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5636 Cedar Ave S

Duplex · 2 units: 3 bed / 2 bath ×2 unit split estimated · 2,815 sq ft

Minneapolis, MN · Diamond Lake · View the listing ↗

Overpriced

Photos courtesy of NRT-Minnesota (CB Burnet), via Realtor.com.

Asking price
$529,900
2 units · $265K per unit
Monthly cash flow
−$689
at 20% down, 7%
Estimated rent
$4,100/mo
low confidence · 6 rentals within 3 mi
Break-even price
$400,493
where cash flow hits $0

Adjust the numbers See the full breakdown

First look

This is a clean, well-kept side-by-side near Lake Nokomis, but the numbers don't work at $529,900. Our rent estimate is about $2,025 per side, cash flow is about -$729 a month and the cap rate is 4.7%. The county values it at $450,200 and the last sale was $304,000 in 2004, so the ask looks stretched. No rents are stated, so get the rent roll, leases and a year of utility bills before anything else. Worth a showing only if you plan to live in one side and the price comes down a lot.

Things to consider

  1. Price does not match income At ask, cash flow is deeply negative and the cap rate is about 4.7%. Break-even is around $393K, far below the ask.
  2. Rents are unverified Estimates are about $2,025 per side but no actual rents are given. Get the rent roll before relying on any figure.
  3. Taxes are at the non-homestead rate Investor tax is about $8,500 a year, which eats a large share of rent.
  4. Cedar Avenue traffic noise The property is very close to a busy road, which can lower rents and slow leasing.
  5. Updated kitchens and separate utilities help operations Recent kitchens and tenant-paid heat and electric lower owner costs and improve rentability.Listing says: “Utilities are split, with tenants paying separate heat and electricity.”
  6. Unseen systems and bathrooms may need money Photos show dated bathrooms and skip mechanicals, so budget for inspection findings.From photo 10

From the photos

Listing photo 1
1 of 7Plus

Roof shingles appear fairly recent and even, with no visible sagging or missing pieces

Listing photo 2
2 of 7Check

Exterior is stucco and brick; stucco condition should be checked for cracks and moisture

Listing photo 4
3 of 7Check

Living room has wood-trim windows that appear to be older double-hung units; the energy updates may not cover them

Listing photo 5
4 of 7Check

Fresh carpet and paint throughout look cosmetic; they hide the floor condition underneath

Listing photo 9
5 of 7Plus

Upstairs bedrooms have sloped ceilings and are spacious, with closets and white vinyl-looking windows

Listing photo 10
6 of 7Concern

Upstairs bath appears to have older yellow tile and fixtures that look original

Listing photo 1
7 of 7Check

No photos of kitchens, bathrooms in full, basement, mechanicals or garage, so system condition is unknown

Based on 10 of the listing photos. Photos can hide as much as they show; an inspection is the real answer.

Condition and repairs

  • doneKitchen remodel on the 5636 side (2016)Listing says: The 5636 side offers a kitchen remodeled in 2016
  • doneKitchen update on the 5638 side (2023)Listing says: The 5638 side boasts a beautifully updated kitchen from 2023
  • doneMAC energy updates (windows, doors, attic insulation, typically)Listing says: This duplex has been MAC updated, with improvements that typically include upgraded windows, doors, and attic insulation
  • doneNew carpeting over oak hardwood in living roomsListing says: classic oak hardwood floors preserved under brand-new living room carpeting

AI-assisted first read of the listing description and photos (Claude), checked against public records. Every rent and repair above quotes the listing; verify with the agent, leases and an inspection.

The numbers

Down payment %
Offer $
Management
Interest rate %
Edit rents, costs and assumptions

Default: 20% down (no PMI), offer at asking, self-managed, 7.00% for 30 years, buyer pays closing costs (3%).

The deal

Price
$529,900
Cash to close
$121,877
Price per unit
$264,950
GRM
10.8

Each month

Cash flow
−$689/mo
Cash-on-cash
−6.8%
Cap rate
4.8%
DSCR
0.76×

Break-even

Price that breaks even
$400,493
Rent that breaks even
$4,961/mo

Long run

Year 30: property vs stocks
$1.51M vs $1.21M
Cash flow turns positive
year 12

Monthly

Monthly breakdown

Rent$4,100
Vacancy (6%)−$246
Collected$3,854
Property tax Public record−$710
Insurance Estimate−$209
Water, sewer, trash Estimate−$170
Lawn care ($120 × 6 mo ÷ 12)−$60
Repairs (7% of rent)−$287
Capital reserve (7% of rent)−$287
Net operating income$2,132
Mortgage (principal + interest)−$2,820
Cash flow−$689
Principal paid down (equity, not cash)$359

Cash flow each year

Rents +3%/yr, costs +3.5%/yr. Red bars are months you'd cover out of pocket.

30 years

How those totals add up

If you buy this building$1,507,761
Your equity when you sell
$1,209,034

Sells for $1,286,206 (value up 3% a year), minus 6% selling cost ($77,172). Rent paid down $423,920 of loan.

Rental profits, invested at 7%
$298,727

$195,116 of cash flow over 30 years, plus what it earned invested.

Same money in stocks$1,213,504
Cash to close, invested at 7%
$927,759

$121,877 put into an index fund instead of the down payment and closing costs.

Monthly shortfalls, invested
$285,745

$49,280 you'd have paid in while the building lost money, invested instead.

The building comes out $294,257 ahead after 30 years.

Future dollars. At 3% inflation, divide year-30 figures by about 2.4 for today's buying power. Rental profits are assumed invested, not spent.

30 years: this property vs. the same money in stocks

This propertyStocks at 7%

Year 30 (loan paid off): property $1.51M, stocks $1.21M. The property wins.

Comparable rentals

The closest rental listings with each unit's bedroom count, as of 2026-10-06. The estimate is the median asking rent of every rental we found nearby (the count is shown for each); houses are left out. Asking rents from Realtor.com rental listings, not signed leases.

3 bed estimate $2,050/mo · range $1,975–$2,275 · 6 rentals within 3 mi

AddressRentBd / BaSq ftDistanceListedType
5100 Bloomington Ave S, Minneapolis $1,900 3 / 1 1,231 0.8 mi 2026-09-22 Multi family
5320 Lyndale Ave S, Minneapolis $1,999 3 / 2 1,281 2.0 mi 2026-02-19 Apartment
4429 Nicollet Ave, Minneapolis $1,999 3 / 1 1,050 2.1 mi 2026-01-22 Apartment
6401 Lyndale Ave S, Richfield $2,500 3 / 2 1,344 2.1 mi 2025-03-18 Apartment
8162 Bloomington Ave S, Bloomington $2,125 3 / 1.5 1,210 3.0 mi 2024-04-12 Apartment
6365 Sibley Ave, Fort Snelling $1,925 3 / 2 1,637 3.0 mi 2025-05-09 Apartment

On the maps, this property and comparable rentals. Comparable rentals and rent estimate: Realtor.com rental listings. Rents are asking rents from listings; check them against the actual leases.

Red flags and opportunities

Watch for

  • mediumAbout 49 m from CR 152: traffic noise usually costs $50–100/month in rent. Based on: OpenStreetMap: nearest motorway (CR 152) at 49 m
  • mediumNo current rents or lease terms in the listing, so income is unverified Based on: data: rent_estimate · AI review
  • mediumAsking price is well above county market value Based on: data: county.market_value · AI review
  • lowListing is vague on what the MAC updates actually included; scope and dates are unclear Listing says: improvements that typically include upgraded windows, doors, and attic insulation · AI review

Opportunities

  • Minneapolis has no rent cap, so rents can follow the market Based on: data: underwriting.rent_rule · AI review
  • Detached 3-car garage is rare for a duplex and could be rented separately or used as a perk Listing says: The property features a rare, detached three-car garage equipped with automatic openers · AI review
  • Separate heat and electric, central air and laundry for each side keep the units independent Listing says: Each side includes its own central air and private lower-level laundry room. · AI review
  • Owner-occupant option: live in one side and rent the other Listing says: offering an incredible opportunity for owner-occupants or investors · AI review

Questions for the agent

  • What are the current rents and lease end dates for each side, and can I see the leases?
  • Are both sides occupied, and was either tenant given notice?
  • What did the MAC updates cover, and when were they done?
  • How old are the furnaces, water heaters, roof and electrical panels?
  • Are the lower-level bedroom and basement baths permitted and legal with egress?
  • Why is the ask $80K above county value, and have you seen offers?

Bottom line

Nice, low-maintenance duplex in a good spot, but $529,900 is far above what these rents support, so only negotiate if the price drops sharply. AI-assisted summary

What the records say

Where each number comes from

Property tax / yr Public recordHennepin County record, current payable year (non-homestead)$8,517
Insurance / yr Estimateestimate. from units, square feet and age; get a quote$2,504
Water, sewer, trash / mo Estimateestimate. $85/unit/mo, owner-paid$170
Heat / mo Assumptionassumption. tenants pay heat; confirm with the agent$0
Lawn care / mo Assumptionassumption. $120/mo for 6 months, spread over 12; no snow removal$60
Repairs / capital reserve Rulerule. "fully updated" in the description: -1 pts each7% / 7%

Price history Realtor.com

On the market since 2026-09-15 (20 days); down $25,100 (4.5%) from the first ask of $555,000; last sold for $304,000 on 2004-09-13.

DateEventPrice
Listed$529,900
Removed$549,000
Price changed$549,000
Listed$555,000
Sold public record$304,000

County record Public record

Recorded asduplex
Living units2
Year built1950
Market value (2026)$450,200
Property tax$8,517
Special assessmentsnone
Homesteadno
Last sale2004-08-01 · $304,000

Source: Hennepin County parcel records.

City rental license

CHOWNEXMPT: 2 unit(s), Tier 1, status active, renews 2027-03-01.

Nearest highway

CR 152, about 49 m away.

Crime in Diamond Lake

123 incidents in the last 12 months (21 per 1,000 residents), −8% vs. the year before. Minneapolis police incidents, all reported offenses (definitions differ from St. Paul's, so don't compare across cities).