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429 5th Ave S

Duplex · 2 units: 2 bed ×2 · 1,442 sq ft

South Saint Paul, MN · View the listing ↗

Overpriced

Photos courtesy of Keller Williams Realty, via Realtor.com.

Asking price
$350,000
2 units · $175K per unit
Monthly cash flow
−$461
at 20% down, 7%
Estimated rent
$2,800/mo
medium confidence · 10 rentals within 1.5 mi
Break-even price
$263,437
where cash flow hits $0

Adjust the numbers See the full breakdown

First look

This is a 2-bed/2-bed up/down in South St. Paul asking $350K, and at that price it doesn't work. Our underwriting at 20% down shows about -$461/month cash flow and a 4.8% cap rate, and break-even is near $263K, roughly $87K below ask. Our rent estimate is about $1,400 per unit, and the listing gives no actual rents or lease terms. It has been on the market 52 days. The interiors look clean and updated, but the description says 'no imminent work required' without naming roof, boiler or panel ages. Before a showing, get the rent roll, the real tax bill, the heating setup and whether each unit has separate meters. Only worth pursuing if the price drops hard or you plan to live in one unit.

Things to consider

  1. Price vs. rents At ask, cash flow is about -$461 a month with a 4.8% cap rate. You'd be paying about $87K over break-even, so the property needs a large price cut to work as an investment.
  2. Income is unverified No rents or leases are stated. Our estimate of about $1,400 per 2-bed is the only guide, so ask for a rent roll before building a budget.
  3. Systems are unknown The listing says no work is needed but gives no ages for the roof, heat or electrical. A 1940 build means older wiring and plumbing are possible, and replacements are costly.Listing says: “no imminent work required”
  4. Taxes are unverified The address didn't match a county parcel, so tax and unit count are unconfirmed. Taxes for an investor can run higher than the seller's bill.
  5. House-hack angle Owner-occupant financing and living in one unit can make the numbers more workable than a pure investment.Listing says: “A house hackers dream property!”

From the photos

Listing photo 1
1 of 8Check

Exterior is painted stucco-style siding with a newer-looking asphalt shingle roof; it appears in decent shape, but age is unknown.

Listing photo 1
2 of 8Concern

Window air conditioners are visible in the front windows, so the building appears to have no central cooling in at least the upper unit.

Listing photo 5
3 of 8Plus

Kitchen has white cabinets, laminate-looking counters, plank-style flooring and a gas range; it is updated cosmetically but not high-end.

Listing photo 4
4 of 8Plus

Hardwood floors in the living room look in good condition.

Listing photo 7
5 of 8Plus

Bathroom has a newer vanity and tile floor; it looks clean and recent.

Listing photo 9
6 of 8Check

Basement has block walls, glass-block windows, exposed joists and ductwork, so forced air appears to be the heat. Ceiling height looks low for finishing.

Listing photo 10
7 of 8Check

Laundry is in the basement with a utility sink, and exposed wiring and pipes overhead are visible. It is unclear whether laundry is shared or per unit.

Listing photo 10
8 of 8Check

No photos of the upper unit, furnace, water heater or electrical panel are shown, so those systems can't be judged.

Based on 10 of the listing photos. Photos can hide as much as they show; an inspection is the real answer.

Condition and repairs

  • doneRenovated main-level bathroomListing says: a newly renovated bathroom
  • doneUpdated main-level kitchenListing says: an updated kitchen

AI-assisted first read of the listing description and photos (Claude), checked against public records. Every rent and repair above quotes the listing; verify with the agent, leases and an inspection.

The numbers

Down payment %
Offer $
Management
Interest rate %
Edit rents, costs and assumptions

Default: 20% down (no PMI), offer at asking, self-managed, 7.00% for 30 years, buyer pays closing costs (3%).

The deal

Price
$350,000
Cash to close
$80,500
Price per unit
$175,000
GRM
10.4

Each month

Cash flow
−$461/mo
Cash-on-cash
−6.9%
Cap rate
4.8%
DSCR
0.75×

Break-even

Price that breaks even
$263,437
Rent that breaks even
$3,391/mo

Long run

Year 30: property vs stocks
$990K vs $806K
Cash flow turns positive
year 12

Monthly

Monthly breakdown

Rent$2,800
Vacancy (6%)−$168
Collected$2,632
Property tax Listing−$372
Insurance Estimate−$180
Water, sewer, trash Estimate−$170
Lawn care ($120 × 6 mo ÷ 12)−$60
Repairs (8% of rent)−$224
Capital reserve (8% of rent)−$224
Net operating income$1,402
Mortgage (principal + interest)−$1,863
Cash flow−$461
Principal paid down (equity, not cash)$237

Cash flow each year

Rents +3%/yr, costs +3.5%/yr. Red bars are months you'd cover out of pocket.

30 years

How those totals add up

If you buy this building$989,660
Your equity when you sell
$798,569

Sells for $849,542 (value up 3% a year), minus 6% selling cost ($50,973). Rent paid down $280,000 of loan.

Rental profits, invested at 7%
$191,090

$125,416 of cash flow over 30 years, plus what it earned invested.

Same money in stocks$806,469
Cash to close, invested at 7%
$612,787

$80,500 put into an index fund instead of the down payment and closing costs.

Monthly shortfalls, invested
$193,682

$33,534 you'd have paid in while the building lost money, invested instead.

The building comes out $183,191 ahead after 30 years.

Future dollars. At 3% inflation, divide year-30 figures by about 2.4 for today's buying power. Rental profits are assumed invested, not spent.

30 years: this property vs. the same money in stocks

This propertyStocks at 7%

Year 30 (loan paid off): property $990K, stocks $806K. The property wins.

Comparable rentals

The closest rental listings with each unit's bedroom count, as of 2026-10-06. The estimate is the median asking rent of every rental we found nearby (the count is shown for each); houses are left out. Asking rents from Realtor.com rental listings, not signed leases.

2 bed estimate $1,400/mo · range $1,225–$1,550 · 10 rentals within 1.5 mi

AddressRentBd / BaSq ftDistanceListedType
614 1st Ave S Unit 1, South Saint Paul $1,335 2 / 1 1,000 0.3 mi — Apartment
1028 8th Ave S, South Saint Paul $1,175 2 / 1 785 0.8 mi 2026-01-16 Apartment
233 Buron Ln, South Saint Paul $1,150 2 / 1 575 1.0 mi 2025-01-03 Apartment
138 Dwane St Apt 3, South Saint Paul $1,450 2 / 1 1,300 1.0 mi 2026-10-02 Apartment
352 21st Ave S, South Saint Paul $1,025 2 / 1 780 1.0 mi 2025-02-27 Apartment
5480 Blackberry Trl, Inver Grove Heights $1,860 2 / 2 1,235 1.3 mi 2025-03-15 Apartment
2044 Oakdale Ave, West Saint Paul $1,435 2 / 1 982 1.5 mi 2025-01-03 Apartment
364 Marie Ave E, West Saint Paul $1,230 2 / 1 700 1.5 mi 2025-01-08 Apartment
1240 Bryant Ave, Saint Paul $1,349 2 / 1 800 1.5 mi 2025-01-03 Apartment
1926 Oakdale Ave, West Saint Paul $1,525 2 / 1 930 1.5 mi 2024-04-12 Apartment

On the maps, this property and comparable rentals. Comparable rentals and rent estimate: Realtor.com rental listings. Rents are asking rents from listings; check them against the actual leases.

Red flags and opportunities

Watch for

  • highPrice is far above what rents support; break-even is about $101K under ask. Based on: data: underwriting.break_even_price · AI review
  • mediumCouldn't match this address to a county parcel record, so taxes and unit count are unverified. Public record: County parcels: no match for 429 5TH AVE S
  • mediumNo rents, lease status or occupancy are given, so income is unverified. Listing says: Turnkey Investor or House-Hack Opportunity Near Roosevelt Field Park! · AI review
  • medium'No imminent work required' is a claim with no system ages (roof, heat, electrical, plumbing) backing it up. Listing says: no imminent work required · AI review
  • lowListing shows 4 bed / 3 bath but the description gives 1 bath per unit, so the bath count is unclear. Based on: data: listing.baths · AI review

Opportunities

  • Unfinished basement could add finished space or a storage or laundry amenity, though a legal extra unit is unlikely without egress and permits. Listing says: the full unfinished basement provides tremendous potential to add finished square footage · AI review
  • House-hack: live in one unit and let the other offset the mortgage. Listing says: A house hackers dream property! · AI review
  • No rent cap lets rents rise with the market. Based on: data: underwriting.rent_rule · AI review

Questions for the agent

  • Are both units occupied? What are the current rents, lease end dates and deposits?
  • Who pays heat, water, electric and trash? Are there separate meters and separate furnaces?
  • What are the ages of the roof, furnace(s), water heater and electrical panel?
  • What are the actual property taxes, and is the city rental license in place for two units?
  • Why has it sat 52 days, and has the price changed?
  • Is the basement legally finished or usable, and has there been any water in it?

Bottom line

Tidy, updated-looking up/down, but $350K is about $87K more than the rents support, so it only works as a house-hack at a lower price. AI-assisted summary

What the records say

Where each number comes from

Property tax / yr Listinglisting, tax year 2026. The tax the listing states. If the seller lives there it may be at the lower homestead rate; an investor owner pays the non-homestead rate, often 20–40% more on the owner's unit.$4,462
Insurance / yr Estimateestimate. from units, square feet and age; get a quote$2,160
Water, sewer, trash / mo Estimateestimate. $85/unit/mo, owner-paid$170
Heat / mo Assumptionassumption. tenants pay heat; confirm with the agent$0
Lawn care / mo Assumptionassumption. $120/mo for 6 months, spread over 12; no snow removal$60
Repairs / capital reserve Rulerule. base rate8% / 8%

Price history Realtor.com

On the market since 2026-08-14 (52 days); down $25,000 (6.7%) from the first ask of $375,000; last sold for $335,000 on 2022-06-28.

DateEventPrice
Price changed$350,000
Price changed$370,000
Listed$375,000
Sold$335,000
Listed$325,000
Sold$157,000
Listed$169,000
Sold public record$155,000
Sold public record$44,500

From the listing Listing

Listed asduplex up and down
Property tax, 2026$4,462
CountyDakota
Parcel number366430010080

As the listing states it (NorthstarMLS, via Realtor.com). We don't have county records here yet; check the tax, homestead status and special assessments with the county.

Crime, rental-license and vacant-building records are only available for St. Paul and Minneapolis so far. Check with South Saint Paul on rental licensing before you buy.

Nearest highway

I 494, about 1102 m away.