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362 Maria Ave

Duplex · 2 units: 2 bed / 1 bath ×2 unit split estimated · 1,904 sq ft

Saint Paul, MN · Dayton's Bluff · View the listing ↗

Overpriced

Photos, via Realtor.com.

Asking price
$320,000
2 units · $160K per unit
Monthly cash flow
−$407
at 20% down, 7%
Estimated rent
$2,950/mo
low confidence · 7 rentals within 0.75 mi
Break-even price
$243,503
where cash flow hits $0

Adjust the numbers See the full breakdown

First look

This is a 1884 up/down duplex in Dayton's Bluff, listed 4 days at $320K. Our numbers show about -$407/month at ask and a 4.9% cap rate, with a break-even price near $243,500, so it doesn't work at today's rates without a cut. The seller paid $290K in April 2023, so they want about $30K more after three years. The listing gives no rents, no lease terms and no roof or panel details, which is a lot to be missing. Ask for the rent roll, furnace ages and whether heat is one system or two. Worth a showing only if the rents come in well above our $1,475 per unit estimate and the price has room to move.

Things to consider

  1. Negative cash flow at ask Our model shows about -$407/month, with a break-even price near $244K. You'd be paying roughly $76K over what the rents support.
  2. No rents or lease info Without a rent roll you can't verify income. If the unit is occupied, St. Paul's 3% cap limits rent increases on sitting tenants.
  3. Systems claims need proof Newer furnaces and windows are good if documented. An 1884 building can still hide old wiring, plumbing and foundation problems.Listing says: “Recent improvements include newer furnaces and windows, providing added efficiency and peace of mind.”
  4. Non-homestead taxes and assessments Taxes are already $6,442 on the non-homestead bill, plus $812 in assessments. That eats into net income.
  5. Seller's quick flip The seller paid $290K in 2023 and now asks $320K. That leaves little cushion unless rents have risen significantly.

From the photos

Listing photo 1
1 of 7Check

Exterior is painted wood siding with a porch and trim. Paint looks fresh, but check the wood and porch for rot underneath.

Listing photo 3
2 of 7Concern

Lower kitchen has a laminate counter, an older-style electric range and new-looking vinyl plank floor. It's functional but dated, so 'updated' is mostly cosmetic.

Listing photo 5
3 of 7Plus

In-unit washer and dryer sit in a closet off the kitchen. This is a plus for tenants.

Listing photo 6
4 of 7Plus

Living room has hardwood floors in decent shape and a wall thermostat. Hardwoods hold up well.

Listing photo 8
5 of 7Plus

Bathroom has a tiled tub surround with a glass door and a newer-looking vanity. It appears recently refreshed.

Listing photo 9
6 of 7Check

Upper unit has a sloped ceiling, a second kitchen with a black fridge and dark vinyl plank floor, and appears occupied. That confirms two kitchens, but it's a tighter attic-style layout.

Listing photo 1
7 of 7Check

No photos of the furnaces, panels, roof, basement or foundation, so the 'major updates' claim can't be confirmed.

Based on 10 of the listing photos. Photos can hide as much as they show; an inspection is the real answer.

Condition and repairs

  • doneNewer furnacesListing says: Recent improvements include newer furnaces and windows, providing added efficiency and peace of mind.
  • doneNewer windowsListing says: Recent improvements include newer furnaces and windows, providing added efficiency and peace of mind.
  • doneUpdated kitchensListing says: Both units offer spacious layouts with updated kitchens, comfortable living areas, and convenient in-unit laundry.

AI-assisted first read of the listing description and photos (Claude), checked against public records. Every rent and repair above quotes the listing; verify with the agent, leases and an inspection.

The numbers

Down payment %
Offer $
Management
Interest rate %
Edit rents, costs and assumptions

Default: 20% down (no PMI), offer at asking, self-managed, 7.00% for 30 years, buyer pays closing costs (3%).

The deal

Price
$320,000
Cash to close
$73,600
Price per unit
$160,000
GRM
9.0

Each month

Cash flow
−$407/mo
Cash-on-cash
−6.6%
Cap rate
4.9%
DSCR
0.76×

Break-even

Price that breaks even
$243,503
Rent that breaks even
$3,479/mo

Long run

Year 30: property vs stocks
$896K vs $731K
Cash flow turns positive
year 12

Monthly

Monthly breakdown

Rent$2,950
Vacancy (6%)−$177
Collected$2,773
Property tax Public record−$537
Insurance Estimate−$209
Water, sewer, trash Estimate−$170
Lawn care ($120 × 6 mo ÷ 12)−$60
Repairs (8% of rent)−$236
Capital reserve (9% of rent)−$266
Net operating income$1,296
Mortgage (principal + interest)−$1,703
Cash flow−$407
Principal paid down (equity, not cash)$217

Cash flow each year

Rents +3%/yr (St. Paul's cap for sitting tenants), costs +3.5%/yr. Red bars are months you'd cover out of pocket.

30 years

How those totals add up

If you buy this building$896,360
Your equity when you sell
$730,121

Sells for $776,724 (value up 3% a year), minus 6% selling cost ($46,603). Rent paid down $256,000 of loan.

Rental profits, invested at 7%
$166,239

$108,928 of cash flow over 30 years, plus what it earned invested.

Same money in stocks$730,969
Cash to close, invested at 7%
$560,262

$73,600 put into an index fund instead of the down payment and closing costs.

Monthly shortfalls, invested
$170,707

$29,541 you'd have paid in while the building lost money, invested instead.

The building comes out $165,391 ahead after 30 years.

Future dollars. At 3% inflation, divide year-30 figures by about 2.4 for today's buying power. Rental profits are assumed invested, not spent.

30 years: this property vs. the same money in stocks

This propertyStocks at 7%

Year 30 (loan paid off): property $896K, stocks $731K. The property wins.

Comparable rentals

The closest rental listings with each unit's bedroom count, as of 2026-10-06. The estimate is the median asking rent of every rental we found nearby (the count is shown for each); houses are left out. Asking rents from Realtor.com rental listings, not signed leases.

2 bed estimate $1,475/mo · range $1,225–$1,525 · 7 rentals within 0.75 mi

AddressRentBd / BaSq ftDistanceListedType
701 E 3rd St, Saint Paul $1,099 2 / 1 880 0.1 mi 2024-04-15 Apartment
283-289 Bates Ave, Saint Paul $1,124 2 / 1 711 0.2 mi 2026-04-29 Apartment
665 Bedford St Unit 2, Saint Paul $1,400 2 / 1 800 0.4 mi 2023-12-20 Duplex triplex
207 N Maple St, Saint Paul $1,150 2 / 1 600 0.5 mi 2026-03-12 Apartment
685 Burr St, Saint Paul $1,450 2 / 1 750 0.5 mi 2026-04-08 Apartment
468 Beaumont St E Unit 4, Saint Paul $1,350 2 / 1 800 0.5 mi 2026-07-10 Apartment
948 Euclid St Unit 1, Saint Paul $1,400 2 / 1 972 0.6 mi 2026-09-23 Apartment

On the maps, this property and comparable rentals. Comparable rentals and rent estimate: Realtor.com rental listings. Rents are asking rents from listings; check them against the actual leases.

Red flags and opportunities

Watch for

  • highPrice is well above the 2023 sale and above our break-even; cash flow is negative at ask. Based on: data: underwriting.break_even_price · AI review
  • mediumRental license shows Pending status. Confirm it is current and covers both units. Based on: data: city.rental_license · AI review
  • mediumBuilt in 1884, so wiring, plumbing and foundation age are unknown. The listing says nothing about them. Based on: data: listing.year_built · AI review
  • low$812 in special assessments on the payable 2026 tax bill (often street, sewer or code-enforcement charges). Ask what they're for, whether they continue, and whether the seller pays them off at closing. Public record: Ramsey County parcel 322922130081: special assessments (payable 2026) = $811.88
  • lowHighway is about 250 m away, so expect road noise that may affect rents and resale. Based on: data: highway.distance_m · AI review

Opportunities

  • In-unit laundry in both units is a draw for tenants. Listing says: convenient in-unit laundry · AI review
  • Long driveway gives off-street parking, which helps leasing in this area. Listing says: a long driveway offering plenty of off-street parking along with a usable backyard · AI review
  • Owner-occupant option: live in one unit and rent the other, which may improve the financing and the monthly math. Listing says: Live in one unit and rent out the other or add a solid duplex to your investment portfolio! · AI review

Questions for the agent

  • What are the current rents, lease end dates and deposits for each unit? Any month-to-month?
  • What are the $812 in special assessments for, and does the seller pay them at closing?
  • How old are the furnaces, windows, roof, water heaters and electrical panels?
  • Is heat separate for each unit, and who pays each utility?
  • Is the rental license for two units active, and why is it pending?
  • Why is the seller asking about $30K more than the 2023 purchase price?

Bottom line

A cosmetically updated 1884 duplex that loses money at $320K; it only works if rents beat our estimate or the price drops toward $244K. AI-assisted summary

What the records say

Where each number comes from

Property tax / yr Public recordRamsey County record, payable 2026 (non-homestead)$6,442
Insurance / yr Estimateestimate. from units, square feet and age; get a quote$2,504
Water, sewer, trash / mo Estimateestimate. $85/unit/mo, owner-paid$170
Heat / mo Assumptionassumption. tenants pay heat; confirm with the agent$0
Lawn care / mo Assumptionassumption. $120/mo for 6 months, spread over 12; no snow removal$60
Repairs / capital reserve Rulerule. built 1884: +1 pt capital reserve8% / 9%

Price history Realtor.com

On the market since 2026-10-01 (4 days); last sold for $319,000 on 2023-04-21.

DateEventPrice
Listed$320,000
Sold public record$319,000
Sold$290,000
Removed$100,000
Price changed$100,000
Price changed$130,000
Price changed$150,000
Listed$199,000
Sold public record$95,000
Sold public record$269,900
Sold public record$182,400

County record Public record

Recorded astwo family dwelling - up/dwn
Living units2
Year built1884
Market value (2026)$303,800
Property tax, payable 2026$6,442
Special assessments$812
Homesteadno
Last sale2023-04-17 · $290,000

Source: Ramsey County parcel records.

City rental certificate (CofO)

Residential 2 Units: 2 unit(s), A, status pending, renews 2028-06-30.

Nearest highway

I 94;US 10, about 253 m away.

Crime in Dayton's Bluff

970 incidents in the last 12 months (52 per 1,000 residents), −6% vs. the year before. St. Paul police incidents, excluding proactive visits and community events.