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846 Lincoln Ave

Triplex · 3 units: 2 bed / 1.5 bath ×3 unit split estimated · 3,871 sq ft

Saint Paul, MN · Summit Hill (Grand Avenue) · View the listing ↗

Far off

Photos courtesy of Edina Realty, Inc., via Realtor.com.

Asking price
$900,000
3 units · $300K per unit
Monthly cash flow
−$2,615
at 20% down, 7%
Estimated rent
$5,175/mo
medium confidence · 14 rentals within 0.75 mi
Break-even price
$408,699
where cash flow hits $0

Adjust the numbers See the full breakdown

First look

This is a $900K asking price on a Summit Hill triplex that our numbers say supports about $409K, with cash flow around -$2,600 a month and a 2.9% cap rate. The description is lifestyle-heavy: the main unit lives like a single-family home and the upper units are two one-bedrooms. No rents, no lease terms and no expenses are given. The photos show a well-kept exterior and a nicely done main-floor bath, but nothing of the upper units, mechanicals or basement. It has sat 210 days, so there's room to negotiate, but this only works as an owner-occupied or lifestyle purchase, not an investment at this price. Ask for the rent roll and confirm the rental license first, since it shows as expired in 2024.

Things to consider

  1. Price is far above what the numbers support At ask, cash flow is about -$2,600 a month and the cap rate is 2.9%. The break-even price is about $409K, so this works only as an owner-occupant purchase at a steep discount.
  2. Rent roll is missing Without actual rents and leases, you can't judge income. Our estimate is $1,725 per unit, which doesn't come close to covering costs. St. Paul's 3% cap would also limit rent increases for sitting tenants.
  3. Taxes will rise for an investor The seller's bill is homestead-reduced at $13,705. An investor pays the higher non-homestead rate, which hurts cash flow further.
  4. Unit mix is unusual A 4-bed main unit plus two 1-beds sharing laundry may rent unevenly. One-beds also turn over more often.Listing says: “These units feature shared upper-level laundry set for added convenience.”
  5. Old building, thin systems detail An 1880 house needs inspection of wiring, plumbing, foundation and roof. The description only mentions cosmetic and HVAC updates.
  6. Negotiating leverage exists 210 days on market and a gap of about $491K to break-even suggest the seller needs to cut deeply.

From the photos

Listing photo 1
1 of 7Plus

Exterior appears well maintained: stucco, trim and the front porch look in good shape. No obvious roof or siding problems are visible from the street.

Listing photo 5
2 of 7Check

Porch decking looks dark and worn in places but appears sound. Check the porch structure and the railings.

Listing photo 8
3 of 7Plus

Main-floor bath looks recently renovated, with marble tile, a double vanity and a glass shower. This is a high-end finish for a rental.

Listing photo 6
4 of 7Plus

A bedroom has carpet, a closet and a window, and appears in decent shape. It looks like the main-unit primary suite.

Listing photo 10
5 of 7Check

Stacked washer and dryer sit by the back entry, which fits the in-unit laundry for the main unit. No separate meters, panels or boilers are visible.

Listing photo 1
6 of 7Check

No photos of the upper units, the basement, mechanicals, the electric panel or the garages. These are the main things to see before a showing.

Listing photo 9
7 of 7Plus

The kitchen cabinetry and the back entry hall look updated, with a black granite counter and an undermount sink. The finish seems cosmetic and recent.

Based on 10 of the listing photos. Photos can hide as much as they show; an inspection is the real answer.

Condition and repairs

  • doneMain-floor kitchen updated and opened to living and dining areasListing says: updated kitchen that has been opened to the living and dining areas
  • doneMini-split heating and cooling in each upper unitListing says: Each is equipped with two mini-split systems providing efficient heating and air conditioning
  • doneMain unit central airListing says: Central air conditioning adds comfort to this expansive main-floor home

AI-assisted first read of the listing description and photos (Claude), checked against public records. Every rent and repair above quotes the listing; verify with the agent, leases and an inspection.

The numbers

Down payment %
Offer $
Management
Interest rate %
Edit rents, costs and assumptions

Default: 20% down (no PMI), offer at asking, self-managed, 7.00% for 30 years, buyer pays closing costs (3%).

The deal

Price
$900,000
Cash to close
$207,000
Price per unit
$300,000
GRM
14.5

Each month

Cash flow
−$2,615/mo
Cash-on-cash
−15.2%
Cap rate
2.9%
DSCR
0.45×

Break-even

Price that breaks even
$408,699
Rent that breaks even
$8,485/mo

Long run

Year 30: property vs stocks
$2.05M vs $3.80M
Cash flow turns positive
not within 30 years

Monthly

Monthly breakdown

Rent$5,175
Vacancy (6%)−$310
Collected$4,864
Property tax Estimate−$1,262
Insurance Estimate−$336
Water, sewer, trash Estimate−$255
Lawn care ($120 × 6 mo ÷ 12)−$60
Repairs (7% of rent)−$362
Capital reserve (8% of rent)−$414
Net operating income$2,175
Mortgage (principal + interest)−$4,790
Cash flow−$2,615
Principal paid down (equity, not cash)$609

Cash flow each year

Rents +3%/yr (St. Paul's cap for sitting tenants), costs +3.5%/yr. Red bars are months you'd cover out of pocket.

30 years

How those totals add up

If you buy this building$2,053,464
Your equity when you sell
$2,053,464

Sells for $2,184,536 (value up 3% a year), minus 6% selling cost ($131,072). Rent paid down $720,000 of loan.

Rental profits, invested at 7%
$0

$0 of cash flow over 30 years, plus what it earned invested.

Same money in stocks$3,798,084
Cash to close, invested at 7%
$1,575,737

$207,000 put into an index fund instead of the down payment and closing costs.

Monthly shortfalls, invested
$2,222,347

$575,501 you'd have paid in while the building lost money, invested instead.

Stocks come out $1,744,620 ahead after 30 years.

Future dollars. At 3% inflation, divide year-30 figures by about 2.4 for today's buying power. Rental profits are assumed invested, not spent.

30 years: this property vs. the same money in stocks

This propertyStocks at 7%

Year 30 (loan paid off): property $2.05M, stocks $3.80M. Stocks win.

Comparable rentals

The closest rental listings with each unit's bedroom count, as of 2026-10-06. The estimate is the median asking rent of every rental we found nearby (the count is shown for each); houses are left out. Asking rents from Realtor.com rental listings, not signed leases.

2 bed estimate $1,725/mo · range $1,550–$1,900 · 14 rentals within 0.75 mi

AddressRentBd / BaSq ftDistanceListedType
913 Ashland Ave, Saint Paul $1,600 2 / 1 1,150 0.4 mi 2026-09-05 Apartment
1022 Osceola Ave, Saint Paul $1,549 2 / 1 800 0.4 mi 2026-07-02 Apartment
651-655 Portland Ave, Saint Paul $1,449 2 / 1 1,100 0.5 mi 2026-07-01 Apartment
1044 Saint Clair Ave Unit Lower, Saint Paul $2,100 2 / 2 2,000 0.5 mi 2022-08-08 Duplex triplex
874 Selby Ave, Saint Paul $1,250 2 / 1 620 0.5 mi 2026-09-28 Apartment
826 Selby Ave Apt 2, Saint Paul $1,700 2 / 1 1,200 0.6 mi — Apartment
874 Selby Ave Apt 3, Saint Paul $1,250 2 / 1 650 0.6 mi 2026-09-20 Apartment
180 Milton St N, Saint Paul $1,650 2 / 1 1,105 0.6 mi 2025-10-02 Apartment
755 Selby Ave, Saint Paul $1,500 2 / 1 1,003 0.6 mi 2026-02-18 Apartment
1135-1137 Goodrich Ave, Saint Paul $2,350 2 / 1 1,300 0.6 mi 2026-09-04 Apartment

On the maps, this property and comparable rentals. Comparable rentals and rent estimate: Realtor.com rental listings. Rents are asking rents from listings; check them against the actual leases.

Red flags and opportunities

Watch for

  • mediumThe seller is homesteaded, so the current tax bill is lower than what an investor will pay. We use an estimated non-homestead tax instead. Public record: Ramsey County parcel 022823420274: homestead=Y
  • mediumAsking is $491,301 above the price where cash flow breaks even ($408,699) at the default scenario. Based on: Derived: price $900,000 vs. break-even $408,699
  • mediumRental license expired in August 2024 and shows renewal due. Confirm it is current and lists three units. Based on: data: city.rental_license · AI review
  • mediumUpper units share laundry, and the main unit is a large 4-bed. The mix is unusual and may be hard to rent at rates that support the price. Listing says: These units feature shared upper-level laundry set for added convenience. · AI review
  • mediumBuilt in 1880 with no mention of wiring, plumbing or foundation updates beyond cosmetic work. Needs inspection. Based on: data: listing.year_built · AI review
  • low$649 in special assessments on the payable 2026 tax bill (often street, sewer or code-enforcement charges). Ask what they're for, whether they continue, and whether the seller pays them off at closing. Public record: Ramsey County parcel 022823420274: special assessments (payable 2026) = $648.76

Opportunities

  • Long time on market: room to negotiate. Based on: Listing data: 213 days on market
  • Five garage stalls could produce parking income or fit an owner-occupant who wants space. Listing says: the property offers an exceptional five garage stalls, including one equipped with an electric vehicle charger · AI review
  • Mini-splits in the upper units mean separate heat and cooling, which may keep owner utility costs low. Listing says: Each is equipped with two mini-split systems providing efficient heating and air conditioning. · AI review
  • 210 days on market suggests the seller may accept a large cut. Based on: data: listing.days_on_market · AI review

Questions for the agent

  • What are the current rents and lease end dates for all three units, and is the main unit occupied?
  • Is the rental license current, and does it list three units?
  • What does each unit pay for gas and electric, and what is the owner's total utility cost?
  • What is the age of the roof, wiring, plumbing and the main heating system?
  • What are the special assessments for, and do they continue?
  • Why has it sat 210 days, and have there been price cuts or offers?

Bottom line

A pretty, well-located triplex priced far above what the rents support, so it only works as a house hack at a much lower price. AI-assisted summary

What the records say

Where each number comes from

Property tax / yr Estimateestimate. Seller is homesteaded; an investor pays the non-homestead rate. $721,900 market value × 2.10% (median for non-homestead duplexes/triplexes in the city).$15,141
Insurance / yr Estimateestimate. from units, square feet and age; get a quote$4,035
Water, sewer, trash / mo Estimateestimate. $85/unit/mo, owner-paid$255
Heat / mo Assumptionassumption. tenants pay heat; confirm with the agent$0
Lawn care / mo Assumptionassumption. $120/mo for 6 months, spread over 12; no snow removal$60
Repairs / capital reserve Rulerule. built 1880: +1 pt capital reserve; "fully updated" in the description: -1 pts each7% / 8%

Price history Realtor.com

On the market since 2026-03-06 (213 days); down $75,000 (7.7%) from the first ask of $975,000; last sold for $549,000 on 2013-11-20.

DateEventPrice
Price changed$900,000
Price changed$950,000
Listed$975,000
Sold—
Sold$549,000
Listed$549,000
Sold public record$587,500
Sold public record$255,000

County record Public record

Recorded asthree family dwelling, platted lot
Living units3
Year built1880
Market value (2026)$721,900
Property tax, payable 2026$13,705
Special assessments$649
Homesteadyes
Last sale—

Source: Ramsey County parcel records.

City rental certificate (CofO)

Residential 3+ Units: 3 unit(s), B, status renewal due, renews 2024-08-11.

Nearest highway

I 35E, about 773 m away.

Crime in Summit Hill

235 incidents in the last 12 months (35 per 1,000 residents), −14% vs. the year before. St. Paul police incidents, excluding proactive visits and community events.