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3043 Grand Ave S

Fourplex · 4 units: 1 bed / 1 bath ×4 unit split estimated · 2,564 sq ft

Minneapolis, MN · Lyndale · View the listing ↗

Overpriced

Photos, via Realtor.com.

Asking price
$699,000
4 units · $175K per unit
Monthly cash flow
−$1,441
at 20% down, 7%
Estimated rent
$5,000/mo
medium confidence · 25 rentals within 0.75 mi
Break-even price
$428,252
where cash flow hits $0

Adjust the numbers See the full breakdown

First look

This is a four-unit building run entirely as furnished Airbnb rentals, and the listing gives no income figures at all. At $699K against a county market value of $496K and a 2021 sale at $630K, the price looks high. Our estimate of $1,250 per unit ($5,000/month total) at 20% down and 7.0% interest gives about -$1,441/month in cash flow and a 3.9% cap rate, with break-even around $428K, roughly $271K below the ask. Short-term rental income is volatile and tougher to finance, so ask for 12+ months of booking history, occupancy and platform payouts. Check Minneapolis short-term rental rules and licensing, and find out what these units rent for on a standard 12-month lease, because that is the number a lender and a cautious buyer should rely on. Worth a showing only if the seller can back the income with real statements that far exceed our estimates, since the long-term rent math does not work at this price.

Things to consider

  1. Income is unverified and short-term only Airbnb revenue swings with season and rules, and lenders may underwrite it conservatively. Value it on long-term rents until proven otherwise.Listing says: “operating as furnished short-term rentals through airbnb, providing an established rental history”
  2. Price is high versus public records The ask is well above county value and the 2021 sale, and about $271K above our $428K break-even, so the numbers need strong income to justify it.
  3. Taxes are a heavy cost The $9,383 tax bill is non-homestead and takes a big bite from a four-unit building's income.
  4. Small units, one-bedroom and studio mix Small units mean more turnover and lower rents per unit than larger layouts.Listing says: “three 1-bedroom/1-bath units and one studio”
  5. Recent mechanical and exterior upgrades Separate furnaces and water heaters lower near-term capex and let tenants pay their own heat.Listing says: “new windows, siding, four water heaters, and four forced air furnaces”
  6. Active rental license for four units Licensing matches the unit count, which supports legality, but confirm it covers short-term use.

From the photos

Listing photo 1
1 of 7Plus

Siding and windows appear newer, and the exterior is tidy. Several window AC units are visible, so cooling looks like window units rather than central air.

Listing photo 1
2 of 7Plus

Two front entrance doors are visible with mailboxes, which fits the multiple private entrances described.

Listing photo 7
3 of 7Check

Kitchens have white cabinets, laminate counters, tile floors and basic appliances. They look serviceable and not high-end, so rents need to match.

Listing photo 8
4 of 7Plus

A breaker-style electrical panel appears in the kitchen, a good sign versus fuses. Confirm amperage and the other units' panels.

Listing photo 9
5 of 7Check

Interiors are staged and furnished with fresh paint and carpet. Furnishings could be hiding wear, so check floors and fixtures at the showing.

Listing photo 10
6 of 7Check

Vaulted, sloped ceilings in the upper unit suggest an attic or addition conversion. Check insulation, egress and permits.

Listing photo 1
7 of 7Check

No photos of furnaces, water heaters, basement, roof detail or bathrooms.

Based on 10 of the listing photos. Photos can hide as much as they show; an inspection is the real answer.

Condition and repairs

  • doneNew windowsListing says: new windows, siding, four water heaters, and four forced air furnaces
  • doneNew sidingListing says: new windows, siding, four water heaters, and four forced air furnaces
  • doneFour water heatersListing says: new windows, siding, four water heaters, and four forced air furnaces
  • doneFour forced air furnacesListing says: new windows, siding, four water heaters, and four forced air furnaces
  • doneAppliance and furnishing upgradesListing says: along with recent appliance and furnishing upgrades

AI-assisted first read of the listing description and photos (Claude), checked against public records. Every rent and repair above quotes the listing; verify with the agent, leases and an inspection.

The numbers

Down payment %
Offer $
Management
Interest rate %
Edit rents, costs and assumptions

Default: 20% down (no PMI), offer at asking, self-managed, 7.00% for 30 years, buyer pays closing costs (3%).

The deal

Price
$699,000
Cash to close
$160,770
Price per unit
$174,750
GRM
11.7

Each month

Cash flow
−$1,441/mo
Cash-on-cash
−10.8%
Cap rate
3.9%
DSCR
0.61×

Break-even

Price that breaks even
$428,252
Rent that breaks even
$6,871/mo

Long run

Year 30: property vs stocks
$1.68M vs $2.13M
Cash flow turns positive
year 20

Monthly

Monthly breakdown

Rent$5,000
Vacancy (6%)−$300
Collected$4,700
Property tax Public record−$782
Insurance Estimate−$389
Water, sewer, trash Estimate−$340
Lawn care ($120 × 6 mo ÷ 12)−$60
Repairs (8% of rent)−$400
Capital reserve (9% of rent)−$450
Net operating income$2,279
Mortgage (principal + interest)−$3,720
Cash flow−$1,441
Principal paid down (equity, not cash)$473

Cash flow each year

Rents +3%/yr, costs +3.5%/yr. Red bars are months you'd cover out of pocket.

30 years

How those totals add up

If you buy this building$1,682,033
Your equity when you sell
$1,594,857

Sells for $1,696,656 (value up 3% a year), minus 6% selling cost ($101,799). Rent paid down $559,200 of loan.

Rental profits, invested at 7%
$87,176

$70,293 of cash flow over 30 years, plus what it earned invested.

Same money in stocks$2,127,284
Cash to close, invested at 7%
$1,223,822

$160,770 put into an index fund instead of the down payment and closing costs.

Monthly shortfalls, invested
$903,462

$184,624 you'd have paid in while the building lost money, invested instead.

Stocks come out $445,251 ahead after 30 years.

Future dollars. At 3% inflation, divide year-30 figures by about 2.4 for today's buying power. Rental profits are assumed invested, not spent.

30 years: this property vs. the same money in stocks

This propertyStocks at 7%

Year 30 (loan paid off): property $1.68M, stocks $2.13M. Stocks win.

Comparable rentals

The closest rental listings with each unit's bedroom count, as of 2026-10-06. The estimate is the median asking rent of every rental we found nearby (the count is shown for each); houses are left out. Asking rents from Realtor.com rental listings, not signed leases.

1 bed estimate $1,250/mo · range $1,150–$1,475 · 25 rentals within 0.75 mi

AddressRentBd / BaSq ftDistanceListedType
3013 Grand Ave S, Minneapolis $1,045 1 / 1 475 0.1 mi 2024-11-05 Apartment
3118 Pleasant Ave, Minneapolis $1,199 1 / 1 750 0.1 mi 2026-05-09 Apartment
3127 Pleasant Ave Apt 206, Minneapolis $1,099 1 / 1 700 0.1 mi — Apartment
3127 Pleasant Ave, Minneapolis $1,099 1 / 1 700 0.1 mi 2025-02-22 Apartment
410 W Lake St, Minneapolis $1,442 1 / 1 661 0.1 mi 2026-03-04 Apartment
500 W Lake St Apt 226, Minneapolis $1,350 1 / 1 737 0.1 mi — Apartment
500 W Lake St Apt 320, Minneapolis $1,299 1 / 1 555 0.1 mi — Apartment
2926 Harriet Ave S, Minneapolis $1,150 1 / 1 — 0.2 mi 2026-09-15 Apartment
2833 Lyndale Ave S, Minneapolis $1,549 1 / 1 782 0.3 mi 2024-04-12 Apartment
2922 Aldrich Ave S, Minneapolis $1,570 1 / 1 779 0.3 mi 2024-09-05 Apartment

On the maps, this property and comparable rentals. Comparable rentals and rent estimate: Realtor.com rental listings. Rents are asking rents from listings; check them against the actual leases.

Red flags and opportunities

Watch for

  • highIncome is short-term rental only, with no rents, occupancy or revenue stated. Furnished Airbnb income is volatile and often hard to finance. Listing says: operating as furnished short-term rentals through airbnb, providing an established rental history · AI review
  • mediumAsking is $270,748 above the price where cash flow breaks even ($428,252) at the default scenario. Based on: Derived: price $699,000 vs. break-even $428,252
  • mediumAsking price is well above county market value and the 2021 sale price. Based on: data: county.market_value · AI review
  • mediumOwner likely pays utilities and furnishing upkeep in an Airbnb model; units may have no standard leases to assume. Listing says: flexible furnished configurations · AI review

Opportunities

  • Convert to standard 12-month leases or mid-term rentals, which cuts turnover and platform risk. Listing says: offering flexibility for short, medium, or long-term rental strategies · AI review
  • House-hack: live in one unit and rent the other three. Listing says: an owner-occupant looking to live in one unit while generating rental income from the remaining units · AI review
  • Recent capital work reduces near-term big-ticket risk, and each unit has its own furnace and water heater, so tenants can pay their own heat. Listing says: new windows, siding, four water heaters, and four forced air furnaces · AI review

Questions for the agent

  • Can you share 12-24 months of Airbnb payouts, occupancy and expenses by unit?
  • Is the Minneapolis short-term rental license in place, and does it transfer to a buyer?
  • Which furnishings and appliances convey with the sale?
  • Who pays utilities, internet, cleaning and supplies today?
  • What would each unit rent for on a 12-month lease, and has the owner tried that?
  • When were the windows, siding and mechanicals done, and were permits pulled?

Bottom line

Fresh updates and a full 4-unit license, but at $699K the long-term math loses about $1,441/month and rests on unproven Airbnb income, so get the books before you get excited. AI-assisted summary

What the records say

Where each number comes from

Property tax / yr Public recordHennepin County record, current payable year (non-homestead)$9,383
Insurance / yr Estimateestimate. from units, square feet and age; get a quote$4,665
Water, sewer, trash / mo Estimateestimate. $85/unit/mo, owner-paid$340
Heat / mo Assumptionassumption. tenants pay heat; confirm with the agent$0
Lawn care / mo Assumptionassumption. $120/mo for 6 months, spread over 12; no snow removal$60
Repairs / capital reserve Rulerule. built 1900: +1 pt capital reserve8% / 9%

Price history Realtor.com

On the market since 2026-08-19 (47 days); last sold for $630,000 on 2021-08-27; listed for rent at $1,150/mo on 2021-06-29.

DateEventPrice
Listed$699,000
Sold public record$630,000
Removed—
Sold$630,000
Listed for rent$1,150/mo
Relisted$634,900
Removed$634,900
Price changed$634,900
Price changed$639,900
Listed$649,900
Removed$150,000
Removed$157,500
Removed$139,900
Sold$596,000
Sold$125,000
Removed$139,900
Removed$145,000
Removed$145,000
Listed$139,900
Removed$150,000
Listed$145,000
Listed$150,000
Removed$149,900
Removed$157,500
Listed$149,900

County record Public record

Recorded asapartment converted
Living units—
Year built1900
Market value (2026)$496,000
Property tax$9,383
Special assessmentsnone
Homesteadno
Last sale2021-07-01 · $630,000

Source: Hennepin County parcel records.

City rental license

CHOWN: 4 unit(s), Tier 1, status active, renews 2027-03-01.

Nearest highway

I 35W, about 693 m away.

Crime in Lyndale

473 incidents in the last 12 months (66 per 1,000 residents), −2% vs. the year before. Minneapolis police incidents, all reported offenses (definitions differ from St. Paul's, so don't compare across cities).