2 / 1 920 0.6 mi — Apartment
3549 Columbus Ave S, Minneapolis $1,250 2 / 1 800 0.6 mi — Apartment
4112 Chicago Ave S, Minneapolis $1,499 2 / 1 1,000 0.7 mi 2025-01-31 Apartment
3718 Oakland Ave S, Minneapolis $1,150 2 / 1 700 0.7 mi 2026-01-03 Apartment

1 bed estimate $1,225/mo · range $1,125–$1,400 · 10 rentals within 0.75 mi

AddressRentBd / BaSq ftDistanceListedType
3555 Bloomington Ave S, Minneapolis $1,450 1 / 1 1,000 0.3 mi — Apartment
3530 18th Ave S, Minneapolis $1,095 1 / 1 650 0.3 mi 2026-10-01 Apartment
3518 Bloomington Ave Apt 3, Minneapolis $1,325 1 / 1 800 0.3 mi 2026-09-20 Multi family
3541 13th Ave S, Minneapolis $1,115 1 / 1 650 0.4 mi 2026-08-19 Apartment
3705 Chicago Ave, Minneapolis $1,000 1 / 1 575 0.5 mi 2025-11-04 Apartment
4106 Chicago Ave S, Minneapolis $1,349 1 / 1 1,000 0.7 mi 2024-08-06 Apartment
4106 Chicago Ave S Unit 7, Minneapolis $1,099 1 / 1 640 0.7 mi — Apartment
4112 Chicago Ave S, Minneapolis $1,199 1 / 1 780 0.7 mi 2025-01-31 Apartment
3401 Elliot Ave Apt 4, Minneapolis $925 1 / 1 523 0.7 mi 2025-04-26 Apartment
3806 24th Ave S, Minneapolis $1,325 1 / 1 500 0.7 mi 2026-03-01 Apartment

On the maps, this property and comparable rentals. Comparable rentals and rent estimate: Realtor.com rental listings. Rents are asking rents from listings; check them against the actual leases.

Red flags and opportunities

Watch for

  • highThe city's rental license covers 4 unit(s); this analysis counts 5. Public record: Minneapolis Active Rental Licenses: 1537 38TH ST E, units=4
  • highDescription says fourplex but county and listing data count five units. A fifth unit may be unlicensed or not legal. Based on: data: county.living_units · AI review
  • highAsking is far above the county's market value, and the break-even price is well under ask. Based on: data: county.market_value · AI review
  • mediumRental license Tier 2: the city has flagged more violations than typical; expect more frequent inspections and repair orders. Public record: Minneapolis Active Rental Licenses: 1537 38TH ST E, grade/tier=Tier 2, status=Active
  • mediumFlat roof per the city assessor: get its age and a moisture inspection. Public record: Hennepin County parcel 1102824110068: roof=Flat, exterior=WOOD
  • mediumBought for $445,000 in Mar 2025; asking is 53% more 19 months later. Ask what was done to justify the jump. Public record: Hennepin County parcel 1102824110068: last sale 2025-03-01, $445,000
  • mediumFour separate boilers and four water heaters means four systems to maintain, and the owner may be paying for some of them. Listing says: four 75,000 BTU boilers, four high-capacity water heaters, four pressure tanks · AI review
  • mediumCosmetic renovation done fast after a 2025 purchase. Ask whether permits were pulled, especially for the mini-splits, electrical and the rebuilt balcony. Based on: data: county.last_sale_price · AI review
  • mediumNo rents, lease status or occupancy given for a property marketed as turn-key. Listing says: strong turn-key investment with additional value-add potential · AI review

Opportunities

  • Long time on market: room to negotiate. Based on: Listing data: 212 days on market
  • Off-street parking for up to 10 vehicles is rare in this area and supports rent and tenant quality. Listing says: off-street parking for up to 10 vehicles, a rare amenity in this central Minneapolis location · AI review
  • Coin laundry in the basement could add a small income stream, though it needs finishing work first. Listing says: installing coin-operated laundry machines, creating another revenue stream for investors · AI review
  • Minneapolis has no rent cap, so rents can follow the market. Based on: data: underwriting.rent_rule · AI review

Questions for the agent

  • Is it four units or five, and what does the rental license cover? Is the fifth unit legal?
  • Can you share the current rent roll, lease terms and trailing-12 expenses?
  • Were permits pulled for the renovation, including electrical, mechanical and the balcony?
  • Who pays heat and water, and are the four boilers separately metered?
  • What is the flat roof's age, and is there any history of leaks?
  • Why the jump from $445K in March 2025, and what did the seller spend?

Bottom line

Nice-looking renovation, and at $680K it cash flows slightly in our model, but the unit count and license mismatch needs answers before you spend time on it. AI-assisted summary

What the records say

Where each number comes from

Property tax / yr Public recordHennepin County record, current payable year (non-homestead)$7,037
Insurance / yr Estimateestimate. from units, square feet and age; get a quote$5,900
Water, sewer, trash / mo Estimateestimate. $85/unit/mo, owner-paid$425
Heat / mo Assumptionassumption. tenants pay heat; confirm with the agent$0
Lawn care / mo Assumptionassumption. $120/mo for 6 months, spread over 12; no snow removal$60
Repairs / capital reserve Rulerule. built 1911: +1 pt capital reserve; 8 bedrooms: +1 pt repairs for wear; "fully renovated" in the description: -1 pts each8% / 8%

Price history Realtor.com

Last sold for $680,000 on 2026-09-09.

DateEventPrice
Sold public record$680,000
Price changed$680,000
Listed$725,000
Sold public record$445,000
Price changed$460,000
Listed$470,000
Sold public record$240,000

County record Public record

Recorded asapartment 4 or 5 unit
Living units5
Year built1911
Market value (2026)$372,000
Property tax$7,037
Special assessmentsnone
Homesteadno
Last sale2025-03-01 · $445,000

Source: Hennepin County parcel records.

City rental license

CHOWN: 4 unit(s), Tier 2, status active, renews 2027-03-01.

Nearest highway

MN 55, about 1634 m away.

Crime in Bancroft

126 incidents in the last 12 months (37 per 1,000 residents), −8% vs. the year before. Minneapolis police incidents, all reported offenses (definitions differ from St. Paul's, so don't compare across cities).