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829 Brown Ave

Duplex · 2 units: 2 bed / 1 bath ×2 unit split estimated · 1,842 sq ft

Saint Paul, MN · West Side (Cherokee Heights, District del Sol) · View the listing ↗

Overpriced

Photos courtesy of Metzen Realty And Associates Co. - Broker, via Realtor.com.

Asking price
$345,000
2 units · $172K per unit
Monthly cash flow
−$550
at 20% down, 7%
Estimated rent
$2,850/mo
low confidence · 6 rentals within 0.75 mi
Break-even price
$241,627
where cash flow hits $0

Adjust the numbers See the full breakdown

First look

This is a clean, updated side-by-side with boilers (2017), roof (2018) and a chimney liner (2023) already done, but the price is the problem. At $345K the model shows about -$550/month and a 4.5% cap rate, and break-even is near $242K, so asking is roughly $103K too high. Our rent estimate is only $1,425 per side, and St. Paul's 3% cap limits how fast sitting-tenant rents can climb. The listing gives no rents, lease status or utility info, so get the rent roll and heat/water arrangement first. The rental license shows as Pending, which is another early check. Unless the seller is far more flexible, this is hard to justify as an investment at today's rates, though the condition is better than most.

Things to consider

  1. Price is far above what the rents support Our model shows negative cash flow of about $550/month and break-even near $242K. Even good condition doesn't close a $103K gap.
  2. Rent growth is limited by St. Paul's cap If tenants are in place at below-market rents, you can only raise them 3% a year, so the gap to our $1,425 estimate closes slowly.
  3. Taxes will rise for an investor The current bill reflects the seller's homestead status. Our underwriting already uses a higher non-homestead estimate, so the listed tax understates your cost.
  4. Recent system updates reduce near-term capex New roof, boilers and chimney liner remove several big-ticket items, so repair reserves can be lower than typical for a 1937 building.Listing says: “new boilers for both units in 2017”
  5. Owner-occupy is the best-fitting strategy Living in one side changes the financing and cost picture compared with a pure investment purchase. Verify loan terms with a lender.Listing says: “live in one side while generating income from the other”

From the photos

Listing photo 2
1 of 7Plus

Stucco exterior with a shingle roof that appears in decent shape, consistent with the 2018 replacement

Listing photo 2
2 of 7Plus

Side-by-side layout with two front doors and two entrances is visible, supporting the two-unit count

Listing photo 9
3 of 7Check

Kitchen has painted white cabinets, a tile backsplash and newer vinyl plank flooring, but laminate counters and mixed appliances look dated; mostly cosmetic updates

Listing photo 10
4 of 7Check

Radiator heat is visible in the kitchen and bedroom, consistent with the boiler heat; window A/C units suggest no central cooling

Listing photo 10
5 of 7Plus

Hardwood floors appear in good condition in the living areas and bedroom

Listing photo 5
6 of 7Check

Detached single-car garages and a shared paved driveway appear to serve the property; confirm which unit gets which space

Listing photo 1
7 of 7Check

No photos of the basement, boilers, electrical panels, bathrooms or the second unit's interior

Based on 10 of the listing photos. Photos can hide as much as they show; an inspection is the real answer.

Condition and repairs

  • doneNew roof (2018)Listing says: a new roof in 2018
  • doneNew boilers for both units (2017)Listing says: new boilers for both units in 2017
  • doneNew chimney liner (2023)Listing says: a new chimney liner in 2023
  • doneNew water heater in 829 unit (2022)Listing says: a new water heater in the 829 unit in 2022
  • doneNew kitchen flooring in 831 unit (2024)Listing says: new kitchen flooring in the 831 unit in 2024

AI-assisted first read of the listing description and photos (Claude), checked against public records. Every rent and repair above quotes the listing; verify with the agent, leases and an inspection.

The numbers

Down payment %
Offer $
Management
Interest rate %
Edit rents, costs and assumptions

Default: 20% down (no PMI), offer at asking, self-managed, 7.00% for 30 years, buyer pays closing costs (3%).

The deal

Price
$345,000
Cash to close
$79,350
Price per unit
$172,500
GRM
10.1

Each month

Cash flow
−$550/mo
Cash-on-cash
−8.3%
Cap rate
4.5%
DSCR
0.70×

Break-even

Price that breaks even
$241,627
Rent that breaks even
$3,555/mo

Long run

Year 30: property vs stocks
$898K vs $883K
Cash flow turns positive
year 15

Monthly

Monthly breakdown

Rent$2,850
Vacancy (6%)−$171
Collected$2,679
Property tax Estimate−$519
Insurance Estimate−$188
Water, sewer, trash Estimate−$170
Lawn care ($120 × 6 mo ÷ 12)−$60
Repairs (8% of rent)−$228
Capital reserve (8% of rent)−$228
Net operating income$1,286
Mortgage (principal + interest)−$1,836
Cash flow−$550
Principal paid down (equity, not cash)$234

Cash flow each year

Rents +3%/yr (St. Paul's cap for sitting tenants), costs +3.5%/yr. Red bars are months you'd cover out of pocket.

30 years

How those totals add up

If you buy this building$898,448
Your equity when you sell
$787,162

Sells for $837,406 (value up 3% a year), minus 6% selling cost ($50,244). Rent paid down $276,000 of loan.

Rental profits, invested at 7%
$111,287

$79,100 of cash flow over 30 years, plus what it earned invested.

Same money in stocks$882,599
Cash to close, invested at 7%
$604,032

$79,350 put into an index fund instead of the down payment and closing costs.

Monthly shortfalls, invested
$278,567

$51,445 you'd have paid in while the building lost money, invested instead.

The building comes out $15,849 ahead after 30 years.

Future dollars. At 3% inflation, divide year-30 figures by about 2.4 for today's buying power. Rental profits are assumed invested, not spent.

30 years: this property vs. the same money in stocks

This propertyStocks at 7%

Year 30 (loan paid off): property $898K, stocks $883K. The property wins.

Comparable rentals

The closest rental listings with each unit's bedroom count, as of 2026-10-06. The estimate is the median asking rent of every rental we found nearby (the count is shown for each); houses are left out. Asking rents from Realtor.com rental listings, not signed leases.

2 bed estimate $1,425/mo · range $1,200–$1,700 · 6 rentals within 0.75 mi

AddressRentBd / BaSq ftDistanceListedType
504 Belvidere St E Unit 1, Saint Paul $1,450 2 / 1 944 0.4 mi — Apartment
994 Oakdale Ave Unit 2, Saint Paul $1,600 2 / 1 800 0.4 mi 2026-05-13 Duplex triplex
966 Robert St S Apt 106, West Saint Paul $1,195 2 / 1 850 0.5 mi — Apartment
966 Robert St S, West Saint Paul $1,195 2 / 1 850 0.5 mi 2025-01-03 Apartment
604 Oakdale Ave Apt 2, Saint Paul $1,595 2 / 1 2 0.6 mi 2026-09-05 Multi family
124 Stanley St E, West Saint Paul $900 2 / 1 750 0.7 mi 2026-03-06 Apartment

On the maps, this property and comparable rentals. Comparable rentals and rent estimate: Realtor.com rental listings. Rents are asking rents from listings; check them against the actual leases.

Red flags and opportunities

Watch for

  • highNo rents, lease terms or occupancy stated; income can't be verified Based on: data: rent_estimate · AI review
  • mediumThe seller is homesteaded, so the current tax bill is lower than what an investor will pay. We use an estimated non-homestead tax instead. Public record: Ramsey County parcel 082822430060: homestead=Y
  • mediumRental license status is still Pending Based on: data: city.rental_license · AI review
  • mediumSeller's listing says nothing about electrical panel type or age on a 1937 building Based on: data: listing.year_built · AI review
  • low$432 in special assessments on the payable 2026 tax bill (often street, sewer or code-enforcement charges). Ask what they're for, whether they continue, and whether the seller pays them off at closing. Public record: Ramsey County parcel 082822430060: special assessments (payable 2026) = $432.50
  • lowWater heater is only noted as replaced in one unit; the other unit's age is unknown Listing says: a new water heater in the 829 unit in 2022 · AI review

Opportunities

  • Separate electric meters mean tenants likely pay their own electric Listing says: hardwood floors, comfortable living spaces, basement storage and laundry, and separate electric meters · AI review
  • Owner-occupant option: live in one side and rent the other, which can improve financing and cash flow Listing says: live in one side while generating income from the other · AI review
  • Major systems are recently updated, so near-term capex should be lower Listing says: Major improvements have already been taken care of · AI review

Questions for the agent

  • What are the current rents, lease end dates and are any tenants month-to-month?
  • Who pays heat and water, and are the two boilers separately metered?
  • Why is the rental license pending, and what is the $432 special assessment for?
  • What is the electrical panel type and amperage in each unit?
  • Has the roof or chimney had any leaks, and are there inspection records for the 2017-2018 work?
  • Is the basement laundry shared or separate, and is there any moisture in the basement?

Bottom line

Well-updated duplex, but at $345K it loses money every month and only works near $242K. AI-assisted summary

What the records say

Where each number comes from

Property tax / yr Estimateestimate. Seller is homesteaded; an investor pays the non-homestead rate. $296,700 market value × 2.10% (median for non-homestead duplexes/triplexes in the city).$6,223
Insurance / yr Estimateestimate. from units, square feet and age; get a quote$2,260
Water, sewer, trash / mo Estimateestimate. $85/unit/mo, owner-paid$170
Heat / mo Assumptionassumption. tenants pay heat; confirm with the agent$0
Lawn care / mo Assumptionassumption. $120/mo for 6 months, spread over 12; no snow removal$60
Repairs / capital reserve Rulerule. base rate8% / 8%

Price history Realtor.com

On the market since 2026-09-11 (24 days); last sold for $199,900 on 2017-01-03.

DateEventPrice
Listed$345,000
Sold public record$199,900
Sold public record$191,500

County record Public record

Recorded astwo family dwelling - side/side
Living units2
Year built1937
Market value (2026)$296,700
Property tax, payable 2026$4,954
Special assessments$432
Homesteadyes
Last sale2016-12-14 · $199,900

Source: Ramsey County parcel records.

City rental certificate (CofO)

Residential 2 Units: 2 unit(s), A, status pending, renews 2029-03-03.

Nearest highway

US 52, about 405 m away.

Crime in West Side

708 incidents in the last 12 months (45 per 1,000 residents), −17% vs. the year before. St. Paul police incidents, excluding proactive visits and community events.