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833 3rd St E

Duplex · 2 units: 3 bed and 2 bed · 2,304 sq ft

Saint Paul, MN · Dayton's Bluff · View the listing ↗

Cash flows

Photos courtesy of RE/MAX Results, via Realtor.com.

Asking price
$265,000
2 units · $132K per unit
Monthly cash flow
$110
at 20% down, 7%
Estimated rent
$3,150/mo
medium confidence · 8 rentals within 0.75 mi
Break-even price
$285,667
where cash flow hits $0

Adjust the numbers See the full breakdown

First look

This is an up/down in Dayton's Bluff at $265K, listed 74 days, and our underwriting lands at modestly positive (+$110/mo, 6.9% cap) at 20% down and the asking price. Nothing about the price looks like a bargain: the seller paid $265,800 in 2022, so there's no gain for them to give back and little reason to expect a drop without pushing. The big plus is separate gas and electric meters and separate water heaters, so tenants likely pay their own utilities. The description pitches it as owner-occupied, but the lower unit is rented with no rent or lease terms stated, so ask for the lease and rent first. Also confirm rental licensing, since the city shows no certificate. Worth a showing if the real rents hold up against our estimates, and a lower price would add cushion.

Things to consider

  1. Price is below break-even Cash flow is about +$110/mo at asking with 20% down, so there is only a thin cushion for repairs, vacancy or higher rates. Break-even is around $286K, so a lower price would add more margin.
  2. Rental licensing is unverified No certificate is on file. An unlicensed rental can mean an inspection, repair orders and delays in collecting rent.
  3. Tax is higher for an investor and assessments are due The 2026 bill is $5,487 non-homestead plus $1,175 in special assessments. Confirm what they are and who pays.
  4. Separate meters and water heaters reduce owner costs Tenants likely pay their own gas and electric, which keeps expenses predictable and makes the numbers easier to trust.Listing says: “Separate gas and electrical meters for both units and each unit has their own water heater.”
  5. Rent growth is limited for existing tenants St. Paul caps increases at 3% a year for sitting tenants, so a below-market lower rent will take years to catch up to our $1,375 estimate.
  6. Building is from 1900 and the photos skip systems Expect older wiring, plumbing and foundation questions. Budget for an inspection before relying on the numbers.

From the photos

Listing photo 1
1 of 8Check

Vinyl or aluminum-looking lap siding appears intact, but paint and trim look dated and a bit tired, and mature trees and vines are growing against the walls.

Listing photo 3
2 of 8Check

Front porches and exterior stairs have wood railings that look weathered; check for rot and structural soundness.

Listing photo 5
3 of 8Concern

Rear entry has a rusty awning and a worn wooden landing, signs of deferred maintenance.

Listing photo 8
4 of 8Plus

Upper unit has hardwood floors, double-hung windows and generous closets in good basic condition.

Listing photo 8
5 of 8Check

Electric baseboard heater appears under the window in the upper unit; it conflicts with county 'central' heat.

Listing photo 4
6 of 8Plus

Detached garage and a gravel/dirt parking area at the back, plus alley access, give off-street parking for a couple of vehicles.

Listing photo 6
7 of 8Check

No photos of kitchens, bathrooms, basement, boiler or furnace, water heaters or electrical panel, so the major systems can't be judged.

Listing photo 7
8 of 8Check

Ceilings have textured finish and some floors look worn; interiors look dated but livable.

Based on 10 of the listing photos. Photos can hide as much as they show; an inspection is the real answer.

AI-assisted first read of the listing description and photos (Claude), checked against public records. Every rent and repair above quotes the listing; verify with the agent, leases and an inspection.

The numbers

Down payment %
Offer $
Management
Interest rate %
Edit rents, costs and assumptions

Default: 20% down (no PMI), offer at asking, self-managed, 7.00% for 30 years, buyer pays closing costs (3%).

The deal

Price
$265,000
Cash to close
$60,950
Price per unit
$132,500
GRM
7.0

Each month

Cash flow
$110/mo
Cash-on-cash
2.2%
Cap rate
6.9%
DSCR
1.08×

Break-even

Price that breaks even
$285,667
Rent that breaks even
$3,007/mo

Long run

Year 30: property vs stocks
$1.29M vs $464K
Cash flow turns positive
year 1

Monthly

Monthly breakdown

Rent$3,150
Vacancy (6%)−$189
Collected$2,961
Property tax Public record−$457
Insurance Estimate−$218
Water, sewer, trash Estimate−$170
Lawn care ($120 × 6 mo ÷ 12)−$60
Repairs (8% of rent)−$252
Capital reserve (9% of rent)−$284
Net operating income$1,520
Mortgage (principal + interest)−$1,410
Cash flow$110
Principal paid down (equity, not cash)$179

Cash flow each year

Rents +3%/yr (St. Paul's cap for sitting tenants), costs +3.5%/yr. Red bars are months you'd cover out of pocket.

30 years

How those totals add up

If you buy this building$1,287,549
Your equity when you sell
$604,632

Sells for $643,225 (value up 3% a year), minus 6% selling cost ($38,593). Rent paid down $212,000 of loan.

Rental profits, invested at 7%
$682,918

$316,312 of cash flow over 30 years, plus what it earned invested.

Same money in stocks$463,967
Cash to close, invested at 7%
$463,967

$60,950 put into an index fund instead of the down payment and closing costs.

The building comes out $823,582 ahead after 30 years.

Future dollars. At 3% inflation, divide year-30 figures by about 2.4 for today's buying power. Rental profits are assumed invested, not spent.

30 years: this property vs. the same money in stocks

This propertyStocks at 7%

Year 30 (loan paid off): property $1.29M, stocks $464K. The property wins.

Comparable rentals

The closest rental listings with each unit's bedroom count, as of 2026-10-06. The estimate is the median asking rent of every rental we found nearby (the count is shown for each); houses are left out. Asking rents from Realtor.com rental listings, not signed leases.

3 bed estimate $1,775/mo · range $1,400–$1,875 · 8 rentals within 0.75 mi

AddressRentBd / BaSq ftDistanceListedType
283-289 Bates Ave, Saint Paul $1,249 3 / 1 900 0.2 mi 2026-04-29 Apartment
880 Wilson Ave, Saint Paul $1,425 3 / 1 — 0.2 mi 2026-07-21 Apartment
1056 3rd St E, Saint Paul $1,695 3 / 1 925 0.5 mi 2026-08-20 Apartment
1056 3rd St E, Saint Paul $1,695 3 / 1 925 0.5 mi 2026-09-17 Apartment
595 Minnehaha Ave E, Saint Paul $1,155 3 / 1 830 0.7 mi 2025-01-03 Apartment
586 Reaney Ave E Unit 586U2, Saint Paul $1,614 3 / 1 1,100 0.7 mi 2023-06-04 Apartment
691 Bedford St Unit A, Saint Paul $2,052 3 / 1 1,050 0.7 mi 2025-09-24 Apartment
1124 Minnehaha Ave E Apt 1, Saint Paul $1,750 3 / 1 832 0.7 mi 2026-03-25 Apartment

2 bed estimate $1,375/mo · range $1,225–$1,500 · 8 rentals within 0.75 mi

AddressRentBd / BaSq ftDistanceListedType
283-289 Bates Ave, Saint Paul $1,124 2 / 1 711 0.2 mi 2026-04-29 Apartment
701 E 3rd St, Saint Paul $1,099 2 / 1 880 0.2 mi 2024-04-15 Apartment
207 N Maple St, Saint Paul $1,150 2 / 1 600 0.2 mi 2026-03-12 Apartment
948 Euclid St Unit 1, Saint Paul $1,400 2 / 1 972 0.3 mi 2026-09-23 Apartment
1000 McLean Ave, Saint Paul $1,299 2 / 1 734 0.6 mi 2026-07-14 Apartment
1034 Suburban Ave E Unit 307, Saint Paul $1,270 2 / 1 620 0.7 mi 2026-05-02 Apartment
1034 Suburban Ave E Unit 301, Saint Paul $1,270 2 / 1 620 0.7 mi 2026-05-02 Apartment
665 Bedford St Unit 2, Saint Paul $1,400 2 / 1 800 0.7 mi 2023-12-20 Duplex triplex

On the maps, this property and comparable rentals. Comparable rentals and rent estimate: Realtor.com rental listings. Rents are asking rents from listings; check them against the actual leases.

Red flags and opportunities

Watch for

  • mediumNo rental certificate (CofO) on file in the city's data. Ask whether the building is licensed as a rental and when it was last inspected. Public record: St. Paul Certificate of Occupancy – Residential: no record for 833 3RD ST E (dataset last updated mid-2025)
  • medium$1,175 in special assessments on the payable 2026 tax bill (often street, sewer or code-enforcement charges). Ask what they're for, whether they continue, and whether the seller pays them off at closing. Public record: Ramsey County parcel 332922230197: special assessments (payable 2026) = $1,174.88
  • mediumLower unit is rented but no rent or lease terms are given; the description is framed for an owner-occupant. Listing says: Great for owner occupied with lower level being rented out and upper unit vacant at this time. · AI review
  • mediumListed 74 days with the upper unit vacant; income today is only one unit, and the price roughly breaks even on estimated rents. Based on: data: listing.days_on_market · AI review
  • lowWall-mounted electric baseboard heaters appear in the upper unit, while county data says central heat. Heat type is unclear and electric heat is costly for tenants. Based on: photo 8 · AI review

Opportunities

  • Upper unit is vacant, so an owner-occupant or new tenant can start fresh at market rent. Our mid estimate is $1,350 for a 2-bed. Listing says: upper unit vacant at this time · AI review
  • In-unit washer/dryer and separate meters make the units easier to rent and keep utilities off the owner's books. Listing says: Both units have in unit washer/dryer. Separate gas and electrical meters for both units · AI review

Questions for the agent

  • What is the lower tenant's rent, lease end date and deposit? Can I see the lease?
  • Is the building licensed as a rental with the city, and when was it last inspected?
  • What are the $1,175 in special assessments for, and does the seller pay them at closing?
  • How is each unit heated? Photos show electric baseboard, county data says central.
  • Why has it sat 74 days, and have there been any price cuts or offers?
  • What are the roof, windows, and electrical panel ages and the typical utility costs per unit?

Bottom line

Fair-looking up/down with good utility separation, and at $265K it cash flows slightly, but it needs proof of the real rents and ideally a lower price. AI-assisted summary

What the records say

Where each number comes from

Property tax / yr Public recordRamsey County record, payable 2026 (non-homestead)$5,487
Insurance / yr Estimateestimate. from units, square feet and age; get a quote$2,614
Water, sewer, trash / mo Estimateestimate. $85/unit/mo, owner-paid$170
Heat / mo Assumptionassumption. tenants pay heat; confirm with the agent$0
Lawn care / mo Assumptionassumption. $120/mo for 6 months, spread over 12; no snow removal$60
Repairs / capital reserve Rulerule. built 1900: +1 pt capital reserve8% / 9%

Price history Realtor.com

On the market since 2026-07-20 (77 days); down $9,900 (3.6%) from the first ask of $274,900; last sold for $265,800 on 2022-05-09; listed for rent at $1,099/mo on 2016-04-05.

DateEventPrice
Price changed$265,000
Price changed$269,900
Listed$274,900
Sold public record$265,800
Removed—
Listed$274,900
Sold public record$128,000
Sold$134,900
Relisted$134,900
Removed$134,900
Relisted$134,900
Removed$134,900
Listed$134,900
Rental removed$1,099/mo
Listed for rent$1,099/mo
Sold$125,500
Sold public record$125,500
Relisted$129,900
Removed$129,900
Price changed$129,900
Listed$134,900
Sold$50,000
Price changed$100,000
Price changed$130,000
Price changed$150,000

County record Public record

Recorded astwo family dwelling - up/dwn
Living units2
Year built1900
Market value (2026)$241,000
Property tax, payable 2026$5,487
Special assessments$1,175
Homesteadno
Last sale2022-05-03 · $265,800

Source: Ramsey County parcel records.

City rental certificate (CofO)

No record in St. Paul Certificate of Occupancy – Residential (dataset last updated mid-2025).

Nearest highway

I 94;US 10, about 550 m away.

Crime in Dayton's Bluff

970 incidents in the last 12 months (52 per 1,000 residents), −6% vs. the year before. St. Paul police incidents, excluding proactive visits and community events.