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1237 5th St E

Duplex · 2 units: 2 bed / 1 bath ×2 unit split estimated · 2,093 sq ft

Saint Paul, MN · Dayton's Bluff · View the listing ↗

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Photos courtesy of RE/MAX Results, via Realtor.com.

Asking price
$264,900
2 units · $132K per unit
Monthly cash flow
−$162
at 20% down, 7%
Estimated rent
$2,700/mo
medium confidence · 24 rentals within 1.5 mi
Break-even price
$234,499
where cash flow hits $0

Adjust the numbers See the full breakdown

First look

This is a vacant up/down duplex in Dayton's Bluff, listed 200 days at $264,900. FACTS show about -$162/mo cash flow at asking and a 5.7% cap rate, so it loses money at asking, and only works with a price cut or rents above our estimate. Our estimate is $1,350 per unit, but the listing says one unit is a 3-bed and one a 1-bed, so the real split may differ from what we modeled. "Freshly updated" looks mostly cosmetic in the photos: paint, carpet, and an older kitchen and bath. Electric baseboard heat appears in the photos, while county records say central, so confirm the heating type and who pays. Also check the 2015 sale price in county records, which looks wrong, and the pending rental license. Worth a showing if you can get a price cut, because 200 days gives you leverage.

Things to consider

  1. Negative cash flow at asking About -$162/mo at asking with a 5.7% cap rate leaves no cushion for repairs or vacancy. Break-even price is about $234,499, so asking is well above it.
  2. Updates look cosmetic The listing says freshly updated, but the kitchens and bath look dated. Budget for deeper work before assuming new-rent quality.Listing says: “Freshly updated from top to bottom, this turnkey duplex is completely vacant”
  3. Heating system and who pays Electric baseboard heat affects tenant costs and rentability. If the owner pays heat, cash flow drops sharply.From photo 3
  4. Vacant with leverage No sitting-tenant caps and 200 days on market give you room to negotiate. Lease-up time is a cost to model.
  5. Licensing and assessments A pending rental license and $432 in special assessments could add cost or delay before you can collect rent.

From the photos

Listing photo 3
1 of 8Check

Electric baseboard heaters appear in several rooms. This can mean high tenant heat bills or high owner costs, and it conflicts with the county's central heat entry.

Listing photo 7
2 of 8Concern

Kitchen has older white cabinets, laminate counters and vinyl flooring. Clean, but dated and not truly updated.

Listing photo 4
3 of 8Plus

Hardwood floors, wood trim and crown molding appear in good shape and add character.

Listing photo 10
4 of 8Concern

Bathroom has dated tile and a small vanity. Looks serviceable, but not recently renovated.

Listing photo 9
5 of 8Check

Wall paneling shows peeling or damaged paint near the window. Check for moisture or past leaks.

Listing photo 1
6 of 8Check

Exterior has dated siding, overhead wires and an exterior staircase and deck. Check the stairs and deck condition and the siding age.

Listing photo 1
7 of 8Check

Meters appear on the side wall, which suggests separate utility service. Confirm that each unit has its own meters.

Listing photo 2
8 of 8Check

No photos of the basement, mechanicals, panel, roof or the 3-car garage interior.

Based on 10 of the listing photos. Photos can hide as much as they show; an inspection is the real answer.

Condition and repairs

  • doneFull cosmetic refresh of the propertyListing says: Freshly updated from top to bottom, this turnkey duplex is completely vacant

AI-assisted first read of the listing description and photos (Claude), checked against public records. Every rent and repair above quotes the listing; verify with the agent, leases and an inspection.

The numbers

Down payment %
Offer $
Management
Interest rate %
Edit rents, costs and assumptions

Default: 20% down (no PMI), offer at asking, self-managed, 7.00% for 30 years, buyer pays closing costs (3%).

The deal

Price
$264,900
Cash to close
$60,927
Price per unit
$132,450
GRM
8.2

Each month

Cash flow
−$162/mo
Cash-on-cash
−3.2%
Cap rate
5.7%
DSCR
0.89×

Break-even

Price that breaks even
$234,499
Rent that breaks even
$2,907/mo

Long run

Year 30: property vs stocks
$906K vs $501K
Cash flow turns positive
year 6

Monthly

Monthly breakdown

Rent$2,700
Vacancy (6%)−$162
Collected$2,538
Property tax Public record−$434
Insurance Estimate−$194
Water, sewer, trash Estimate−$170
Lawn care ($120 × 6 mo ÷ 12)−$60
Repairs (8% of rent)−$216
Capital reserve (8% of rent)−$216
Net operating income$1,248
Mortgage (principal + interest)−$1,410
Cash flow−$162
Principal paid down (equity, not cash)$179

Cash flow each year

Rents +3%/yr (St. Paul's cap for sitting tenants), costs +3.5%/yr. Red bars are months you'd cover out of pocket.

30 years

How those totals add up

If you buy this building$905,519
Your equity when you sell
$604,403

Sells for $642,982 (value up 3% a year), minus 6% selling cost ($38,579). Rent paid down $211,920 of loan.

Rental profits, invested at 7%
$301,116

$168,943 of cash flow over 30 years, plus what it earned invested.

Same money in stocks$500,660
Cash to close, invested at 7%
$463,792

$60,927 put into an index fund instead of the down payment and closing costs.

Monthly shortfalls, invested
$36,869

$5,627 you'd have paid in while the building lost money, invested instead.

The building comes out $404,859 ahead after 30 years.

Future dollars. At 3% inflation, divide year-30 figures by about 2.4 for today's buying power. Rental profits are assumed invested, not spent.

30 years: this property vs. the same money in stocks

This propertyStocks at 7%

Year 30 (loan paid off): property $906K, stocks $501K. The property wins.

Comparable rentals

The closest rental listings with each unit's bedroom count, as of 2026-10-06. The estimate is the median asking rent of every rental we found nearby (the count is shown for each); houses are left out. Asking rents from Realtor.com rental listings, not signed leases.

2 bed estimate $1,350/mo · range $1,225–$1,500 · 24 rentals within 1.5 mi

AddressRentBd / BaSq ftDistanceListedType
1351 Conway St, Saint Paul $1,179 2 / 1 756 0.3 mi 2024-06-02 Apartment
1428 7th St E, Saint Paul $1,624 2 / 1 835 0.6 mi 2025-01-03 Apartment
1439 7th St E, Saint Paul $1,400 2 / 1 — 0.7 mi 2026-07-02 Apartment
948 Euclid St Unit 1, Saint Paul $1,400 2 / 1 972 0.7 mi 2026-09-23 Apartment
1430 York Ave, Saint Paul $1,155 2 / 1 835 0.7 mi 2024-04-26 Apartment
1348 Ames Ave, Saint Paul $1,275 2 / 1 800 0.8 mi 2025-12-18 Apartment
1000 McLean Ave, Saint Paul $1,299 2 / 1 734 0.8 mi 2026-07-14 Apartment
1034 Suburban Ave E Unit 307, Saint Paul $1,270 2 / 1 620 0.8 mi 2026-05-02 Apartment
1034 Suburban Ave E Unit 301, Saint Paul $1,270 2 / 1 620 0.8 mi 2026-05-02 Apartment
207 N Maple St, Saint Paul $1,150 2 / 1 600 0.9 mi 2026-03-12 Apartment

On the maps, this property and comparable rentals. Comparable rentals and rent estimate: Realtor.com rental listings. Rents are asking rents from listings; check them against the actual leases.

Red flags and opportunities

Watch for

  • mediumPhotos show electric baseboard heat while county lists central heat. Heating type and who pays are unclear. Based on: photo 3 · AI review
  • mediumRental license status is Pending, so the property may not yet be licensed to rent. Based on: data: city.rental_license · AI review
  • low$432 in special assessments on the payable 2026 tax bill (often street, sewer or code-enforcement charges). Ask what they're for, whether they continue, and whether the seller pays them off at closing. Public record: Ramsey County parcel 332922110188: special assessments (payable 2026) = $432.50
  • lowCounty shows a 2015 sale price of $1.46M, far above the $247K market value. Likely a bulk or portfolio transfer or a data error. Based on: data: county.last_sale_price · AI review

Opportunities

  • Long time on market: room to negotiate. Based on: Listing data: 200 days on market, 1 price cuts
  • Vacant, so you can set rents and screen tenants without inheriting below-market leases or sitting-tenant rent caps. Listing says: completely vacant and primed for you to set your own market rents and screen your ideal tenants · AI review
  • Large 3-car garage could be rented separately or used for tenant parking. Listing says: massive 3-car garage-ideal for tenant parking, owner use, or renting out separately · AI review
  • 200 days on market gives room to negotiate toward break-even price. Based on: data: listing.days_on_market · AI review

Questions for the agent

  • Why has it sat 200 days, and have there been any price cuts or failed deals?
  • What heats each unit, and who pays for it? Are the units separately metered?
  • What was actually updated, and were permits pulled?
  • When will the rental license be issued, and does it match the 3-bed and 1-bed split?
  • What are the $432 in special assessments for, and will the seller pay them at closing?
  • How old are the roof, the panels and the water heaters?

Bottom line

Vacant, cosmetically refreshed duplex that loses money at asking after 200 days, so negotiate hard and verify heat, licensing and the unit split. AI-assisted summary

What the records say

Where each number comes from

Property tax / yr Public recordRamsey County record, payable 2026 (non-homestead)$5,212
Insurance / yr Estimateestimate. from units, square feet and age; get a quote$2,323
Water, sewer, trash / mo Estimateestimate. $85/unit/mo, owner-paid$170
Heat / mo Assumptionassumption. tenants pay heat; confirm with the agent$0
Lawn care / mo Assumptionassumption. $120/mo for 6 months, spread over 12; no snow removal$60
Repairs / capital reserve Rulerule. base rate8% / 8%

Price history Realtor.com

On the market since 2026-03-19 (200 days, relisted 1×); down $10,000 (3.6%) from the first ask of $274,900; last sold for $1,463,476 on 2015-08-21.

DateEventPrice
Price changed$264,900
Relisted$274,900
Removed$274,900
Removed$274,900
Removed—
Listed$274,900
Sold public record$1,463,476
Sold public record$43,000
Sold public record$242,000

County record Public record

Recorded astwo family dwelling - up/dwn
Living units2
Year built1922
Market value (2026)$247,000
Property tax, payable 2026$5,212
Special assessments$432
Homesteadno
Last sale2015-08-11 · $1,463,475

Source: Ramsey County parcel records.

City rental certificate (CofO)

Residential 2 Units: 2 unit(s), B, status pending, renews 2027-09-29.

Nearest highway

I 94, about 818 m away.

Crime in Dayton's Bluff

970 incidents in the last 12 months (52 per 1,000 residents), −6% vs. the year before. St. Paul police incidents, excluding proactive visits and community events.