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4230 39th Ave S

Duplex · 2 units: 3 bed and 1 bed · 2,484 sq ft

Minneapolis, MN · Hiawatha · View the listing ↗

Overpriced

Photos, via Realtor.com.

Asking price
$449,000
2 units · $224K per unit
Monthly cash flow
−$577
at 20% down, 7%
Estimated rent
$3,675/mo
medium confidence · 8 rentals within 3 mi
Break-even price
$340,587
where cash flow hits $0

Adjust the numbers See the full breakdown

First look

This one is priced like a house-hack, not an investment. At $449K, our numbers show about -$597 a month and a 4.8% cap rate, and break-even is near $336.9K. Our rent estimates are $2,050 for the 3-bed and $1,600 for the 1-bed, about $3,650 combined, which can't carry this price at today's rates. The description gives no rents or lease terms, so ask for those first. The floor plan shows a kitchen on the second floor and a basement with a bedroom and bath, and the lower-level bedroom needs verifying. The listing also says new roof and siding, and photos back that up, but get dates and permits. Worth a showing only if you plan to live there and the price comes down hard.

Things to consider

  1. Price far above what rents support Our estimate of about $3,650 combined rent against a $449K price gives negative cash flow near $597 a month. Only a big price cut or owner-occupancy changes that.
  2. Rents and leases are unknown Without a rent roll you can't verify income or whether tenants are month-to-month. Our estimates are only estimates.
  3. Recent exterior and mechanical updates reduce near-term capex A new roof, siding and heat exchanger lower surprise repair risk, but confirm dates and permits.Listing says: “Recent updates include a new roof, siding, gutters, and a furnace with a new heat exchanger”
  4. Interiors look dated Carpet and original-style trim suggest budget for cosmetic updates before pushing rents toward the top of the range.From photo 4
  5. Lower-level bedroom legality affects value and rent If the basement doesn't count as a legal bedroom, the 3-bed rent estimate of $2,050 may be too high.Listing says: “The egress-equipped lower level adds flexibility for a family room, additional bedroom, home office, or hobby space”
  6. Seller has a very low basis and lots of room to negotiate A 1996 purchase at $102K means the seller can accept a much lower price and still profit.

From the photos

Listing photo 9
1 of 7Plus

Roof shingles and vinyl siding look recent and clean, matching the listing's updates

Listing photo 4
2 of 7Concern

Main unit interior has wall-to-wall carpet, textured ceilings and dated oak trim; appears original-era finishes

Listing photo 2
3 of 7Check

Floor plan shows two kitchens (main and 2nd floor) plus a basement bedroom and bath; unit count and legality of the lower level need checking

Listing photo 6
4 of 7Check

Furnace and ductwork in basement look older; the unit appears to be a single forced-air system with a cast-iron stack and brick and stone walls

Listing photo 8
5 of 7Plus

Detached 2-car garage with a concrete driveway gives off-street parking

Listing photo 10
6 of 7Check

Wood deck and stairs look worn and the second-floor unit has a separate exterior entrance

Listing photo 1
7 of 7Check

No photos of kitchens, bathrooms, the upstairs unit or the electrical panel

Based on 10 of the listing photos. Photos can hide as much as they show; an inspection is the real answer.

Condition and repairs

  • doneNew roofListing says: Recent updates include a new roof, siding, gutters, and a furnace with a new heat exchanger
  • doneSiding and gutters replacedListing says: Recent updates include a new roof, siding, gutters, and a furnace with a new heat exchanger
  • doneFurnace with new heat exchangerListing says: a furnace with a new heat exchanger, giving you real peace of mind from day one

AI-assisted first read of the listing description and photos (Claude), checked against public records. Every rent and repair above quotes the listing; verify with the agent, leases and an inspection.

The numbers

Down payment %
Offer $
Management
Interest rate %
Edit rents, costs and assumptions

Default: 20% down (no PMI), offer at asking, self-managed, 7.00% for 30 years, buyer pays closing costs (3%).

The deal

Price
$449,000
Cash to close
$103,270
Price per unit
$224,500
GRM
10.2

Each month

Cash flow
−$577/mo
Cash-on-cash
−6.7%
Cap rate
4.8%
DSCR
0.76×

Break-even

Price that breaks even
$340,587
Rent that breaks even
$4,415/mo

Long run

Year 30: property vs stocks
$1.28M vs $1.02M
Cash flow turns positive
year 12

Monthly

Monthly breakdown

Rent$3,675
Vacancy (6%)−$220
Collected$3,454
Property tax Public record−$622
Insurance Estimate−$202
Water, sewer, trash Estimate−$170
Lawn care ($120 × 6 mo ÷ 12)−$60
Repairs (8% of rent)−$294
Capital reserve (8% of rent)−$294
Net operating income$1,813
Mortgage (principal + interest)−$2,390
Cash flow−$577
Principal paid down (equity, not cash)$304

Cash flow each year

Rents +3%/yr, costs +3.5%/yr. Red bars are months you'd cover out of pocket.

30 years

How those totals add up

If you buy this building$1,276,669
Your equity when you sell
$1,024,451

Sells for $1,089,841 (value up 3% a year), minus 6% selling cost ($65,390). Rent paid down $359,200 of loan.

Rental profits, invested at 7%
$252,219

$164,479 of cash flow over 30 years, plus what it earned invested.

Same money in stocks$1,024,525
Cash to close, invested at 7%
$786,118

$103,270 put into an index fund instead of the down payment and closing costs.

Monthly shortfalls, invested
$238,408

$41,068 you'd have paid in while the building lost money, invested instead.

The building comes out $252,144 ahead after 30 years.

Future dollars. At 3% inflation, divide year-30 figures by about 2.4 for today's buying power. Rental profits are assumed invested, not spent.

30 years: this property vs. the same money in stocks

This propertyStocks at 7%

Year 30 (loan paid off): property $1.28M, stocks $1.02M. The property wins.

Comparable rentals

The closest rental listings with each unit's bedroom count, as of 2026-10-06. The estimate is the median asking rent of every rental we found nearby (the count is shown for each); houses are left out. Asking rents from Realtor.com rental listings, not signed leases.

3 bed estimate $2,075/mo · range $1,850–$2,325 · 15 rentals within 3 mi

AddressRentBd / BaSq ftDistanceListedType
3345 36th Ave S Unit 1, Minneapolis $1,600 3 / 1 1,500 1.1 mi 2026-09-21 Apartment
3015 29th Ave S, Minneapolis $2,260 3 / 1 1,168 1.6 mi 2026-09-27 Multi family
5100 Bloomington Ave S, Minneapolis $1,900 3 / 1 1,231 2.0 mi 2026-09-22 Multi family
2513 29th Ave S Unit 2, Minneapolis $2,150 3 / 2 1,000 2.2 mi — Apartment
1838 Portland Ave, Saint Paul $1,950 3 / 1 — 2.2 mi 2026-07-27 Apartment
1849 Portland Ave S, Saint Paul $1,795 3 / 1 925 2.2 mi 2024-04-15 Apartment
2742 18th Ave S, Minneapolis $1,850 3 / 1 1,270 2.4 mi 2026-09-08 Apartment
2835 11th Ave S, Minneapolis $1,700 3 / 2 1,166 2.6 mi 2026-05-21 Apartment
2500 17th Ave S Unit 2, Minneapolis $1,200 3 / 1 — 2.7 mi 2026-06-05 Apartment
1735 Graham Ave, Saint Paul $2,185 3 / 2 1,568 2.8 mi 2024-04-12 Apartment

1 bed estimate $1,600/mo · range $1,525–$1,775 · 8 rentals within 0.75 mi

AddressRentBd / BaSq ftDistanceListedType
3625 E 43rd St, Minneapolis $1,750 1 / 1 858 0.2 mi 2025-01-03 Apartment
4052 Minnehaha Ave, Minneapolis $1,100 1 / 1 650 0.3 mi — Apartment
4444 Minnehaha Ave, Minneapolis $1,375 1 / 1 720 0.3 mi 2026-05-08 Apartment
4603 Minnehaha Ave, Minneapolis $1,484 1 / 1 590 0.5 mi 2026-05-01 Apartment
4621 Snelling Ave, Minneapolis $1,623 1 / 1 724 0.5 mi 2024-04-12 Apartment
4020 Nawadaha Blvd, Minneapolis $1,570 1 / 1 550 0.6 mi 2024-04-12 Apartment
4757 Hiawatha Ave, Minneapolis $1,410 1 / 1 575 0.6 mi 2026-04-07 Apartment
3815 Hiawatha Ave, Minneapolis $1,422 1 / 1 568 0.7 mi 2026-07-31 Apartment

On the maps, this property and comparable rentals. Comparable rentals and rent estimate: Realtor.com rental listings. Rents are asking rents from listings; check them against the actual leases.

Red flags and opportunities

Watch for

  • mediumBasement bedroom and bath may not count as legal living space; main unit's '3 bedrooms' may depend on it Listing says: The egress-equipped lower level adds flexibility for a family room, additional bedroom, home office, or hobby space · AI review
  • mediumHeating looks like one furnace system; the heat exchanger was replaced rather than the furnace, so age is unclear Listing says: a furnace with a new heat exchanger · AI review
  • lowTax bill is already non-homestead and high relative to rents Based on: data: county.tax · AI review

Opportunities

  • The seller bought for $102,000 in May 1996, so they can take a lower offer and still come out well ahead. Public record: Hennepin County parcel 0702823420143: last sale 1996-05-01, $102,000
  • Owner-occupy the main unit and rent the 1-bed upstairs to offset costs Listing says: Whether you're looking to owner-occupy, house-hack, or expand your rental portfolio · AI review
  • Garage shop with 220-amp service could earn extra rent or serve a trade user Listing says: the 2.5-car garage includes a fantastic shop space with 220-amp service · AI review
  • Minneapolis has no rent cap, so rents can move with the market Based on: data: underwriting.rent_rule · AI review

Questions for the agent

  • What are the current rents and lease end dates for each unit, and is either month-to-month?
  • Who pays heat, electric and water, and are there separate meters and furnaces for each unit?
  • When were the roof, siding and heat exchanger done, and are permits on file?
  • Is the basement bedroom legal, and how many bedrooms does the rental license list?
  • Is the upstairs unit separately metered and does it have its own heat?
  • Why has the seller listed at $449K when county market value is $393K?

Bottom line

Nicely updated on the outside, but at $449K the rents can't support it; only makes sense as an owner-occupied house-hack at a much lower price. AI-assisted summary

What the records say

Where each number comes from

Property tax / yr Public recordHennepin County record, current payable year (non-homestead)$7,464
Insurance / yr Estimateestimate. from units, square feet and age; get a quote$2,421
Water, sewer, trash / mo Estimateestimate. $85/unit/mo, owner-paid$170
Heat / mo Assumptionassumption. tenants pay heat; confirm with the agent$0
Lawn care / mo Assumptionassumption. $120/mo for 6 months, spread over 12; no snow removal$60
Repairs / capital reserve Rulerule. base rate8% / 8%

Price history Realtor.com

On the market since 2026-09-04 (31 days); last sold for $102,000 on 1996-05-28.

DateEventPrice
Listed$449,000
Sold public record$102,000
Sold public record$22,751

County record Public record

Recorded asduplex
Living units2
Year built1925
Market value (2026)$393,000
Property tax$7,464
Special assessmentsnone
Homesteadno
Last sale1996-05-01 · $102,000

Source: Hennepin County parcel records.

City rental license

CHOWNEXMPT: 2 unit(s), Tier 1, status active, renews 2027-03-01.

Nearest highway

MN 55, about 422 m away.

Crime in Hiawatha

370 incidents in the last 12 months (59 per 1,000 residents), −10% vs. the year before. Minneapolis police incidents, all reported offenses (definitions differ from St. Paul's, so don't compare across cities).