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3126 Emerson Ave S

Duplex · 2 units: 2 bed / 1.5 bath ×2 unit split estimated · 2,710 sq ft

Minneapolis, MN · South Uptown · View the listing ↗

Far off

Photos, via Realtor.com.

Asking price
$569,000
2 units · $284K per unit
Monthly cash flow
−$1,305
at 20% down, 7%
Estimated rent
$3,650/mo
medium confidence · 23 rentals within 0.75 mi
Break-even price
$323,752
where cash flow hits $0

Adjust the numbers See the full breakdown

First look

This is a thin listing: no tenant info, no systems, no taxes, and 324 days on market at $569K. That long a wait says the price isn't clearing, so there's room to negotiate. The city rental license shows only 1 unit (a CHOWN license, which looks like an owner-occupied-style license), so confirm both units can legally be rented. Our estimate is about $3,650/month in total rent ($1,825 per unit), which at 20% down and a 7.0% rate gives about -$1,305/month cash flow and a 3.6% cap rate, with a break-even price around $324K, far below the $569K ask. At $569K for 4 beds and 3 baths I'd be skeptical until you see actual rents and tax bills. The photos show a third-floor attic space with its own full bath and a baseboard-heat finish, which may or may not be part of a rentable unit. Ask for the rent roll, the licensed unit count and the heating setup before a showing.

Things to consider

  1. Licensing: 1 unit on the city license If the second unit isn't legal to rent, income and financing both suffer. Verify with the city before you offer.
  2. Estimated income only On estimated rents, $569K doesn't work at current rates: it's about -$1,305/month and break-even is around $324K. Ask for the rent roll and trailing-12 expenses to confirm.Listing says: “offering flexibility for owner-occupant or investor”
  3. Price versus time on market 324 days unsold suggests the ask is above what buyers will pay. Offer off a verified-income number, not the list price.
  4. Dated kitchen and mixed systems Dated kitchens, window AC and radiator plus electric heat suggest updates will be needed before rents rise. Budget for them.From photo 5
  5. Unverified taxes and unit count County parcel data didn't match, so tax bill and living units are unknown. Taxes can change cash flow a lot in Minneapolis.
  6. Attic space may be extra rentable area It looks finished and has its own bath. If it's permitted and has egress, it could add a bedroom, but if not it's unusable for rent.From photo 6

From the photos

Listing photo 1
1 of 8Check

Stucco-over-frame exterior with an enclosed front porch and older windows appears dated. Paint and window condition on the second floor are worth inspecting.

Listing photo 4
2 of 8Plus

Original oak built-in, trim and hardwood floors in the main living area look intact and in decent shape.

Listing photo 5
3 of 8Concern

Kitchen appears dated: older white fridge, basic gas range and worn hardwood flooring, with a cast iron radiator for heat.

Listing photo 3
4 of 8Check

A window air conditioner sits in a bedroom, and a cast iron radiator is visible. This suggests no central air.

Listing photo 6
5 of 8Check

Attic space has carpet, a gas fireplace, skylights and electric baseboard heat. It looks like a finished living area, but permit and egress status are unknown.

Listing photo 9
6 of 8Plus

Attic bath looks updated with a newer vanity, tile floor and shower, though a bidet fixture and odd layout suggest a custom DIY-type remodel.

Listing photo 9
7 of 8Check

A small breaker panel is visible in the attic bath. Its amperage and age can't be told from the photo.

Listing photo 2
8 of 8Check

No photos of the basement, mechanicals, lower unit kitchen or exterior roof, so major systems are unseen.

Based on 10 of the listing photos. Photos can hide as much as they show; an inspection is the real answer.

AI-assisted first read of the listing description and photos (Claude), checked against public records. Every rent and repair above quotes the listing; verify with the agent, leases and an inspection.

The numbers

Down payment %
Offer $
Management
Interest rate %
Edit rents, costs and assumptions

Default: 20% down (no PMI), offer at asking, self-managed, 7.00% for 30 years, buyer pays closing costs (3%).

The deal

Price
$569,000
Cash to close
$130,870
Price per unit
$284,500
GRM
13.0

Each month

Cash flow
−$1,305/mo
Cash-on-cash
−12.0%
Cap rate
3.6%
DSCR
0.57×

Break-even

Price that breaks even
$323,752
Rent that breaks even
$5,345/mo

Long run

Year 30: property vs stocks
$1.34M vs $1.89M
Cash flow turns positive
year 23

Monthly

Monthly breakdown

Rent$3,650
Vacancy (6%)−$219
Collected$3,431
Property tax Listing−$630
Insurance Estimate−$227
Water, sewer, trash Estimate−$170
Lawn care ($120 × 6 mo ÷ 12)−$60
Repairs (8% of rent)−$292
Capital reserve (9% of rent)−$328
Net operating income$1,723
Mortgage (principal + interest)−$3,028
Cash flow−$1,305
Principal paid down (equity, not cash)$385

Cash flow each year

Rents +3%/yr, costs +3.5%/yr. Red bars are months you'd cover out of pocket.

30 years

How those totals add up

If you buy this building$1,335,729
Your equity when you sell
$1,298,245

Sells for $1,381,112 (value up 3% a year), minus 6% selling cost ($82,867). Rent paid down $455,200 of loan.

Rental profits, invested at 7%
$37,483

$32,163 of cash flow over 30 years, plus what it earned invested.

Same money in stocks$1,886,328
Cash to close, invested at 7%
$996,216

$130,870 put into an index fund instead of the down payment and closing costs.

Monthly shortfalls, invested
$890,112

$191,465 you'd have paid in while the building lost money, invested instead.

Stocks come out $550,599 ahead after 30 years.

Future dollars. At 3% inflation, divide year-30 figures by about 2.4 for today's buying power. Rental profits are assumed invested, not spent.

30 years: this property vs. the same money in stocks

This propertyStocks at 7%

Year 30 (loan paid off): property $1.34M, stocks $1.89M. Stocks win.

Comparable rentals

The closest rental listings with each unit's bedroom count, as of 2026-10-06. The estimate is the median asking rent of every rental we found nearby (the count is shown for each); houses are left out. Asking rents from Realtor.com rental listings, not signed leases.

2 bed estimate $1,825/mo · range $1,500–$2,300 · 23 rentals within 0.75 mi

AddressRentBd / BaSq ftDistanceListedType
1212 W Lake St, Minneapolis $2,140 2 / 2 1,250 0.2 mi 2024-06-11 Apartment
3305 Bryant Ave S, Minneapolis $1,375 2 / 1 900 0.3 mi 2024-07-03 Apartment
1477 W Lake St, Minneapolis $2,710 2 / 2 1,201 0.3 mi 2024-06-11 Apartment
2922 Aldrich Ave S, Minneapolis $2,120 2 / 2 1,143 0.3 mi 2024-09-05 Apartment
2922 Aldrich Ave S Unit 612, Minneapolis $2,150 2 / 2 1,140 0.3 mi 2025-11-14 Apartment
2837 Emerson Ave S, Minneapolis $2,395 2 / 2 1,240 0.3 mi 2024-04-12 Apartment
2851 Hennepin Ave, Minneapolis $2,337 2 / 2 966 0.4 mi 2025-05-24 Apartment
2825 Fremont Ave S, Minneapolis $1,635 2 / 1 925 0.4 mi 2024-04-12 Apartment
2838 Fremont Ave S, Minneapolis $1,990 2 / 2 1,161 0.4 mi 2025-11-07 Apartment
3247 Lyndale Ave S, Minneapolis $1,315 2 / 1 900 0.4 mi 2026-04-22 Apartment

On the maps, this property and comparable rentals. Comparable rentals and rent estimate: Realtor.com rental listings. Rents are asking rents from listings; check them against the actual leases.

Red flags and opportunities

Watch for

  • highRental license shows 1 unit, not 2. Confirm the second unit is legal to rent. Based on: data: city.rental_license · AI review
  • highDescription gives no rents, tenant status, lease terms, taxes or system ages. Income can't be checked. Listing says: offering flexibility for owner-occupant or investor · AI review
  • mediumCouldn't match this address to a county parcel record, so taxes and unit count are unverified. Public record: County parcels: no match for 3126 EMERSON AVE S
  • mediumAsking is $245,248 above the price where cash flow breaks even ($323,752) at the default scenario. Based on: Derived: price $569,000 vs. break-even $323,752
  • mediumNo rent estimate or underwriting is available, so the $569K price can't be tested against income. Based on: data: rent_estimate · AI review
  • mediumPhotos show original-era radiators in the main floors and electric baseboard in the attic. That suggests mixed heating, and the number of heat sources and meters is unknown. Based on: photo 7 · AI review

Opportunities

  • Long time on market: room to negotiate. Based on: Listing data: 327 days on market
  • 324 days on market suggests the seller may accept a meaningful discount. Based on: data: listing.days_on_market · AI review
  • Original oak woodwork and hardwood floors give character that can support rents after cosmetic work. Based on: photo 4 · AI review
  • Two-car garage can add rent or tenant appeal in a street-parking neighborhood. Listing says: Two-car garage and additional street parking. · AI review

Questions for the agent

  • Is the second unit licensed as a rental? The city shows 1 unit on a CHOWN license.
  • What are the current rents, lease terms and tenant status for each unit?
  • How is each unit heated and who pays heat, water and electric? How many boilers and meters?
  • Is the finished attic part of a unit, and is it permitted with legal egress?
  • What are the real property taxes, and why has it sat 324 days with what price changes?
  • What are the roof, boiler and electrical panel ages?

Bottom line

Little information and a one-unit rental license on a 324-day listing at $569K that loses about $1,305/month on estimated rents: get the rent roll and licensing sorted before spending time on it. AI-assisted summary

What the records say

Where each number comes from

Property tax / yr Listinglisting, tax year 2025. The tax the listing states. If the seller lives there it may be at the lower homestead rate; an investor owner pays the non-homestead rate, often 20–40% more on the owner's unit.$7,563
Insurance / yr Estimateestimate. from units, square feet and age; get a quote$2,725
Water, sewer, trash / mo Estimateestimate. $85/unit/mo, owner-paid$170
Heat / mo Assumptionassumption. tenants pay heat; confirm with the agent$0
Lawn care / mo Assumptionassumption. $120/mo for 6 months, spread over 12; no snow removal$60
Repairs / capital reserve Rulerule. built 1909: +1 pt capital reserve8% / 9%

Price history Realtor.com

On the market since 2025-11-12 (327 days); down $80,900 (12.4%) from the first ask of $649,900.

DateEventPrice
Price changed$569,000
Price changed$574,000
Price changed$589,000
Price changed$599,000
Price changed$639,900
Listed$649,900

From the listing Listing

Listed asduplex up and down
Property tax, 2025$7,563
CountyHennepin
Parcel number0402824120095

As the listing states it (NorthstarMLS, via Realtor.com). We don't have county records here yet; check the tax, homestead status and special assessments with the county.

City rental license

CHOWN: 1 unit(s), Tier 1, status active, renews 2027-03-01.

Nearest highway

I 35W, about 1556 m away.

Crime in South Uptown

337 incidents in the last 12 months (57 per 1,000 residents), −13% vs. the year before. Minneapolis police incidents, all reported offenses (definitions differ from St. Paul's, so don't compare across cities).