2915 N 3rd St
Duplex · 2 units: 2 bed / 1 bath ×2 unit split estimated · 1,776 sq ft
Minneapolis, MN · Hawthorne · View the listing ↗
Photos courtesy of Keller Williams Realty, via Realtor.com.
- Asking price
- $305,000 2 units · $152K per unit
- Monthly cash flow
- −$73 at 20% down, 7%
- Break-even price
- $291,199 where cash flow hits $0
First look
This is a 1906 Hawthorne duplex asking $305K that the county values at $236K and that last sold for $292K in Oct 2022, so the seller wants more than they paid. Our underwriting uses rents of $1,500 per unit, $3,000 total, and at the ask it shows about -$73/month and a 6.1% cap rate, with break-even near $291K. The 2021-2022 roof, furnace and water heater are real positives. The interiors look dated and lived-in, and the I-94 noise and a construction site next door will weigh on the rents. At 113 days on market there is room to push on price. Ask for the leases and the rent roll before a showing, then confirm the tax figure, since the county bill is a homestead one.
Things to consider
- Price versus value and rents The ask is above the county value, the 2022 sale price and our break-even price, and underwriting shows negative cash flow. A lower price, near $291K, would be needed to break even.
- Stated rents need verification The stated $1,575 rent is above our $1,500 estimate. If it's a lease signed for a short period or isn't being paid, income is overstated.Listing says: “Unit 2 rented at $1,575/month”
- Recent major systems A 2021-2022 roof, furnace and water heater cut near-term capex risk. Confirm with permits and inspection.Listing says: “Major updates completed in 2021-2022 include a new roof, furnace, water heater, walkway, stairs, and retaining wall”
- Highway noise and a nearby build Noise from I-94 and construction next door can cap rents and hurt retention.
- Taxes will likely be higher The listed bill is homestead. Non-homestead taxes would push cash flow further negative.
From the photos
Based on 10 of the listing photos. Photos can hide as much as they show; an inspection is the real answer.
Rents the listing states
- Unit 1: $1,250Listing says: Unit 1 rented at $1,250/month
- Unit 2: $1,575Listing says: Unit 2 rented at $1,575/month
Condition and repairs
- doneNew roofListing says: Major updates completed in 2021-2022 include a new roof, furnace, water heater, walkway, stairs, and retaining wall
- doneNew furnaceListing says: Major updates completed in 2021-2022 include a new roof, furnace, water heater, walkway, stairs, and retaining wall
- doneNew water heaterListing says: Major updates completed in 2021-2022 include a new roof, furnace, water heater, walkway, stairs, and retaining wall
- doneWalkway, stairs and retaining wallListing says: Major updates completed in 2021-2022 include a new roof, furnace, water heater, walkway, stairs, and retaining wall
AI-assisted first read of the listing description and photos (Claude), checked against public records. Every rent and repair above quotes the listing; verify with the agent, leases and an inspection.
The numbers
Edit rents, costs and assumptions
Default: 20% down (no PMI), offer at asking, self-managed, 7.00% for 30 years, buyer pays closing costs (3%).
The deal
- Price
- $305,000
- Cash to close
- $39,650
- Price per unit
- $152,500
- GRM
- 8.5
Each month
- Cash flow
- −$448/mo
- Cash-on-cash
- −13.6%
- Cap rate
- 6.1%
- DSCR
- 0.78×
Break-even
- Price that breaks even
- $236,615
- Rent that breaks even
- $3,582/mo
Long run
- Year 30: property vs stocks
- $1.04M vs $431K
- Cash flow turns positive
- year 8
The deal
- Price
- $305,000
- Cash to close
- $39,650
- Price per unit
- $152,500
- GRM
- 8.5
Each month
- Cash flow
- −$702/mo
- Cash-on-cash
- −21.2%
- Cap rate
- 5.1%
- DSCR
- 0.65×
Break-even
- Price that breaks even
- $197,869
- Rent that breaks even
- $4,024/mo
Long run
- Year 30: property vs stocks
- $828K vs $611K
- Cash flow turns positive
- year 14
The deal
- Price
- $295,000
- Cash to close
- $38,350
- Price per unit
- $147,500
- GRM
- 8.2
Each month
- Cash flow
- −$382/mo
- Cash-on-cash
- −12.0%
- Cap rate
- 6.3%
- DSCR
- 0.80×
Break-even
- Price that breaks even
- $236,615
- Rent that breaks even
- $3,497/mo
Long run
- Year 30: property vs stocks
- $1.06M vs $394K
- Cash flow turns positive
- year 6
The deal
- Price
- $295,000
- Cash to close
- $38,350
- Price per unit
- $147,500
- GRM
- 8.2
Each month
- Cash flow
- −$636/mo
- Cash-on-cash
- −19.9%
- Cap rate
- 5.3%
- DSCR
- 0.67×
Break-even
- Price that breaks even
- $197,869
- Rent that breaks even
- $3,928/mo
Long run
- Year 30: property vs stocks
- $828K vs $555K
- Cash flow turns positive
- year 13
The deal
- Price
- $305,000
- Cash to close
- $70,150
- Price per unit
- $152,500
- GRM
- 8.5
Each month
- Cash flow
- −$73/mo
- Cash-on-cash
- −1.3%
- Cap rate
- 6.1%
- DSCR
- 0.95×
Break-even
- Price that breaks even
- $291,199
- Rent that breaks even
- $3,095/mo
Long run
- Year 30: property vs stocks
- $1.21M vs $543K
- Cash flow turns positive
- year 3
The deal
- Price
- $305,000
- Cash to close
- $70,150
- Price per unit
- $152,500
- GRM
- 8.5
Each month
- Cash flow
- −$327/mo
- Cash-on-cash
- −5.6%
- Cap rate
- 5.1%
- DSCR
- 0.80×
Break-even
- Price that breaks even
- $243,514
- Rent that breaks even
- $3,477/mo
Long run
- Year 30: property vs stocks
- $918K vs $650K
- Cash flow turns positive
- year 10
The deal
- Price
- $295,000
- Cash to close
- $67,850
- Price per unit
- $147,500
- GRM
- 8.2
Each month
- Cash flow
- −$20/mo
- Cash-on-cash
- −0.4%
- Cap rate
- 6.3%
- DSCR
- 0.99×
Break-even
- Price that breaks even
- $291,199
- Rent that breaks even
- $3,026/mo
Long run
- Year 30: property vs stocks
- $1.24M vs $518K
- Cash flow turns positive
- year 2
The deal
- Price
- $295,000
- Cash to close
- $67,850
- Price per unit
- $147,500
- GRM
- 8.2
Each month
- Cash flow
- −$274/mo
- Cash-on-cash
- −4.8%
- Cap rate
- 5.3%
- DSCR
- 0.83×
Break-even
- Price that breaks even
- $243,514
- Rent that breaks even
- $3,400/mo
Long run
- Year 30: property vs stocks
- $926K vs $603K
- Cash flow turns positive
- year 9
The deal
- Price
- $305,000
- Cash to close
- $85,400
- Price per unit
- $152,500
- GRM
- 8.5
Each month
- Cash flow
- $28/mo
- Cash-on-cash
- 0.4%
- Cap rate
- 6.1%
- DSCR
- 1.02×
Break-even
- Price that breaks even
- $310,612
- Rent that breaks even
- $2,964/mo
Long run
- Year 30: property vs stocks
- $1.31M vs $650K
- Cash flow turns positive
- year 1
The deal
- Price
- $305,000
- Cash to close
- $85,400
- Price per unit
- $152,500
- GRM
- 8.5
Each month
- Cash flow
- −$226/mo
- Cash-on-cash
- −3.2%
- Cap rate
- 5.1%
- DSCR
- 0.85×
Break-even
- Price that breaks even
- $259,748
- Rent that breaks even
- $3,329/mo
Long run
- Year 30: property vs stocks
- $979K vs $712K
- Cash flow turns positive
- year 8
The deal
- Price
- $295,000
- Cash to close
- $82,600
- Price per unit
- $147,500
- GRM
- 8.2
Each month
- Cash flow
- $78/mo
- Cash-on-cash
- 1.1%
- Cap rate
- 6.3%
- DSCR
- 1.05×
Break-even
- Price that breaks even
- $310,612
- Rent that breaks even
- $2,899/mo
Long run
- Year 30: property vs stocks
- $1.35M vs $629K
- Cash flow turns positive
- year 1
The deal
- Price
- $295,000
- Cash to close
- $82,600
- Price per unit
- $147,500
- GRM
- 8.2
Each month
- Cash flow
- −$176/mo
- Cash-on-cash
- −2.6%
- Cap rate
- 5.3%
- DSCR
- 0.88×
Break-even
- Price that breaks even
- $259,748
- Rent that breaks even
- $3,257/mo
Long run
- Year 30: property vs stocks
- $991K vs $670K
- Cash flow turns positive
- year 6
Monthly
Monthly breakdown
| Rent | $3,000 |
| Vacancy (6%) | −$180 |
| Collected | $2,820 |
| Property tax Listing | −$324 |
| Insurance Estimate | −$206 |
| Water, sewer, trash Estimate | −$170 |
| Lawn care ($120 × 6 mo ÷ 12) | −$60 |
| Repairs (8% of rent) | −$240 |
| Capital reserve (9% of rent) | −$270 |
| Net operating income | $1,550 |
| Mortgage (principal + interest) | −$1,826 |
| PMI | −$172 |
| Cash flow | −$448 |
| Principal paid down (equity, not cash) | $232 |
| Rent | $3,000 |
| Vacancy (6%) | −$180 |
| Collected | $2,820 |
| Property tax Listing | −$324 |
| Insurance Estimate | −$206 |
| Water, sewer, trash Estimate | −$170 |
| Lawn care ($120 × 6 mo ÷ 12) | −$60 |
| Repairs (8% of rent) | −$240 |
| Capital reserve (9% of rent) | −$270 |
| Property management | −$254 |
| Net operating income | $1,296 |
| Mortgage (principal + interest) | −$1,826 |
| PMI | −$172 |
| Cash flow | −$702 |
| Principal paid down (equity, not cash) | $232 |
| Rent | $3,000 |
| Vacancy (6%) | −$180 |
| Collected | $2,820 |
| Property tax Listing | −$324 |
| Insurance Estimate | −$206 |
| Water, sewer, trash Estimate | −$170 |
| Lawn care ($120 × 6 mo ÷ 12) | −$60 |
| Repairs (8% of rent) | −$240 |
| Capital reserve (9% of rent) | −$270 |
| Net operating income | $1,550 |
| Mortgage (principal + interest) | −$1,766 |
| PMI | −$166 |
| Cash flow | −$382 |
| Principal paid down (equity, not cash) | $225 |
| Rent | $3,000 |
| Vacancy (6%) | −$180 |
| Collected | $2,820 |
| Property tax Listing | −$324 |
| Insurance Estimate | −$206 |
| Water, sewer, trash Estimate | −$170 |
| Lawn care ($120 × 6 mo ÷ 12) | −$60 |
| Repairs (8% of rent) | −$240 |
| Capital reserve (9% of rent) | −$270 |
| Property management | −$254 |
| Net operating income | $1,296 |
| Mortgage (principal + interest) | −$1,766 |
| PMI | −$166 |
| Cash flow | −$636 |
| Principal paid down (equity, not cash) | $225 |
| Rent | $3,000 |
| Vacancy (6%) | −$180 |
| Collected | $2,820 |
| Property tax Listing | −$324 |
| Insurance Estimate | −$206 |
| Water, sewer, trash Estimate | −$170 |
| Lawn care ($120 × 6 mo ÷ 12) | −$60 |
| Repairs (8% of rent) | −$240 |
| Capital reserve (9% of rent) | −$270 |
| Net operating income | $1,550 |
| Mortgage (principal + interest) | −$1,623 |
| Cash flow | −$73 |
| Principal paid down (equity, not cash) | $207 |
| Rent | $3,000 |
| Vacancy (6%) | −$180 |
| Collected | $2,820 |
| Property tax Listing | −$324 |
| Insurance Estimate | −$206 |
| Water, sewer, trash Estimate | −$170 |
| Lawn care ($120 × 6 mo ÷ 12) | −$60 |
| Repairs (8% of rent) | −$240 |
| Capital reserve (9% of rent) | −$270 |
| Property management | −$254 |
| Net operating income | $1,296 |
| Mortgage (principal + interest) | −$1,623 |
| Cash flow | −$327 |
| Principal paid down (equity, not cash) | $207 |
| Rent | $3,000 |
| Vacancy (6%) | −$180 |
| Collected | $2,820 |
| Property tax Listing | −$324 |
| Insurance Estimate | −$206 |
| Water, sewer, trash Estimate | −$170 |
| Lawn care ($120 × 6 mo ÷ 12) | −$60 |
| Repairs (8% of rent) | −$240 |
| Capital reserve (9% of rent) | −$270 |
| Net operating income | $1,550 |
| Mortgage (principal + interest) | −$1,570 |
| Cash flow | −$20 |
| Principal paid down (equity, not cash) | $200 |
| Rent | $3,000 |
| Vacancy (6%) | −$180 |
| Collected | $2,820 |
| Property tax Listing | −$324 |
| Insurance Estimate | −$206 |
| Water, sewer, trash Estimate | −$170 |
| Lawn care ($120 × 6 mo ÷ 12) | −$60 |
| Repairs (8% of rent) | −$240 |
| Capital reserve (9% of rent) | −$270 |
| Property management | −$254 |
| Net operating income | $1,296 |
| Mortgage (principal + interest) | −$1,570 |
| Cash flow | −$274 |
| Principal paid down (equity, not cash) | $200 |
| Rent | $3,000 |
| Vacancy (6%) | −$180 |
| Collected | $2,820 |
| Property tax Listing | −$324 |
| Insurance Estimate | −$206 |
| Water, sewer, trash Estimate | −$170 |
| Lawn care ($120 × 6 mo ÷ 12) | −$60 |
| Repairs (8% of rent) | −$240 |
| Capital reserve (9% of rent) | −$270 |
| Net operating income | $1,550 |
| Mortgage (principal + interest) | −$1,522 |
| Cash flow | $28 |
| Principal paid down (equity, not cash) | $194 |
| Rent | $3,000 |
| Vacancy (6%) | −$180 |
| Collected | $2,820 |
| Property tax Listing | −$324 |
| Insurance Estimate | −$206 |
| Water, sewer, trash Estimate | −$170 |
| Lawn care ($120 × 6 mo ÷ 12) | −$60 |
| Repairs (8% of rent) | −$240 |
| Capital reserve (9% of rent) | −$270 |
| Property management | −$254 |
| Net operating income | $1,296 |
| Mortgage (principal + interest) | −$1,522 |
| Cash flow | −$226 |
| Principal paid down (equity, not cash) | $194 |
| Rent | $3,000 |
| Vacancy (6%) | −$180 |
| Collected | $2,820 |
| Property tax Listing | −$324 |
| Insurance Estimate | −$206 |
| Water, sewer, trash Estimate | −$170 |
| Lawn care ($120 × 6 mo ÷ 12) | −$60 |
| Repairs (8% of rent) | −$240 |
| Capital reserve (9% of rent) | −$270 |
| Net operating income | $1,550 |
| Mortgage (principal + interest) | −$1,472 |
| Cash flow | $78 |
| Principal paid down (equity, not cash) | $187 |
| Rent | $3,000 |
| Vacancy (6%) | −$180 |
| Collected | $2,820 |
| Property tax Listing | −$324 |
| Insurance Estimate | −$206 |
| Water, sewer, trash Estimate | −$170 |
| Lawn care ($120 × 6 mo ÷ 12) | −$60 |
| Repairs (8% of rent) | −$240 |
| Capital reserve (9% of rent) | −$270 |
| Property management | −$254 |
| Net operating income | $1,296 |
| Mortgage (principal + interest) | −$1,472 |
| Cash flow | −$176 |
| Principal paid down (equity, not cash) | $187 |
Cash flow each year
Rents +3%/yr, costs +3.5%/yr. Red bars are months you'd cover out of pocket.
30 years
How those totals add up
- Your equity when you sell
- $695,896
- Rental profits, invested at 7%
- $346,879
Sells for $740,315 (value up 3% a year), minus 6% selling cost ($44,419). Rent paid down $274,500 of loan.
$202,429 of cash flow over 30 years, plus what it earned invested.
- Cash to close, invested at 7%
- $301,826
- Monthly shortfalls, invested
- $129,235
$39,650 put into an index fund instead of the down payment and closing costs.
$20,196 you'd have paid in while the building lost money, invested instead.
The building comes out $611,714 ahead after 30 years.
- Your equity when you sell
- $695,896
- Rental profits, invested at 7%
- $132,358
Sells for $740,315 (value up 3% a year), minus 6% selling cost ($44,419). Rent paid down $274,500 of loan.
$92,081 of cash flow over 30 years, plus what it earned invested.
- Cash to close, invested at 7%
- $301,826
- Monthly shortfalls, invested
- $309,499
$39,650 put into an index fund instead of the down payment and closing costs.
$54,745 you'd have paid in while the building lost money, invested instead.
The building comes out $216,929 ahead after 30 years.
- Your equity when you sell
- $673,079
- Rental profits, invested at 7%
- $389,079
Sells for $716,042 (value up 3% a year), minus 6% selling cost ($42,963). Rent paid down $265,500 of loan.
$219,750 of cash flow over 30 years, plus what it earned invested.
- Cash to close, invested at 7%
- $291,930
- Monthly shortfalls, invested
- $101,822
$38,350 put into an index fund instead of the down payment and closing costs.
$15,692 you'd have paid in while the building lost money, invested instead.
The building comes out $668,407 ahead after 30 years.
- Your equity when you sell
- $673,079
- Rental profits, invested at 7%
- $155,149
Sells for $716,042 (value up 3% a year), minus 6% selling cost ($42,963). Rent paid down $265,500 of loan.
$104,497 of cash flow over 30 years, plus what it earned invested.
- Cash to close, invested at 7%
- $291,930
- Monthly shortfalls, invested
- $262,678
$38,350 put into an index fund instead of the down payment and closing costs.
$45,334 you'd have paid in while the building lost money, invested instead.
The building comes out $273,621 ahead after 30 years.
- Your equity when you sell
- $695,896
- Rental profits, invested at 7%
- $509,465
Sells for $740,315 (value up 3% a year), minus 6% selling cost ($44,419). Rent paid down $244,000 of loan.
$264,768 of cash flow over 30 years, plus what it earned invested.
- Cash to close, invested at 7%
- $534,000
- Monthly shortfalls, invested
- $8,725
$70,150 put into an index fund instead of the down payment and closing costs.
$1,251 you'd have paid in while the building lost money, invested instead.
The building comes out $662,636 ahead after 30 years.
- Your equity when you sell
- $695,896
- Rental profits, invested at 7%
- $222,136
Sells for $740,315 (value up 3% a year), minus 6% selling cost ($44,419). Rent paid down $244,000 of loan.
$137,848 of cash flow over 30 years, plus what it earned invested.
- Cash to close, invested at 7%
- $534,000
- Monthly shortfalls, invested
- $116,181
$70,150 put into an index fund instead of the down payment and closing costs.
$19,226 you'd have paid in while the building lost money, invested instead.
The building comes out $267,851 ahead after 30 years.
- Your equity when you sell
- $673,079
- Rental profits, invested at 7%
- $562,799
Sells for $716,042 (value up 3% a year), minus 6% selling cost ($42,963). Rent paid down $236,000 of loan.
$282,921 of cash flow over 30 years, plus what it earned invested.
- Cash to close, invested at 7%
- $516,492
- Monthly shortfalls, invested
- $1,727
$67,850 put into an index fund instead of the down payment and closing costs.
$243 you'd have paid in while the building lost money, invested instead.
The building comes out $717,659 ahead after 30 years.
- Your equity when you sell
- $673,079
- Rental profits, invested at 7%
- $252,465
Sells for $716,042 (value up 3% a year), minus 6% selling cost ($42,963). Rent paid down $236,000 of loan.
$151,665 of cash flow over 30 years, plus what it earned invested.
- Cash to close, invested at 7%
- $516,492
- Monthly shortfalls, invested
- $86,179
$67,850 put into an index fund instead of the down payment and closing costs.
$13,882 you'd have paid in while the building lost money, invested instead.
The building comes out $322,875 ahead after 30 years.
- Your equity when you sell
- $695,896
- Rental profits, invested at 7%
- $615,747
Sells for $740,315 (value up 3% a year), minus 6% selling cost ($44,419). Rent paid down $228,750 of loan.
$300,043 of cash flow over 30 years, plus what it earned invested.
- Cash to close, invested at 7%
- $650,087
$85,400 put into an index fund instead of the down payment and closing costs.
The building comes out $661,556 ahead after 30 years.
- Your equity when you sell
- $695,896
- Rental profits, invested at 7%
- $282,951
Sells for $740,315 (value up 3% a year), minus 6% selling cost ($44,419). Rent paid down $228,750 of loan.
$164,877 of cash flow over 30 years, plus what it earned invested.
- Cash to close, invested at 7%
- $650,087
- Monthly shortfalls, invested
- $61,990
$85,400 put into an index fund instead of the down payment and closing costs.
$9,730 you'd have paid in while the building lost money, invested instead.
The building comes out $266,771 ahead after 30 years.
- Your equity when you sell
- $673,079
- Rental profits, invested at 7%
- $672,307
Sells for $716,042 (value up 3% a year), minus 6% selling cost ($42,963). Rent paid down $221,250 of loan.
$318,006 of cash flow over 30 years, plus what it earned invested.
- Cash to close, invested at 7%
- $628,772
$82,600 put into an index fund instead of the down payment and closing costs.
The building comes out $716,615 ahead after 30 years.
- Your equity when you sell
- $673,079
- Rental profits, invested at 7%
- $318,270
Sells for $716,042 (value up 3% a year), minus 6% selling cost ($42,963). Rent paid down $221,250 of loan.
$179,343 of cash flow over 30 years, plus what it earned invested.
- Cash to close, invested at 7%
- $628,772
- Monthly shortfalls, invested
- $40,749
$82,600 put into an index fund instead of the down payment and closing costs.
$6,232 you'd have paid in while the building lost money, invested instead.
The building comes out $321,829 ahead after 30 years.
Future dollars. At 3% inflation, divide year-30 figures by about 2.4 for today's buying power. Rental profits are assumed invested, not spent.
30 years: this property vs. the same money in stocks
Year 30 (loan paid off): property $1.04M, stocks $431K. The property wins.
Year 30 (loan paid off): property $828K, stocks $611K. The property wins.
Year 30 (loan paid off): property $1.06M, stocks $394K. The property wins.
Year 30 (loan paid off): property $828K, stocks $555K. The property wins.
Year 30 (loan paid off): property $1.21M, stocks $543K. The property wins.
Year 30 (loan paid off): property $918K, stocks $650K. The property wins.
Year 30 (loan paid off): property $1.24M, stocks $518K. The property wins.
Year 30 (loan paid off): property $926K, stocks $603K. The property wins.
Year 30 (loan paid off): property $1.31M, stocks $650K. The property wins.
Year 30 (loan paid off): property $979K, stocks $712K. The property wins.
Year 30 (loan paid off): property $1.35M, stocks $629K. The property wins.
Year 30 (loan paid off): property $991K, stocks $670K. The property wins.
Comparable rentals
The closest rental listings with each unit's bedroom count, as of 2026-10-06. The estimate is the median asking rent of every rental we found nearby (the count is shown for each); houses are left out. Asking rents from Realtor.com rental listings, not signed leases.
2 bed estimate $1,500/mo · range $1,350–$1,600 · 16 rentals within 1.5 mi
| Address | Rent | Bd / Ba | Distance |
|---|---|---|---|
| 421 N 26th Ave Unit 1, Minneapolis | $1,500 | 2 / 1 | 0.3 mi |
| 415 23rd Ave N Apt 4, Minneapolis | $1,415 | 2 / 1 | 0.5 mi |
| 2219 Marshall St NE, Minneapolis | $1,509 | 2 / 1 | 0.6 mi |
| 2652 Marshall St NE, Minneapolis | $1,249 | 2 / 1 | 0.7 mi |
| 816 21st Ave N Apt 337, Minneapolis | $1,788 | 2 / 1 | 0.7 mi |
| 2630 Grand St NE, Minneapolis | $1,595 | 2 / 1 | 0.8 mi |
| 2630 Grand St NE Unit 2, Minneapolis | $1,595 | 2 / 1 | 0.8 mi |
| 2222 Girard Ave N, Minneapolis | $1,500 | 2 / 1 | 0.8 mi |
| 2743 Grand St NE, Minneapolis | $1,695 | 2 / 1 | 0.9 mi |
| 3619 Fremont Ave N Apt 5, Minneapolis | $1,075 | 2 / 1 | 1.0 mi |
On the maps, this property and comparable rentals. Comparable rentals and rent estimate: Realtor.com rental listings. Rents are asking rents from listings; check them against the actual leases.
Red flags and opportunities
Watch for
- highAsking price is well above county value and the last sale price Based on: data: county.market_value · AI review
- highRents of $2,825 do not carry the ask; underwriting shows negative cash flow Based on: data: underwriting.cash_flow_monthly · AI review
- mediumAbout 82 m from I 94: traffic noise usually costs $50–100/month in rent. Based on: OpenStreetMap: nearest motorway (I 94) at 82 m
- mediumUnit 2 rent is above our $1,350 mid estimate, so check whether it holds Listing says: Unit 2 rented at $1,575/month · AI review
- mediumTax shown is a homestead bill; an investor will likely pay more Based on: data: county.homestead · AI review
- lowActive construction next door means noise and dust, and a possible effect on tenant retention Based on: photo 1 · AI review
Opportunities
- Long time on market: room to negotiate. Based on: Listing data: 116 days on market
- Newer roof, furnace and water heater reduce near-term capital spending Listing says: Major updates completed in 2021-2022 include a new roof, furnace, water heater, walkway, stairs, and retaining wall · AI review
- Neighborhood reinvestment may support values and rents over time Listing says: a brand-new construction duplex valued at approximately $450,000 being built next door · AI review
- No rent cap in Minneapolis, so rents can follow the market Based on: data: underwriting.rent_rule · AI review
Questions for the agent
- Can you send the leases and rent roll, including start dates, deposits and whether either is month-to-month?
- Who pays heat, electric, water and trash in each unit?
- Is the $450K next-door build really a comparable? What are actual sale prices nearby?
- What is the seller's reason for asking $13K more than the 2022 purchase price, and has the price been cut?
- Are permits on file for the 2021-2022 roof, furnace and water heater work?
- Is the second-floor unit separately metered, and is there a separate furnace for each unit?
Bottom line
Newer mechanicals are good, but at $305K the rents fall slightly short each month; there is no cushion, so push on price. AI-assisted summary
What the records say
Where each number comes from
| Property tax / yr Listinglisting, tax year 2025. The tax the listing states. If the seller lives there it may be at the lower homestead rate; an investor owner pays the non-homestead rate, often 20–40% more on the owner's unit. | $3,893 |
| Insurance / yr Estimateestimate. from units, square feet and age; get a quote | $2,468 |
| Water, sewer, trash / mo Estimateestimate. $85/unit/mo, owner-paid | $170 |
| Heat / mo Assumptionassumption. tenants pay heat; confirm with the agent | $0 |
| Lawn care / mo Assumptionassumption. $120/mo for 6 months, spread over 12; no snow removal | $60 |
| Repairs / capital reserve Rulerule. built 1906: +1 pt capital reserve | 8% / 9% |
Price history Realtor.com
On the market since 2026-06-11 (116 days, relisted 1×); last sold for $292,000 on 2022-10-24; listed for rent at $1,150/mo on 2022-07-15.
| Date | Event | Price |
|---|---|---|
| Relisted | $305,000 | |
| Removed | — | |
| Listed | $305,000 | |
| Sold | $292,000 | |
| Price changed | $300,000 | |
| Removed | — | |
| Listed for rent | $1,150/mo | |
| Removed | — | |
| Rent changed | $1,150/mo | |
| Rent changed | $1,295/mo | |
| Listed | $310,000 | |
| Listed for rent | $1,395/mo | |
| Removed | — | |
| Listed for rent | $950/mo | |
| Removed | — | |
| Rent changed | $950/mo | |
| Listed for rent | $975/mo | |
| Removed | — | |
| Listed for rent | $1,195/mo | |
| Sold | $255,100 | |
| Listed | $249,900 | |
| Sold | $215,000 | |
| Removed | — | |
| Listed | $209,900 | |
| Sold | $92,500 |
County record Public record
| Recorded as | duplex |
| Living units | 2 |
| Year built | 1906 |
| Market value (2026) | $236,200 |
| Property tax | $3,894 |
| Special assessments | none |
| Homestead | no |
| Last sale | 2022-10-01 · $292,000 |
Source: Hennepin County parcel records.
City rental license
CHOWN: 2 unit(s), Tier 1, status active, renews 2027-03-01.
Nearest highway
I 94, about 82 m away.
Crime in Hawthorne
445 incidents in the last 12 months (79 per 1,000 residents), −1% vs. the year before. Minneapolis police incidents, all reported offenses (definitions differ from St. Paul's, so don't compare across cities).