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768 Lafond Ave

Duplex · 2 units: 1 bed / 1 bath ×2 unit split estimated · 1,552 sq ft

Saint Paul, MN · Frogtown (Thomas-Dale) · View the listing ↗

Far off

Photos courtesy of Kris Lindahl Real Estate - Broker, via Realtor.com.

Asking price
$285,000
2 units · $142K per unit
Monthly cash flow
−$687
at 20% down, 7%
Estimated rent
$2,150/mo
low confidence · 6 rentals within 0.5 mi
Break-even price
$155,831
where cash flow hits $0

Adjust the numbers See the full breakdown

First look

This is a 1886 up/down in Frogtown at $285K, and the numbers don't work. Our underwriting shows about -$687/month and a 3.5% cap rate, and break-even is near $156K. The listing gives no rents, and the nearly 30-year upper tenant is likely paying well under market, with St. Paul's 3% cap limiting how fast that rent can rise. Get the rent roll, lease dates and the unit layout before anything else. It only merits a showing if the seller will come down hard or the rents are far above our $1,075 per unit estimates.

Things to consider

  1. The price is far above what the income supports Our model shows negative cash flow of about $687 a month and a break-even price near $156K. You would need a big price cut or much higher rents.
  2. Rent growth is capped for the long-term tenant The 3% cap on sitting tenants limits how fast a below-market rent can be brought up. The upside comes mainly through turnover.
  3. Taxes will rise for an investor The seller's homestead tax is lower than what you will pay as a non-homestead owner, which cuts into returns.
  4. Tenants cover utilities and yard work Lower owner expenses help net income, though one shared garage and shared lawn work are worth confirming in the leases.Listing says: “Tenants pay gas and electric, manage lawn care and snow removal, and share the garage.”
  5. Recent updates reduce near-term capex A newer roof and windows are the costly items, though ask for dates and permits to confirm.Listing says: “newer roof/windows and brand-new exterior paint”

From the photos

Listing photo 1
1 of 8Plus

The exterior paint appears fresh and siding looks in decent shape. The porch and front steps look tidy.

Listing photo 1
2 of 8Check

A window air conditioner shows in the upper front window, so the upper unit may lack central air.

Listing photo 7
3 of 8Plus

Two electric meters appear on the side wall, which supports separate metering for the two units.

Listing photo 7
4 of 8Concern

The concrete rear steps and the stone foundation edge look worn; have the foundation inspected.

Listing photo 8
5 of 8Check

A detached garage with stucco walls sits at the back. Its roof and doors look aged and it needs inspection.

Listing photo 5
6 of 8Plus

The living room has refinished hardwood floors and a floor register for forced-air heat. This looks like a staged room, not the tenant's.

Listing photo 6
7 of 8Concern

The bathroom has a pedestal sink, taped wall trim and older tile, so the update looks cosmetic and dated.

Listing photo 5
8 of 8Check

No photos show the kitchens, basement, furnace, water heater or electrical panel, so their condition is unknown.

Based on 10 of the listing photos. Photos can hide as much as they show; an inspection is the real answer.

Condition and repairs

  • doneNewer roof and windowsListing says: newer roof/windows and brand-new exterior paint
  • doneExterior repaintListing says: brand-new exterior paint
  • doneLower unit kitchen flooring, fresh paint and upgraded bathroomListing says: fresh paint, modern kitchen, in-unit laundry, upgraded bathroom, and new kitchen flooring

AI-assisted first read of the listing description and photos (Claude), checked against public records. Every rent and repair above quotes the listing; verify with the agent, leases and an inspection.

The numbers

Down payment %
Offer $
Management
Interest rate %
Edit rents, costs and assumptions

Default: 20% down (no PMI), offer at asking, self-managed, 7.00% for 30 years, buyer pays closing costs (3%).

The deal

Price
$285,000
Cash to close
$65,550
Price per unit
$142,500
GRM
11.0

Each month

Cash flow
−$687/mo
Cash-on-cash
−12.6%
Cap rate
3.5%
DSCR
0.55×

Break-even

Price that breaks even
$155,831
Rent that breaks even
$3,043/mo

Long run

Year 30: property vs stocks
$655K vs $1.01M
Cash flow turns positive
year 27

Monthly

Monthly breakdown

Rent$2,150
Vacancy (6%)−$129
Collected$2,021
Property tax Estimate−$396
Insurance Estimate−$201
Water, sewer, trash Estimate−$170
Lawn care ($120 × 6 mo ÷ 12)−$60
Repairs (8% of rent)−$172
Capital reserve (9% of rent)−$194
Net operating income$829
Mortgage (principal + interest)−$1,517
Cash flow−$687
Principal paid down (equity, not cash)$193

Cash flow each year

Rents +3%/yr (St. Paul's cap for sitting tenants), costs +3.5%/yr. Red bars are months you'd cover out of pocket.

30 years

How those totals add up

If you buy this building$654,788
Your equity when you sell
$650,264

Sells for $691,770 (value up 3% a year), minus 6% selling cost ($41,506). Rent paid down $228,000 of loan.

Rental profits, invested at 7%
$4,524

$4,226 of cash flow over 30 years, plus what it earned invested.

Same money in stocks$1,008,899
Cash to close, invested at 7%
$498,983

$65,550 put into an index fund instead of the down payment and closing costs.

Monthly shortfalls, invested
$509,916

$116,922 you'd have paid in while the building lost money, invested instead.

Stocks come out $354,111 ahead after 30 years.

Future dollars. At 3% inflation, divide year-30 figures by about 2.4 for today's buying power. Rental profits are assumed invested, not spent.

30 years: this property vs. the same money in stocks

This propertyStocks at 7%

Year 30 (loan paid off): property $655K, stocks $1.01M. Stocks win.

Comparable rentals

The closest rental listings with each unit's bedroom count, as of 2026-10-06. The estimate is the median asking rent of every rental we found nearby (the count is shown for each); houses are left out. Asking rents from Realtor.com rental listings, not signed leases.

1 bed estimate $1,075/mo · range $1,050–$1,150 · 6 rentals within 0.5 mi

AddressRentBd / BaSq ftDistanceListedType
769 University Ave W, Saint Paul $925 1 / 1 — 0.3 mi 2026-08-03 Apartment
562 Edmund Ave W, Saint Paul $895 1 / 1 650 0.4 mi 2026-04-29 Apartment
937 University Ave W, Saint Paul $999 1 / 1 612 0.4 mi 2024-07-19 Apartment
627 Aurora Ave W, Saint Paul $1,100 1 / 1 — 0.5 mi 2025-01-03 Apartment
984 Van Buren Ave, Saint Paul $949 1 / 1 610 0.5 mi 2025-08-05 Apartment
996 Van Buren Ave, Saint Paul $949 1 / 1 610 0.5 mi 2025-07-31 Apartment

On the maps, this property and comparable rentals. Comparable rentals and rent estimate: Realtor.com rental listings. Rents are asking rents from listings; check them against the actual leases.

Red flags and opportunities

Watch for

  • highThe upper tenant of nearly 30 years is likely paying well below market. Long-term rent growth is capped, and the tenant is hard to replace. Listing says: The upper-level unit has been occupied by the same tenant for nearly 30 YEARS · AI review
  • mediumThe seller is homesteaded, so the current tax bill is lower than what an investor will pay. We use an estimated non-homestead tax instead. Public record: Ramsey County parcel 352923120203: homestead=Y
  • mediumAsking is $129,169 above the price where cash flow breaks even ($155,831) at the default scenario. Based on: Derived: price $285,000 vs. break-even $155,831
  • mediumThe rental license is only Pending, so check that it is current for 2 units before you rely on the income. Based on: data: city.rental_license · AI review
  • mediumThe 1886 building has a stone foundation that needs inspection, and the unit layout and bedroom count are not given. Based on: data: listing.year_built · AI review
  • mediumThe price is far above what the county values the property at and above the 2025 sale price. Based on: data: county.market_value · AI review
  • low$432 in special assessments on the payable 2026 tax bill (often street, sewer or code-enforcement charges). Ask what they're for, whether they continue, and whether the seller pays them off at closing. Public record: Ramsey County parcel 352923120203: special assessments (payable 2026) = $432.50

Opportunities

  • Possibly assumable loan at an old, low rate. FHA/VA assumptions come with owner-occupancy rules; ask the agent. Listing says: "paint. Strong rental history + established tenants + FHA -friendly = a smart addition to any investment"
  • The roof and windows are newer, so near-term big-ticket capex looks lower. Listing says: newer roof/windows and brand-new exterior paint · AI review
  • Tenants pay gas and electric, handle lawn and snow, so owner costs are lower than many duplexes. Listing says: Tenants pay gas and electric, manage lawn care and snow removal, and share the garage. · AI review
  • Garage and a large yard add appeal and storage. Based on: photo 8 · AI review

Questions for the agent

  • What are the actual rents for each unit, and when do the leases end?
  • What does the 30-year tenant pay, and when was the last increase?
  • Is each unit on its own furnace, water heater and electric meter?
  • What are the $432 special assessments, and are they paid at closing?
  • Is the seller's FHA loan assumable, and at what balance and rate?
  • Is the rental license for 2 units current, and are there any open city orders?

Bottom line

Newer roof and windows are nice, but at $285K with rents likely near $1,000 a unit, this loses money every month and works only at a much lower price. AI-assisted summary

What the records say

Where each number comes from

Property tax / yr Estimateestimate. Seller is homesteaded; an investor pays the non-homestead rate. $226,300 market value × 2.10% (median for non-homestead duplexes/triplexes in the city).$4,746
Insurance / yr Estimateestimate. from units, square feet and age; get a quote$2,407
Water, sewer, trash / mo Estimateestimate. $85/unit/mo, owner-paid$170
Heat / mo Assumptionassumption. tenants pay heat; confirm with the agent$0
Lawn care / mo Assumptionassumption. $120/mo for 6 months, spread over 12; no snow removal$60
Repairs / capital reserve Rulerule. built 1886: +1 pt capital reserve8% / 9%

Price history Realtor.com

On the market since 2026-06-28 (99 days, relisted 1×); last sold for $258,500 on 2025-01-22.

DateEventPrice
Listed$285,000
Removed$258,500
Removed$270,000
Removed$279,999
Sold$258,500
Listed$258,500
Sold public record$250,000
Listed$249,900
Sold$250,000
Listed$249,900
Sold$166,000
Relisted$149,900
Removed$149,900
Removed$149,900
Listed$149,900

County record Public record

Recorded astwo family dwelling - up/dwn
Living units2
Year built1886
Market value (2026)$226,300
Property tax, payable 2026$4,012
Special assessments$432
Homesteadyes
Last sale2025-01-22 · $258,500

Source: Ramsey County parcel records.

City rental certificate (CofO)

Residential 2 Units: 2 unit(s), B, status pending, renews 2027-03-01.

Nearest highway

I 94, about 906 m away.

Crime in Frogtown

824 incidents in the last 12 months (53 per 1,000 residents), −26% vs. the year before. St. Paul police incidents, excluding proactive visits and community events.