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3129 Clinton Ave

Duplex · 2 units: 2 bed / 1 bath ×2 unit split estimated · 3,058 sq ft

Minneapolis, MN · Central · View the listing ↗

Overpriced

Photos, via Realtor.com.

Asking price
$385,000
2 units · $192K per unit
Monthly cash flow
−$522
at 20% down, 7%
Estimated rent
$3,150/mo
medium confidence · 13 rentals within 0.75 mi
Break-even price
$286,853
where cash flow hits $0

Adjust the numbers See the full breakdown

First look

This is a renovated 2-bed/2-bed duplex asking $385K, and the numbers don't work. Our rent estimate is about $1,575 per unit, and at asking we model roughly -$522/month cash flow and a 4.8% cap rate. Break-even is near $287K, so the price is well above what the rents support. The seller paid $330K in 2020 and the county values it at $313,800. The listing gives no rents, so ask for the rent roll and leases first. Also check the tax bill: the $5,960 is non-homestead, so confirm whether it will change. Only worth a showing if the price drops a lot or you plan to live in one unit.

Things to consider

  1. Price is far above the income At asking, cash flow is negative and the cap rate is thin. Rents would need to be much higher, or the price much lower, for this to work.
  2. Rents and lease terms are unknown Without a rent roll you can't check income. Month-to-month means the upper unit could turn over soon.Listing says: “the upper unit is leased to an excellent tenant, who is now month-to-month”
  3. Recent updates lower near-term capex New roof, siding and 2020 furnaces reduce big-ticket risk, but confirm permits and ages.Listing says: “brand-new roof and siding”
  4. Non-homestead taxes and no assessments The listed tax is already non-homestead at $5,960, and there are no special assessments. Check for reassessment after sale.
  5. Separate utilities simplify operations Tenants carry their own utilities, which lowers owner costs and keeps the numbers predictable.Listing says: “Each unit has separate utilities and its own furnace”

From the photos

Listing photo 1
1 of 7Plus

Exterior shows blue siding and a front porch in good shape, with fresh-looking paint. The siding appears recent, matching the listing.

Listing photo 5
2 of 7Plus

Kitchen has newer-looking cabinets, laminate counters and white appliances. These are budget-grade finishes, but they look serviceable.

Listing photo 7
3 of 7Plus

Kitchen has a floor vent, consistent with forced-air heat. Flooring looks like vinyl plank.

Listing photo 4
4 of 7Plus

Windows look like newer double-hung units, which fits the listing's window updates.

Listing photo 8
5 of 7Check

Bedrooms have carpet, ceiling fans and closets, with textured ceilings. Standard rental finishes; carpet may need replacing at turnover.

Listing photo 3
6 of 7Check

Front porch has a painted concrete floor that appears worn. Check the porch structure and drainage.

Listing photo 1
7 of 7Check

No photos of the basement, furnaces, electrical panel, water heater, bathrooms or the rear parking pad. Verify these in person.

Based on 10 of the listing photos. Photos can hide as much as they show; an inspection is the real answer.

Condition and repairs

  • doneBoth furnaces replaced in 2020Listing says: its own furnace (both replaced in 2020)
  • doneNew roof and sidingListing says: brand-new roof and siding
  • doneUpdated kitchens, bathrooms, cabinetry, appliances and windowsListing says: updated kitchens, bathrooms, cabinetry, appliances, windows, and more
  • doneNew washer and dryer in each unitListing says: brand-new washer and dryer set for each unit

AI-assisted first read of the listing description and photos (Claude), checked against public records. Every rent and repair above quotes the listing; verify with the agent, leases and an inspection.

The numbers

Down payment %
Offer $
Management
Interest rate %
Edit rents, costs and assumptions

Default: 20% down (no PMI), offer at asking, self-managed, 7.00% for 30 years, buyer pays closing costs (3%).

The deal

Price
$385,000
Cash to close
$88,550
Price per unit
$192,500
GRM
10.2

Each month

Cash flow
−$522/mo
Cash-on-cash
−7.1%
Cap rate
4.8%
DSCR
0.75×

Break-even

Price that breaks even
$286,853
Rent that breaks even
$3,811/mo

Long run

Year 30: property vs stocks
$1.07M vs $901K
Cash flow turns positive
year 13

Monthly

Monthly breakdown

Rent$3,150
Vacancy (6%)−$189
Collected$2,961
Property tax Public record−$497
Insurance Estimate−$235
Water, sewer, trash Estimate−$170
Lawn care ($120 × 6 mo ÷ 12)−$60
Repairs (7% of rent)−$221
Capital reserve (8% of rent)−$252
Net operating income$1,527
Mortgage (principal + interest)−$2,049
Cash flow−$522
Principal paid down (equity, not cash)$261

Cash flow each year

Rents +3%/yr, costs +3.5%/yr. Red bars are months you'd cover out of pocket.

30 years

How those totals add up

If you buy this building$1,069,362
Your equity when you sell
$878,426

Sells for $934,496 (value up 3% a year), minus 6% selling cost ($56,070). Rent paid down $308,000 of loan.

Rental profits, invested at 7%
$190,936

$127,028 of cash flow over 30 years, plus what it earned invested.

Same money in stocks$901,456
Cash to close, invested at 7%
$674,065

$88,550 put into an index fund instead of the down payment and closing costs.

Monthly shortfalls, invested
$227,390

$39,793 you'd have paid in while the building lost money, invested instead.

The building comes out $167,906 ahead after 30 years.

Future dollars. At 3% inflation, divide year-30 figures by about 2.4 for today's buying power. Rental profits are assumed invested, not spent.

30 years: this property vs. the same money in stocks

This propertyStocks at 7%

Year 30 (loan paid off): property $1.07M, stocks $901K. The property wins.

Comparable rentals

The closest rental listings with each unit's bedroom count, as of 2026-10-06. The estimate is the median asking rent of every rental we found nearby (the count is shown for each); houses are left out. Asking rents from Realtor.com rental listings, not signed leases.

2 bed estimate $1,575/mo · range $1,450–$1,775 · 13 rentals within 0.75 mi

AddressRentBd / BaSq ftDistanceListedType
3123 2nd Ave S Unit 1, Minneapolis $1,490 2 / 1 1,123 0.1 mi 2026-07-30 Apartment
3212 1st Ave S, Minneapolis $1,800 2 / 1 900 0.3 mi 2026-09-08 Duplex triplex
3429 2nd Ave S Fl 1, Minneapolis $1,400 2 / 1 850 0.4 mi — Apartment
3329 Nicollet Ave Unit 300, Minneapolis $1,675 2 / 1 700 0.4 mi — Apartment
3503 2nd Ave S, Minneapolis $1,639 2 / 1 686 0.5 mi 2025-08-04 Apartment
2835 Park Ave, Minneapolis $1,340 2 / 1 — 0.5 mi 2026-07-17 Apartment
3515 2nd Ave S Unit 303, Minneapolis $1,695 2 / 1 750 0.5 mi 2026-09-07 Apartment
2723 Portland Ave S, Minneapolis $1,589 2 / 1 — 0.5 mi 2026-07-17 Apartment
2625 3rd Ave S, Minneapolis $1,399 2 / 1 1,000 0.6 mi 2026-02-10 Apartment
3549 Columbus Ave S, Minneapolis $1,250 2 / 1 800 0.7 mi — Apartment

On the maps, this property and comparable rentals. Comparable rentals and rent estimate: Realtor.com rental listings. Rents are asking rents from listings; check them against the actual leases.

Red flags and opportunities

Watch for

  • highUpper tenant is month-to-month and no rents are disclosed, so income is unverified. Listing says: the upper unit is leased to an excellent tenant, who is now month-to-month · AI review
  • mediumSits 59 days on market at a price well above its 2020 sale price and county value. Based on: data: listing.days_on_market · AI review
  • lowMonth-to-month tenants can leave quickly. Count on turnover soon after closing. Listing says: "leased to an excellent tenant, who is now month-to-month - providing flexibility for buyers looking to owner-occupy"
  • lowNear I-35W, about 270 m away, which may mean noise and affect tenant appeal. Based on: data: highway.distance_m · AI review

Opportunities

  • Owner-occupy one unit and rent the other to offset the cost (house hack). Listing says: the perfect opportunity to house hack or expand your investment portfolio · AI review
  • Minneapolis has no rent cap, so rents can rise with the market after turnover. Based on: data: underwriting.rent_rule · AI review
  • Separate utilities and furnaces keep owner operating costs low. Listing says: Each unit has separate utilities and its own furnace · AI review

Questions for the agent

  • What are the current rents and lease end dates for each unit? Can I see the leases and the rent roll?
  • Why is the upper tenant month-to-month, and are they planning to stay?
  • What are the trailing-12 expenses, including insurance and water?
  • Can I see the TISH report, COA and energy disclosure?
  • What is the age of the roof and siding, and were permits pulled?
  • Why was the price set at $385K when it sold for $330K in 2020?

Bottom line

Nicely updated duplex, but $385K is about $98K above what the rents support, so it only works as a house hack or at a big discount. AI-assisted summary

What the records say

Where each number comes from

Property tax / yr Public recordHennepin County record, current payable year (non-homestead)$5,960
Insurance / yr Estimateestimate. from units, square feet and age; get a quote$2,821
Water, sewer, trash / mo Estimateestimate. $85/unit/mo, owner-paid$170
Heat / mo Assumptionassumption. tenants pay heat; confirm with the agent$0
Lawn care / mo Assumptionassumption. $120/mo for 6 months, spread over 12; no snow removal$60
Repairs / capital reserve Rulerule. built 1897: +1 pt capital reserve; "fully renovated" in the description: -1 pts each7% / 8%

Price history Realtor.com

On the market since 2026-08-04 (62 days); down $40,000 (9.4%) from the first ask of $425,000; last sold for $330,000 on 2020-04-10.

DateEventPrice
Price changed$385,000
Price changed$395,000
Price changed$405,000
Price changed$415,000
Listed$425,000
Sold$330,000
Listed$325,000
Sold public record$850,000
Sold public record$68,000

County record Public record

Recorded asduplex
Living units2
Year built1897
Market value (2026)$313,800
Property tax$5,960
Special assessmentsnone
Homesteadno
Last sale2020-04-01 · $330,000

Source: Hennepin County parcel records.

City rental license

CHOWNEXMPT: 2 unit(s), Tier 1, status active, renews 2027-03-01.

Nearest highway

I 35W, about 272 m away.

Crime in Central

411 incidents in the last 12 months (50 per 1,000 residents), −9% vs. the year before. Minneapolis police incidents, all reported offenses (definitions differ from St. Paul's, so don't compare across cities).