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2314 Portland Ave S

Duplex · 2 units: 5 bed / 1.5 bath and 4 bed / 1.5 bath unit split estimated · 4,105 sq ft

Minneapolis, MN · Phillips West · View the listing ↗

Cash flows

Photos courtesy of Summit Realty, via Realtor.com.

Asking price
$409,900
2 units · $205K per unit
Monthly cash flow
$271
at 20% down, 7%
Estimated rent
$4,575/mo
medium confidence
Break-even price
$460,885
where cash flow hits $0

Adjust the numbers See the full breakdown

First look

This is a duplex with estimated rents of $4,575/month against a $409,900 ask, and our model has it at about +$271/month at 20% down with a 7.2% cap rate. So it only works if the leases hold and the expenses are real. Estimated rents ($2,275 for the 5-bed, $2,300 for the 4-bed) are right around or slightly below our estimates, so there's little rent upside without a rehab. The listing gives water and trash at $303/month, which is heavy for two units, so ask why. Photos show dated kitchens and bath, and nothing of the mechanicals. At 123 days on market and a $157K 2013 purchase, the seller has room to come down. Worth a showing only at a lower price, after you see the rent roll, utility bills and boiler/furnace and roof condition.

Things to consider

  1. Cash flow is slightly positive at the ask Our model shows about +$271/month at 20% down. Any vacancy or repair could erase that and come from your pocket, so price should still come down.
  2. Owner-paid water and trash are a big expense About $3,856 a year in utilities cuts directly into net income. Check whether it can be billed back or fixed.Listing says: “Total Average Utilities: $321.35/month ($3,856 annually)”
  3. Rents are already near market Estimated rents are close to our estimates, so there is little upside without renovating, and kitchens and baths look dated.From photo 6
  4. Leases run to spring 2027 That gives stable income for now, but both end within a few months of each other, so turnover risk comes at once.Listing says: “Unit 2 (3BR/1BA): $1,750/month lease through March 31, 2027”
  5. Highway noise next to I-35W Traffic noise can cost $50-100/month in rent and may limit future increases.
  6. Seller has room to negotiate Long time on market and a 2013 purchase at $157K mean the seller can accept a lower offer.

From the photos

Listing photo 6
1 of 7Concern

Kitchen appears dated, with oak-style cabinets, laminate counters, vinyl floor and an older white range and fridge. Cosmetic updates only.

Listing photo 10
2 of 7Check

Bathroom looks basic and older: tub surround tile, stock vanity. Check for caulk and moisture issues around the tub.

Listing photo 4
3 of 7Plus

Bedroom has hardwood floors, crown molding, large windows and a cast-iron radiator, which suggests the original hot-water heat is still there.

Listing photo 1
4 of 7Check

Exterior is vinyl or aluminum-type siding with painted trim, appears in fair shape. Roof is barely visible, so its age can't be judged.

Listing photo 3
5 of 7Check

Two entry buzzers by the front door, a side wooden staircase and a window AC unit suggest separate entrances and no central AC.

Listing photo 2
6 of 7Check

No photos of the furnace or boiler, water heater, electrical panel, basement or the second unit's kitchen and baths.

Listing photo 1
7 of 7Plus

Large open front lawn and visible driveway or parking area at the side support the off-street parking claim.

Based on 10 of the listing photos. Photos can hide as much as they show; an inspection is the real answer.

Rents the listing states

  • Unit 1 (5br/2ba): $2,050 (lease)Listing says: Unit 1 (5BR/2BA): $2,050/month lease through May 31, 2027
  • Unit 2 (3br/1ba): $1,750 (lease)Listing says: Unit 2 (3BR/1BA): $1,750/month lease through March 31, 2027

AI-assisted first read of the listing description and photos (Claude), checked against public records. Every rent and repair above quotes the listing; verify with the agent, leases and an inspection.

The numbers

Down payment %
Offer $
Management
Interest rate %
Edit rents, costs and assumptions

Default: 20% down (no PMI), offer at asking, self-managed, 7.00% for 30 years, buyer pays closing costs (3%).

The deal

Price
$409,900
Cash to close
$94,277
Price per unit
$204,950
GRM
7.5

Each month

Cash flow
$271/mo
Cash-on-cash
3.5%
Cap rate
7.2%
DSCR
1.12×

Break-even

Price that breaks even
$460,885
Rent that breaks even
$4,218/mo

Long run

Year 30: property vs stocks
$2.18M vs $718K
Cash flow turns positive
year 1

Monthly

Monthly breakdown

Rent$4,575
Vacancy (6%)−$274
Collected$4,300
Property tax Public record−$535
Insurance Estimate−$259
Water, sewer, trash Estimate−$170
Lawn care ($120 × 6 mo ÷ 12)−$60
Repairs (9% of rent)−$412
Capital reserve (9% of rent)−$412
Net operating income$2,453
Mortgage (principal + interest)−$2,182
Cash flow$271
Principal paid down (equity, not cash)$278

Cash flow each year

Rents +3%/yr, costs +3.5%/yr. Red bars are months you'd cover out of pocket.

30 years

How those totals add up

If you buy this building$2,183,635
Your equity when you sell
$935,239

Sells for $994,935 (value up 3% a year), minus 6% selling cost ($59,696). Rent paid down $327,920 of loan.

Rental profits, invested at 7%
$1,248,396

$565,313 of cash flow over 30 years, plus what it earned invested.

Same money in stocks$717,661
Cash to close, invested at 7%
$717,661

$94,277 put into an index fund instead of the down payment and closing costs.

The building comes out $1,465,974 ahead after 30 years.

Future dollars. At 3% inflation, divide year-30 figures by about 2.4 for today's buying power. Rental profits are assumed invested, not spent.

30 years: this property vs. the same money in stocks

This propertyStocks at 7%

Year 30 (loan paid off): property $2.18M, stocks $718K. The property wins.

Comparable rentals

Nearby rentals RentCast matched to each unit type, as of 2026-10-05. The estimate above is RentCast's, weighted toward the closest matches.

5 bed / 1.5 bath estimate $2,275/mo · range $1,825–$2,750

AddressRentBd / BaSq ftDistanceListedMatch
2540 12th Ave S, Apt 2, Minneapolis 55404 $2,325 5 / 2 1,700 0.6 mi 2026-10-04 83%
1810 10th Ave S, Unit Lower, Minneapolis 55404 off market $2,050 4 / 2 — 0.5 mi 2026-06-15 81%
1810 10th Ave S, Minneapolis 55404 off market $2,150 4 / 2 — 0.5 mi 2026-06-15 81%
220 E 27th St, Minneapolis 55408 $2,600 4 / 1 2,516 0.5 mi 2026-04-04 78%
737 E 27th St, Minneapolis 55407 off market $2,600 4 / 1.5 1,699 0.5 mi 2024-01-17 76%
2121 11th Ave S, Minneapolis 55404 off market $2,289 4 / 1 1,800 0.5 mi 2026-06-12 74%
739 E 27th St, Minneapolis 55407 off market $2,600 4 / 1 1,699 0.5 mi 2022-05-23 73%
2021 3rd Ave S, Apt B1, Minneapolis 55404 off market $1,150 2 / 1 — 0.3 mi 2025-12-03 72%
2424 Chicago Ave S, Minneapolis 55404 off market $1,400 2 / 1 — 0.3 mi 2025-10-15 72%
2111 2nd Ave S, Unit B1, Minneapolis 55404 off market $1,850 3 / 1 — 0.3 mi 2026-06-05 72%

4 bed / 1.5 bath estimate $2,300/mo · range $1,925–$2,650

AddressRentBd / BaSq ftDistanceListedMatch
1810 10th Ave S, Unit Lower, Minneapolis 55404 off market $2,050 4 / 2 — 0.5 mi 2026-06-15 91%
1810 10th Ave S, Minneapolis 55404 off market $2,150 4 / 2 — 0.5 mi 2026-06-15 91%
220 E 27th St, Minneapolis 55408 $2,600 4 / 1 2,516 0.5 mi 2026-04-04 88%
737 E 27th St, Minneapolis 55407 off market $2,600 4 / 1.5 1,699 0.5 mi 2024-01-17 85%
2121 11th Ave S, Minneapolis 55404 off market $2,289 4 / 1 1,800 0.5 mi 2026-06-12 83%
739 E 27th St, Minneapolis 55407 off market $2,600 4 / 1 1,699 0.5 mi 2022-05-23 83%
2111 2nd Ave S, Unit B1, Minneapolis 55404 off market $1,850 3 / 1 — 0.3 mi 2026-06-05 82%
2023 2nd Ave S, Minneapolis 55404 off market $1,799 3 / 1 — 0.3 mi 2026-03-03 82%
2205 10th Ave S, Minneapolis 55404 off market $1,700 3 / 1 — 0.4 mi 2026-06-25 81%
1829 11th Ave S, Minneapolis 55404 off market $1,550 3 / 1 — 0.6 mi 2026-06-16 81%

On the maps, this property and comparable rentals. Comparable rentals and rent estimate: RentCast. Rents are asking rents from listings; check them against the actual leases.

Red flags and opportunities

Watch for

  • mediumAbout 103 m from I 35W: traffic noise usually costs $50–100/month in rent. Based on: OpenStreetMap: nearest motorway (I 35W) at 103 m
  • mediumOwner-paid water and trash of about $303/month is high for a duplex. It may signal leaks, high usage or a billing issue. Listing says: Trash & Water: $303.35/month · AI review
  • mediumListed 3-bed unit has 'flexible layouts' and the building is 1900 vintage with radiators visible while county records list forced air. Heating setup is unclear. Based on: data: county.heat_type · AI review
  • low$89 in special assessments on the current tax bill (often street, sewer or code-enforcement charges). Ask what they're for, whether they continue, and whether the seller pays them off at closing. Public record: Hennepin County parcel 3402924110043: special assessments (current) = $89.25
  • lowListing says 'well-maintained' but photos show dated kitchen and bath finishes and no mechanicals. Condition claims are unverified. Based on: photo 6 · AI review

Opportunities

  • The seller bought for $157,000 in Feb 2013, so they can take a lower offer and still come out well ahead. Public record: Hennepin County parcel 3402924110043: last sale 2013-02-01, $157,000
  • Long time on market: room to negotiate. Based on: Listing data: 126 days on market
  • Minneapolis 4D program could cut property taxes by up to 40% if units qualify. Verify eligibility and rent limits before counting on it. Listing says: can reduce property taxes by up to 40% annually if qualifying units are enrolled · AI review
  • Off-street parking is rare in this area and supports tenant demand. Listing says: abundant off-street parking, a rare amenity in the urban core · AI review
  • Taxes at the non-homestead rate are already in the numbers, and a price cut would move the deal to positive cash flow. Based on: data: underwriting.break_even_price · AI review

Questions for the agent

  • Can I see the leases, rent roll and 12 months of water and trash bills? Why is the water bill about $303/month?
  • What heats each unit? Is it one furnace, and are the radiators in photo 4 still in use?
  • How old are the roof, furnace or boiler, water heater and electrical panel?
  • Do the tenants pay on time, and will they renew when leases end in March and May 2027?
  • What is the $89 special assessment for, and is the building eligible for the 4D program?
  • Are both units licensed for the bedroom counts shown, with proper egress?

Bottom line

Rents are fine and the numbers are thin but positive at today's rates, so it's a negotiate-hard deal after you check the utility bills and mechanicals. AI-assisted summary

What the records say

Where each number comes from

Property tax / yr Public recordHennepin County record, current payable year (non-homestead)$6,419
Insurance / yr Estimateestimate. from units, square feet and age; get a quote$3,109
Water, sewer, trash / mo Estimateestimate. $85/unit/mo, owner-paid$170
Heat / mo Assumptionassumption. tenants pay heat; confirm with the agent$0
Lawn care / mo Assumptionassumption. $120/mo for 6 months, spread over 12; no snow removal$60
Repairs / capital reserve Rulerule. built 1900: +1 pt capital reserve; 9 bedrooms: +1 pt repairs for wear9% / 9%

Price history Realtor.com

On the market since 2026-06-01 (126 days); down $40,000 (8.9%) from the first ask of $449,900; last sold for $157,000 on 2013-02-27.

DateEventPrice
Price changed$409,900
Price changed$429,900
Relisted$449,900
Removed—
Listed$449,900
Sold$157,000
Price changed$157,000
Price changed$165,000
Price changed$174,900
Price changed$199,900
Listed$219,000
Sold public record$251,000
Sold public record$107,500
Sold public record$40,000

County record Public record

Recorded asduplex
Living units2
Year built1900
Market value (2026)$338,000
Property tax$6,419
Special assessments$89
Homesteadno
Last sale2013-02-01 · $157,000

Source: Hennepin County parcel records.

City rental license

CHOWN: 2 unit(s), Tier 1, status active, renews 2027-03-01.

Nearest highway

I 35W, about 103 m away.

Crime in Phillips West

312 incidents in the last 12 months (62 per 1,000 residents), −1% vs. the year before. Minneapolis police incidents, all reported offenses (definitions differ from St. Paul's, so don't compare across cities).