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274 Lafond Ave

Duplex · 2 units: 3 bed / 1 bath ×2 unit split estimated · 2,359 sq ft

Saint Paul, MN · Frogtown (Thomas-Dale) · View the listing ↗

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Photos, via Realtor.com.

Asking price
$450,000
2 units · $225K per unit
Monthly cash flow
−$38
at 20% down, 7%
Estimated rent
$3,900/mo
medium confidence
Break-even price
$442,824
where cash flow hits $0

Adjust the numbers See the full breakdown

First look

This is a 2021 up/down duplex with two 3-bed/1-bath units, in-unit laundry and separate gas and electric meters. It looks clean and move-in ready. The price is the problem. The seller paid $290K in December 2025 and now wants $450K, and our underwriting at asking shows about -$38/month with a 6.3% cap rate. Break-even price is around $443K, so $450K is only roughly $7K too high at today's rates. Before a showing, check the rental license status, what changed since the December sale, and whether the lower-level triplex idea is realistic. It's worth seeing if the seller will move a little on price.

Things to consider

  1. Price is slightly above what the rents support At $450K the underwriting shows about -$38/month and a 6.3% cap rate. The break-even price is about $443K, so you would be paying roughly $7K over what the income justifies.
  2. Big price jump since the December 2025 sale A 55% increase in 9 months suggests flip pricing. Ask what work was done, and check that it was permitted.
  3. Rent estimates are reasonable but leave little cushion Our estimate is about $1,950 per 3-bed unit, around $3,900 total. That covers most of a $450K mortgage, taxes and insurance, but not all of it.
  4. Rental licensing is unconfirmed No rental certificate shows in city data. You may not be able to legally rent right away, and any extra lower-level unit would need its own approval.
  5. Newer construction should keep repairs low A 2021 build with new finishes means low near-term capex and likely lower maintenance reserves, which helps the numbers a little and could be enough to cover the small gap.From photo 3
  6. Triplex potential is speculative Finishing the lower level costs money and needs city sign-off. Don't pay for it in the price.Listing says: “possibility of an additional unit for potential TRIPLEX use”

From the photos

Listing photo 1
1 of 8Plus

Exterior appears new: clean vinyl siding, new-looking windows and fresh landscaping, with no visible deferred maintenance

Listing photo 2
2 of 8Plus

Two electric meters on the back wall, consistent with separate metering for two units

Listing photo 2
3 of 8Check

Exterior wooden stairs at the back appear to serve the upper unit; check their condition, code compliance and snow and ice safety

Listing photo 3
4 of 8Plus

Kitchen appears new, with white shaker cabinets, quartz-look counters, stainless appliances and a gas range

Listing photo 5
5 of 8Plus

Floors appear to be luxury vinyl plank, which holds up well for rentals

Listing photo 8
6 of 8Check

Bedroom has carpet that will wear faster with tenants; fine now but a turnover cost

Listing photo 9
7 of 8Plus

Bathrooms appear new with tub/shower surrounds and standard-grade vanities; the finish looks builder-grade rather than high-end

Listing photo 5
8 of 8Check

No photos of the mechanicals, laundry, lower level, or the second unit's separate entry, so unit separation and systems can't be judged

Based on 10 of the listing photos. Photos can hide as much as they show; an inspection is the real answer.

Condition and repairs

  • doneLike-new construction with updated kitchens and bathroomsListing says: this like-new duplex offers an impressive combination of modern style, functionality, and investment potential

AI-assisted first read of the listing description and photos (Claude), checked against public records. Every rent and repair above quotes the listing; verify with the agent, leases and an inspection.

The numbers

Down payment %
Offer $
Management
Interest rate %
Edit rents, costs and assumptions

Default: 20% down (no PMI), offer at asking, self-managed, 7.00% for 30 years, buyer pays closing costs (3%).

The deal

Price
$450,000
Cash to close
$103,500
Price per unit
$225,000
GRM
9.6

Each month

Cash flow
−$38/mo
Cash-on-cash
−0.4%
Cap rate
6.3%
DSCR
0.98×

Break-even

Price that breaks even
$442,824
Rent that breaks even
$3,949/mo

Long run

Year 30: property vs stocks
$1.92M vs $791K
Cash flow turns positive
year 2

Monthly

Monthly breakdown

Rent$3,900
Vacancy (6%)−$234
Collected$3,666
Property tax Public record−$256
Insurance Estimate−$199
Water, sewer, trash Estimate−$170
Lawn care ($120 × 6 mo ÷ 12)−$60
Repairs (8% of rent)−$312
Capital reserve (8% of rent)−$312
Net operating income$2,357
Mortgage (principal + interest)−$2,395
Cash flow−$38
Principal paid down (equity, not cash)$305

Cash flow each year

Rents +3%/yr, costs +3.5%/yr. Red bars are months you'd cover out of pocket.

30 years

How those totals add up

If you buy this building$1,918,144
Your equity when you sell
$1,026,732

Sells for $1,092,268 (value up 3% a year), minus 6% selling cost ($65,536). Rent paid down $360,000 of loan.

Rental profits, invested at 7%
$891,412

$450,516 of cash flow over 30 years, plus what it earned invested.

Same money in stocks$791,129
Cash to close, invested at 7%
$787,868

$103,500 put into an index fund instead of the down payment and closing costs.

Monthly shortfalls, invested
$3,261

$458 you'd have paid in while the building lost money, invested instead.

The building comes out $1,127,015 ahead after 30 years.

Future dollars. At 3% inflation, divide year-30 figures by about 2.4 for today's buying power. Rental profits are assumed invested, not spent.

30 years: this property vs. the same money in stocks

This propertyStocks at 7%

Year 30 (loan paid off): property $1.92M, stocks $791K. The property wins.

Comparable rentals

Nearby rentals RentCast matched to each unit type, as of 2026-10-05. The estimate above is RentCast's, weighted toward the closest matches.

3 bed / 1 bath estimate $1,950/mo · range $1,625–$2,275

AddressRentBd / BaSq ftDistanceListedMatch
690 Virginia St, Saint Paul 55103 $1,500 3 / 1 1,620 0.2 mi 2023-03-24 92%
690 Virginia Ave, Saint Paul 55103 off market $1,500 3 / 1 1,620 0.2 mi 2023-03-24 92%
220/222 Virginia St, Saint Paul 55102 off market $2,500 3 / 1.5 — 0.9 mi 2026-06-24 90%
610 N Capitol Blvd, Saint Paul 55103 off market $1,750 3 / 1.5 1,600 0.5 mi 2026-08-10 89%
610 N Capitol Blvd, Unit 3, Saint Paul 55103 $1,650 3 / 1.5 1,600 0.5 mi 2026-10-05 89%
653 Galtier St, Saint Paul 55103 $1,750 3 / 1.5 1,520 0.1 mi 2025-08-06 89%
595 Park St, Saint Paul 55103 off market $1,799 3 / 1 1,325 0.4 mi 2026-04-20 89%
617 Marshall Ave, Unit 1, Saint Paul 55102 off market $2,290 3 / 1 1,400 1.1 mi 2023-05-04 89%
948 Albemarle St, Apt 1, Saint Paul 55117 off market $1,600 3 / 1 1,100 0.7 mi 2025-05-16 86%
555-565 N Kent St, Saint Paul 55103 $1,435 3 / 1 875 0.6 mi 2026-04-29 84%

On the maps, this property and comparable rentals. Comparable rentals and rent estimate: RentCast. Rents are asking rents from listings; check them against the actual leases.

Red flags and opportunities

Watch for

  • highAsking price is far above what the rents support; underwriting shows negative cash flow at ask Based on: data: underwriting.cash_flow_monthly · AI review
  • mediumNo rental certificate (CofO) on file in the city's data. Ask whether the building is licensed as a rental and when it was last inspected. Public record: St. Paul Certificate of Occupancy – Residential: no record for 274 LAFOND AVE (dataset last updated mid-2025)
  • mediumBought for $290,000 in Dec 2025; asking is 55% more 10 months later. Ask what was done to justify the jump. Public record: Ramsey County parcel 362923120222: last sale 2025-12-19, $290,000
  • mediumCounty market value is far below the asking price Based on: data: county.market_value · AI review
  • mediumTriplex idea depends on city approval and is not income; the listing itself pushes verification onto the buyer Listing says: subject to city approval, zoning, permitting, licensing, and all applicable requirements · AI review
  • low$432 in special assessments on the payable 2026 tax bill (often street, sewer or code-enforcement charges). Ask what they're for, whether they continue, and whether the seller pays them off at closing. Public record: Ramsey County parcel 362923120222: special assessments (payable 2026) = $432.50
  • lowTax bill is low for a $450K ask and may reset after sale; verify the investor (non-homestead) bill Based on: data: county.tax · AI review

Opportunities

  • Unfinished lower level with egress windows could become an extra unit if the city allows it Listing says: The unfinished lower level adds exciting future value-add potential, featuring egress windows · AI review
  • Separate gas and electric meters mean tenants pay their own usage, keeping owner costs low Listing says: separately metered gas and electric · AI review
  • Likely exempt from St. Paul rent control as a post-2004 building, so rents can follow the market Based on: data: underwriting.rent_rule · AI review
  • In-unit laundry in both units supports rentability Listing says: convenient in-unit laundry · AI review

Questions for the agent

  • What was done to the property since the $290K sale in December 2025, and was it permitted?
  • Is the building licensed as a rental, and has it had a CofO inspection?
  • Are there tenants now? If so, what are the rents, lease terms and deposits?
  • What are the $432 special assessments for, and does the seller pay them off at closing?
  • Has the city said anything about a third unit in the lower level, in writing?
  • What are the heating and cooling systems and their ages, and are there warranties?

Bottom line

Nice newer duplex, but at $450K it roughly breaks even, about $7K above break-even, so it works with a small price cut. AI-assisted summary

What the records say

Where each number comes from

Property tax / yr Public recordRamsey County record, payable 2026 (non-homestead)$3,072
Insurance / yr Estimateestimate. from units, square feet and age; get a quote$2,390
Water, sewer, trash / mo Estimateestimate. $85/unit/mo, owner-paid$170
Heat / mo Assumptionassumption. tenants pay heat; confirm with the agent$0
Lawn care / mo Assumptionassumption. $120/mo for 6 months, spread over 12; no snow removal$60
Repairs / capital reserve Rulerule. base rate8% / 8%

Price history Realtor.com

On the market since 2026-08-16 (50 days); down $39,000 (8.0%) from the first ask of $489,000; last sold for $290,000 on 2025-12-29.

DateEventPrice
Price changed$450,000
Price changed$469,000
Price changed$475,000
Listed$489,000
Sold public record$290,000
Sold public record$23,000
Removed$15,000
Listed$15,000

County record Public record

Recorded astwo family dwelling - up/dwn
Living units2
Year built2021
Market value (2026)$252,000
Property tax, payable 2026$3,072
Special assessments$432
Homesteadno
Last sale2025-12-19 · $290,000

Source: Ramsey County parcel records.

City rental certificate (CofO)

No record in St. Paul Certificate of Occupancy – Residential (dataset last updated mid-2025).

Nearest highway

I 94, about 1026 m away.

Crime in Frogtown

824 incidents in the last 12 months (53 per 1,000 residents), −26% vs. the year before. St. Paul police incidents, excluding proactive visits and community events.