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331-333 S Mcknight Rd

Duplex · 2 units: 2 bed / 1 bath ×2 unit split estimated · 1,860 sq ft

Saint Paul, MN · Battle Creek – Conway – Eastview – Highwood Hills (Southeast) · View the listing ↗

Overpriced

Photos courtesy of RE/MAX ADVANTAGE PLUS, via Realtor.com.

Asking price
$390,000
2 units · $195K per unit
Monthly cash flow
−$683
at 20% down, 7%
Estimated rent
$3,100/mo
medium confidence
Break-even price
$261,613
where cash flow hits $0

Adjust the numbers See the full breakdown

First look

This is a side-by-side duplex asking $390K with both sides estimated at $1,550 each, about $3,100 a month combined. Tenants pay electric, gas and water, so the owner's costs are low, but our model still shows about -$683 a month at the ask and a 4.3% cap rate. Break-even price is about $262K, so the ask looks well above what these rents support. Before a showing, get the rent roll, the actual tax bill and the list of updates the agent mentions. The photos show dated but livable interiors, and the house has sat 111 days, so a much lower offer is plausible.

Things to consider

  1. Price is far above what rents support The model shows negative cash flow of about $683 a month at the ask. It only breaks even near $262K.
  2. Rents are close to or above our estimates Stated rents sit at or above our $1,350 mid estimate per side, so there is little room to raise them, and they are capped for sitting tenants.Listing says: “Rent for 333 is $1529.55 per month.”
  3. Month-to-month tenants can leave Turnover would mean vacancy and repainting. A new tenant may not pay the same rent.Listing says: “Both tenants are on month to month lease.”
  4. Taxes are unverified The owner pays taxes, and an investor's non-homestead bill could be higher than the seller's. This changes the numbers a lot.
  5. Long time on market gives leverage At 111 days, the seller may accept a much lower offer, which is what it takes to make the numbers work.

From the photos

Listing photo 1
1 of 6Plus

Brick and siding exterior appears reasonably maintained, with a simple roofline and a bare dirt patch in the yard by the driveway

Listing photo 2
2 of 6Concern

Kitchens appear dated, with dark wood cabinets, older laminate counters and white appliances. They are usable but not recently updated

Listing photo 5
3 of 6Plus

Bathroom appears to have a newer vanity and a one-piece tub surround, and looks serviceable

Listing photo 8
4 of 6Check

Basement has block walls, a laundry hookup, a utility sink and a breaker-style electrical panel, with no obvious moisture shown. Furnace and water heater age are not visible

Listing photo 9
5 of 6Check

Two kitchens appear across the photos, consistent with two units. Layout and separate meters are not shown

Listing photo 1
6 of 6Check

No photos of the roof, furnace, water heater label or the 333 side leaking faucet, though the agent points to updates there

Based on 10 of the listing photos. Photos can hide as much as they show; an inspection is the real answer.

Rents the listing states

  • 331: $1,393 (month-to-month)Listing says: Rent for 331 is $1392.56 per month.
  • 333: $1,530 (month-to-month)Listing says: Rent for 333 is $1529.55 per month.

Condition and repairs

  • neededLeaking new faucet on the 333 side (warrantied)Listing says: A new faucet leaking (warrantied) 333 side.
  • doneUpdates from the roof to the furnace (details not given)Listing says: Please ask to see the list of updates from the roof to the furnace.

AI-assisted first read of the listing description and photos (Claude), checked against public records. Every rent and repair above quotes the listing; verify with the agent, leases and an inspection.

The numbers

Down payment %
Offer $
Management
Interest rate %
Edit rents, costs and assumptions

Default: 20% down (no PMI), offer at asking, self-managed, 7.00% for 30 years, buyer pays closing costs (3%).

The deal

Price
$390,000
Cash to close
$89,700
Price per unit
$195,000
GRM
10.5

Each month

Cash flow
−$683/mo
Cash-on-cash
−9.1%
Cap rate
4.3%
DSCR
0.67×

Break-even

Price that breaks even
$261,613
Rent that breaks even
$3,976/mo

Long run

Year 30: property vs stocks
$984K vs $1.06M
Cash flow turns positive
year 17

Monthly

Monthly breakdown

Rent$3,100
Vacancy (6%)−$186
Collected$2,914
Property tax Listing−$607
Insurance Estimate−$189
Water, sewer, trash Estimate−$170
Lawn care ($120 × 6 mo ÷ 12)−$60
Repairs (8% of rent)−$248
Capital reserve (8% of rent)−$248
Net operating income$1,392
Mortgage (principal + interest)−$2,076
Cash flow−$683
Principal paid down (equity, not cash)$264

Cash flow each year

Rents +3%/yr (St. Paul's cap for sitting tenants), costs +3.5%/yr. Red bars are months you'd cover out of pocket.

30 years

How those totals add up

If you buy this building$983,710
Your equity when you sell
$889,834

Sells for $946,632 (value up 3% a year), minus 6% selling cost ($56,798). Rent paid down $312,000 of loan.

Rental profits, invested at 7%
$93,876

$69,621 of cash flow over 30 years, plus what it earned invested.

Same money in stocks$1,058,156
Cash to close, invested at 7%
$682,819

$89,700 put into an index fund instead of the down payment and closing costs.

Monthly shortfalls, invested
$375,337

$71,761 you'd have paid in while the building lost money, invested instead.

Stocks come out $74,446 ahead after 30 years.

Future dollars. At 3% inflation, divide year-30 figures by about 2.4 for today's buying power. Rental profits are assumed invested, not spent.

30 years: this property vs. the same money in stocks

This propertyStocks at 7%

Year 30 (loan paid off): property $984K, stocks $1.06M. Stocks win.

Comparable rentals

Nearby rentals RentCast matched to each unit type, as of 2026-10-05. The estimate above is RentCast's, weighted toward the closest matches.

2 bed / 1 bath estimate $1,550/mo · range $1,350–$1,750

AddressRentBd / BaSq ftDistanceListedMatch
Guider Bd Dr, Unit 2, Woodbury 55125 $1,779 2 / 1 — 2.3 mi 2025-05-08 90%
1465 Minnehaha Ave E, Apt 3, Saint Paul 55106 off market $1,165 2 / 1 — 2.8 mi 2026-07-15 90%
1727 Reaney Ave E, Saint Paul 55106 off market $1,460 2 / 1 1,346 2.5 mi 2026-05-08 90%
138 Dwane St, Apt 3, South Saint Paul 55075 $1,450 2 / 1 1,300 2.8 mi 2026-10-02 89%
2187 Cypress Dr, Woodbury 55125 $1,745 2 / 1 1,207 2.1 mi 2024-12-18 88%
1885 Wilson 1br Ave, Unit Large, Saint Paul 55119 off market $1,225 2 / 1 1,100 1.8 mi 2026-02-20 87%
395 Luella St N, Apt 414, Saint Paul 55119 off market $1,400 2 / 1 1,049 1.7 mi 2026-08-24 87%
2714 Brookview Dr E, Maplewood 55119 $1,329 2 / 1 1,000 1.4 mi 2026-07-21 87%
2549 Cornelia Trl, Woodbury 55125 off market $1,750 2 / 1.5 1,240 2.2 mi 2026-03-18 86%
1884 Wilson Ave, Unit 4, Saint Paul 55119 $1,325 2 / 1 1,000 1.8 mi 2026-09-23 86%

On the maps, this property and comparable rentals. Comparable rentals and rent estimate: RentCast. Rents are asking rents from listings; check them against the actual leases.

Red flags and opportunities

Watch for

  • mediumCouldn't match this address to a county parcel record, so taxes and unit count are unverified. Public record: County parcels: no match for 331-333 MCKNIGHT RD S
  • mediumAsking is $128,387 above the price where cash flow breaks even ($261,613) at the default scenario. Based on: Derived: price $390,000 vs. break-even $261,613
  • mediumBoth tenants are month-to-month, so rent and occupancy are not locked in Listing says: Both tenants are on month to month lease. · AI review
  • mediumTaxes and unit count are unverified because no county parcel matched Based on: data: county.tax · AI review
  • lowMonth-to-month tenants can leave quickly. Count on turnover soon after closing. Listing says: "been for many years. Both tenants are on month to month lease. Rent for 331 is $1392.56 per month."
  • lowOwner pays taxes and garbage, and the listing gives no expense figures Listing says: Owner is responsible for garbage and taxes. · AI review

Opportunities

  • Long time on market: room to negotiate. Based on: Listing data: 114 days on market
  • Possible added bedroom on each side, which could raise rents. Confirm egress, permits and layout first Listing says: There is potential to add an additional bedroom on each side. · AI review
  • Long-term tenants and low owner utility costs make for simple operation Listing says: Each side is fully occupied and has been for many years. · AI review
  • Basement space looks finished and could add usable area Based on: photo 10 · AI review

Questions for the agent

  • Can I see the full list of updates, with dates, for the roof, furnace and water heater?
  • What is the actual annual property tax, and is the unit count licensed as a duplex?
  • How long has each tenant been there, and when was the rent last raised?
  • Is there a signed lease or any written terms for the month-to-month tenants?
  • What happened with the leaking faucet on the 333 side, and is the warranty transferable?
  • Why has it been listed 111 days, and has the price changed?

Bottom line

Stable, low-expense duplex, but $390K is far above what $3,100 in rents can carry, so only a big price cut works. AI-assisted summary

What the records say

Where each number comes from

Property tax / yr Listinglisting, tax year 2025. The tax the listing states. If the seller lives there it may be at the lower homestead rate; an investor owner pays the non-homestead rate, often 20–40% more on the owner's unit.$7,282
Insurance / yr Estimateestimate. from units, square feet and age; get a quote$2,265
Water, sewer, trash / mo Estimateestimate. $85/unit/mo, owner-paid$170
Heat / mo Assumptionassumption. tenants pay heat; confirm with the agent$0
Lawn care / mo Assumptionassumption. $120/mo for 6 months, spread over 12; no snow removal$60
Repairs / capital reserve Rulerule. base rate8% / 8%

Price history Realtor.com

On the market since 2026-06-12 (115 days); down $15,000 (3.7%) from the first ask of $405,000; last sold for $200,000 on 2016-11-08.

DateEventPrice
Price changed$390,000
Price changed$395,000
Relisted$400,000
Removed—
Removed—
Listed$405,000
Listed$405,000
Sold public record$200,000
Sold$140,000
Listed$150,000

From the listing Listing

Listed asduplex side x side
Property tax, 2025$7,282
CountyRamsey
Parcel number112822110004

As the listing states it (NorthstarMLS, via Realtor.com). We don't have county records here yet; check the tax, homestead status and special assessments with the county.

City rental certificate (CofO)

No record in St. Paul Certificate of Occupancy – Residential (dataset last updated mid-2025).

Nearest highway

US 10;US 61, about 1275 m away.

Crime in Battle Creek – Conway – Eastview – Highwood Hills

1,114 incidents in the last 12 months (48 per 1,000 residents), +7% vs. the year before. St. Paul police incidents, excluding proactive visits and community events.