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5921 Chicago Ave S

Duplex · 2 units: 3 bed / 1.5 bath and 2 bed / 1.5 bath unit split estimated · 2,695 sq ft

Minneapolis, MN · Diamond Lake · View the listing ↗

Overpriced

Photos courtesy of Lakes Area Realty - South - Broker, via Realtor.com.

Needs more info before these numbers mean much. The city's rental license covers 1 unit(s); this analysis counts 2.

Asking price
$557,000
2 units · $278K per unit
Monthly cash flow
−$789
at 20% down, 7%
Estimated rent
$4,150/mo
medium confidence
Break-even price
$408,684
where cash flow hits $0

Adjust the numbers See the full breakdown

First look

This is a clean, well-kept 1947 side-by-side in Diamond Lake, but at $557K it doesn't pencil. Our underwriting shows about -$790/month at 20% down and a 4.7% cap rate, and break-even price is roughly $409K, so the ask is about $148K too high. The listing says both units are leased but gives no rents, lease terms or end dates, so get the rent roll first. Our rent estimates ($2,200 for the 3-bed, $1,950 for the 2-bed) are untested. The city rental license covers only one unit, so confirm the second is licensed. The photos show a nicely updated kitchen and bath, which is good for holding but gives little room to add value. Worth a showing only if the seller moves toward the low $400Ks or the rents are strong.

Things to consider

  1. Price is above what the rents support Negative monthly cash flow at 20% down means you fund the property from other income. A price near break-even is the starting point for any offer.
  2. Rents are not stated Our estimates are modeled, not actual. The real rent roll could be well above or below them, which moves the whole analysis.Listing says: “two leased residences today”
  3. Rental license covers one unit An unlicensed second unit can limit your ability to rent it legally or require a new license and inspection.
  4. Homestead tax understates your tax bill The current $7,508 is on a homestead basis. A non-homestead rate would likely be higher and cut cash flow further.
  5. Condition looks good, so there is limited value-add Updated kitchen and bath suggest low near-term capex, but also little room to force rent growth beyond market.From photo 3
  6. Owner-occupant angle Living in one unit may be the best way to make this work, but existing leases may delay move-in.Listing says: “the possibility of living in one while renting the other when the existing leases allow”

From the photos

Listing photo 3
1 of 7Plus

Kitchen appears updated, with wood cabinets, granite counters, stainless appliances and tile floor. This looks like a 10-15 year old remodel, in good shape.

Listing photo 2
2 of 7Plus

Hardwood floors, arched opening and tall double-hung windows look well maintained in the living and dining area.

Listing photo 6
3 of 7Plus

Bathroom appears updated with tiled tub surround and a glass-block window; no visible water damage.

Listing photo 10
4 of 7Check

Basement has a block foundation wall with exposed joists, ductwork, a laundry setup and a utility sink. The floor looks dry and painted. No furnace, water heater or panel is shown.

Listing photo 1
5 of 7Check

Front is stone with a shingle roof that appears in decent shape from the street; roof age is not visible. Front steps and railing look sound.

Listing photo 7
6 of 7Check

Backyard patio with a pergola and fenced yard. Stucco side wall shows a meter on the exterior. Check which unit has what meter and whether the yard is shared.

Listing photo 9
7 of 7Check

No photos of the second unit's interior, the furnace, water heater, electrical panel or the garage.

Based on 10 of the listing photos. Photos can hide as much as they show; an inspection is the real answer.

AI-assisted first read of the listing description and photos (Claude), checked against public records. Every rent and repair above quotes the listing; verify with the agent, leases and an inspection.

The numbers

Down payment %
Offer $
Management
Interest rate %
Edit rents, costs and assumptions

Default: 20% down (no PMI), offer at asking, self-managed, 7.00% for 30 years, buyer pays closing costs (3%).

The deal

Price
$557,000
Cash to close
$128,110
Price per unit
$278,500
GRM
11.2

Each month

Cash flow
−$789/mo
Cash-on-cash
−7.4%
Cap rate
4.7%
DSCR
0.73×

Break-even

Price that breaks even
$408,684
Rent that breaks even
$5,162/mo

Long run

Year 30: property vs stocks
$1.55M vs $1.33M
Cash flow turns positive
year 13

Monthly

Monthly breakdown

Rent$4,150
Vacancy (6%)−$249
Collected$3,901
Property tax Listing−$626
Insurance Estimate−$206
Water, sewer, trash Estimate−$170
Lawn care ($120 × 6 mo ÷ 12)−$60
Repairs (8% of rent)−$332
Capital reserve (8% of rent)−$332
Net operating income$2,175
Mortgage (principal + interest)−$2,965
Cash flow−$789
Principal paid down (equity, not cash)$377

Cash flow each year

Rents +3%/yr, costs +3.5%/yr. Red bars are months you'd cover out of pocket.

30 years

How those totals add up

If you buy this building$1,546,438
Your equity when you sell
$1,270,866

Sells for $1,351,985 (value up 3% a year), minus 6% selling cost ($81,119). Rent paid down $445,600 of loan.

Rental profits, invested at 7%
$275,572

$184,685 of cash flow over 30 years, plus what it earned invested.

Same money in stocks$1,325,508
Cash to close, invested at 7%
$975,206

$128,110 put into an index fund instead of the down payment and closing costs.

Monthly shortfalls, invested
$350,302

$61,680 you'd have paid in while the building lost money, invested instead.

The building comes out $220,930 ahead after 30 years.

Future dollars. At 3% inflation, divide year-30 figures by about 2.4 for today's buying power. Rental profits are assumed invested, not spent.

30 years: this property vs. the same money in stocks

This propertyStocks at 7%

Year 30 (loan paid off): property $1.55M, stocks $1.33M. The property wins.

Comparable rentals

Nearby rentals RentCast matched to each unit type, as of 2026-10-05. The estimate above is RentCast's, weighted toward the closest matches.

3 bed / 1.5 bath estimate $2,200/mo · range $1,850–$2,575

AddressRentBd / BaSq ftDistanceListedMatch
5406 Nokomis Ave, Minneapolis 55417 off market $2,450 3 / 2 — 1.8 mi 2026-06-19 89%
6050 Wentworth Ave S, Minneapolis 55419 off market $2,495 3 / 2 1,500 0.9 mi 2026-02-18 86%
33 Wentworth Ct E, Minneapolis 55419 off market $1,921 3 / 2 1,250 0.9 mi 2026-01-16 83%
5320 Lyndale Ave S, Minneapolis 55419 $1,999 3 / 2 1,281 1.5 mi 2026-02-19 83%
5704 Chicago Ave, Minneapolis 55417 off market $1,860 2 / 2 — 0.2 mi 2026-08-19 82%
4412 Portland Ave S, Minneapolis 55407 off market $2,000 3 / 1 1,200 1.9 mi 2026-07-11 81%
5120 Cedar Ave S, Minneapolis 55417 off market $2,100 3 / 2 2,544 1.2 mi 2026-01-23 80%
7100 Chicago Ave, Richfield 55423 off market $1,350 2 / 1 — 1.4 mi 2026-04-15 80%
6015 Elliot Ave S, Minneapolis 55417 off market $2,650 3 / 2 2,300 0.1 mi 2026-06-11 80%
4642 Bloomington Ave S, Minneapolis 55407 $1,695 2 / 1 — 1.7 mi 2026-08-04 80%

2 bed / 1.5 bath estimate $1,950/mo · range $1,725–$2,175

AddressRentBd / BaSq ftDistanceListedMatch
5704 Chicago Ave, Minneapolis 55417 off market $1,860 2 / 2 — 0.2 mi 2026-08-19 91%
7100 Chicago Ave, Richfield 55423 off market $1,350 2 / 1 — 1.4 mi 2026-04-15 89%
4642 Bloomington Ave S, Minneapolis 55407 $1,695 2 / 1 — 1.7 mi 2026-08-04 89%
4817 Columbus Ave, Minneapolis 55417 off market $1,750 2 / 1 1,100 1.4 mi 2026-08-02 81%
4815-4817 Columbus Ave, Minneapolis 55417 off market $1,750 2 / 1 1,100 1.4 mi 2026-07-18 81%
4536 Grand Ave S, Minneapolis 55419 off market $2,095 2 / 1 1,200 2.0 mi 2026-04-02 81%
5544 Chicago Ave S, Minneapolis 55417 off market $1,350 2 / 1 900 0.5 mi 2026-07-29 81%
6612 12th Ave S, Richfield 55423 off market $1,405 2 / 1 950 0.9 mi 2025-10-03 81%
4815 Nicollet Ave, Minneapolis 55419 off market $1,795 2 / 1 1,000 1.6 mi 2026-01-13 80%
4525 Nicollet Ave, Minneapolis 55419 off market $1,595 2 / 1 982 1.9 mi 2026-08-01 80%

On the maps, this property and comparable rentals. Comparable rentals and rent estimate: RentCast. Rents are asking rents from listings; check them against the actual leases.

Red flags and opportunities

Watch for

  • highThe city's rental license covers 1 unit(s); this analysis counts 2. Public record: Minneapolis Active Rental Licenses: 5921 CHICAGO AVE, units=1
  • highAsking price is well above the break-even price from our underwriting Based on: data: underwriting.break_even_price · AI review
  • highNegative cash flow at 20% down at the asking price Based on: data: underwriting.cash_flow_monthly · AI review
  • mediumLeases are mentioned but no rents or end dates are given; the buyer may not be able to occupy a unit soon Listing says: possibility of living in one while renting the other when the existing leases allow · AI review
  • mediumCounty tax is on a homestead basis; an investor will likely pay a higher non-homestead bill Based on: data: county.homestead · AI review

Opportunities

  • Detached two-stall garage adds parking and can bring garage rent or storage income Listing says: a detached two-stall garage adds parking and storage · AI review
  • Owner-occupy one side and rent the other once leases allow, which could improve the numbers Listing says: the possibility of living in one while renting the other when the existing leases allow · AI review
  • Finished lower-level family room at 5923 adds livable space that supports rent Listing says: with a lower-level family room for more space to spread out · AI review

Questions for the agent

  • What are the current rents, lease end dates and security deposits for each unit?
  • Is the second unit licensed as a rental? The city license lists only one unit.
  • Who pays heat, electric, water and trash, and are there separate meters and furnaces?
  • What are the ages of the roof, furnaces, water heaters and electrical panels?
  • Is there any room to negotiate? Is the seller open to a price near $485K?
  • Which unit has which bed and bath count, and is the lower level legal living space with egress?

Bottom line

Nice, well-kept side-by-side, but at $557K it loses about $790 a month and needs a price closer to $409K to work. AI-assisted summary

What the records say

Where each number comes from

Property tax / yr Listinglisting, tax year 2026. The tax the listing states. If the seller lives there it may be at the lower homestead rate; an investor owner pays the non-homestead rate, often 20–40% more on the owner's unit.$7,508
Insurance / yr Estimateestimate. from units, square feet and age; get a quote$2,474
Water, sewer, trash / mo Estimateestimate. $85/unit/mo, owner-paid$170
Heat / mo Assumptionassumption. tenants pay heat; confirm with the agent$0
Lawn care / mo Assumptionassumption. $120/mo for 6 months, spread over 12; no snow removal$60
Repairs / capital reserve Rulerule. base rate8% / 8%

Price history Realtor.com

On the market since 2026-10-01 (4 days); last sold for $409,300 on 2016-06-15; listed for rent at $1,600/mo on 2024-10-24.

DateEventPrice
Listed$557,000
Removed—
Listed for rent$1,600/mo
Sold public record$409,300
Sold$319,900
Price changed$319,900
Price changed$324,900
Sold public record$215,000
Listed$329,900
Sold$199,900
Relisted$199,900
Removed$199,900
Listed$199,900
Removed$219,900
Price changed$219,900
Removed$244,900
Price changed$224,900
Price changed$237,900
Listed$244,900
Price changed$260,000
Price changed$270,000
Relisted$299,900
Removed$299,900
Listed$309,900
Sold public record$115,000

County record Public record

Recorded asduplex
Living units2
Year built1947
Market value (2026)$489,100
Property tax$7,508
Special assessmentsnone
Homesteadno
Last sale2016-06-01 · $409,300

Source: Hennepin County parcel records.

City rental license

CHOWN: 1 unit(s), Tier 1, status active, renews 2027-03-01.

Nearest highway

MN 62, about 513 m away.

Crime in Diamond Lake

123 incidents in the last 12 months (21 per 1,000 residents), −8% vs. the year before. Minneapolis police incidents, all reported offenses (definitions differ from St. Paul's, so don't compare across cities).