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1415 E 4th St

Duplex · 2 units: 2 bed / 1 bath and 4 bed / 1 bath · 2,563 sq ft

Duluth, MN · View the listing ↗

Overpriced

Photos courtesy of RE/MAX Results, via Realtor.com.

Asking price
$399,900
2 units · $200K per unit
Monthly cash flow
−$554
at 20% down, 7%
Estimated rent
$3,150/mo
high confidence
Break-even price
$295,780
where cash flow hits $0

Adjust the numbers See the full breakdown

First look

This is a Duluth duplex rented as one 6-bedroom group house at $3,150/mo on a lease through 5/19/2027, with a signed renewal at $3,540. That is a clean income story, but our underwriting at $399,900 shows about -$554/mo and a 4.7% cap rate, and break-even is near $296K. Our unit estimates ($1,875 for the 4-bed, $1,275 for the 2-bed, about $3,150 combined) match the current $3,150, so the rent looks fair, but one group lease is a single point of failure. Tenants pay utilities, which helps. Check first whether the tenants are students or related adults, what happens when they leave, and what the unit-by-unit rent would be. Photos show dated but livable interiors and no boiler or panel shots. Worth a showing only if the seller is open to a big price cut.

Things to consider

  1. Price is well above what the numbers support Our underwriting shows negative cash flow of about $554/mo and break-even near $296K. A purchase at ask depends on you accepting thin or negative returns.
  2. Income depends on one group lease The $3,150 rent is in line with our combined estimate of about $3,150. If the group leaves, re-leasing as two units may bring in less.Listing says: “currently being rented to a single group as a 6-bedroom rental”
  3. Tenants pay utilities Owner costs are limited to taxes, insurance, repairs and reserves, which keeps expenses predictable.Listing says: “with tenants paying utilities”
  4. Garage structure and old building systems need inspection Bracing work in 2025 hints at structural issues, and a 1909 building with boilers could mean big capital costs.Listing says: “new garage bracing in 2025”
  5. Expense figures are seller-stated and unverified The parcel did not match county records, so taxes could be higher after a sale.

From the photos

Listing photo 1
1 of 7Plus

Large 1909 foursquare with a covered front porch and a clean exterior; siding and paint appear in decent shape.

Listing photo 2
2 of 7Check

Rear shows what appear to be two electric meters on the back wall, consistent with two units. Roof shingles appear worn, so check the age.

Listing photo 5
3 of 7Concern

Kitchens have oak cabinets, laminate counters and older vinyl flooring. Dated but functional, with no sign of recent renovation.

Listing photo 3
4 of 7Check

Radiator heat is visible in the rooms, so it appears to be hot-water boiler heat as described. Boiler condition is not shown.

Listing photo 7
5 of 7Check

Original hardwood floors in bedrooms show wear and would probably need refinishing eventually.

Listing photo 8
6 of 7Concern

Bathrooms have older tile, vinyl floors and basic vanities. Livable but dated, with no visible water damage.

Listing photo 10
7 of 7Check

A second kitchen with a dishwasher and refrigerator confirms two kitchens. No basement, boiler, panel or garage photos are provided.

Based on 10 of the listing photos. Photos can hide as much as they show; an inspection is the real answer.

Rents the listing states

  • Whole building (6-bed group lease): $3,450 (lease)Listing says: The current lease runs through 5/19/2027 at $3,450 per month, with tenants paying utilities.

Condition and repairs

  • doneNew parking lot and sidewalks (2022)Listing says: new parking lot and sidewalks in 2022 and new garage bracing in 2025
  • doneGarage bracing (2025)Listing says: new garage bracing in 2025
  • doneWalk-in shower, dishwasher, new refrigerator and dryerListing says: Numerous updates include a walk-in shower, two refrigerators, dishwasher, washer and dryer

AI-assisted first read of the listing description and photos (Claude), checked against public records. Every rent and repair above quotes the listing; verify with the agent, leases and an inspection.

The numbers

Down payment %
Offer $
Management
Interest rate %
Edit rents, costs and assumptions

Default: 20% down (no PMI), offer at asking, self-managed, 7.00% for 30 years, buyer pays closing costs (3%).

The deal

Price
$399,900
Cash to close
$91,977
Price per unit
$199,950
GRM
10.6

Each month

Cash flow
−$554/mo
Cash-on-cash
−7.2%
Cap rate
4.7%
DSCR
0.74×

Break-even

Price that breaks even
$295,780
Rent that breaks even
$3,870/mo

Long run

Year 30: property vs stocks
$1.11M vs $923K
Cash flow turns positive
year 13

Monthly

Monthly breakdown

Rent$3,150
Vacancy (6%)−$189
Collected$2,961
Property tax Listing−$398
Insurance Estimate−$224
Water, sewer, trash Estimate−$170
Lawn care ($120 × 6 mo ÷ 12)−$60
Repairs (8% of rent)−$252
Capital reserve (9% of rent)−$284
Net operating income$1,574
Mortgage (principal + interest)−$2,128
Cash flow−$554
Principal paid down (equity, not cash)$271

Cash flow each year

Rents +3%/yr, costs +3.5%/yr. Red bars are months you'd cover out of pocket.

30 years

How those totals add up

If you buy this building$1,112,965
Your equity when you sell
$912,422

Sells for $970,662 (value up 3% a year), minus 6% selling cost ($58,240). Rent paid down $319,920 of loan.

Rental profits, invested at 7%
$200,542

$133,755 of cash flow over 30 years, plus what it earned invested.

Same money in stocks$923,243
Cash to close, invested at 7%
$700,152

$91,977 put into an index fund instead of the down payment and closing costs.

Monthly shortfalls, invested
$223,090

$39,806 you'd have paid in while the building lost money, invested instead.

The building comes out $189,722 ahead after 30 years.

Future dollars. At 3% inflation, divide year-30 figures by about 2.4 for today's buying power. Rental profits are assumed invested, not spent.

30 years: this property vs. the same money in stocks

This propertyStocks at 7%

Year 30 (loan paid off): property $1.11M, stocks $923K. The property wins.

Comparable rentals

Nearby rentals RentCast matched to each unit type, as of 2026-10-05. The estimate above is RentCast's, weighted toward the closest matches.

2 bed / 1 bath estimate $1,275/mo · range $1,125–$1,425

AddressRentBd / BaSq ftDistanceListedMatch
1529 E 3rd St, Apt 3, Duluth 55812 off market $1,250 2 / 1 — 0.1 mi 2026-07-12 94%
1529 E 3rd St, Apt 5, Duluth 55812 off market $1,240 2 / 1 — 0.1 mi 2026-02-23 94%
1631 E 4th St, Apt 7, Duluth 55812 off market $1,600 2 / 1 — 0.2 mi 2026-07-27 94%
1414 E 1st St, Unit 1E, Duluth 55805 off market $1,300 2 / 1 — 0.2 mi 2026-08-13 94%
1414 E 1st St, Unit 3E, Duluth 55805 off market $1,325 2 / 1 — 0.2 mi 2026-08-09 94%
1430 E 1st St, Apt 5, Duluth 55805 off market $1,065 2 / 1 — 0.2 mi 2026-05-06 94%
1430 E 1st St, Apt 3, Duluth 55805 off market $1,075 2 / 1 — 0.2 mi 2026-03-11 94%
1625 E 1st St, Apt 1, Duluth 55812 off market $1,100 2 / 1 — 0.3 mi 2026-09-02 94%
1224 E 1st St, Apt A, Duluth 55805 off market $1,375 2 / 1 — 0.3 mi 2026-06-17 94%
1717 E 5th St, Unit Upper, Duluth 55812 off market $1,150 2 / 1 — 0.3 mi 2026-03-31 94%

4 bed / 1 bath estimate $1,875/mo · range $1,725–$2,025

AddressRentBd / BaSq ftDistanceListedMatch
230 N 16th Ave E, Apt 3, Duluth 55812 off market $1,750 4 / 1 — 0.2 mi 2026-04-21 94%
510 N 11th Ave E, Duluth 55805 off market $2,000 4 / 1 1,350 0.3 mi 2026-02-12 88%
120-122 N 12th Ave E, Duluth 55805 off market $1,800 4 / 2 1,824 0.3 mi 2026-07-21 88%
1813-1819 E 2nd St, Duluth 55812 off market $1,450 4 / 2 1,816 0.4 mi 2026-02-13 88%
1318 E 11th St, Duluth 55805 off market $1,950 4 / 1.5 1,384 0.4 mi 2026-03-25 86%
902 N 11th Ave E, Duluth 55805 $1,585 4 / 1 1,119 0.4 mi 2026-06-10 86%
1122 E 5th St, Duluth 55805 off market $1,600 4 / 1.5 1,349 0.3 mi 2026-01-31 86%
1610 E 5th St, Unit Upper, Duluth 55812 off market $1,575 3 / 1 — 0.2 mi 2026-03-03 84%
1211 E 1st St, Apt 3, Duluth 55805 off market $1,800 3 / 1 — 0.3 mi 2026-02-26 84%
1723 E 5th St, Unit Upper, Duluth 55812 off market $1,775 5 / 1 — 0.3 mi 2026-03-13 84%

On the maps, this property and comparable rentals. Comparable rentals and rent estimate: RentCast. Rents are asking rents from listings; check them against the actual leases.

Red flags and opportunities

Watch for

  • mediumCouldn't match this address to a county parcel record, so taxes and unit count are unverified. Public record: County parcels: no match for 1415 4TH ST E
  • mediumBoth units rented as one 6-bedroom group lease. If the group leaves, you re-lease two units at lower combined rents and may face vacancy. Listing says: currently being rented to a single group as a 6-bedroom rental · AI review
  • mediumGarage needed bracing in 2025, which suggests structural issues. Get the details and an inspection. Listing says: new garage bracing in 2025 · AI review
  • mediumTaxes and insurance are seller-stated and we could not match a county parcel. Verify the tax bill, since an investor may pay more than the seller's figure. Listing says: 2026 property taxes are $4,804 and insurance is approximately $1,730 annually. · AI review
  • lowZero vacancy since 1990 is a claim without documentation. Ask for proof. Listing says: Long-term rental history with zero vacancy since 1990. · AI review

Opportunities

  • Lease already renewed through 2028 with a rent bump, giving income visibility and no rent cap in Duluth. Listing says: A new lease is already in place with the same tenants beginning 6/1/2027 · AI review
  • Separate meters, panels and boilers for each unit make it simple to split into two leases later. Listing says: two electrical service panels, two boilers, two electric meters, and two gas meters · AI review
  • Garage and plenty of parking support rents in a student area. Listing says: 2-stall garage, 5 off-street parking spaces, excellent on-street parking · AI review

Questions for the agent

  • Who are the tenants, and is the lease signed by all of them jointly? What is the history of turnover within the group?
  • Can I see the rent roll, the signed renewal and the last 12 months of expenses, including insurance and repairs?
  • What exactly was wrong with the garage that needed bracing in 2025, and who did the work?
  • What was in the 6/9/2026 city rental inspection, and were there any required corrections?
  • How old are the boilers, roof, water heaters and electrical panels, and is the wiring knob-and-tube or updated?
  • Why is it priced at $399,900, and is the seller flexible on price?

Bottom line

Solid, stable-looking rent, but at $399,900 it loses money by our numbers, so only a much lower price makes it work. AI-assisted summary

What the records say

Where each number comes from

Property tax / yr Listinglisting, tax year 2026. The tax the listing states. If the seller lives there it may be at the lower homestead rate; an investor owner pays the non-homestead rate, often 20–40% more on the owner's unit.$4,770
Insurance / yr Estimateestimate. from units, square feet and age; get a quote$2,685
Water, sewer, trash / mo Estimateestimate. $85/unit/mo, owner-paid$170
Heat / mo Assumptionassumption. tenants pay heat; confirm with the agent$0
Lawn care / mo Assumptionassumption. $120/mo for 6 months, spread over 12; no snow removal$60
Repairs / capital reserve Rulerule. built 1909: +1 pt capital reserve8% / 9%

Price history Realtor.com

On the market since 2026-09-28 (7 days).

DateEventPrice
Listed$399,900
Listed$399,900

From the listing Listing

Listed asduplex
Property tax, 2026$4,770
CountySt. Louis County
Parcel number010-1480-08340

As the listing states it (NorthstarMLS, via Realtor.com). We don't have county records here yet; check the tax, homestead status and special assessments with the county.

Crime, rental-license and vacant-building records are only available for St. Paul and Minneapolis so far. Check with Duluth on rental licensing before you buy.