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169 Sherburne Ave

Duplex · 2 units: 2 bed / 1 bath ×2 unit split estimated · 1,538 sq ft

Saint Paul, MN · Frogtown (Thomas-Dale) · View the listing ↗

Cash flows

Photos courtesy of Lakes Area Realty, via Realtor.com.

Asking price
$239,900
2 units · $120K per unit
Monthly cash flow
$372
at 20% down, 7%
Estimated rent
$3,000/mo
medium confidence
Break-even price
$309,719
where cash flow hits $0

Adjust the numbers See the full breakdown

First look

This is a 2-unit up/down in Frogtown, asking $239,900, and our numbers show about $372/mo cash flow at an 8.2% cap on estimated rents of roughly $1,500 per 2-bed. That looks decent, but the listing gives no actual rents, so the income side is our guess, not the seller's. Unit 2 looks freshly turned over in the photos, but the cosmetics hide the basics: the home was built in 1874, and nothing is said about roof, panel, heating or foundation. The unit has been listed for 152 days and the rental license shows Pending, so ask why it hasn't sold. Get the rent roll, the license status and what the $1,952 assessment is before a showing.

Things to consider

  1. Rents are our estimate, not stated The cash flow of about $372/mo rests on our estimated $1,500 per unit. Real rents could be lower, especially with St. Paul's 3% cap on sitting tenants.
  2. Special assessments add to carrying cost The $1,952 on the tax bill is on top of $4,816 in taxes. Learn whether it recurs or is paid off at closing.
  3. Only the upper unit is shown renovated Unit 1 may need work before it rents at market. Budget for it until you see it.Listing says: “Pictures are of unit 2.”
  4. Owner pays water and sewer That cost comes out of rent and rises over time, so confirm actual bills for the last 12 months.Listing says: “Owner pays water/sewer!!”
  5. Very old building with unknown systems An 1874 structure may carry foundation, wiring and plumbing surprises that cosmetic updates hide. An inspection should come first.

From the photos

Listing photo 1
1 of 7Plus

Unit 2 has new carpet, new vinyl plank flooring and fresh gray paint throughout. It looks like a recent cosmetic turnover.

Listing photo 5
2 of 7Plus

The kitchen has basic white cabinets, new-looking white appliances and a gas range. It is clean and rentable but entry-level, not a high-end finish.

Listing photo 7
3 of 7Check

The bathroom looks refreshed with a new vanity and flooring, but exposed pipes run along the wall and the tub looks basic.

Listing photo 2
4 of 7Check

Unit 2 is on the top floor with sloped ceilings and textured ceilings. Ceiling height is limited in places and the roof above is not shown.

Listing photo 8
5 of 7Check

Washer and dryer are in a unit closet. Both appear to be older, basic models.

Listing photo 1
6 of 7Check

Photos show only unit 2 interiors: no exterior, roof, basement, mechanicals, panel or the lower unit.

Listing photo 2
7 of 7Check

A floor vent suggests forced-air heating. Baseboard-style pipe is visible along the wall, so confirm how each unit is heated.

Based on 8 of the listing photos. Photos can hide as much as they show; an inspection is the real answer.

Condition and repairs

  • doneUnit 2 freshly updated: new paint, carpet, flooring and kitchen appliancesListing says: new paint, new carpet, new flooring, and brand-new kitchen appliances throughout
  • doneRemodeled bathroom in unit 2Listing says: the remodeled bathroom adds a modern touch

AI-assisted first read of the listing description and photos (Claude), checked against public records. Every rent and repair above quotes the listing; verify with the agent, leases and an inspection.

The numbers

Down payment %
Offer $
Management
Interest rate %
Edit rents, costs and assumptions

Default: 20% down (no PMI), offer at asking, self-managed, 7.00% for 30 years, buyer pays closing costs (3%).

The deal

Price
$239,900
Cash to close
$55,177
Price per unit
$119,950
GRM
6.7

Each month

Cash flow
$372/mo
Cash-on-cash
8.1%
Cap rate
8.2%
DSCR
1.29×

Break-even

Price that breaks even
$309,719
Rent that breaks even
$2,517/mo

Long run

Year 30: property vs stocks
$1.60M vs $420K
Cash flow turns positive
year 1

Monthly

Monthly breakdown

Rent$3,000
Vacancy (6%)−$180
Collected$2,820
Property tax Public record−$401
Insurance Estimate−$200
Lawn care ($120 × 6 mo ÷ 12)−$60
Repairs (8% of rent)−$240
Capital reserve (9% of rent)−$270
Net operating income$1,648
Mortgage (principal + interest)−$1,277
Cash flow$372
Principal paid down (equity, not cash)$162

Cash flow each year

Rents +3%/yr (St. Paul's cap for sitting tenants), costs +3.5%/yr. Red bars are months you'd cover out of pocket.

30 years

How those totals add up

If you buy this building$1,603,260
Your equity when you sell
$547,362

Sells for $582,300 (value up 3% a year), minus 6% selling cost ($34,938). Rent paid down $191,920 of loan.

Rental profits, invested at 7%
$1,055,898

$449,315 of cash flow over 30 years, plus what it earned invested.

Same money in stocks$420,021
Cash to close, invested at 7%
$420,021

$55,177 put into an index fund instead of the down payment and closing costs.

The building comes out $1,183,239 ahead after 30 years.

Future dollars. At 3% inflation, divide year-30 figures by about 2.4 for today's buying power. Rental profits are assumed invested, not spent.

30 years: this property vs. the same money in stocks

This propertyStocks at 7%

Year 30 (loan paid off): property $1.60M, stocks $420K. The property wins.

Comparable rentals

Nearby rentals RentCast matched to each unit type, as of 2026-10-05. The estimate above is RentCast's, weighted toward the closest matches.

2 bed / 1 bath estimate $1,500/mo · range $1,225–$1,800

AddressRentBd / BaSq ftDistanceListedMatch
813 N Capitol Hts, Saint Paul 55103 off market $1,145 2 / 1 1,500 0.4 mi 2025-06-19 99%
203-207 Virginia St, Saint Paul 55102 off market $1,825 2 / 1 1,300 0.7 mi 2025-12-10 95%
581 Park St, Saint Paul 55103 $1,549 2 / 1 — 0.2 mi 2026-08-15 94%
240 W Fuller Ave, Unit 9, Saint Paul 55103 off market $975 2 / 1 — 0.3 mi 2026-07-22 94%
266 W Fuller Ave, Unit 12, Saint Paul 55103 off market $975 2 / 1 — 0.3 mi 2026-07-14 94%
425 Dayton Ave, Saint Paul 55102 off market $1,450 2 / 1 1,200 0.8 mi 2026-03-24 93%
842 Rice St, Apt 303, Saint Paul 55117 off market $1,695 2 / 1 — 0.7 mi 2023-10-30 93%
842 Rice St, Apt 302, Saint Paul 55117 off market $1,695 2 / 1 — 0.7 mi 2023-10-30 93%
138 Arundel St, Saint Paul 55102 off market $1,300 2 / 1 — 0.9 mi 2026-02-24 93%
310 Marshall Ave, Saint Paul 55102 off market $1,695 2 / 1 1,116 0.7 mi 2026-01-26 92%

On the maps, this property and comparable rentals. Comparable rentals and rent estimate: RentCast. Rents are asking rents from listings; check them against the actual leases.

Red flags and opportunities

Watch for

  • medium$1,952 in special assessments on the payable 2026 tax bill (often street, sewer or code-enforcement charges). Ask what they're for, whether they continue, and whether the seller pays them off at closing. Public record: Ramsey County parcel 362923140056: special assessments (payable 2026) = $1,952.38
  • mediumBuilt in 1874 with no system ages given (roof, wiring, heat, foundation). Cosmetic updates may cover older systems. Based on: data: listing.year_built · AI review
  • mediumRental license shows Pending and the listed expiry date has passed. Confirm the 2-unit license is current and that the property is in good standing. Based on: data: city.rental_license · AI review
  • mediumListing shows heavy cosmetic work only in unit 2, so unit 1 condition is unknown. Listing says: Pictures are of unit 2. · AI review
  • lowOwner pays water and sewer, and trash is billed to tenants at $45 a month. Check that the trash charge is legal and how it is collected, since it can count toward the rent cap. Listing says: trash is a $45 monthly fee Owner pays water/sewer!! · AI review

Opportunities

  • Long time on market: room to negotiate. Based on: Listing data: 152 days on market
  • Each unit has in-unit washer and dryer and a private deck, which supports rent and tenant retention. Listing says: in-unit washer and dryer in each unit · AI review
  • Large 2-beds with big kitchens and a pantry can compete well for rent against our estimate. Listing says: Huge kitchen with large pantry · AI review
  • 152 days on market gives room to negotiate on price or credits. Based on: data: listing.days_on_market · AI review

Questions for the agent

  • What are the current rents, lease types and end dates for both units, and can I see the rent roll and leases?
  • What are the special assessments for, and does the seller pay them at closing?
  • Is the rental license current, and when was the last city inspection?
  • How old are the roof, furnace, water heater and electrical panel?
  • Does each unit have its own furnace and meters, and how are water, sewer and trash billed?
  • Why has it been listed for 152 days, and have there been any price changes or failed deals?

Bottom line

Numbers work on paper at about 8% cap, but there are no stated rents and an 1874 building, so verify rents, systems and the assessments before getting excited. AI-assisted summary

What the records say

Where each number comes from

Property tax / yr Public recordRamsey County record, payable 2026 (non-homestead)$4,816
Insurance / yr Estimateestimate. from units, square feet and age; get a quote$2,403
Water, sewer, trash / mo Listinglisting. tenants pay water$0
Heat / mo Assumptionassumption. tenants pay heat; confirm with the agent$0
Lawn care / mo Assumptionassumption. $120/mo for 6 months, spread over 12; no snow removal$60
Repairs / capital reserve Rulerule. built 1874: +1 pt capital reserve8% / 9%

Price history Realtor.com

On the market since 2026-05-06 (152 days); last sold for $201,530 on 2022-07-06; listed for rent at $1,295/mo on 2022-08-18.

DateEventPrice
Removed$229,999
Listed$239,900
Removed—
Listed for rent$1,295/mo
Sold$201,530
Price changed$209,900
Listed$215,000
Removed$139,900
Sold public record$103,000
Sold public record$72,500

County record Public record

Recorded astwo family dwelling - up/dwn
Living units2
Year built1874
Market value (2026)$237,000
Property tax, payable 2026$4,816
Special assessments$1,952
Homesteadno
Last sale2022-06-29

Source: Ramsey County parcel records.

City rental certificate (CofO)

Residential 2 Units: 2 unit(s), A, status pending, renews 2026-01-31.

Nearest highway

I 94, about 668 m away.

Crime in Frogtown

824 incidents in the last 12 months (53 per 1,000 residents), −26% vs. the year before. St. Paul police incidents, excluding proactive visits and community events.