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3120 And 3122 Noble Dr

Duplex · 2 units: 2 bed / 1 bath ×2 · 1,716 sq ft

Mankato, MN · View the listing ↗

Far off

Photos courtesy of RE/MAX ADVANTAGE PLUS, via Realtor.com.

Asking price
$529,800
2 units · $265K per unit
Monthly cash flow
−$2,213
at 20% down, 7%
Estimated rent
$2,500/mo
low confidence · 7 rentals within 2.5 mi
Break-even price
$114,065
where cash flow hits $0

Adjust the numbers See the full breakdown

First look

This is a brand-new twin home in Mankato, two 2-bed/1-bath sides, both leased, asking $529,800. The numbers don't work at today's rates: our underwriting shows about -$2,213 a month and a 1.4% cap rate, and cash flow only breaks even near $114K. Even the stated-looking actual rents of $1,650 per side sit well above our $1,250 mid estimate, so verify them with signed leases. New construction means low repairs for years, which is the real appeal, but 237 days on market suggests the price is the problem. Ask for the leases, rent roll, tax figure and builder warranty before wasting a showing, and expect to negotiate hard.

Things to consider

  1. Price is far above what rents support At ask, cash flow is about -$2,213 a month and cap rate 1.4%. Break-even is roughly $114K, so the gap is huge.
  2. Rents are above our estimate Our data lists $1,650 per side versus a $1,250 mid estimate. If real, good, but even so the deal doesn't pencil.
  3. Long time on market gives leverage 237 days listed means the seller may be flexible, and the price likely needs a big cut.
  4. New construction keeps repairs low Roof, systems and finishes are new, so near-term capex should be small. Reserves can be lower early on.Listing says: “Beautiful, brand-new one-level patio homes, ready for move-in today.”
  5. Taxes and unit records are unverified We couldn't match a county parcel, so tax and unit count could change the numbers.

From the photos

Listing photo 1
1 of 8Plus

Vinyl siding, asphalt shingle roof and concrete driveway all look new, with no visible wear. Lot is still bare dirt.

Listing photo 1
2 of 8Plus

Two separate garage doors and entries suggest two distinct attached units under one roof.

Listing photo 6
3 of 8Plus

Kitchen has white cabinets, laminate counters and stainless appliances. Builder-grade but clean and durable.

Listing photo 4
4 of 8Plus

Luxury vinyl plank floors throughout look durable and low-maintenance for rentals.

Listing photo 10
5 of 8Plus

Utility room shows an electric water heater and Lennox furnace, both appear new. Central AC condenser is outside the building.

Listing photo 2
6 of 8Check

Yard is unfinished dirt with no landscaping or grading. Check who handles that and drainage.

Listing photo 5
7 of 8Check

Photos show staged decor and one unit only. Confirm the other side matches and see it occupied.

Listing photo 9
8 of 8Check

Bathroom has a fiberglass tub/shower surround and basic vanity. Fine and low cost to maintain.

Based on 10 of the listing photos. Photos can hide as much as they show; an inspection is the real answer.

Condition and repairs

  • doneBrand-new construction, move-in readyListing says: Beautiful, brand-new one-level patio homes, ready for move-in today.

AI-assisted first read of the listing description and photos (Claude), checked against public records. Every rent and repair above quotes the listing; verify with the agent, leases and an inspection.

The numbers

Down payment %
Offer $
Management
Interest rate %
Edit rents, costs and assumptions

Default: 20% down (no PMI), offer at asking, self-managed, 7.00% for 30 years, buyer pays closing costs (3%).

The deal

Price
$529,800
Cash to close
$121,854
Price per unit
$264,900
GRM
17.7

Each month

Cash flow
−$2,213/mo
Cash-on-cash
−21.8%
Cap rate
1.4%
DSCR
0.22×

Break-even

Price that breaks even
$114,065
Rent that breaks even
$5,337/mo

Long run

Year 30: property vs stocks
$1.21M vs $3.25M
Cash flow turns positive
not within 30 years

Monthly

Monthly breakdown

Rent$2,500
Vacancy (6%)−$150
Collected$2,350
Property tax Estimate−$927
Insurance Estimate−$186
Water, sewer, trash Estimate−$170
Lawn care ($120 × 6 mo ÷ 12)−$60
Repairs (8% of rent)−$200
Capital reserve (8% of rent)−$200
Net operating income$607
Mortgage (principal + interest)−$2,820
Cash flow−$2,213
Principal paid down (equity, not cash)$359

Cash flow each year

Rents +3%/yr, costs +3.5%/yr. Red bars are months you'd cover out of pocket.

30 years

How those totals add up

If you buy this building$1,208,806
Your equity when you sell
$1,208,806

Sells for $1,285,964 (value up 3% a year), minus 6% selling cost ($77,158). Rent paid down $423,840 of loan.

Rental profits, invested at 7%
$0

$0 of cash flow over 30 years, plus what it earned invested.

Same money in stocks$3,249,983
Cash to close, invested at 7%
$927,584

$121,854 put into an index fund instead of the down payment and closing costs.

Monthly shortfalls, invested
$2,322,399

$726,271 you'd have paid in while the building lost money, invested instead.

Stocks come out $2,041,177 ahead after 30 years.

Future dollars. At 3% inflation, divide year-30 figures by about 2.4 for today's buying power. Rental profits are assumed invested, not spent.

30 years: this property vs. the same money in stocks

This propertyStocks at 7%

Year 30 (loan paid off): property $1.21M, stocks $3.25M. Stocks win.

Comparable rentals

The closest rental listings with each unit's bedroom count, as of 2026-10-06. The estimate is the median asking rent of every rental we found nearby (the count is shown for each); houses are left out. Asking rents from Realtor.com rental listings, not signed leases.

2 bed estimate $1,250/mo · range $1,100–$1,575 · 7 rentals within 2.5 mi

AddressRentBd / BaSq ftDistanceListedType
429 Deldona Dr Apt 2, Mankato $1,050 2 / 1 — 2.2 mi 2026-09-21 Apartment
428 Commodore Dr Apt 7, Mankato $1,050 2 / 1 — 2.2 mi 2026-09-14 Apartment
217 Thomas Dr E, Eagle Lake $1,495 2 / 1.5 1,232 2.4 mi 2025-05-29 Apartment
701 S Victory Dr, Mankato $1,199 2 / 1 — 2.4 mi 2026-08-10 Apartment
630 Maple Ln, Eagle Lake $1,574 2 / 1.5 1,200 2.4 mi 2026-08-26 Apartment
50 Hilltop Ln, Mankato $950 2 / 1 840 2.4 mi 2026-03-06 Apartment
920 Patriot Dr, Mankato $1,205 2 / 1 957 2.5 mi 2026-05-15 Apartment

On the maps, this property and comparable rentals. Comparable rentals and rent estimate: Realtor.com rental listings. Rents are asking rents from listings; check them against the actual leases.

Red flags and opportunities

Watch for

  • mediumCouldn't match this address to a county parcel record, so taxes and unit count are unverified. Public record: County parcels: no match for 3120 AND 3122 NOBLE DR
  • mediumAsking is $415,735 above the price where cash flow breaks even ($114,065) at the default scenario. Based on: Derived: price $529,800 vs. break-even $114,065
  • mediumLease terms and rents are not given. 'Active leases' is all we get, with no amounts, end dates or deposits. Listing says: Both units are have active leases. · AI review
  • mediumTaxes on new construction are unverified and will likely reassess higher than any land-only bill. Based on: data: county.tax · AI review
  • lowListing data shows 4 beds and 4 baths, but the description says each side is 2 bed with a 3/4 bath. Confirm bath count and square footage. Based on: data: listing.baths · AI review

Opportunities

  • Long time on market: room to negotiate. Based on: Listing data: 237 days on market
  • New build with low near-term repair costs; rental-license eligibility noted. Listing says: Eligible for a rental license, these homes offer flexibility for homeowners and investors alike. · AI review
  • House-hack option: live in one side and rent the other. Listing says: Lease one side and live in the other. · AI review
  • Seller offers a preferred lender credit that could be negotiated. Listing says: Be sure to ask about the preferred lender credit and save cash today! · AI review

Questions for the agent

  • What are the actual rents, lease end dates and deposits for each side? Can I see the signed leases?
  • What is the projected property tax bill on the completed buildings, and is the lot a single parcel or split?
  • Who built it, and what warranty transfers to a buyer?
  • Why has it sat 237 days, and has the price been cut?
  • What does the preferred lender credit amount to, and is it tied to a specific lender?
  • Are tenants paying all utilities, and are the units separately metered?

Bottom line

Nice new twin home with low maintenance, but at $529,800 the rents can't carry it and it only works at a far lower price. AI-assisted summary

What the records say

Where each number comes from

Property tax / yr Estimateestimate. No tax record found; 2.1% of price.$11,126
Insurance / yr Estimateestimate. from units, square feet and age; get a quote$2,229
Water, sewer, trash / mo Estimateestimate. $85/unit/mo, owner-paid$170
Heat / mo Assumptionassumption. tenants pay heat; confirm with the agent$0
Lawn care / mo Assumptionassumption. $120/mo for 6 months, spread over 12; no snow removal$60
Repairs / capital reserve Rulerule. base rate8% / 8%

Price history Realtor.com

On the market since 2026-10-03 (2 days).

DateEventPrice
Removed$264,900
Removed$529,800
Removed$264,900
Listed$264,900
Listed$529,800
Removed$264,900
Listed$264,900

From the listing Listing

Listed asmulti-family
Property tax, 2025$482
CountyBlue Earth County
Parcel numberR01.09.14.100.032

As the listing states it (NorthstarMLS, via Realtor.com). We don't have county records here yet; check the tax, homestead status and special assessments with the county.

Crime, rental-license and vacant-building records are only available for St. Paul and Minneapolis so far. Check with Mankato on rental licensing before you buy.