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2814 Colfax Ave S

Duplex · 2 units: 4 bed / 1 bath and 3 bed / 1 bath unit split estimated · 2,824 sq ft

Minneapolis, MN · Lowry Hill East · View the listing ↗

Overpriced

Photos courtesy of RES Realty - Broker, via Realtor.com.

Asking price
$489,000
2 units · $244K per unit
Monthly cash flow
−$952
at 20% down, 7%
Estimated rent
$4,500/mo
low confidence · 7 rentals within 2.75 mi
Break-even price
$310,047
where cash flow hits $0

Adjust the numbers See the full breakdown

The numbers

Down payment %
Offer $
Management
Interest rate %
Edit rents, costs and assumptions

Default: 20% down (no PMI), offer at asking, self-managed, 7.00% for 30 years, buyer pays closing costs (3%).

The deal

Price
$489,000
Cash to close
$112,470
Price per unit
$244,500
GRM
9.1

Each month

Cash flow
−$952/mo
Cash-on-cash
−10.2%
Cap rate
4.0%
DSCR
0.63×

Break-even

Price that breaks even
$310,047
Rent that breaks even
$5,737/mo

Long run

Year 30: property vs stocks
$1.17M vs $1.46M
Cash flow turns positive
year 21

Monthly

Monthly breakdown

Rent$4,500
Vacancy (6%)−$270
Collected$4,230
Property tax Listing−$1,355
Insurance Estimate−$230
Water, sewer, trash Estimate−$170
Lawn care ($120 × 6 mo ÷ 12)−$60
Repairs (8% of rent)−$360
Capital reserve (9% of rent)−$405
Net operating income$1,650
Mortgage (principal + interest)−$2,603
Cash flow−$952
Principal paid down (equity, not cash)$331

Cash flow each year

Rents +3%/yr, costs +3.5%/yr. Red bars are months you'd cover out of pocket.

30 years

How those totals add up

If you buy this building$1,165,238
Your equity when you sell
$1,115,715

Sells for $1,186,931 (value up 3% a year), minus 6% selling cost ($71,216). Rent paid down $391,200 of loan.

Rental profits, invested at 7%
$49,522

$40,242 of cash flow over 30 years, plus what it earned invested.

Same money in stocks$1,456,109
Cash to close, invested at 7%
$856,150

$112,470 put into an index fund instead of the down payment and closing costs.

Monthly shortfalls, invested
$599,959

$123,233 you'd have paid in while the building lost money, invested instead.

Stocks come out $290,871 ahead after 30 years.

Future dollars. At 3% inflation, divide year-30 figures by about 2.4 for today's buying power. Rental profits are assumed invested, not spent.

30 years: this property vs. the same money in stocks

This propertyStocks at 7%

Year 30 (loan paid off): property $1.17M, stocks $1.46M. Stocks win.

Comparable rentals

The closest rental listings with each unit's bedroom count, as of 2026-10-06. The estimate is the median asking rent of every rental we found nearby (the count is shown for each); houses are left out. Asking rents from Realtor.com rental listings, not signed leases.

4 bed estimate $2,625/mo · range $2,325–$2,725 · 8 rentals within 2.75 mi

AddressRentBd / BaSq ftDistanceListedType
2529 Pleasant Ave Unit 2, Minneapolis $2,500 4 / 2 2,000 0.6 mi 2026-08-25 Apartment
1924 Colfax Ave S, Minneapolis $2,550 4 / 2 1,574 0.8 mi 2026-07-08 Apartment
3448 Girard Ave S, Minneapolis $2,595 4 / 2 2,200 0.8 mi 2026-08-28 Apartment
220 E 27th St, Minneapolis $2,600 4 / 1 2,516 1.0 mi 2026-04-04 Apartment
3032 3rd Ave S, Minneapolis $2,200 4 / 1 1,800 1.0 mi 2026-08-17 Apartment
2820 12th Ave S Apt 1, Minneapolis $2,500 4 / 2 1,440 1.7 mi 2026-08-13 Duplex triplex
3714 Kipling Ave S, Saint Louis Park $2,300 4 / 2 1,642 2.4 mi 2025-10-15 Multi family
1030 Knox Ave N, Minneapolis $2,099 4 / 1 900 2.6 mi 2026-01-31 Apartment

3 bed estimate $1,875/mo · range $1,775–$2,425 · 7 rentals within 0.75 mi

AddressRentBd / BaSq ftDistanceListedType
711 W 28th St, Minneapolis $1,595 3 / 1 1,000 0.2 mi — Apartment
705 W 31st St, Minneapolis $1,775 3 / 1 725 0.4 mi 2025-03-22 Apartment
1709 Lagoon Ave S, Minneapolis $1,795 3 / 1 1,140 0.6 mi 2026-09-05 Apartment
3229 Hennepin Ave S, Minneapolis $2,395 3 / 1 1,970 0.6 mi 2022-08-11 Apartment
2415 Harriet Ave, Minneapolis $1,695 3 / 1 1,010 0.6 mi 2026-08-24 Multi family
2305 Garfield Ave Unit 201, Minneapolis $2,300 3 / 1 970 0.7 mi 2022-05-23 Apartment
2200 Harriet Ave S, Minneapolis $1,850 3 / 1 — 0.7 mi 2026-03-03 Apartment

On the maps, this property and comparable rentals. Comparable rentals and rent estimate: Realtor.com rental listings. Rents are asking rents from listings; check them against the actual leases.

Red flags and opportunities

Watch for

  • mediumNo rental license on file in the city's data. Ask whether the building is licensed as a rental and when it was last inspected. Public record: Minneapolis Active Rental Licenses: no record for 2814 COLFAX AVE S
  • medium$9,475 in special assessments on the current tax bill (often street, sewer or code-enforcement charges). Ask what they're for, whether they continue, and whether the seller pays them off at closing. Public record: Hennepin County parcel 3302924440052: special assessments (current) = $9,475.24
  • mediumAsking is $178,953 above the price where cash flow breaks even ($310,047) at the default scenario. Based on: Derived: price $489,000 vs. break-even $310,047

Opportunities

None found.

Questions for the agent

  • Can we see the current leases and a rent roll, with move-in dates?
  • What did water/sewer/trash, heat and electric cost the owner over the last 12 months?
  • How old are the roof, boiler or furnaces, water heaters and electrical panels?
  • Is the building licensed as a rental for this many units, and when was the last city inspection?
  • Any special assessments pending, and will the seller pay them off at closing?

Standard questions worth asking about any building.

What the records say

Where each number comes from

Property tax / yr Listinglisting, tax year 2026. The tax the listing states. If the seller lives there it may be at the lower homestead rate; an investor owner pays the non-homestead rate, often 20–40% more on the owner's unit.$16,261
Insurance / yr Estimateestimate. from units, square feet and age; get a quote$2,757
Water, sewer, trash / mo Estimateestimate. $85/unit/mo, owner-paid$170
Heat / mo Assumptionassumption. tenants pay heat; confirm with the agent$0
Lawn care / mo Assumptionassumption. $120/mo for 6 months, spread over 12; no snow removal$60
Repairs / capital reserve Rulerule. built 1907: +1 pt capital reserve8% / 9%

Price history Realtor.com

On the market since 2026-07-04 (93 days, relisted 2×); last sold for $465,000 on 2023-02-03.

DateEventPrice
Listed$489,000
Removed$475,000
Listed$475,000
Removed$465,000
Sold$465,000
Sold public record$201,094
Sold$220,000
Listed$285,000
Removed$285,000
Price changed$285,000
Price changed$295,000
Price changed$305,000
Price changed$315,000
Listed$325,000
Sold public record$339,000
Sold public record$143,380
Sold public record$76,000

County record Public record

Recorded asduplex
Living units2
Year built1907
Market value (2026)$445,800
Property tax$6,785
Special assessments$9,475
Homesteadno
Last sale2023-02-01 · $465,000

Source: Hennepin County parcel records.

City rental license

No record in Minneapolis Active Rental Licenses.

Nearest highway

I 35W, about 1372 m away.

Crime in Lowry Hill East

647 incidents in the last 12 months (74 per 1,000 residents), −3% vs. the year before. Minneapolis police incidents, all reported offenses (definitions differ from St. Paul's, so don't compare across cities).