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485 Belvidere St E

Fourplex · 4 units: 2 bed / 1 bath ×2 and 1 bed / 1 bath ×2 unit split estimated · 3,600 sq ft

Saint Paul, MN · West Side (Cherokee Heights, District del Sol) · View the listing ↗

Cash flows

Photos, via Realtor.com.

Asking price
$425,000
4 units · $106K per unit
Monthly cash flow
$704
at 20% down, 7%
Estimated rent
$4,650/mo
medium confidence
Break-even price
$557,281
where cash flow hits $0

Adjust the numbers See the full breakdown

First look

This is a 4-plex priced at $425K, the same price the seller paid in July 2023, and it has sat 190 days. Our underwriting shows about $704/month cash flow and an 8.4% cap rate, but that leans on a tax bill of $1,703 that depends on the 4d affordable housing program. The listing gives no actual rents, so the income side is unproven, and it says rents are "below market ceiling" without a number. Get the rent roll, the 4d covenant terms and the trailing-12 expenses before anything else. The photos show a tidy renovated unit, but the building is 1893 and nothing shows the boiler, panel or roof, so it's worth a showing only if the paperwork holds up.

Things to consider

  1. 4d program drives the tax bill and the rents The low tax basis props up cash flow, but the covenant likely limits rents on some units and must be kept in compliance. Losing it would add thousands a year in taxes.Listing says: “The covenant transfers with the property, with estimated annual savings of $4,600+ over standard rates.”
  2. Rents are not disclosed Our estimate is about $4,650/month total at mid, but actual rents under 4d limits could be lower. The underwriting result is only as good as the real rent roll.
  3. Price equals the 2023 purchase The seller paid $425K in 2023 and has had no takers in 190 days. Our break-even price of about $557K suggests numbers pencil, but only if the rents and tax are real.
  4. Rent increases are capped at 3% for sitting tenants Leases run to mid-2026 through mid-2027, so upside is slow, and St. Paul's cap limits how fast rents catch up.Listing says: “All four tenants on signed leases (mid-2026 through mid-2027)”
  5. Old building with unseen systems 1893 construction with owner-paid water and sewer means plumbing and hidden repairs hit your costs directly. Budget for inspections of the roof, wiring and plumbing.Listing says: “landlord covers water/sewer and trash”

From the photos

Listing photo 8
1 of 7Plus

The only interior photos show one unit: white shaker cabinets, laminate counters, stainless fridge, gas range and tile floor. They appear to be a cosmetic refresh, not a full renovation.

Listing photo 9
2 of 7Check

Electric baseboard heaters are visible in the bedroom and kitchen. If tenants pay electric, that's fine for the owner, but check whether the other units match, since the facts list no heat type.

Listing photo 1
3 of 7Plus

Vinyl siding and asphalt shingles appear intact from the front, and the front building has a separate entry for each unit.

Listing photo 4
4 of 7Concern

The rear has a long wooden deck/porch with a steep stair that appears worn, and the siding looks tired. Inspect the deck, railings and egress.

Listing photo 3
5 of 7Check

The rear yard is bare dirt and gravel with no clear parking. The listing doesn't mention parking, so it looks like on-street only.

Listing photo 6
6 of 7Check

No photos of the other three units, bathrooms, basement, panel or mechanicals, so condition and the claim of no deferred maintenance can't be checked.

Listing photo 2
7 of 7Check

The corner lot sits near a hillside and the freeway. Check for drainage issues and noise.

Based on 10 of the listing photos. Photos can hide as much as they show; an inspection is the real answer.

Condition and repairs

  • doneNo deferred maintenance carried over; two units turned over mid-2025Listing says: all four units are performing well with no deferred maintenance carried over

AI-assisted first read of the listing description and photos (Claude), checked against public records. Every rent and repair above quotes the listing; verify with the agent, leases and an inspection.

The numbers

Down payment %
Offer $
Management
Interest rate %
Edit rents, costs and assumptions

Default: 20% down (no PMI), offer at asking, self-managed, 7.00% for 30 years, buyer pays closing costs (3%).

The deal

Price
$425,000
Cash to close
$97,750
Price per unit
$106,250
GRM
7.6

Each month

Cash flow
$704/mo
Cash-on-cash
8.6%
Cap rate
8.4%
DSCR
1.31×

Break-even

Price that breaks even
$557,281
Rent that breaks even
$3,736/mo

Long run

Year 30: property vs stocks
$2.96M vs $744K
Cash flow turns positive
year 1

Monthly

Monthly breakdown

Rent$4,650
Vacancy (6%)−$279
Collected$4,371
Property tax Public record−$142
Insurance Estimate−$412
Lawn care ($120 × 6 mo ÷ 12)−$60
Repairs (8% of rent)−$372
Capital reserve (9% of rent)−$418
Net operating income$2,966
Mortgage (principal + interest)−$2,262
Cash flow$704
Principal paid down (equity, not cash)$288

Cash flow each year

Rents +3%/yr (St. Paul's cap for sitting tenants), costs +3.5%/yr. Red bars are months you'd cover out of pocket.

30 years

How those totals add up

If you buy this building$2,962,771
Your equity when you sell
$969,692

Sells for $1,031,587 (value up 3% a year), minus 6% selling cost ($61,895). Rent paid down $340,000 of loan.

Rental profits, invested at 7%
$1,993,079

$849,181 of cash flow over 30 years, plus what it earned invested.

Same money in stocks$744,098
Cash to close, invested at 7%
$744,098

$97,750 put into an index fund instead of the down payment and closing costs.

The building comes out $2,218,673 ahead after 30 years.

Future dollars. At 3% inflation, divide year-30 figures by about 2.4 for today's buying power. Rental profits are assumed invested, not spent.

30 years: this property vs. the same money in stocks

This propertyStocks at 7%

Year 30 (loan paid off): property $2.96M, stocks $744K. The property wins.

Comparable rentals

Nearby rentals RentCast matched to each unit type, as of 2026-10-05. The estimate above is RentCast's, weighted toward the closest matches.

2 bed / 1 bath estimate $1,350/mo · range $1,075–$1,625

AddressRentBd / BaSq ftDistanceListedMatch
554 Bellows St, Saint Paul 55107 $1,075 2 / 1 — 1.4 mi 2025-06-23 92%
554 Bellows St, Apt 11, Saint Paul 55107 $1,075 2 / 1 — 1.4 mi 2026-10-02 92%
196 Mounds Blvd, Unit 8, Saint Paul 55106 off market $1,390 2 / 1 — 2.0 mi 2026-03-20 91%
421-423 Stanley St, Saint Paul 55118 off market $1,850 2 / 1 1,350 0.6 mi 2026-06-11 84%
149 Morton St E, Saint Paul 55107 $1,125 1 / 1 — 0.7 mi 2023-03-28 83%
654 Stryker Ave, Apt 1, Saint Paul 55107 off market $1,090 1 / 1 — 1.1 mi 2026-07-05 83%
654 Stryker Ave, Apt 3, Saint Paul 55107 off market $1,090 1 / 1 — 1.1 mi 2026-07-03 83%
1335 Oakdale Ave, West, Saint Paul 55118 $999 1 / 1 — 1.2 mi 2025-01-03 83%
65 George, Unit 1, Saint Paul 55107 off market $950 1 / 1 — 1.2 mi 2025-10-08 83%
352 Morton St W, Unit Upper, Saint Paul 55107 off market $1,600 2 / 1 1,350 1.7 mi 2022-05-25 82%

1 bed / 1 bath estimate $975/mo · range $925–$1,025

AddressRentBd / BaSq ftDistanceListedMatch
149 Morton St E, Saint Paul 55107 $1,125 1 / 1 — 0.7 mi 2023-03-28 93%
654 Stryker Ave, Apt 1, Saint Paul 55107 off market $1,090 1 / 1 — 1.1 mi 2026-07-05 92%
654 Stryker Ave, Apt 3, Saint Paul 55107 off market $1,090 1 / 1 — 1.1 mi 2026-07-03 92%
1335 Oakdale Ave, West, Saint Paul 55118 $999 1 / 1 — 1.2 mi 2025-01-03 92%
65 George, Unit 1, Saint Paul 55107 off market $950 1 / 1 — 1.2 mi 2025-10-08 92%
554 Bellows St, Apt 8, Saint Paul 55107 $1,000 1 / 1 — 1.4 mi 2026-10-05 92%
554 Bellows St, Apt 10, Saint Paul 55107 off market $1,075 1 / 1 — 1.4 mi 2026-05-01 92%
554 Bellows St, Apt 13, Saint Paul 55107 off market $1,025 1 / 1 — 1.4 mi 2026-04-03 92%
554 Bellows St, Saint Paul 55107 $1,075 2 / 1 — 1.4 mi 2025-06-23 82%
554 Bellows St, Apt 11, Saint Paul 55107 $1,075 2 / 1 — 1.4 mi 2026-10-02 82%

On the maps, this property and comparable rentals. Comparable rentals and rent estimate: RentCast. Rents are asking rents from listings; check them against the actual leases.

Red flags and opportunities

Watch for

  • highThe 4d tax program has strings: rent limits and income restrictions on some units. The tax savings are only worth it if the covenant terms work for you. Listing says: Enrolled in St. Paul's 4d Affordable Housing Incentive Program, featuring up to 80% reduction in property tax class rates. · AI review
  • mediumAbout 102 m from US 52: traffic noise usually costs $50–100/month in rent. Based on: OpenStreetMap: nearest motorway (US 52) at 102 m
  • mediumRent claims are vague and no figures are given. "Below market ceiling" may mean 4d rent caps, not room to raise rents. Listing says: Current rents still sit below market ceiling, leaving room on renewals. · AI review
  • mediumSeller bought at $425K in 2023 and wants the same price after 190 days, so no gain for them and little demand at this price. Based on: data: listing.days_on_market · AI review
  • low$865 in special assessments on the payable 2026 tax bill (often street, sewer or code-enforcement charges). Ask what they're for, whether they continue, and whether the seller pays them off at closing. Public record: Ramsey County parcel 092822330009: special assessments (payable 2026) = $865.00
  • lowRental license shows Pending status, so confirm the license is current and all four units are legal. Based on: data: city.rental_license · AI review

Opportunities

  • Long time on market: room to negotiate. Based on: Listing data: 193 days on market, 1 price cuts
  • 190 days on market and a flat price versus the 2023 sale give room to negotiate. Based on: data: listing.days_on_market · AI review
  • One unit goes vacant at end of June, which gives an owner-occupant a way to move in and live in one of the units. Listing says: Potential owner-occupant opportunity with one unit becoming vacant at the end of June. · AI review

Questions for the agent

  • Can I see the rent roll, signed leases and the trailing-12 expenses?
  • What are the 4d covenant terms, rent and income limits, and how long does it run? Does it transfer without re-approval?
  • What are the $865 special assessments for, and does the seller pay them at closing?
  • How old are the boiler or heat, roof, wiring and water heaters, and how is heat supplied per unit?
  • Why has it sat 190 days, and were there any price changes or failed deals?
  • Are the 'raised' rents on the two 2025 turnovers documented, and what were they before?

Bottom line

The numbers look decent on paper, but the income and the 4d tax break are unproven, so verify the rent roll and covenant before you offer. AI-assisted summary

What the records say

Where each number comes from

Property tax / yr Public recordRamsey County record, payable 2026 (non-homestead)$1,703
Insurance / yr Estimateestimate. from units, square feet and age; get a quote$4,950
Water, sewer, trash / mo Listinglisting. tenants pay water$0
Heat / mo Assumptionassumption. tenants pay heat; confirm with the agent$0
Lawn care / mo Assumptionassumption. $120/mo for 6 months, spread over 12; no snow removal$60
Repairs / capital reserve Rulerule. built 1893: +1 pt capital reserve8% / 9%

Price history Realtor.com

On the market since 2026-03-26 (193 days); down $50,000 (10.5%) from the first ask of $475,000; last sold for $425,000 on 2023-07-25.

DateEventPrice
Removed$499,000
Price changed$425,000
Price changed$449,750
Listed$475,000
Sold$425,000
Removed—
Price changed$437,000
Listed$450,000
Sold public record$315,000
Removed$269,900
Sold$170,275
Listed$269,900
Listed$175,000

County record Public record

Recorded asapartments 4-6 rental units
Living units4
Year built1893
Market value (2026)$399,000
Property tax, payable 2026$1,703
Special assessments$865
Homesteadno
Last sale2023-07-25 · $425,000

Source: Ramsey County parcel records.

City rental certificate (CofO)

Residential 3+ Units: 4 unit(s), A, status pending, renews 2029-08-17.

Nearest highway

US 52, about 102 m away.

Crime in West Side

708 incidents in the last 12 months (45 per 1,000 residents), −17% vs. the year before. St. Paul police incidents, excluding proactive visits and community events.