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810 30th Ave N

Duplex · 2 units: 2 bed / 1 bath and 1 bed / 1 bath unit split estimated · 2,600 sq ft

Minneapolis, MN · Hawthorne · View the listing ↗

Cash flows

Photos, via Realtor.com.

Asking price
$175,000
2 units · $88K per unit
Monthly cash flow
$397
at 20% down, 7%
Estimated rent
$2,725/mo
medium confidence · 13 rentals within 1.5 mi
Break-even price
$249,614
where cash flow hits $0

Adjust the numbers See the full breakdown

First look

A $175K Minneapolis duplex that has sat 98 days with a vague, generic description and no rents, no lease info and no utility details. Our numbers show about $397/mo cash flow and a 9.1% cap rate at asking, but that rests entirely on our rent estimates of $1,150 to $1,575 per unit, not on actual rents. Hawthorne is a rougher area, so rent and vacancy risk is real, and the photos show cosmetic updates only. Seller paid $200K in 2022 and is now asking less, which fits a loss and room to negotiate. Ask for the rent roll, the utility bills and the age of the roof, furnace and electrical before spending time on a showing.

Things to consider

  1. Returns depend on estimated rents The 9.1% cap rate and $397/mo cash flow use our estimates, not actual rents. If real rents are lower or one unit is vacant, the numbers shrink quickly.
  2. Seller is asking less than they paid A 2022 purchase at $200K versus a $175K ask, plus 98 days on market, points to negotiating room but also possible hidden condition or tenant issues.
  3. Investor tax bill is non-homestead The county shows non-homestead status with about $3,781 in taxes, so the figure is already investor-level and in our underwriting.
  4. Condition is mostly unverified Photos show light cosmetic updates in one unit only. A 1902 building can hide old wiring, plumbing and foundation costs.From photo 2
  5. Long time on market gives leverage 98 days suggests the price or condition has not matched buyer expectations. You can likely negotiate or ask for credits after inspection.

From the photos

Listing photo 1
1 of 5Plus

Living room has laminate-style flooring, textured ceiling and basic light fixtures; it appears cheaply refreshed and in decent shape.

Listing photo 2
2 of 5Check

Kitchen has white cabinets, a gas range and a stainless-look fridge. The countertops appear to be laminate or low-grade and the cabinet finish looks worn at the edges.

Listing photo 1
3 of 5Check

Floor vents suggest forced-air heat, matching county records. Furnace age and condition are not shown.

Listing photo 2
4 of 5Check

Only interior shots of one unit are shown. No exteriors, baths, basement, mechanicals, roof or second unit, so the unit count and condition are not verified.

Listing photo 2
5 of 5Check

Different flooring in the living room and kitchen suggests partial or piecemeal updates, likely cosmetic.

Based on 2 of the listing photos. Photos can hide as much as they show; an inspection is the real answer.

AI-assisted first read of the listing description and photos (Claude), checked against public records. Every rent and repair above quotes the listing; verify with the agent, leases and an inspection.

The numbers

Down payment %
Offer $
Management
Interest rate %
Edit rents, costs and assumptions

Default: 20% down (no PMI), offer at asking, self-managed, 7.00% for 30 years, buyer pays closing costs (3%).

The deal

Price
$175,000
Cash to close
$40,250
Price per unit
$87,500
GRM
5.4

Each month

Cash flow
$397/mo
Cash-on-cash
11.8%
Cap rate
9.1%
DSCR
1.43×

Break-even

Price that breaks even
$249,614
Rent that breaks even
$2,209/mo

Long run

Year 30: property vs stocks
$1.34M vs $306K
Cash flow turns positive
year 1

Monthly

Monthly breakdown

Rent$2,725
Vacancy (6%)−$164
Collected$2,562
Property tax Public record−$315
Insurance Estimate−$225
Water, sewer, trash Estimate−$170
Lawn care ($120 × 6 mo ÷ 12)−$60
Repairs (8% of rent)−$218
Capital reserve (9% of rent)−$245
Net operating income$1,329
Mortgage (principal + interest)−$931
Cash flow$397
Principal paid down (equity, not cash)$119

Cash flow each year

Rents +3%/yr, costs +3.5%/yr. Red bars are months you'd cover out of pocket.

30 years

How those totals add up

If you buy this building$1,339,164
Your equity when you sell
$399,285

Sells for $424,771 (value up 3% a year), minus 6% selling cost ($25,486). Rent paid down $140,000 of loan.

Rental profits, invested at 7%
$939,880

$385,781 of cash flow over 30 years, plus what it earned invested.

Same money in stocks$306,393
Cash to close, invested at 7%
$306,393

$40,250 put into an index fund instead of the down payment and closing costs.

The building comes out $1,032,771 ahead after 30 years.

Future dollars. At 3% inflation, divide year-30 figures by about 2.4 for today's buying power. Rental profits are assumed invested, not spent.

30 years: this property vs. the same money in stocks

This propertyStocks at 7%

Year 30 (loan paid off): property $1.34M, stocks $306K. The property wins.

Comparable rentals

The closest rental listings with each unit's bedroom count, as of 2026-10-06. The estimate is the median asking rent of every rental we found nearby (the count is shown for each); houses are left out. Asking rents from Realtor.com rental listings, not signed leases.

2 bed estimate $1,575/mo · range $1,400–$1,725 · 13 rentals within 1.5 mi

AddressRentBd / BaSq ftDistanceListedType
421 N 26th Ave Unit 1, Minneapolis $1,500 2 / 1 300 0.5 mi 2026-09-21 Apartment
415 23rd Ave N Apt 4, Minneapolis $1,415 2 / 1 850 0.7 mi — Apartment
3619 Fremont Ave N Apt 5, Minneapolis $1,075 2 / 1 800 0.7 mi — Apartment
2222 Girard Ave N, Minneapolis $1,500 2 / 1 1,736 0.7 mi 2026-07-10 Duplex triplex
816 21st Ave N Apt 337, Minneapolis $1,788 2 / 1 1,000 0.8 mi 2026-07-14 Apartment
2652 Marshall St NE, Minneapolis $1,249 2 / 1 — 0.9 mi 2025-04-30 Apartment
2219 Marshall St NE, Minneapolis $1,509 2 / 1 895 0.9 mi 2026-09-15 Apartment
2000 W Broadway Ave, Minneapolis $1,350 2 / 1 902 1.0 mi 2026-01-02 Apartment
2630 Grand St NE, Minneapolis $1,595 2 / 1 873 1.0 mi 2026-03-20 Apartment
2630 Grand St NE Unit 2, Minneapolis $1,595 2 / 1 873 1.0 mi — Apartment

1 bed estimate $1,150/mo · range $1,000–$1,600 · 24 rentals within 1.5 mi

AddressRentBd / BaSq ftDistanceListedType
2938 Dupont Ave N, Minneapolis $1,050 1 / 1 600 0.1 mi — Apartment
617 Lowry Ave N, Minneapolis $1,120 1 / 1 980 0.2 mi 2026-07-17 Apartment
2928 Emerson Ave N, Minneapolis $1,050 1 / 1 745 0.2 mi 2026-09-24 Apartment
421 N 26th Ave Unit 4, Minneapolis $950 1 / 1 90 0.5 mi 2026-09-21 Apartment
3600 Fremont Ave N Apt 3, Minneapolis $875 1 / 1 600 0.7 mi — Apartment
801 21st Ave N, Minneapolis $875 1 / 1 750 0.8 mi 2025-12-30 Apartment
3230 Penn Ave N, Minneapolis $925 1 / 1 765 0.9 mi 2026-06-12 Apartment
835 W Broadway Ave, Minneapolis $1,335 1 / 1 579 0.9 mi 2026-02-14 Apartment
2652 Marshall St NE, Minneapolis $950 1 / 1 — 0.9 mi 2025-04-30 Apartment
2035 W River Rd N, Minneapolis $1,344 1 / 1 657 1.0 mi 2025-09-29 Apartment

On the maps, this property and comparable rentals. Comparable rentals and rent estimate: Realtor.com rental listings. Rents are asking rents from listings; check them against the actual leases.

Red flags and opportunities

Watch for

  • mediumNo rents, lease terms or occupancy given; the pitch is generic and leans on owner-occupant appeal. Listing says: Live in one unit while the other helps offset your mortgage · AI review
  • lowBought for $200K in 2022 and now asking $175K; ask why the seller is selling at a loss and what condition issues explain it. Based on: data: county.last_sale_price · AI review
  • lowClose to I-94 (about 600 m), which can mean noise and affect tenant demand. Based on: data: highway · AI review

Opportunities

  • Long time on market: room to negotiate. Based on: Listing data: 101 days on market, 1 price cuts
  • Minneapolis has no rent cap, so rents can rise to market after turnover or a light refresh. Based on: data: underwriting.rent_rule · AI review
  • Rental license is active (Tier 1) for 2 units through March 2027, which reduces licensing risk. Based on: data: city.rental_license · AI review
  • Separate entrances support renting both units or house-hacking. Listing says: two spacious units with separate entrances · AI review

Questions for the agent

  • What are the current rents, lease types and end dates for each unit? Can I see the rent roll?
  • Which unit is the 3 bed total split across, and what are the beds and baths in each?
  • Who pays heat, water, and trash, and what were the last 12 months of bills?
  • How old are the roof, furnace, water heaters and electrical panels?
  • Why did the seller list below the 2022 purchase price, and have there been price cuts?
  • Are the units currently occupied, and are the tenants staying?

Bottom line

Cheap on paper with a solid projected cap rate, but it rests on our rent estimates, so get actual rents and system ages before getting excited. AI-assisted summary

What the records say

Where each number comes from

Property tax / yr Public recordHennepin County record, current payable year (non-homestead)$3,781
Insurance / yr Estimateestimate. from units, square feet and age; get a quote$2,695
Water, sewer, trash / mo Estimateestimate. $85/unit/mo, owner-paid$170
Heat / mo Assumptionassumption. tenants pay heat; confirm with the agent$0
Lawn care / mo Assumptionassumption. $120/mo for 6 months, spread over 12; no snow removal$60
Repairs / capital reserve Rulerule. built 1902: +1 pt capital reserve8% / 9%

Price history Realtor.com

On the market since 2026-06-26 (101 days); down $15,000 (7.9%) from the first ask of $190,000; last sold for $200,000 on 2022-02-18.

DateEventPrice
Price changed$175,000
Removed$239,999
Listed$190,000
Sold public record$200,000
Removed$249,900
Listed$249,900
Sold public record$200,000

County record Public record

Recorded asduplex
Living units2
Year built1902
Market value (2026)$199,100
Property tax$3,781
Special assessmentsnone
Homesteadno
Last sale2022-02-01 · $200,000

Source: Hennepin County parcel records.

City rental license

CHOWN: 2 unit(s), Tier 1, status active, renews 2027-03-01.

Nearest highway

I 94, about 596 m away.

Crime in Hawthorne

445 incidents in the last 12 months (79 per 1,000 residents), −1% vs. the year before. Minneapolis police incidents, all reported offenses (definitions differ from St. Paul's, so don't compare across cities).