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588 Selby Ave

Triplex · 3 units: 2 bed / 1 bath ×2 and 1 bed / 1 bath unit split estimated · 2,703 sq ft

Saint Paul, MN · Summit – University (Rondo, Cathedral Hill) · View the listing ↗

Far off

Photos courtesy of Edina Realty, Inc., via Realtor.com.

Asking price
$580,000
3 units · $193K per unit
Monthly cash flow
−$1,258
at 20% down, 7%
Estimated rent
$4,300/mo
medium confidence · 13 rentals within 0.75 mi
Break-even price
$343,726
where cash flow hits $0

Adjust the numbers See the full breakdown

First look

This is a relocated 1869 Victorian triplex asking $580K against a county market value of $483.5K. Our numbers show about -$1,258 a month and a 3.8% cap rate, and break-even sits near $344K, so the price is the problem. The description gives no rents, no leases and no unit mix, so ask for the rent roll and trailing-12 expenses before anything else. The seller is offering a rate buydown or a Contract for Deed under 6%, and 81 days on market suggests room to negotiate. Photos show dated but livable units with baseboard heat and window AC. Show it only if the price moves a long way, and have the moved foundation and the structure inspected first.

Things to consider

  1. Price is far above what the income supports Our model has about -$1,258 a month at ask and break-even near $344K. A large price cut or strong rents are needed.
  2. No rents or leases are disclosed Without a rent roll you can't verify income. St. Paul's 3% cap also limits raises on sitting tenants.
  3. Moved 1869 structure with a 1980s foundation Structural and systems condition drive repair risk and insurability. An inspection comes before any offer.Listing says: “Originally relocated to its current location in the late 1980s”
  4. Taxes and assessments weigh on cash flow Non-homestead tax of about $10.3K plus $649 in assessments takes a large share of the likely rent.
  5. Seller financing could help but adds risk A buydown or sub-6% contract could improve payments, but the terms matter more than the rate.Listing says: “seller is willing to consider a 2-1 interest rate buydown with acceptable financing”

From the photos

Listing photo 5
1 of 7Concern

Kitchen looks 1990s-era: oak cabinets, laminate counters, black range, basic hood. Functional but dated.

Listing photo 8
2 of 7Check

A second kitchen has an older white electric range and laminate counters, which suggests a separate unit and similar vintage finishes.

Listing photo 6
3 of 7Check

A window AC unit and baseboard hot-water heat appear in the unit. Ask about the boiler and who pays for heat.

Listing photo 10
4 of 7Check

Basement or utility room has a Rheem tank water heater, a coin-style washer and dryer, and a shared laundry setup. The boiler and panel are not shown.

Listing photo 9
5 of 7Plus

Bathrooms have basic 1990s vanities and tub surrounds, with no visible water damage. Cosmetically dated but clean.

Listing photo 1
6 of 7Plus

Exterior has vinyl-type siding and double-decker porches that appear in decent shape. A large new apartment building next door could affect light and privacy.

Listing photo 3
7 of 7Concern

Carpet and flooring in the living areas appear worn. The listing's 'new flooring' claim is not obvious here.

Based on 10 of the listing photos. Photos can hide as much as they show; an inspection is the real answer.

Condition and repairs

  • doneFresh paint, new flooring, updated appliances, closet improvementsListing says: Numerous updates have been completed over the past few years, including fresh paint, new flooring, updated appliances, closet improvements, and more.
  • doneFoundation, plumbing, electrical and windows rebuilt during the late-1980s moveListing says: the foundation, plumbing, electrical, windows, and much of the interior were rebuilt during the move

AI-assisted first read of the listing description and photos (Claude), checked against public records. Every rent and repair above quotes the listing; verify with the agent, leases and an inspection.

The numbers

Down payment %
Offer $
Management
Interest rate %
Edit rents, costs and assumptions

Default: 20% down (no PMI), offer at asking, self-managed, 7.00% for 30 years, buyer pays closing costs (3%).

The deal

Price
$580,000
Cash to close
$133,400
Price per unit
$193,333
GRM
11.2

Each month

Cash flow
−$1,258/mo
Cash-on-cash
−11.3%
Cap rate
3.8%
DSCR
0.59×

Break-even

Price that breaks even
$343,726
Rent that breaks even
$5,933/mo

Long run

Year 30: property vs stocks
$1.37M vs $1.85M
Cash flow turns positive
year 22

Monthly

Monthly breakdown

Rent$4,300
Vacancy (6%)−$258
Collected$4,042
Property tax Public record−$857
Insurance Estimate−$309
Water, sewer, trash Estimate−$255
Lawn care ($120 × 6 mo ÷ 12)−$60
Repairs (8% of rent)−$344
Capital reserve (9% of rent)−$387
Net operating income$1,829
Mortgage (principal + interest)−$3,087
Cash flow−$1,258
Principal paid down (equity, not cash)$393

Cash flow each year

Rents +3%/yr (St. Paul's cap for sitting tenants), costs +3.5%/yr. Red bars are months you'd cover out of pocket.

30 years

How those totals add up

If you buy this building$1,368,303
Your equity when you sell
$1,323,343

Sells for $1,407,812 (value up 3% a year), minus 6% selling cost ($84,469). Rent paid down $464,000 of loan.

Rental profits, invested at 7%
$44,960

$37,867 of cash flow over 30 years, plus what it earned invested.

Same money in stocks$1,850,368
Cash to close, invested at 7%
$1,015,475

$133,400 put into an index fund instead of the down payment and closing costs.

Monthly shortfalls, invested
$834,893

$176,699 you'd have paid in while the building lost money, invested instead.

Stocks come out $482,065 ahead after 30 years.

Future dollars. At 3% inflation, divide year-30 figures by about 2.4 for today's buying power. Rental profits are assumed invested, not spent.

30 years: this property vs. the same money in stocks

This propertyStocks at 7%

Year 30 (loan paid off): property $1.37M, stocks $1.85M. Stocks win.

Comparable rentals

The closest rental listings with each unit's bedroom count, as of 2026-10-06. The estimate is the median asking rent of every rental we found nearby (the count is shown for each); houses are left out. Asking rents from Realtor.com rental listings, not signed leases.

2 bed estimate $1,525/mo · range $1,350–$1,750 · 13 rentals within 0.75 mi

AddressRentBd / BaSq ftDistanceListedType
640 Dayton Ave, Saint Paul $1,900 2 / 1 1,080 0.1 mi 2026-09-26 Duplex triplex
655 Selby Ave, Saint Paul $1,300 2 / 1 842 0.1 mi 2026-09-24 Apartment
651-655 Portland Ave, Saint Paul $1,449 2 / 1 1,100 0.3 mi 2026-07-01 Apartment
755 Selby Ave, Saint Paul $1,500 2 / 1 1,003 0.3 mi 2026-02-18 Apartment
204 Western Ave N, Saint Paul $1,275 2 / 1 800 0.5 mi 2025-03-07 Apartment
826 Selby Ave Apt 2, Saint Paul $1,700 2 / 1 1,200 0.5 mi — Apartment
228 Victoria St N Apt 2, Saint Paul $1,695 2 / 1 1,000 0.6 mi 2026-09-01 Apartment
874 Selby Ave Apt 3, Saint Paul $1,250 2 / 1 650 0.6 mi 2026-09-20 Apartment
874 Selby Ave, Saint Paul $1,250 2 / 1 620 0.6 mi 2026-09-28 Apartment
627 Aurora Ave W, Saint Paul $1,300 2 / 1 699 0.6 mi 2025-01-03 Apartment

1 bed estimate $1,250/mo · range $1,150–$1,375 · 18 rentals within 0.75 mi

AddressRentBd / BaSq ftDistanceListedType
655 Selby Ave, Saint Paul $1,150 1 / 1 628 0.1 mi 2026-09-24 Apartment
556 Ashland Ave, Saint Paul $1,289 1 / 1 800 0.2 mi 2026-10-01 Apartment
719 Hague Ave, Saint Paul $1,075 1 / 1 650 0.3 mi 2026-08-18 Apartment
702 Holly Ave, Saint Paul $1,099 1 / 1 700 0.3 mi 2026-07-01 Apartment
203 Grotto St N, Saint Paul $1,195 1 / 1 875 0.3 mi 2026-09-23 Apartment
755 Selby Ave, Saint Paul $1,300 1 / 1 — 0.3 mi 2026-02-18 Apartment
400 Selby Ave, Saint Paul $1,585 1 / 1 771 0.3 mi 2024-12-19 Apartment
610 Summit Ave, Saint Paul $1,075 1 / 1 600 0.4 mi 2025-05-15 Apartment
643 Grand Avenue-643 Grand Ave, Saint Paul $1,600 1 / 1 700 0.4 mi — Apartment
383 Dayton Ave, Saint Paul $1,499 1 / 1 900 0.4 mi 2025-01-03 Apartment

On the maps, this property and comparable rentals. Comparable rentals and rent estimate: Realtor.com rental listings. Rents are asking rents from listings; check them against the actual leases.

Red flags and opportunities

Watch for

  • highUnusual ownership (land trust, ground lease or co-op): resale price limits or lease terms can cap your upside. Listing says: "Summit-University neighborhoods, you're just steps from Mississippi Market Co-op , popular restaurants, coffee shops, and boutique shopping"
  • highRelocated building: the foundation and systems date from the 1980s move, not new construction. Get a structural inspection and permit records for the move. Listing says: Originally relocated to its current location in the late 1980s · AI review
  • mediumAsking is $236,274 above the price where cash flow breaks even ($343,726) at the default scenario. Based on: Derived: price $580,000 vs. break-even $343,726
  • mediumOffered seller financing (Contract for Deed) can carry balloon terms and title risks. Have an attorney review before considering it. Listing says: a Contract for Deed lower than 6% interest rate · AI review
  • mediumRental license for 3 units shows as pending. Confirm it is issued and the unit count is legal. Based on: data: city.rental_license · AI review
  • mediumTaxes are about $10.3K at non-homestead, a heavy load against the likely rents. Based on: data: county.tax · AI review
  • low$649 in special assessments on the payable 2026 tax bill (often street, sewer or code-enforcement charges). Ask what they're for, whether they continue, and whether the seller pays them off at closing. Public record: Ramsey County parcel 012823220168: special assessments (payable 2026) = $648.76

Opportunities

  • Motivated-seller language: room to negotiate. Listing says: "Motivated seller offering flexible financing options on this one-of-a-kind Saint"
  • Seller is motivated and open to a rate buydown, so there is room on both price and terms. Listing says: Motivated seller offering flexible financing options · AI review
  • Four off-street spaces and alley access are a real draw for tenants in this area. Listing says: four off-street parking spaces and a generous backyard with alley access · AI review
  • Walkable Cathedral Hill location with strong rental demand. Listing says: just steps from Mississippi Market Co-op, popular restaurants, coffee shops · AI review

Questions for the agent

  • What are the current rents, lease end dates and security deposits for each unit?
  • What are the trailing-12 expenses, including who pays heat, water and trash?
  • Is there documentation of the 1980s move, with permits and engineering reports for the foundation?
  • Why is the rental license pending, and what is the unit count on it?
  • What are the exact terms of the Contract for Deed and the buydown, including balloon and prepayment terms?
  • What are the special assessments for, and who pays them at closing?

Bottom line

Interesting building, but at $580K it loses about $1,250 a month in our model, so it only works at a much lower price. AI-assisted summary

What the records say

Where each number comes from

Property tax / yr Public recordRamsey County record, payable 2026 (non-homestead)$10,285
Insurance / yr Estimateestimate. from units, square feet and age; get a quote$3,713
Water, sewer, trash / mo Estimateestimate. $85/unit/mo, owner-paid$255
Heat / mo Assumptionassumption. tenants pay heat; confirm with the agent$0
Lawn care / mo Assumptionassumption. $120/mo for 6 months, spread over 12; no snow removal$60
Repairs / capital reserve Rulerule. built 1869: +1 pt capital reserve8% / 9%

Price history Realtor.com

On the market since 2026-06-28 (99 days, relisted 1×).

DateEventPrice
Price changed$580,000
Listed$600,000
Removed$549,900
Removed$560,000

County record Public record

Recorded asthree family dwelling, platted lot
Living units3
Year built1869
Market value (2026)$483,500
Property tax, payable 2026$10,285
Special assessments$649
Homesteadno
Last sale—

Source: Ramsey County parcel records.

City rental certificate (CofO)

Residential 3+ Units: 3 unit(s), A, status pending, renews 2028-06-30.

Nearest highway

I 94, about 604 m away.

Crime in Summit – University

1,066 incidents in the last 12 months (59 per 1,000 residents), −13% vs. the year before. St. Paul police incidents, excluding proactive visits and community events.