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3514 Grand Ave S

Triplex · 3 units: 4 bed / 2.5 bath and 3 bed / 2.5 bath ×2 unit split estimated · 4,900 sq ft

Minneapolis, MN · Lyndale · View the listing ↗

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Photos, via Realtor.com.

Asking price
$825,000
3 units · $275K per unit
Monthly cash flow
−$57
at 20% down, 7%
Estimated rent
$8,050/mo
low confidence · 6 rentals within 3 mi
Break-even price
$814,300
where cash flow hits $0

Adjust the numbers See the full breakdown

First look

The listing calls this a triplex with four units, but the county and the city rental license both say three. That mismatch is the first thing to settle. The description gives gross rents of $7,650 a month in total, with no unit-level breakdown. Our estimate for three units is roughly $8,050 a month, so the stated income is not out of line. At $825K, our underwriting still shows about -$57 a month with 20% down, and break-even is $814K, so it only barely misses at asking. After 133 days on market there is room to negotiate. Get the rent roll, leases and trailing-12 expenses, and confirm what the fourth space really is, before paying for a showing.

Things to consider

  1. Unit count discrepancy A fourth unit that isn't licensed can't be counted on for income and may carry code risk. Underwriting uses three units.Listing says: “with an extra studio/storage space”
  2. Price versus numbers At asking, cash flow is slightly negative and the break-even price is below the ask. Offer closer to break-even or lower.
  3. Rent claim needs proof $7,650 is in line with our estimates, but with only a total stated, verify it before relying on it.Listing says: “Current gross rents total $7,650 per month, or $91,800 annually.”
  4. High property tax Non-homestead tax is $14.7K a year, which eats much of the income and could change on reassessment.
  5. Water billing upside Metering water could lower owner expenses, but the cost and the effect on existing leases are unknown.Listing says: “water can be separately metered so tenants cover their own usage”
  6. Newer build lowers capex risk A 2005 building should need fewer big repairs than older stock, though the roof, HVAC, and water heaters are still unconfirmed.Listing says: “Built in 2005, the property is newer construction than most of the surrounding rental stock”

From the photos

Listing photo 1
1 of 7Plus

Vinyl-sided exterior with a stone-look base and a deck. It appears to be in decent shape, and the age fits 2005 construction.

Listing photo 4
2 of 7Check

Kitchens have oak cabinets, laminate counters and stainless appliances. They look dated but serviceable, more 2005 than recently renovated.

Listing photo 9
3 of 7Check

Photo 9 is labeled virtual staging, so confirm that kitchen's actual condition.

Listing photo 2
4 of 7Plus

Shared entry with a carpeted staircase and numbered unit door (101). Common areas appear clean and maintained.

Listing photo 6
5 of 7Check

Bathrooms have basic fiberglass tub surrounds and stock vanities. They are functional and not luxury finishes.

Listing photo 10
6 of 7Check

Garage with at least two bays, but it appears to be used for tenant or owner storage. Confirm who has garage rights and whether it is included in rents.

Listing photo 1
7 of 7Check

No photos of mechanicals, the panel, basement, roof, or the studio space. The fourth unit is not shown.

Based on 10 of the listing photos. Photos can hide as much as they show; an inspection is the real answer.

Condition and repairs

  • doneNewer 2005 construction, described as lower near-term capex risk on major systemsListing says: meaning lower near-term capex risk on major systems
  • doneModern kitchens and updated baths in all unitsListing says: all the units feature modern kitchens, updated baths, and in-unit laundry

AI-assisted first read of the listing description and photos (Claude), checked against public records. Every rent and repair above quotes the listing; verify with the agent, leases and an inspection.

The numbers

Down payment %
Offer $
Management
Interest rate %
Edit rents, costs and assumptions

Default: 20% down (no PMI), offer at asking, self-managed, 7.00% for 30 years, buyer pays closing costs (3%).

The deal

Price
$825,000
Cash to close
$189,750
Price per unit
$275,000
GRM
8.5

Each month

Cash flow
−$57/mo
Cash-on-cash
−0.4%
Cap rate
6.3%
DSCR
0.99×

Break-even

Price that breaks even
$814,300
Rent that breaks even
$8,124/mo

Long run

Year 30: property vs stocks
$3.48M vs $1.45M
Cash flow turns positive
year 2

Monthly

Monthly breakdown

Rent$8,050
Vacancy (6%)−$483
Collected$7,567
Property tax Public record−$1,222
Insurance Estimate−$327
Water, sewer, trash Estimate−$255
Lawn care ($120 × 6 mo ÷ 12)−$60
Repairs (9% of rent)−$724
Capital reserve (8% of rent)−$644
Net operating income$4,334
Mortgage (principal + interest)−$4,391
Cash flow−$57
Principal paid down (equity, not cash)$559

Cash flow each year

Rents +3%/yr, costs +3.5%/yr. Red bars are months you'd cover out of pocket.

30 years

How those totals add up

If you buy this building$3,479,782
Your equity when you sell
$1,882,343

Sells for $2,002,492 (value up 3% a year), minus 6% selling cost ($120,149). Rent paid down $660,000 of loan.

Rental profits, invested at 7%
$1,597,440

$803,701 of cash flow over 30 years, plus what it earned invested.

Same money in stocks$1,449,287
Cash to close, invested at 7%
$1,444,425

$189,750 put into an index fund instead of the down payment and closing costs.

Monthly shortfalls, invested
$4,862

$683 you'd have paid in while the building lost money, invested instead.

The building comes out $2,030,495 ahead after 30 years.

Future dollars. At 3% inflation, divide year-30 figures by about 2.4 for today's buying power. Rental profits are assumed invested, not spent.

30 years: this property vs. the same money in stocks

This propertyStocks at 7%

Year 30 (loan paid off): property $3.48M, stocks $1.45M. The property wins.

Comparable rentals

The closest rental listings with each unit's bedroom count, as of 2026-10-06. The estimate is the median asking rent of every rental we found nearby (the count is shown for each); houses are left out. Asking rents from Realtor.com rental listings, not signed leases.

4 bed estimate $2,675/mo · range $2,550–$2,750 · 6 rentals within 2.75 mi

AddressRentBd / BaSq ftDistanceListedType
3448 Girard Ave S, Minneapolis $2,595 4 / 2 2,200 0.6 mi 2026-08-28 Apartment
2529 Pleasant Ave Unit 2, Minneapolis $2,500 4 / 2 2,000 1.2 mi 2026-08-25 Apartment
2449 Lyndale Ave S, Minneapolis $2,395 4 / 3 1,804 1.3 mi 2026-06-02 Apartment
2820 12th Ave S Apt 1, Minneapolis $2,500 4 / 2 1,440 1.6 mi 2026-08-13 Duplex triplex
1924 Colfax Ave S, Minneapolis $2,550 4 / 2 1,574 1.7 mi 2026-07-08 Apartment
3714 Kipling Ave S, Saint Louis Park $2,300 4 / 2 1,642 2.5 mi 2025-10-15 Multi family

3 bed estimate $2,700/mo · range $2,150–$2,700 · 18 rentals within 3 mi

AddressRentBd / BaSq ftDistanceListedType
3329 Nicollet Ave Unit A, Minneapolis $2,499 3 / 2.5 1,400 0.4 mi 2026-06-05 Apartment
3552 Irving Ave S, Minneapolis $2,795 3 / 2 1,660 0.9 mi 2026-09-25 Apartment
2550 Pillsbury Ave S, Minneapolis $1,950 3 / 2 2,000 1.2 mi 2026-07-10 Apartment
2835 11th Ave S, Minneapolis $1,700 3 / 2 1,166 1.5 mi 2026-05-21 Apartment
2900 Thomas Ave S, Minneapolis $4,720 3 / 2 1,399 1.7 mi 2025-06-30 Apartment
400 W Franklin Ave Apt 2, Minneapolis $1,495 3 / 2 1,450 1.7 mi 2026-09-22 Apartment
3118 W Lake St, Minneapolis $3,125 3 / 2 1,460 1.8 mi 2026-02-25 Apartment
415 Oak Grove St, Minneapolis $3,360 3 / 2 1,192 2.0 mi 2024-04-12 Apartment
4412 Washburn Ave S # 2, Minneapolis $2,950 3 / 2 1,500 2.0 mi — Apartment
3430 List Pl, Minneapolis $3,125 3 / 2.5 1,616 2.0 mi 2026-08-17 Apartment

On the maps, this property and comparable rentals. Comparable rentals and rent estimate: Realtor.com rental listings. Rents are asking rents from listings; check them against the actual leases.

Red flags and opportunities

Watch for

  • highListing says four units, but county records and the rental license show three. The extra studio may not be a legal, licensed unit, and its rent may not count. Listing says: with an extra studio/storage space · AI review
  • mediumTotal rent is stated with no unit breakdown or lease terms. Verify against leases and bank deposits. Listing says: Current gross rents total $7,650 per month, or $91,800 annually. · AI review
  • mediumTaxes are $14.7K a year at the non-homestead rate. That is a heavy expense load against the income. Based on: data: county.tax · AI review
  • mediumPricing sits above the county value and well above the 2020 sale price. Break-even price is below the ask. Based on: data: underwriting.break_even_price · AI review
  • low$423 in special assessments on the current tax bill (often street, sewer or code-enforcement charges). Ask what they're for, whether they continue, and whether the seller pays them off at closing. Public record: Hennepin County parcel 0302824320126: special assessments (current) = $422.92

Opportunities

  • Long time on market: room to negotiate. Based on: Listing data: 133 days on market, 3 price cuts
  • Separately meter water so tenants pay their own usage. Verify cost and feasibility first. Listing says: water can be separately metered so tenants cover their own usage · AI review
  • Minneapolis has no rent cap, so rents can follow the market. Based on: data: underwriting.rent_rule · AI review
  • 133 days on market suggests room to negotiate toward the break-even price. Based on: data: listing.days_on_market · AI review

Questions for the agent

  • Is the fourth space a studio or just storage, and is it on the rental license? Who is paying rent for it?
  • Can I see the rent roll, leases, and 12 months of expenses?
  • Is water on one meter? What does the owner pay per year, and what would it cost to separate?
  • What are the $423 special assessments for, and does the seller pay them off at closing?
  • Why has it sat 133 days, and have there been price cuts or offers?
  • What is the age of the roof, furnaces, and water heaters?

Bottom line

Newer building with real rent, but a four-unit claim that records don't support, and at $825K it barely misses break-even. AI-assisted summary

What the records say

Where each number comes from

Property tax / yr Public recordHennepin County record, current payable year (non-homestead)$14,668
Insurance / yr Estimateestimate. from units, square feet and age; get a quote$3,925
Water, sewer, trash / mo Estimateestimate. $85/unit/mo, owner-paid$255
Heat / mo Assumptionassumption. tenants pay heat; confirm with the agent$0
Lawn care / mo Assumptionassumption. $120/mo for 6 months, spread over 12; no snow removal$60
Repairs / capital reserve Rulerule. 10 bedrooms: +1 pt repairs for wear9% / 8%

Price history Realtor.com

On the market since 2026-03-23 (196 days); down $100,000 (10.8%) from the first ask of $925,000; last sold for $685,000 on 2020-01-02; listed for rent at $2,100/mo on 2015-03-05.

DateEventPrice
Price changed$825,000
Removed$950,000
Removed$925,000
Removed$964,900
Relisted$849,900
Removed—
Listed$849,900
Removed—
Listed$925,000
Sold$685,000
Relisted$649,900
Removed$649,900
Listed$649,900
Rental removed$2,100/mo
Listed for rent$2,100/mo
Sold public record$458,000
Rental removed$2,100/mo
Listed for rent$2,100/mo
Sold public record$445,000
Sold public record$267,886
Sold public record$870,000
Sold public record$210,000
Sold public record$142,000
Sold public record$49,500

County record Public record

Recorded astriplex
Living units3
Year built2005
Market value (2026)$772,400
Property tax$14,668
Special assessments$423
Homesteadno
Last sale2020-01-01 · $685,000

Source: Hennepin County parcel records.

City rental license

CHOWN: 3 unit(s), Tier 1, status active, renews 2027-03-01.

Nearest highway

I 35W, about 780 m away.

Crime in Lyndale

473 incidents in the last 12 months (66 per 1,000 residents), −2% vs. the year before. Minneapolis police incidents, all reported offenses (definitions differ from St. Paul's, so don't compare across cities).