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1607 Van Buren Ave

Duplex · 2 units: 4 bed / 2 bath ×2 unit split estimated · 3,392 sq ft

Saint Paul, MN · Hamline – Midway · View the listing ↗

Overpriced

Photos courtesy of Exp Realty - Broker, via Realtor.com.

Asking price
$549,500
2 units · $275K per unit
Monthly cash flow
−$847
at 20% down, 7%
Estimated rent
$4,500/mo
low confidence · 6 rentals within 1.5 mi
Break-even price
$390,370
where cash flow hits $0

Adjust the numbers See the full breakdown

First look

This is a side-by-side duplex asking $549,500, and the owner-occupant angle is the pitch. The 3.99% assumable FHA loan is the real draw, but you have to qualify, and you'd need to know the balance and how much cash fills the gap to the price. At our estimate of about $2,250 per unit and the asking price, cash flow runs about -$847 a month at a 4.5% cap rate, so as a pure investment it doesn't work today. It sold for $584,000 in 2022, so the seller is taking a loss. First check the loan balance and assumption terms, the rental license (it shows Pending and expired in March 2026), and the age of the roof, boiler and wiring. It's worth a showing only if you plan to live in one side and the assumption math holds.

Things to consider

  1. Assumable loan is the whole story A 3.99% rate against today's rates could change monthly payments significantly, but it requires qualifying, owner-occupancy and cash to cover the equity gap.Listing says: “3.99% Assumable FHA Mortgage Available (Buyer Must Qualify)”
  2. Investor numbers are negative At the asking price our model shows about -$847 a month, so the property depends on financing or owner-occupancy to work.
  3. Taxes will rise for a non-owner-occupant The seller's homestead bill is lower than what an investor pays, and the assessments add to carrying cost.
  4. Rent increases are capped St. Paul limits increases on sitting tenants to 3% a year, so a below-market rent in the occupied unit can't be fixed quickly.
  5. Old building, unverified systems A 1909 house with radiators and window AC may need boiler, roof or electrical work; none of the ages are given.From photo 3

From the photos

Listing photo 4
1 of 8Check

Old radiators visible in bedrooms, so heat appears to be hot water or steam, though county data says central. Confirm the system and whether there are one or two boilers.

Listing photo 6
2 of 8Check

Kitchen has an appliance set and basic wood cabinets, with open shelving. It appears functional but dated; appliances look newer than the cabinets.

Listing photo 5
3 of 8Plus

Wood floors look to be in good shape in the bedrooms and kitchen.

Listing photo 7
4 of 8Concern

Bathroom has dated wall tile and floor tile with a newer vanity and toilet; cosmetic refresh only.

Listing photo 9
5 of 8Plus

The other bathroom looks updated, with a newer shower stall, vanity and electric wall heater.

Listing photo 3
6 of 8Concern

Window air-conditioning units are visible on the side of the house, so there appears to be no central AC.

Listing photo 3
7 of 8Check

Two front doors and a shared porch confirm the side-by-side layout. Wood siding paint looks fresh in front, but the roof shingles look aged on the side view.

Listing photo 1
8 of 8Check

No photos of the basement, mechanicals, electrical panels, roof close-up or parking.

Based on 10 of the listing photos. Photos can hide as much as they show; an inspection is the real answer.

Condition and repairs

  • doneNew appliances and other updatesListing says: Recent improvements include new appliances and other updates that support strong rental performance

AI-assisted first read of the listing description and photos (Claude), checked against public records. Every rent and repair above quotes the listing; verify with the agent, leases and an inspection.

The numbers

Down payment %
Offer $
Management
Interest rate %
Edit rents, costs and assumptions

Default: 20% down (no PMI), offer at asking, self-managed, 7.00% for 30 years, buyer pays closing costs (3%).

The deal

Price
$549,500
Cash to close
$126,385
Price per unit
$274,750
GRM
10.2

Each month

Cash flow
−$847/mo
Cash-on-cash
−8.0%
Cap rate
4.5%
DSCR
0.71×

Break-even

Price that breaks even
$390,370
Rent that breaks even
$5,614/mo

Long run

Year 30: property vs stocks
$1.46M vs $1.37M
Cash flow turns positive
year 15

Monthly

Monthly breakdown

Rent$4,500
Vacancy (6%)−$270
Collected$4,230
Property tax Estimate−$870
Insurance Estimate−$243
Water, sewer, trash Estimate−$170
Lawn care ($120 × 6 mo ÷ 12)−$60
Repairs (9% of rent)−$405
Capital reserve (9% of rent)−$405
Net operating income$2,078
Mortgage (principal + interest)−$2,925
Cash flow−$847
Principal paid down (equity, not cash)$372

Cash flow each year

Rents +3%/yr (St. Paul's cap for sitting tenants), costs +3.5%/yr. Red bars are months you'd cover out of pocket.

30 years

How those totals add up

If you buy this building$1,458,661
Your equity when you sell
$1,253,754

Sells for $1,333,781 (value up 3% a year), minus 6% selling cost ($80,027). Rent paid down $439,600 of loan.

Rental profits, invested at 7%
$204,908

$142,957 of cash flow over 30 years, plus what it earned invested.

Same money in stocks$1,373,915
Cash to close, invested at 7%
$962,075

$126,385 put into an index fund instead of the down payment and closing costs.

Monthly shortfalls, invested
$411,840

$74,853 you'd have paid in while the building lost money, invested instead.

The building comes out $84,746 ahead after 30 years.

Future dollars. At 3% inflation, divide year-30 figures by about 2.4 for today's buying power. Rental profits are assumed invested, not spent.

30 years: this property vs. the same money in stocks

This propertyStocks at 7%

Year 30 (loan paid off): property $1.46M, stocks $1.37M. The property wins.

Comparable rentals

The closest rental listings with each unit's bedroom count, as of 2026-10-06. The estimate is the median asking rent of every rental we found nearby (the count is shown for each); houses are left out. Asking rents from Realtor.com rental listings, not signed leases.

4 bed estimate $2,250/mo · range $2,050–$2,600 · 6 rentals within 1.5 mi

AddressRentBd / BaSq ftDistanceListedType
726-730 Holton St, Saint Paul $2,300 4 / 1.5 — 0.4 mi 2026-09-26 Apartment
1905-07 Feronia Ave, Saint Paul $1,800 4 / 2 — 0.8 mi 2026-04-14 Apartment
1912 Roblyn Ave, Saint Paul $2,200 4 / 2 — 1.0 mi 2026-09-26 Apartment
1146-48 Raleigh St, Saint Paul $2,000 4 / 2 — 1.3 mi 2024-10-08 Apartment
865-67 Snelling Ave N, Saint Paul $2,100 4 / 2 — 1.3 mi 2026-09-29 Apartment
1012 Burgess St, Saint Paul $2,980 4 / 2 2,149 1.3 mi 2026-09-23 Apartment

On the maps, this property and comparable rentals. Comparable rentals and rent estimate: Realtor.com rental listings. Rents are asking rents from listings; check them against the actual leases.

Red flags and opportunities

Watch for

  • mediumThe seller is homesteaded, so the current tax bill is lower than what an investor will pay. We use an estimated non-homestead tax instead. Public record: Ramsey County parcel 332923110007: homestead=Y
  • mediumRental license is Pending and shows an expired date. Confirm it's current before relying on rental income. Based on: data: city.rental_license · AI review
  • mediumSeller paid $584K in 2022 and now asks $549.5K. Our break-even price is about $505K, so the ask is still too high for the rents. Based on: data: underwriting.break_even_price · AI review
  • mediumThe vacant unit's $2,600 is only a recent marketing figure, not a rent in place. The other unit's rent and lease status are not given. Listing says: The soon-to-be-vacant unit was recently marketed at approximately $2,600 per month · AI review
  • low$863 in special assessments on the payable 2026 tax bill (often street, sewer or code-enforcement charges). Ask what they're for, whether they continue, and whether the seller pays them off at closing. Public record: Ramsey County parcel 332923110007: special assessments (payable 2026) = $863.46

Opportunities

  • Long time on market: room to negotiate. Based on: Listing data: 14 days on market, 3 price cuts
  • Possibly assumable loan at an old, low rate. FHA/VA assumptions come with owner-occupancy rules; ask the agent. Listing says: "3.99% Assumable FHA Mortgage Available (Buyer Must Qualify) | Price"
  • Assumable 3.99% FHA loan could cut financing cost a lot if you qualify and will owner-occupy. Listing says: 3.99% Assumable FHA Mortgage Available (Buyer Must Qualify) · AI review
  • House-hack: live in one side, rent the other, with one unit vacant Nov 1. Listing says: One Unit Vacant November 1st Live in one unit and let the neighboring unit help pay your mortgage. · AI review
  • Price already cut and the listing is two weeks old, so there is room for a lower offer. Listing says: Price Reduced $5,000 · AI review

Questions for the agent

  • What is the FHA loan balance, and how much cash do I need to bridge from balance to price?
  • What rent does the occupied unit pay, and what is its lease status and end date?
  • What are the $863 special assessments for, and does the seller pay them at closing?
  • What are the ages of the roof, boiler(s), water heaters and electrical panels?
  • Is the rental license current, and why does it show Pending?
  • How are heat and utilities set up: separate systems and meters per unit?

Bottom line

Works only as an owner-occupied house hack if you can assume the 3.99% loan; as a plain investment it loses money at this price. AI-assisted summary

What the records say

Where each number comes from

Property tax / yr Estimateestimate. Seller is homesteaded; an investor pays the non-homestead rate. $497,500 market value × 2.10% (median for non-homestead duplexes/triplexes in the city).$10,435
Insurance / yr Estimateestimate. from units, square feet and age; get a quote$2,913
Water, sewer, trash / mo Estimateestimate. $85/unit/mo, owner-paid$170
Heat / mo Assumptionassumption. tenants pay heat; confirm with the agent$0
Lawn care / mo Assumptionassumption. $120/mo for 6 months, spread over 12; no snow removal$60
Repairs / capital reserve Rulerule. built 1909: +1 pt capital reserve; 8 bedrooms: +1 pt repairs for wear9% / 9%

Price history Realtor.com

On the market since 2026-04-28 (160 days, relisted 1×); down $35,500 (6.1%) from the first ask of $585,000; last sold for $570,000 on 2022-04-11.

DateEventPrice
Listed$549,500
Removed$555,000
Price changed$555,000
Removed$599,000
Listed$565,000
Removed$565,000
Listed$565,000
Removed$615,000
Removed$585,000
Removed—
Listed$585,000
Sold$570,000
Listed$549,900

County record Public record

Recorded astwo family dwelling - side/side
Living units2
Year built1909
Market value (2026)$497,500
Property tax, payable 2026$8,361
Special assessments$863
Homesteadyes
Last sale2022-04-12 · $584,000

Source: Ramsey County parcel records.

City rental certificate (CofO)

Residential 2 Units: 2 unit(s), A, status pending, renews 2026-03-03.

Nearest highway

I 94, about 1159 m away.

Crime in Hamline – Midway

1,219 incidents in the last 12 months (101 per 1,000 residents), −3% vs. the year before. St. Paul police incidents, excluding proactive visits and community events.