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218 N 1st Ave E

Duplex · 2 units: 1 bed / 1 bath and 1 bed / 0.5 bath · 1,636 sq ft

Ely, MN · View the listing ↗

Far off

Photos courtesy of Bear Island Realty, via Realtor.com.

Asking price
$198,500
2 units · $99K per unit
Monthly cash flow
−$445
at 20% down, 7%
Estimated rent
$1,550/mo
medium confidence
Break-even price
$114,985
where cash flow hits $0

Adjust the numbers See the full breakdown

First look

This is a small Ely duplex asking $198,500 with 1-bed units our estimate puts at $700 and $850, or about $1,550 a month combined. At the default scenario cash flow is about -$445 a month and the cap rate is 3.7%, so it doesn't work at this price. Break-even is near $115K, which shows how far apart the ask and the rents are. The description says 'turnkey' but gives no rents, lease terms, taxes or utility split, so ask for the rent roll, tax bill and heat setup first. The photos show cosmetic updates that look decent, but the age of the roof, heat and electrical is unknown. Only worth a showing if the seller moves a lot on price or the real rents beat our estimates.

Things to consider

  1. Price is far above what the rents support Cash flow is about -$445 a month and cap rate 3.7% at asking. Break-even is about $115K, so a deal needs a deep cut or proven higher rents.
  2. Income is unproven No rents or leases are stated, so our estimates of $700 and $850 are the only figures. Rent roll and bank deposits matter more than the 'turnkey' pitch.Listing says: “Turnkey dual-income potential.”
  3. Unit count and taxes are unverified With no parcel match, the tax bill could differ from what we modeled, and the legal unit count is unconfirmed.
  4. Building systems are unknown on a 1920 house Roof, heat, wiring and plumbing age drive repair reserves. The roof looks aged in the photos.From photo 2
  5. Update quality looks cosmetic Budget for wear on entry-level finishes, and check that work was permitted.Listing says: “freshly updated, independent living spaces with modern conveniences throughout”
  6. Sewer lateral is done A compliant lateral removes a known cost and a possible closing hurdle. Ask for the paperwork.Listing says: “fully compliant sewer lateral already completed”

From the photos

Listing photo 2
1 of 8Concern

Roof shingles on the main and porch roofs look worn and aged; get the roof age and an inspection.

Listing photo 1
2 of 8Check

Vinyl siding with a stone-look foundation skirt appears in fair shape; the actual foundation is not visible.

Listing photo 7
3 of 8Plus

Upper kitchen has white cabinets, laminate counters, vinyl plank flooring and basic white appliances. It appears refreshed but is entry-level finish.

Listing photo 3
4 of 8Check

Wood plank ceilings and new-looking trim in the mudroom and the small room; the finishes look like cosmetic DIY-style updates.

Listing photo 9
5 of 8Plus

Stacked washer/dryer in the main-level utility room, plus a separate dryer in the upper bath area, supports the separate-laundry claim.

Listing photo 10
6 of 8Concern

The bathroom has a basic shower stall, textured walls and exposed wood trim; it appears functional but low-budget.

Listing photo 2
7 of 8Check

Two separate exterior entrances with wood stairs are visible; stair and deck wood is new-looking. Rear entry parking appears to be on-street or gravel.

Listing photo 9
8 of 8Check

No photos of the furnace, water heater, electrical panel, basement or the main-level kitchen and bath. These need an in-person look.

Based on 10 of the listing photos. Photos can hide as much as they show; an inspection is the real answer.

Condition and repairs

  • doneSewer lateral compliance work completedListing says: fully compliant sewer lateral already completed
  • doneBoth units freshly updated/renovatedListing says: two freshly updated, independent living spaces with modern conveniences throughout

AI-assisted first read of the listing description and photos (Claude), checked against public records. Every rent and repair above quotes the listing; verify with the agent, leases and an inspection.

The numbers

Down payment %
Offer $
Management
Interest rate %
Edit rents, costs and assumptions

Default: 20% down (no PMI), offer at asking, self-managed, 7.00% for 30 years, buyer pays closing costs (3%).

The deal

Price
$198,500
Cash to close
$45,655
Price per unit
$99,250
GRM
10.7

Each month

Cash flow
−$445/mo
Cash-on-cash
−11.7%
Cap rate
3.7%
DSCR
0.58×

Break-even

Price that breaks even
$114,985
Rent that breaks even
$2,120/mo

Long run

Year 30: property vs stocks
$462K vs $657K
Cash flow turns positive
year 24

Monthly

Monthly breakdown

Rent$1,550
Vacancy (6%)−$93
Collected$1,457
Property tax Listing−$183
Insurance Estimate−$184
Water, sewer, trash Estimate−$170
Lawn care ($120 × 6 mo ÷ 12)−$60
Repairs (8% of rent)−$124
Capital reserve (8% of rent)−$124
Net operating income$612
Mortgage (principal + interest)−$1,057
Cash flow−$445
Principal paid down (equity, not cash)$134

Cash flow each year

Rents +3%/yr, costs +3.5%/yr. Red bars are months you'd cover out of pocket.

30 years

How those totals add up

If you buy this building$461,673
Your equity when you sell
$452,903

Sells for $481,812 (value up 3% a year), minus 6% selling cost ($28,909). Rent paid down $158,800 of loan.

Rental profits, invested at 7%
$8,770

$7,701 of cash flow over 30 years, plus what it earned invested.

Same money in stocks$656,894
Cash to close, invested at 7%
$347,538

$45,655 put into an index fund instead of the down payment and closing costs.

Monthly shortfalls, invested
$309,357

$67,642 you'd have paid in while the building lost money, invested instead.

Stocks come out $195,221 ahead after 30 years.

Future dollars. At 3% inflation, divide year-30 figures by about 2.4 for today's buying power. Rental profits are assumed invested, not spent.

30 years: this property vs. the same money in stocks

This propertyStocks at 7%

Year 30 (loan paid off): property $462K, stocks $657K. Stocks win.

Red flags and opportunities

Watch for

  • mediumCouldn't match this address to a county parcel record, so taxes and unit count are unverified. Public record: County parcels: no match for 218 1ST AVE E N
  • mediumAsking is $83,515 above the price where cash flow breaks even ($114,985) at the default scenario. Based on: Derived: price $198,500 vs. break-even $114,985
  • mediumUnit count and taxes are unverified; no county parcel match. Confirm it is legally a duplex and rental-licensed. Based on: data: rule_flags · AI review
  • medium'Turnkey' and 'low-maintenance' claims come with no rents, leases or expense figures. Nothing in the listing supports the income. Listing says: Turnkey dual-income potential. · AI review
  • mediumBuilt 1920, and the description says nothing about the roof, heat, wiring or foundation. The roof shingles look aged in the photos. Based on: photo 2 · AI review
  • lowThe main unit is '1+ bedrooms'. The extra room may not be a legal bedroom (egress, closet), so don't count it as one. Listing says: Main Level Unit offers 1+ bedrooms · AI review

Opportunities

  • Separate laundry setups in each unit support tenant appeal and avoid shared-laundry hassles. Listing says: Separate laundry setups and strong functional layouts · AI review
  • Recent renovations may mean little near-term capex if the systems check out. Listing says: freshly renovated 1-bedroom apartment featuring an open-concept kitchen, dining, and living area · AI review
  • No rent cap in Ely, so rents can follow the market. Based on: data: underwriting.rent_rule · AI review

Questions for the agent

  • What are the current rents, lease terms and tenant move-in dates for each unit?
  • What are the annual taxes, and is this assessed as a duplex or a single-family?
  • Who pays heat, electric, water and trash, and are there separate meters?
  • What are the ages of the roof, furnace or boiler, water heaters and electrical panels?
  • Is the main unit's extra room a legal bedroom, and is the rental license current?
  • Why is the seller asking this price, and has it been appraised or had a prior offer?

Bottom line

Cosmetically updated Ely duplex, but about $83K above where the rents break even, so it only works with a big price cut or much higher real rents. AI-assisted summary

What the records say

Where each number comes from

Property tax / yr Listinglisting, tax year 2026. The tax the listing states. If the seller lives there it may be at the lower homestead rate; an investor owner pays the non-homestead rate, often 20–40% more on the owner's unit.$2,195
Insurance / yr Estimateestimate. from units, square feet and age; get a quote$2,209
Water, sewer, trash / mo Estimateestimate. $85/unit/mo, owner-paid$170
Heat / mo Assumptionassumption. tenants pay heat; confirm with the agent$0
Lawn care / mo Assumptionassumption. $120/mo for 6 months, spread over 12; no snow removal$60
Repairs / capital reserve Rulerule. base rate8% / 8%

Price history Realtor.com

On the market since 2026-09-17 (18 days); last sold for $90,000 on 2024-09-12.

DateEventPrice
Listed$198,500
Sold$90,000
Listed$89,000

From the listing Listing

Listed asduplex
Property tax, 2026$2,195
CountySt. Louis County
Parcel number030-0280-00080

As the listing states it (NorthstarMLS, via Realtor.com). We don't have county records here yet; check the tax, homestead status and special assessments with the county.

Crime, rental-license and vacant-building records are only available for St. Paul and Minneapolis so far. Check with Ely on rental licensing before you buy.