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2915 N 3rd St

Duplex · 2 units: 2 bed / 1 bath ×2 unit split estimated · 1,776 sq ft

Minneapolis, MN · Hawthorne · View the listing ↗

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Photos courtesy of Keller Williams Realty, via Realtor.com.

Asking price
$305,000
2 units · $152K per unit
Monthly cash flow
−$73
at 20% down, 7%
Estimated rent
$3,000/mo
medium confidence · 16 rentals within 1.5 mi
Break-even price
$291,199
where cash flow hits $0

Adjust the numbers See the full breakdown

First look

This is a 1906 Hawthorne duplex asking $305K that the county values at $236K and that last sold for $292K in Oct 2022, so the seller wants more than they paid. Our underwriting uses rents of $1,500 per unit, $3,000 total, and at the ask it shows about -$73/month and a 6.1% cap rate, with break-even near $291K. The 2021-2022 roof, furnace and water heater are real positives. The interiors look dated and lived-in, and the I-94 noise and a construction site next door will weigh on the rents. At 113 days on market there is room to push on price. Ask for the leases and the rent roll before a showing, then confirm the tax figure, since the county bill is a homestead one.

Things to consider

  1. Price versus value and rents The ask is above the county value, the 2022 sale price and our break-even price, and underwriting shows negative cash flow. A lower price, near $291K, would be needed to break even.
  2. Stated rents need verification The stated $1,575 rent is above our $1,500 estimate. If it's a lease signed for a short period or isn't being paid, income is overstated.Listing says: “Unit 2 rented at $1,575/month”
  3. Recent major systems A 2021-2022 roof, furnace and water heater cut near-term capex risk. Confirm with permits and inspection.Listing says: “Major updates completed in 2021-2022 include a new roof, furnace, water heater, walkway, stairs, and retaining wall”
  4. Highway noise and a nearby build Noise from I-94 and construction next door can cap rents and hurt retention.
  5. Taxes will likely be higher The listed bill is homestead. Non-homestead taxes would push cash flow further negative.

From the photos

Listing photo 1
1 of 7Plus

Exterior appears to be older painted siding with a new-looking concrete walkway and stairs. Matches the stated 2021-2022 hardscape work.

Listing photo 2
2 of 7Concern

Active excavation and an excavator on the adjacent lot. Expect construction noise and dust.

Listing photo 2
3 of 7Check

A window air conditioner shows in the upper unit, which suggests no central AC there.

Listing photo 8
4 of 7Plus

Kitchen appears refreshed with white shaker cabinets, a tile backsplash, tile-look flooring and a gas range. Looks like a cosmetic update, not a full remodel.

Listing photo 10
5 of 7Check

Bathroom has a newer vanity and counter, but the shower surround looks dated and the room appears worn.

Listing photo 6
6 of 7Concern

Original hardwoods look scuffed and worn, with textured ceilings. Refinishing may be needed at turnover.

Listing photo 4
7 of 7Check

No photos of the basement, furnace, panel, water heater or the roof. Unit separation and meters can't be confirmed.

Based on 10 of the listing photos. Photos can hide as much as they show; an inspection is the real answer.

Rents the listing states

  • Unit 1: $1,250Listing says: Unit 1 rented at $1,250/month
  • Unit 2: $1,575Listing says: Unit 2 rented at $1,575/month

Condition and repairs

  • doneNew roofListing says: Major updates completed in 2021-2022 include a new roof, furnace, water heater, walkway, stairs, and retaining wall
  • doneNew furnaceListing says: Major updates completed in 2021-2022 include a new roof, furnace, water heater, walkway, stairs, and retaining wall
  • doneNew water heaterListing says: Major updates completed in 2021-2022 include a new roof, furnace, water heater, walkway, stairs, and retaining wall
  • doneWalkway, stairs and retaining wallListing says: Major updates completed in 2021-2022 include a new roof, furnace, water heater, walkway, stairs, and retaining wall

AI-assisted first read of the listing description and photos (Claude), checked against public records. Every rent and repair above quotes the listing; verify with the agent, leases and an inspection.

The numbers

Down payment %
Offer $
Management
Interest rate %
Edit rents, costs and assumptions

Default: 20% down (no PMI), offer at asking, self-managed, 7.00% for 30 years, buyer pays closing costs (3%).

The deal

Price
$305,000
Cash to close
$70,150
Price per unit
$152,500
GRM
8.5

Each month

Cash flow
−$73/mo
Cash-on-cash
−1.3%
Cap rate
6.1%
DSCR
0.95×

Break-even

Price that breaks even
$291,199
Rent that breaks even
$3,095/mo

Long run

Year 30: property vs stocks
$1.21M vs $543K
Cash flow turns positive
year 3

Monthly

Monthly breakdown

Rent$3,000
Vacancy (6%)−$180
Collected$2,820
Property tax Listing−$324
Insurance Estimate−$206
Water, sewer, trash Estimate−$170
Lawn care ($120 × 6 mo ÷ 12)−$60
Repairs (8% of rent)−$240
Capital reserve (9% of rent)−$270
Net operating income$1,550
Mortgage (principal + interest)−$1,623
Cash flow−$73
Principal paid down (equity, not cash)$207

Cash flow each year

Rents +3%/yr, costs +3.5%/yr. Red bars are months you'd cover out of pocket.

30 years

How those totals add up

If you buy this building$1,205,361
Your equity when you sell
$695,896

Sells for $740,315 (value up 3% a year), minus 6% selling cost ($44,419). Rent paid down $244,000 of loan.

Rental profits, invested at 7%
$509,465

$264,768 of cash flow over 30 years, plus what it earned invested.

Same money in stocks$542,725
Cash to close, invested at 7%
$534,000

$70,150 put into an index fund instead of the down payment and closing costs.

Monthly shortfalls, invested
$8,725

$1,251 you'd have paid in while the building lost money, invested instead.

The building comes out $662,636 ahead after 30 years.

Future dollars. At 3% inflation, divide year-30 figures by about 2.4 for today's buying power. Rental profits are assumed invested, not spent.

30 years: this property vs. the same money in stocks

This propertyStocks at 7%

Year 30 (loan paid off): property $1.21M, stocks $543K. The property wins.

Comparable rentals

The closest rental listings with each unit's bedroom count, as of 2026-10-06. The estimate is the median asking rent of every rental we found nearby (the count is shown for each); houses are left out. Asking rents from Realtor.com rental listings, not signed leases.

2 bed estimate $1,500/mo · range $1,350–$1,600 · 16 rentals within 1.5 mi

AddressRentBd / BaSq ftDistanceListedType
421 N 26th Ave Unit 1, Minneapolis $1,500 2 / 1 300 0.3 mi 2026-09-21 Apartment
415 23rd Ave N Apt 4, Minneapolis $1,415 2 / 1 850 0.5 mi — Apartment
2219 Marshall St NE, Minneapolis $1,509 2 / 1 895 0.6 mi 2026-09-15 Apartment
2652 Marshall St NE, Minneapolis $1,249 2 / 1 — 0.7 mi 2025-04-30 Apartment
816 21st Ave N Apt 337, Minneapolis $1,788 2 / 1 1,000 0.7 mi 2026-07-14 Apartment
2630 Grand St NE, Minneapolis $1,595 2 / 1 873 0.8 mi 2026-03-20 Apartment
2630 Grand St NE Unit 2, Minneapolis $1,595 2 / 1 873 0.8 mi — Apartment
2222 Girard Ave N, Minneapolis $1,500 2 / 1 1,736 0.8 mi 2026-07-10 Duplex triplex
2743 Grand St NE, Minneapolis $1,695 2 / 1 975 0.9 mi 2026-09-10 Duplex triplex
3619 Fremont Ave N Apt 5, Minneapolis $1,075 2 / 1 800 1.0 mi — Apartment

On the maps, this property and comparable rentals. Comparable rentals and rent estimate: Realtor.com rental listings. Rents are asking rents from listings; check them against the actual leases.

Red flags and opportunities

Watch for

  • highAsking price is well above county value and the last sale price Based on: data: county.market_value · AI review
  • highRents of $2,825 do not carry the ask; underwriting shows negative cash flow Based on: data: underwriting.cash_flow_monthly · AI review
  • mediumAbout 82 m from I 94: traffic noise usually costs $50–100/month in rent. Based on: OpenStreetMap: nearest motorway (I 94) at 82 m
  • mediumUnit 2 rent is above our $1,350 mid estimate, so check whether it holds Listing says: Unit 2 rented at $1,575/month · AI review
  • mediumTax shown is a homestead bill; an investor will likely pay more Based on: data: county.homestead · AI review
  • lowActive construction next door means noise and dust, and a possible effect on tenant retention Based on: photo 1 · AI review

Opportunities

  • Long time on market: room to negotiate. Based on: Listing data: 116 days on market
  • Newer roof, furnace and water heater reduce near-term capital spending Listing says: Major updates completed in 2021-2022 include a new roof, furnace, water heater, walkway, stairs, and retaining wall · AI review
  • Neighborhood reinvestment may support values and rents over time Listing says: a brand-new construction duplex valued at approximately $450,000 being built next door · AI review
  • No rent cap in Minneapolis, so rents can follow the market Based on: data: underwriting.rent_rule · AI review

Questions for the agent

  • Can you send the leases and rent roll, including start dates, deposits and whether either is month-to-month?
  • Who pays heat, electric, water and trash in each unit?
  • Is the $450K next-door build really a comparable? What are actual sale prices nearby?
  • What is the seller's reason for asking $13K more than the 2022 purchase price, and has the price been cut?
  • Are permits on file for the 2021-2022 roof, furnace and water heater work?
  • Is the second-floor unit separately metered, and is there a separate furnace for each unit?

Bottom line

Newer mechanicals are good, but at $305K the rents fall slightly short each month; there is no cushion, so push on price. AI-assisted summary

What the records say

Where each number comes from

Property tax / yr Listinglisting, tax year 2025. The tax the listing states. If the seller lives there it may be at the lower homestead rate; an investor owner pays the non-homestead rate, often 20–40% more on the owner's unit.$3,893
Insurance / yr Estimateestimate. from units, square feet and age; get a quote$2,468
Water, sewer, trash / mo Estimateestimate. $85/unit/mo, owner-paid$170
Heat / mo Assumptionassumption. tenants pay heat; confirm with the agent$0
Lawn care / mo Assumptionassumption. $120/mo for 6 months, spread over 12; no snow removal$60
Repairs / capital reserve Rulerule. built 1906: +1 pt capital reserve8% / 9%

Price history Realtor.com

On the market since 2026-06-11 (116 days, relisted 1×); last sold for $292,000 on 2022-10-24; listed for rent at $1,150/mo on 2022-07-15.

DateEventPrice
Relisted$305,000
Removed—
Listed$305,000
Sold$292,000
Price changed$300,000
Removed—
Listed for rent$1,150/mo
Removed—
Rent changed$1,150/mo
Rent changed$1,295/mo
Listed$310,000
Listed for rent$1,395/mo
Removed—
Listed for rent$950/mo
Removed—
Rent changed$950/mo
Listed for rent$975/mo
Removed—
Listed for rent$1,195/mo
Sold$255,100
Listed$249,900
Sold$215,000
Removed—
Listed$209,900
Sold$92,500

County record Public record

Recorded asduplex
Living units2
Year built1906
Market value (2026)$236,200
Property tax$3,894
Special assessmentsnone
Homesteadno
Last sale2022-10-01 · $292,000

Source: Hennepin County parcel records.

City rental license

CHOWN: 2 unit(s), Tier 1, status active, renews 2027-03-01.

Nearest highway

I 94, about 82 m away.

Crime in Hawthorne

445 incidents in the last 12 months (79 per 1,000 residents), −1% vs. the year before. Minneapolis police incidents, all reported offenses (definitions differ from St. Paul's, so don't compare across cities).