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1530-1532 E 1st St

Triplex · 3 units: 1 bed / 1 bath ×2 and 2 bed / 1 bath · 4,566 sq ft

Duluth, MN · View the listing ↗

Far off

Photos courtesy of RE/MAX Results, via Realtor.com.

Asking price
$699,000
3 units · $233K per unit
Monthly cash flow
−$2,556
at 20% down, 7%
Estimated rent
$3,200/mo
high confidence
Break-even price
$218,703
where cash flow hits $0

Adjust the numbers See the full breakdown

First look

This is listed as a six-unit building at $699K, but our rent estimate only covers three units and the facts show a unit count of null, so the first job is to find out how many units there really are. At the asking price our underwriting shows about -$2,556 a month and a 2% cap rate. Break-even is around $218.7K, so this doesn't work at today's rates unless the price drops a lot. The description says 'turnkey' and 'well-maintained' but gives no rents, no expenses and no roof year, and the photos show dated oak kitchens and an 1891 structure. It has sat 97 days. Get the rent roll, the rental license and a unit count before spending time on a showing.

Things to consider

  1. Price is far above what the income supports Our underwriting is deeply negative at ask, and break-even is roughly $480K lower. You'd need a major price cut or much higher rents.
  2. Unit count and legality unverified If fewer units are licensed than advertised, income and financing both shrink.
  3. Rents are undisclosed Rent roll is the whole basis of value; 'strong income potential' is not a number.Listing says: “offers a proven rental history and strong income potential”
  4. Old building with unknown systems An 1891 build with radiators means a boiler, probably old wiring and plumbing. Capex could be large.From photo 6
  5. Dated kitchens limit rent growth Cosmetic updates would be needed to push rents toward the high end of our estimates, with a budget for six units.From photo 2
  6. Long time on market 97 days suggests the seller's price isn't meeting the market, which gives room to negotiate.

From the photos

Listing photo 1
1 of 7Check

Large 1891 Victorian with a wraparound porch and turret; the exterior looks intact, but the siding and porch condition need a close look

Listing photo 2
2 of 7Concern

Kitchen has oak cabinets and laminate counters that appear 1990s-era, with a basic electric range; no recent updates visible

Listing photo 3
3 of 7Check

Kitchen with a stainless dishwasher over laminate-look flooring suggests a cosmetic refresh rather than a full renovation

Listing photo 6
4 of 7Check

Radiator heat appears in the dining and living rooms, so this is likely a hot-water boiler system

Listing photo 4
5 of 7Plus

Original wood stair rail and trim in decent shape; carpet on the stairs and in the hall looks worn

Listing photo 8
6 of 7Check

Bathrooms appear dated but serviceable; a tub surround with ceramic tile looks newer, and there's some scuffing around the tub

Listing photo 10
7 of 7Check

Photos show only one or two units; no boiler, electrical panels, basement, roof or other units are shown, so none of the 'turnkey' claims are supported

Based on 10 of the listing photos. Photos can hide as much as they show; an inspection is the real answer.

Condition and repairs

  • doneNewer roof (age not given)Listing says: Recent improvements include a newer roof

AI-assisted first read of the listing description and photos (Claude), checked against public records. Every rent and repair above quotes the listing; verify with the agent, leases and an inspection.

The numbers

Down payment %
Offer $
Management
Interest rate %
Edit rents, costs and assumptions

Default: 20% down (no PMI), offer at asking, self-managed, 7.00% for 30 years, buyer pays closing costs (3%).

The deal

Price
$699,000
Cash to close
$160,770
Price per unit
$233,000
GRM
18.2

Each month

Cash flow
−$2,556/mo
Cash-on-cash
−19.1%
Cap rate
2.0%
DSCR
0.31×

Break-even

Price that breaks even
$218,703
Rent that breaks even
$6,520/mo

Long run

Year 30: property vs stocks
$1.59M vs $3.74M
Cash flow turns positive
not within 30 years

Monthly

Monthly breakdown

Rent$3,200
Vacancy (6%)−$192
Collected$3,008
Property tax Listing−$633
Insurance Estimate−$352
Water, sewer, trash Estimate−$255
Lawn care ($120 × 6 mo ÷ 12)−$60
Repairs (8% of rent)−$256
Capital reserve (9% of rent)−$288
Net operating income$1,164
Mortgage (principal + interest)−$3,720
Cash flow−$2,556
Principal paid down (equity, not cash)$473

Cash flow each year

Rents +3%/yr, costs +3.5%/yr. Red bars are months you'd cover out of pocket.

30 years

How those totals add up

If you buy this building$1,594,857
Your equity when you sell
$1,594,857

Sells for $1,696,656 (value up 3% a year), minus 6% selling cost ($101,799). Rent paid down $559,200 of loan.

Rental profits, invested at 7%
$0

$0 of cash flow over 30 years, plus what it earned invested.

Same money in stocks$3,744,454
Cash to close, invested at 7%
$1,223,822

$160,770 put into an index fund instead of the down payment and closing costs.

Monthly shortfalls, invested
$2,520,631

$737,134 you'd have paid in while the building lost money, invested instead.

Stocks come out $2,149,597 ahead after 30 years.

Future dollars. At 3% inflation, divide year-30 figures by about 2.4 for today's buying power. Rental profits are assumed invested, not spent.

30 years: this property vs. the same money in stocks

This propertyStocks at 7%

Year 30 (loan paid off): property $1.59M, stocks $3.74M. Stocks win.

Comparable rentals

Nearby rentals RentCast matched to each unit type, as of 2026-10-05. The estimate above is RentCast's, weighted toward the closest matches.

1 bed / 1 bath estimate $975/mo · range $900–$1,050

AddressRentBd / BaSq ftDistanceListedMatch
1602 E 1st St, Apt 5, Duluth 55812 off market $950 1 / 1 — 0.0 mi 2026-08-06 94%
1513 E Superior St, Duluth 55812 off market $900 1 / 1 — 0.1 mi 2026-01-14 94%
1625 E 1st St, Apt 3, Duluth 55812 off market $1,000 1 / 1 — 0.1 mi 2026-09-04 94%
1625 E 1st St, Apt 2, Duluth 55812 off market $985 1 / 1 — 0.1 mi 2026-05-29 94%
230 N 16th Ave E, Apt 1, Duluth 55812 off market $825 1 / 1 — 0.1 mi 2026-09-11 94%
1427 E 2nd St, Apt 3, Duluth 55805 off market $1,150 1 / 1 — 0.1 mi 2026-07-12 94%
230 N 16th Ave E, Apt 2, Duluth 55812 off market $1,025 1 / 1 — 0.1 mi 2026-05-18 94%
302 N 16th Ave E, Apt 7, Duluth 55812 off market $975 1 / 1 — 0.2 mi 2026-09-08 94%
302 N 16th Ave E, Apt 9, Duluth 55812 off market $975 1 / 1 — 0.2 mi 2026-07-23 94%
213 S 17th Ave E Apt D, Duluth 55812 off market $900 1 / 1 — 0.2 mi 2026-07-27 94%

2 bed / 1 bath estimate $1,250/mo · range $1,125–$1,400

AddressRentBd / BaSq ftDistanceListedMatch
205 N 18th Ave E, Duluth 55812 off market $1,500 2 / 1 4,098 0.2 mi 2026-06-05 97%
1625 E 1st St, Apt 1, Duluth 55812 off market $1,100 2 / 1 — 0.1 mi 2026-09-02 94%
1430 E 1st St, Apt 5, Duluth 55805 off market $1,065 2 / 1 — 0.1 mi 2026-05-06 94%
1430 E 1st St, Apt 3, Duluth 55805 off market $1,075 2 / 1 — 0.1 mi 2026-03-11 94%
1414 E 1st St, Unit 3E, Duluth 55805 off market $1,325 2 / 1 — 0.1 mi 2026-08-09 94%
1414 E 1st St, Unit 1E, Duluth 55805 off market $1,300 2 / 1 — 0.1 mi 2026-08-13 94%
207 S 17th Ave E, Unit 2, Duluth 55812 $1,400 2 / 1 — 0.2 mi 2026-09-28 94%
1731 E Superior St, Apt 102, Duluth 55812 off market $1,150 2 / 1 — 0.2 mi 2026-07-20 94%
1529 E 3rd St, Apt 3, Duluth 55812 off market $1,250 2 / 1 — 0.2 mi 2026-07-12 94%
1529 E 3rd St, Apt 5, Duluth 55812 off market $1,240 2 / 1 — 0.2 mi 2026-02-23 94%

On the maps, this property and comparable rentals. Comparable rentals and rent estimate: RentCast. Rents are asking rents from listings; check them against the actual leases.

Red flags and opportunities

Watch for

  • highUnit count and unit mix are unverified; listing data shows 9 beds across 6 claimed units, which is tight Based on: data: listing.unit_count · AI review
  • highNo rents, expenses or lease terms given despite 'proven rental history' Listing says: offers a proven rental history and strong income potential · AI review
  • mediumCouldn't match this address to a county parcel record, so taxes and unit count are unverified. Public record: County parcels: no match for 1530-1532 1ST ST E
  • mediumAsking is $480,297 above the price where cash flow breaks even ($218,703) at the default scenario. Based on: Derived: price $699,000 vs. break-even $218,703
  • medium'Turnkey' claim conflicts with dated kitchens and an 1891 building; no systems details given Listing says: this turnkey multi-family building is one you won't want to miss · AI review
  • mediumRoof is only described as 'newer' with no year or permit Listing says: Recent improvements include a newer roof · AI review
  • mediumTaxes unknown because the parcel record didn't match Based on: data: county.tax · AI review

Opportunities

  • Long time on market: room to negotiate. Based on: Listing data: 97 days on market
  • 97 days on market gives room to push the price well down Based on: data: listing.days_on_market · AI review
  • Separate electric meters mean tenants likely pay their own electricity Listing says: Each unit features its own separate electrical service · AI review
  • Off-street parking helps tenant retention in Duluth Listing says: Tenants appreciate the convenience of off-street parking · AI review

Questions for the agent

  • How many units are there, and does the city rental license list all six?
  • Can you share the current rent roll, lease dates and trailing-12 expenses?
  • What year was the roof replaced, and who did it?
  • Who pays heat and water? Is there one boiler or several?
  • What is the real estate tax bill, and are there any special assessments?
  • What is the age and type of the electrical panels, and are they separate for all units?

Bottom line

At $699K and a 2% cap rate this overshoots by hundreds of thousands, and the unit count and rents are unproven. AI-assisted summary

What the records say

Where each number comes from

Property tax / yr Listinglisting, tax year 2026. The tax the listing states. If the seller lives there it may be at the lower homestead rate; an investor owner pays the non-homestead rate, often 20–40% more on the owner's unit.$7,594
Insurance / yr Estimateestimate. from units, square feet and age; get a quote$4,226
Water, sewer, trash / mo Estimateestimate. $85/unit/mo, owner-paid$255
Heat / mo Assumptionassumption. tenants pay heat; confirm with the agent$0
Lawn care / mo Assumptionassumption. $120/mo for 6 months, spread over 12; no snow removal$60
Repairs / capital reserve Rulerule. built 1891: +1 pt capital reserve8% / 9%

Price history Realtor.com

On the market since 2026-06-30 (97 days); last sold for $295,000 on 2005-11-09.

DateEventPrice
Listed$699,000
Sold public record$295,000

From the listing Listing

Listed as5-10 units
Property tax, 2026$7,594
CountySt. Louis County
Parcel number010-1480-01230

As the listing states it (NorthstarMLS, via Realtor.com). We don't have county records here yet; check the tax, homestead status and special assessments with the county.

Crime, rental-license and vacant-building records are only available for St. Paul and Minneapolis so far. Check with Duluth on rental licensing before you buy.