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3504 Cedar Ave S

Duplex · 2 units: 2 bed / 1 bath and 1 bed / 1 bath unit split estimated · 1,486 sq ft

Minneapolis, MN · Powderhorn Park · View the listing ↗

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Photos courtesy of National Realty Guild - Broker, via Realtor.com.

Asking price
$280,000
2 units · $140K per unit
Monthly cash flow
−$252
at 20% down, 7%
Estimated rent
$2,650/mo
medium confidence
Break-even price
$232,653
where cash flow hits $0

Adjust the numbers See the full breakdown

First look

This is a small Minneapolis duplex at $280K with no rents in the listing, and at the asking price our numbers don't work: about -$252/mo cash flow with 20% down and a 5.3% cap rate. Our estimates are roughly $1,150 for the 1-bed and $1,500 for the 2-bed, which is about $2,650 a month combined, and the break-even price is near $233K, so the ask is well above what the rents support. Nothing in the description covers heat, roof, or systems, so those are the first things to check. At 121 days on market it may be worth a showing, but only at a lower price. Get the actual rent roll, lease dates, and who pays heat before spending more time on it.

Things to consider

  1. Price is well above what the rents support At ask, cash flow is negative and the cap rate is about 5.3%. The break-even price is well below the listing, so this needs a sizable reduction to work.
  2. Rents and leases are unknown Without a rent roll you can't verify income. Our estimates are only a guide and tenant leases may be below market.Listing says: “Main level 1-BR apartment and upper level has 2 BR's.”
  3. Seller has big room to negotiate The seller bought for $33,500 in 2009 and the listing is 121 days old, so a low offer still leaves them a large gain.
  4. Investor tax bill may differ from what's shown The county shows non-homestead status and market value below the ask. Check taxes after a sale reassessment.
  5. Systems and building age are unverified The building dates to 1914 and the listing says nothing about the roof, wiring, plumbing or furnace. Big repairs would worsen already weak numbers.

From the photos

Listing photo 1
1 of 7Check

Stucco and stone-veneer exterior looks intact from the street, with no obvious damage visible. Check the stucco for cracks and moisture.

Listing photo 2
2 of 7Plus

Two separate front entrances with small awnings fit the up/down layout and suggest two units.

Listing photo 8
3 of 7Concern

Kitchen has a dated but serviceable look: older oak-style cabinets, white appliances, tile floor and laminate counters. It appears functional but not updated.

Listing photo 3
4 of 7Check

Living and dining rooms have carpet, ceiling fans and textured ceilings. They look clean but dated, and the carpet will need replacing between tenants.

Listing photo 9
5 of 7Plus

Upper-level bedroom has refinished-looking hardwood floors, a durable, appealing feature.

Listing photo 10
6 of 7Check

Upper bedroom has sloped ceilings, new-looking carpet and a forced-air floor register, consistent with forced-air heat. Windows appear older, so ask about their age and efficiency.

Listing photo 1
7 of 7Check

No photos of the basement, mechanicals, bathrooms, roof or electrical panel, so major systems can't be judged.

Based on 10 of the listing photos. Photos can hide as much as they show; an inspection is the real answer.

AI-assisted first read of the listing description and photos (Claude), checked against public records. Every rent and repair above quotes the listing; verify with the agent, leases and an inspection.

The numbers

Down payment %
Offer $
Management
Interest rate %
Edit rents, costs and assumptions

Default: 20% down (no PMI), offer at asking, self-managed, 7.00% for 30 years, buyer pays closing costs (3%).

The deal

Price
$280,000
Cash to close
$64,400
Price per unit
$140,000
GRM
8.8

Each month

Cash flow
−$252/mo
Cash-on-cash
−4.7%
Cap rate
5.3%
DSCR
0.83×

Break-even

Price that breaks even
$232,653
Rent that breaks even
$2,977/mo

Long run

Year 30: property vs stocks
$880K vs $568K
Cash flow turns positive
year 9

Monthly

Monthly breakdown

Rent$2,650
Vacancy (6%)−$159
Collected$2,491
Property tax Public record−$373
Insurance Estimate−$199
Water, sewer, trash Estimate−$170
Lawn care ($120 × 6 mo ÷ 12)−$60
Repairs (8% of rent)−$212
Capital reserve (9% of rent)−$238
Net operating income$1,238
Mortgage (principal + interest)−$1,490
Cash flow−$252
Principal paid down (equity, not cash)$190

Cash flow each year

Rents +3%/yr, costs +3.5%/yr. Red bars are months you'd cover out of pocket.

30 years

How those totals add up

If you buy this building$879,568
Your equity when you sell
$638,855

Sells for $679,633 (value up 3% a year), minus 6% selling cost ($40,778). Rent paid down $224,000 of loan.

Rental profits, invested at 7%
$240,713

$143,945 of cash flow over 30 years, plus what it earned invested.

Same money in stocks$567,951
Cash to close, invested at 7%
$490,229

$64,400 put into an index fund instead of the down payment and closing costs.

Monthly shortfalls, invested
$77,721

$12,466 you'd have paid in while the building lost money, invested instead.

The building comes out $311,617 ahead after 30 years.

Future dollars. At 3% inflation, divide year-30 figures by about 2.4 for today's buying power. Rental profits are assumed invested, not spent.

30 years: this property vs. the same money in stocks

This propertyStocks at 7%

Year 30 (loan paid off): property $880K, stocks $568K. The property wins.

Comparable rentals

Nearby rentals RentCast matched to each unit type, as of 2026-10-05. The estimate above is RentCast's, weighted toward the closest matches.

2 bed / 1 bath estimate $1,500/mo · range $1,350–$1,675

AddressRentBd / BaSq ftDistanceListedMatch
3200 23rd Ave S, Unit 3202, Minneapolis 55407 off market $1,245 2 / 1 1,300 0.6 mi 2026-04-21 96%
1811 E 28th St, Minneapolis 55407 off market $1,475 2 / 1 1,300 0.9 mi 2025-08-01 96%
3505 18th Ave S, Minneapolis 55407 off market $1,500 2 / 1 — 0.0 mi 2026-03-17 94%
3029-3031 Chicago Ave S, Minneapolis 55407 off market $1,575 2 / 1 — 0.9 mi 2026-03-24 93%
3029 Chicago Ave S, Minneapolis 55407 off market $1,575 2 / 1 — 0.9 mi 2026-04-18 93%
3925 Chicago Ave S, Unit 3, Minneapolis 55407 off market $1,450 2 / 1 1,100 0.9 mi 2026-07-23 92%
3925 Chicago Ave, Apt 1, Minneapolis 55407 off market $1,500 2 / 1 1,100 0.9 mi 2025-11-05 92%
3108 Oakland Ave, Minneapolis 55407 off market $1,550 2 / 1 — 1.0 mi 2026-03-12 92%
2807 E 29th St, Apt 6, Minneapolis 55406 off market $1,100 2 / 1 — 1.1 mi 2026-08-28 92%
2643 12th Ave S, Unit 1, Minneapolis 55407 $1,785 2 / 1 — 1.1 mi 2023-06-08 92%

1 bed / 1 bath estimate $1,150/mo · range $1,000–$1,275

AddressRentBd / BaSq ftDistanceListedMatch
3545 12th Ave S, Apt 5, Minneapolis 55407 off market $1,100 1 / 1 — 0.5 mi 2026-09-02 93%
3520 12th Ave S, Apt 5, Minneapolis 55407 off market $1,065 1 / 1 — 0.5 mi 2026-05-27 93%
3540 11th Ave S, Apt 5, Minneapolis 55407 off market $1,065 1 / 1 — 0.6 mi 2026-05-27 93%
3540 11th Ave S, Apt 9, Minneapolis 55407 off market $1,100 1 / 1 — 0.6 mi 2025-10-13 93%
3540 11th Ave S, Apt 2, Minneapolis 55407 off market $1,100 1 / 1 — 0.6 mi 2025-10-13 93%
3400 10th Ave S, Apt 4, Minneapolis 55407 off market $1,100 1 / 1 — 0.6 mi 2026-05-05 93%
3124 12th Ave S, Apt 106, Minneapolis 55407 off market $1,095 1 / 1 — 0.7 mi 2025-01-18 93%
3010 20th Ave S, Apt 4, Minneapolis 55407 off market $1,000 1 / 1 — 0.6 mi 2025-09-03 93%
3208 Minnehaha Ave, Apt 3, Minneapolis 55406 off market $1,245 1 / 1 — 0.9 mi 2026-08-03 93%
4224 Cedar Ave S, Minneapolis 55407 off market $1,550 1 / 1 — 0.9 mi 2026-05-22 93%

On the maps, this property and comparable rentals. Comparable rentals and rent estimate: RentCast. Rents are asking rents from listings; check them against the actual leases.

Red flags and opportunities

Watch for

  • highAsk is roughly $84K above our break-even price at 20% down Based on: data: underwriting.break_even_price · AI review
  • mediumNo rents, lease status or occupancy given, so income can't be verified Listing says: Strong opportunity for both owner-occupants and investors. · AI review
  • lowListing shows 3 beds / 2 baths but the units are described as 1 BR and 2 BR; confirm the bath count per unit Based on: data: listing.baths · AI review

Opportunities

  • The seller bought for $33,500 in Jan 2009, so they can take a lower offer and still come out well ahead. Public record: Hennepin County parcel 0202824410200: last sale 2009-01-01, $33,500
  • Long time on market: room to negotiate. Based on: Listing data: 124 days on market
  • Each unit has its own laundry, which helps tenant appeal and may mean separate utility setups Listing says: Each unit has its own laundry and there are 3 off-street parking spaces. · AI review
  • Three off-street spaces are a plus in this neighborhood and support rents Listing says: there are 3 off-street parking spaces · AI review
  • Minneapolis has no rent cap, so rents can rise with the market after any refresh Based on: data: underwriting.rent_rule · AI review

Questions for the agent

  • What are the current rents, lease end dates, and are any tenants month-to-month?
  • Who pays heat, and are there separate furnaces and meters for each unit?
  • How old are the roof, furnace, water heaters and electrical panel?
  • Why has it sat 121 days, and have there been price cuts or offers?
  • Is the owner-exempt rental license for two units current, and is the unit count legal?
  • What does the owner's trailing-12 show for taxes, insurance and repairs?

Bottom line

A tidy-looking duplex that is priced above what the rents support, so it only works at a meaningful discount. AI-assisted summary

What the records say

Where each number comes from

Property tax / yr Public recordHennepin County record, current payable year (non-homestead)$4,478
Insurance / yr Estimateestimate. from units, square feet and age; get a quote$2,389
Water, sewer, trash / mo Estimateestimate. $85/unit/mo, owner-paid$170
Heat / mo Assumptionassumption. tenants pay heat; confirm with the agent$0
Lawn care / mo Assumptionassumption. $120/mo for 6 months, spread over 12; no snow removal$60
Repairs / capital reserve Rulerule. built 1914: +1 pt capital reserve8% / 9%

Price history Realtor.com

On the market since 2026-06-03 (124 days); down $19,000 (6.4%) from the first ask of $299,000; last sold for $33,500 on 2009-02-06.

DateEventPrice
Price changed$280,000
Relisted$299,000
Removed—
Listed$299,000
Sold public record$33,500
Removed$47,000
Listed$62,000
Sold public record$209,000
Sold public record$41,000
Sold public record$38,000
Sold public record$38,000

County record Public record

Recorded asduplex
Living units2
Year built1906
Market value (2026)$236,700
Property tax$4,478
Special assessmentsnone
Homesteadno
Last sale2009-01-01 · $33,500

Source: Hennepin County parcel records.

City rental license

CHOWNEXMPT: 2 unit(s), Tier 1, status active, renews 2027-03-01.

Nearest highway

MN 55, about 1095 m away.

Crime in Powderhorn Park

524 incidents in the last 12 months (62 per 1,000 residents), −7% vs. the year before. Minneapolis police incidents, all reported offenses (definitions differ from St. Paul's, so don't compare across cities).