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263 Lafond Ave

Duplex · 2 units: 1 bed and 5 bed · 1,863 sq ft

Saint Paul, MN · Frogtown (Thomas-Dale) · View the listing ↗

Overpriced

Photos, via Realtor.com.

Asking price
$325,000
2 units · $162K per unit
Monthly cash flow
−$411
at 20% down, 7%
Estimated rent
$3,000/mo
high confidence
Break-even price
$247,742
where cash flow hits $0

Adjust the numbers See the full breakdown

First look

This is a 1-bed lower and a 5-bed upper in Frogtown, asking $325K, only $25K over the seller's 2023 purchase. Our underwriting at the ask shows about -$411/month and a 4.9% cap rate, and the break-even price is about $248K, so it doesn't work at today's rates unless the price drops a lot. The 5-bed upper is the big question: our rent estimate is $1,800, and a five-bedroom unit means heavy wear and higher turnover. The listing gives no rents or lease status, so ask for the rent roll first. The roof and boiler were replaced in 2022, which helps, but the photos show cosmetic finishes and some loose ends in the kitchen. Worth a showing only if the seller will move toward the break-even price and the numbers hold up.

Things to consider

  1. Price versus numbers Underwriting at the ask shows negative cash flow and a 4.9% cap rate. The break-even price is far below the list price, so you would need a significant discount.
  2. Unverified rents on a 5-bed upper Our estimate for the 5-bed is $1,800. Without a rent roll, income is a guess, and large units tend to see more wear and turnover.
  3. Special assessments and tax reset $3,805 in assessments is a real cost, and the investor tax bill will be higher than the seller's homestead bill.
  4. Bedroom legality on the upper floors If third-floor rooms are not legal bedrooms, the rent potential and rental license grade could drop.Listing says: “The upper unit spans the second and third floors and offers 5 bedrooms and 2 bathrooms.”
  5. 2022 roof and boiler lower near-term capex These are two of the costliest systems and they are recent. That reduces the reserves needed in the first years, though permits should be confirmed.Listing says: “Recent updates include a newer roof and boiler, both replaced in 2022.”
  6. St. Paul rent cap on sitting tenants If tenants are in place, rent growth is capped at 3% a year, so you can't quickly close any gap to market.

From the photos

Listing photo 2
1 of 8Plus

Roof shingles appear newer and uniform, which is consistent with the 2022 roof replacement; still verify permits.

Listing photo 3
2 of 8Check

Siding appears to be vinyl or similar in decent shape; the foundation base looks like painted stone or concrete with some wear.

Listing photo 6
3 of 8Concern

Kitchen has white shaker cabinets, granite-look counters and stainless appliances, which look fairly recent. A rough plywood shelf and a loose drawer suggest unfinished work.

Listing photo 4
4 of 8Check

Living area has LVP flooring, a radiator and baseboard heaters, so there may be mixed heat types. A textured ceiling and posts divide the space.

Listing photo 9
5 of 8Plus

Bathroom has a tub with subway tile surround and a newer vanity. It appears dated but serviceable.

Listing photo 10
6 of 8Concern

Upper bedroom shows bare subfloor-like finish and carpet at the edge, so floors appear unfinished and may need work between tenants.

Listing photo 3
7 of 8Check

Window air conditioner units are visible in the upper windows, so there is likely no central air.

Listing photo 1
8 of 8Check

No photos of the basement, boiler, electrical panel, or the upper unit's kitchen and third floor.

Based on 10 of the listing photos. Photos can hide as much as they show; an inspection is the real answer.

Condition and repairs

  • doneRoof replaced in 2022Listing says: Recent updates include a newer roof and boiler, both replaced in 2022.
  • doneBoiler replaced in 2022Listing says: Recent updates include a newer roof and boiler, both replaced in 2022.
  • doneStainless appliances, granite countertops and LVP flooring in both unitsListing says: Both units feature stainless steel appliances, granite countertops, and LVP flooring.

AI-assisted first read of the listing description and photos (Claude), checked against public records. Every rent and repair above quotes the listing; verify with the agent, leases and an inspection.

The numbers

Down payment %
Offer $
Management
Interest rate %
Edit rents, costs and assumptions

Default: 20% down (no PMI), offer at asking, self-managed, 7.00% for 30 years, buyer pays closing costs (3%).

The deal

Price
$325,000
Cash to close
$74,750
Price per unit
$162,500
GRM
9.0

Each month

Cash flow
−$411/mo
Cash-on-cash
−6.6%
Cap rate
4.9%
DSCR
0.76×

Break-even

Price that breaks even
$247,742
Rent that breaks even
$3,534/mo

Long run

Year 30: property vs stocks
$912K vs $741K
Cash flow turns positive
year 12

Monthly

Monthly breakdown

Rent$3,000
Vacancy (6%)−$180
Collected$2,820
Property tax Estimate−$554
Insurance Estimate−$208
Water, sewer, trash Estimate−$170
Lawn care ($120 × 6 mo ÷ 12)−$60
Repairs (8% of rent)−$240
Capital reserve (9% of rent)−$270
Net operating income$1,319
Mortgage (principal + interest)−$1,730
Cash flow−$411
Principal paid down (equity, not cash)$220

Cash flow each year

Rents +3%/yr (St. Paul's cap for sitting tenants), costs +3.5%/yr. Red bars are months you'd cover out of pocket.

30 years

How those totals add up

If you buy this building$912,104
Your equity when you sell
$741,528

Sells for $788,860 (value up 3% a year), minus 6% selling cost ($47,332). Rent paid down $260,000 of loan.

Rental profits, invested at 7%
$170,576

$111,565 of cash flow over 30 years, plus what it earned invested.

Same money in stocks$740,593
Cash to close, invested at 7%
$569,016

$74,750 put into an index fund instead of the down payment and closing costs.

Monthly shortfalls, invested
$171,577

$29,649 you'd have paid in while the building lost money, invested instead.

The building comes out $171,511 ahead after 30 years.

Future dollars. At 3% inflation, divide year-30 figures by about 2.4 for today's buying power. Rental profits are assumed invested, not spent.

30 years: this property vs. the same money in stocks

This propertyStocks at 7%

Year 30 (loan paid off): property $912K, stocks $741K. The property wins.

Comparable rentals

Nearby rentals RentCast matched to each unit type, as of 2026-10-05. The estimate above is RentCast's, weighted toward the closest matches.

1 bed / 1 bath estimate $1,200/mo · range $1,000–$1,425

AddressRentBd / BaSq ftDistanceListedMatch
568 Farrington St, Apt 4, Saint Paul 55103 off market $1,150 1 / 1 — 0.2 mi 2026-08-26 94%
250 W Fuller Ave, Unit 10, Saint Paul 55103 $895 1 / 1 — 0.5 mi 2026-10-05 93%
250 W Fuller Ave, Unit 9, Saint Paul 55103 off market $975 1 / 1 — 0.5 mi 2026-04-17 93%
435 Front Ave, Apt 7, Saint Paul 55117 off market $900 1 / 1 — 0.8 mi 2026-05-27 93%
496 Front Ave, Apt 3, Saint Paul 55117 $900 1 / 1 — 0.8 mi 2026-08-10 93%
769 University Ave W, Saint Paul 55104 $925 1 / 1 — 1.1 mi 2026-08-03 92%
794 Edmund Ave W, Unit 2, Saint Paul 55104 off market $1,200 1 / 1 — 1.1 mi 2024-09-10 92%
500 Robert St N, Unit 502, Saint Paul 55101 off market $1,500 1 / 1 1,000 1.1 mi 2026-05-18 87%
125 Como Ave, Saint Paul 55103 off market $1,095 1 / 1 900 0.3 mi 2026-06-08 87%
383 Dayton Ave, Saint Paul 55102 $1,499 1 / 1 920 0.9 mi 2025-01-03 87%

5 bed / 1 bath estimate $1,800/mo · range $1,300–$2,300

AddressRentBd / BaSq ftDistanceListedMatch
315 Aurora Ave, Saint Paul 55103 off market $1,950 4 / 1 1,100 0.4 mi 2026-07-16 80%
638 Edmund Ave, Saint Paul 55104 off market $2,600 5 / 2 1,900 0.8 mi 2026-05-14 79%
766 University Ave W, Saint Paul 55104 off market $2,850 5 / 1 2,400 1.1 mi 2024-11-17 79%
505-507 N Farrington St, Saint Paul 55103 off market $1,836 4 / 2 2,600 0.3 mi 2026-08-05 78%
690 Virginia St, Saint Paul 55103 $1,500 3 / 1 1,620 0.2 mi 2023-03-24 78%
690 Virginia Ave, Saint Paul 55103 off market $1,500 3 / 1 1,620 0.2 mi 2023-03-24 78%
813 N Capitol Hts, Saint Paul 55103 off market $1,145 2 / 1 1,500 0.5 mi 2025-06-19 75%
568 Farrington St, Apt 4, Saint Paul 55103 off market $1,150 1 / 1 — 0.2 mi 2026-08-26 75%
610 N Capitol Blvd, Unit 3, Saint Paul 55103 $1,650 3 / 1.5 1,600 0.5 mi 2026-10-05 75%
610 N Capitol Blvd, Saint Paul 55103 off market $1,750 3 / 1.5 1,600 0.5 mi 2026-08-10 74%

On the maps, this property and comparable rentals. Comparable rentals and rent estimate: RentCast. Rents are asking rents from listings; check them against the actual leases.

Red flags and opportunities

Watch for

  • highNo rents or lease terms given; income can't be verified Listing says: Come check out this great investment and living opportunity in this up/down duplex! · AI review
  • mediumThe seller is homesteaded, so the current tax bill is lower than what an investor will pay. We use an estimated non-homestead tax instead. Public record: Ramsey County parcel 362923120159: homestead=Y
  • medium$3,805 in special assessments on the payable 2026 tax bill (often street, sewer or code-enforcement charges). Ask what they're for, whether they continue, and whether the seller pays them off at closing. Public record: Ramsey County parcel 362923120159: special assessments (payable 2026) = $3,805.24
  • mediumSeller is likely owner-occupying, so no rent history exists to confirm. The rental license is still pending. Based on: data: city.rental_license · AI review
  • mediumThird-floor bedrooms may lack proper egress or be counted loosely as bedrooms; confirm the 5-bed count is legal Listing says: The upper unit spans the second and third floors and offers 5 bedrooms and 2 bathrooms. · AI review
  • mediumShared laundry in basement and only one boiler listed. Heat may be an owner cost. Listing says: The basement provides separate storage areas for each unit, along with shared laundry. · AI review
  • mediumPriced $25K above the 2023 purchase while underwriting shows negative cash flow Based on: data: county.last_sale_price · AI review

Opportunities

  • Large covered carport (4+ cars) is rare for this area and supports rentability Listing says: The property also offers an impressive 4+ car covered carport, a storage shed, and a backyard with space for a garden. · AI review
  • Roof and boiler were replaced in 2022, so big near-term capital costs are lower Listing says: Recent updates include a newer roof and boiler, both replaced in 2022. · AI review
  • Upper unit with 5 bedrooms could suit large households or room-by-room demand, if the rent supports it Based on: data: rent_estimate · AI review

Questions for the agent

  • Is the seller living in one unit? What are the current rents and lease terms for each unit, if any?
  • What are the $3,805 in special assessments for, and will the seller pay them off at closing?
  • Do all five upper bedrooms have egress windows and closets, and is the third floor permitted living space?
  • Who pays heat, water and electric, and is there one boiler or separate systems? What were last year's utility bills?
  • Why is the rental license still pending, and what is the status of the inspection?
  • Are permits on file for the 2022 roof and boiler work, and for the unit finishes?

Bottom line

A duplex with a decent 2022 roof and boiler, but at $325K it loses money monthly and needs a price near $248K to work. AI-assisted summary

What the records say

Where each number comes from

Property tax / yr Estimateestimate. Seller is homesteaded; an investor pays the non-homestead rate. $316,800 market value × 2.10% (median for non-homestead duplexes/triplexes in the city).$6,645
Insurance / yr Estimateestimate. from units, square feet and age; get a quote$2,492
Water, sewer, trash / mo Estimateestimate. $85/unit/mo, owner-paid$170
Heat / mo Assumptionassumption. tenants pay heat; confirm with the agent$0
Lawn care / mo Assumptionassumption. $120/mo for 6 months, spread over 12; no snow removal$60
Repairs / capital reserve Rulerule. built 1904: +1 pt capital reserve8% / 9%

Price history Realtor.com

On the market since 2026-09-19 (16 days); last sold for $150,000 on 2023-12-20; listed for rent at $839/mo on 2017-09-06.

DateEventPrice
Price changed$315,000
Listed$325,000
Sold public record$150,000
Sold$300,000
Sold public record$224,900
Sold$224,900
Sold$224,900
Listed$224,900
Listed$224,900
Rental removed$839/mo
Listed for rent$839/mo
Rental removed$850/mo
Listed for rent$850/mo
Rental removed$795/mo
Rent changed$795/mo
Listed for rent$850/mo
Sold public record$26,000
Sold$26,000
Price changed$22,900
Listed$24,900
Sold public record$252,500
Sold public record$90,000
Sold public record$52,000
Sold public record$23,652

County record Public record

Recorded astwo family dwelling - up/dwn
Living units2
Year built1904
Market value (2026)$316,800
Property tax, payable 2026$5,369
Special assessments$3,805
Homesteadyes
Last sale2023-08-15 · $300,000

Source: Ramsey County parcel records.

City rental certificate (CofO)

Residential 2 Units: 2 unit(s), A, status pending, renews 2029-04-10.

Nearest highway

I 94, about 1078 m away.

Crime in Frogtown

824 incidents in the last 12 months (53 per 1,000 residents), −26% vs. the year before. St. Paul police incidents, excluding proactive visits and community events.