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16001 Nowthen Blvd NW

Duplex · 2 units: 3 bed / 2 bath ×2 unit split estimated · 3,286 sq ft

Andover, MN · View the listing ↗

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Photos courtesy of Re/Max Prodigy, via Realtor.com.

Asking price
$459,900
2 units · $230K per unit
Monthly cash flow
−$218
at 20% down, 7%
Estimated rent
$4,050/mo
medium confidence
Break-even price
$418,990
where cash flow hits $0

Adjust the numbers See the full breakdown

First look

This is a big 3-bed/2-bath up/down on 1.75 acres in Andover, listed at $459,900. Our numbers show about -$218/month at the ask with a 5.8% cap rate, and the break-even price is near $419K, so it doesn't work as a pure rental at today's rates. It reads better as an owner-occupant deal: live in one unit and rent the other. The description gives no rents, lease status, taxes or heat details, so get those first. We also couldn't match a county parcel, so confirm the unit count, the legal duplex status and the tax bill. The photos show updated finishes but only a few rooms, so a showing is worth it only if the seller comes down or you plan to live there.

Things to consider

  1. Doesn't cash flow at the asking price Our model shows negative monthly cash flow and a break-even price near $419K. Price needs to fall or you need to live in one unit.
  2. Rents are unknown Our estimate is about $2,025 per unit, but the listing gives no actual rents or leases. Verify before trusting any income number.
  3. Owner-occupant angle is the strongest use Living in one unit while renting the other offsets costs and may open owner-occupant financing. Confirm lender rules for 2-unit properties.Listing says: “Live in one spacious unit while renting the other”
  4. Taxes and unit status unverified Without a parcel match, the tax bill and legal unit count are unknown. Acreage and a duplex can both change the assessed value.
  5. Recent exterior work lowers near-term capital risk New siding and shingles reduce the big-ticket exterior spending, but ask for dates and permits.Listing says: “Major exterior improvements include new steel siding and architectural shingles”
  6. Large deck and stairs are a liability item The upper deck and outside stairs get heavy use and weather exposure. Have the structure inspected.From photo 9

From the photos

Listing photo 3
1 of 8Plus

Kitchen has dark cabinets, laminate counters and a white appliance set; it appears refreshed but budget-grade, not new.

Listing photo 1
2 of 8Plus

Luxury vinyl plank flooring runs through the living areas and kitchen, and it looks fairly recent and durable for rental use.

Listing photo 7
3 of 8Plus

Bathroom has newer-looking slate-style tile surround, tub and vanity.

Listing photo 8
4 of 8Plus

Laundry hookups with washer and dryer are in a hallway closet, which fits the in-unit laundry claim.

Listing photo 9
5 of 8Check

Rear shows two floors of walk-out units with a long upper deck and exterior stairs. The wood deck, railings and stairs need a safety inspection.

Listing photo 10
6 of 8Plus

Siding appears in good shape and the roofline looks clean, consistent with the recent exterior work.

Listing photo 9
7 of 8Check

No photos of the furnace, water heater, electrical panel, basement or the garage/outbuilding.

Listing photo 1
8 of 8Check

Wood-burning fireplace with stone surround; the chimney and flue condition are unknown, and insurers may ask about it.

Based on 10 of the listing photos. Photos can hide as much as they show; an inspection is the real answer.

Condition and repairs

  • doneNew steel sidingListing says: Major exterior improvements include new steel siding and architectural shingles
  • doneNew architectural shingles (roof)Listing says: Major exterior improvements include new steel siding and architectural shingles

AI-assisted first read of the listing description and photos (Claude), checked against public records. Every rent and repair above quotes the listing; verify with the agent, leases and an inspection.

The numbers

Down payment %
Offer $
Management
Interest rate %
Edit rents, costs and assumptions

Default: 20% down (no PMI), offer at asking, self-managed, 7.00% for 30 years, buyer pays closing costs (3%).

The deal

Price
$459,900
Cash to close
$105,777
Price per unit
$229,950
GRM
9.5

Each month

Cash flow
−$218/mo
Cash-on-cash
−2.5%
Cap rate
5.8%
DSCR
0.91×

Break-even

Price that breaks even
$418,990
Rent that breaks even
$4,329/mo

Long run

Year 30: property vs stocks
$1.70M vs $845K
Cash flow turns positive
year 5

Monthly

Monthly breakdown

Rent$4,050
Vacancy (6%)−$243
Collected$3,807
Property tax Listing−$480
Insurance Estimate−$218
Water, sewer, trash Estimate−$170
Lawn care ($120 × 6 mo ÷ 12)−$60
Repairs (8% of rent)−$324
Capital reserve (8% of rent)−$324
Net operating income$2,230
Mortgage (principal + interest)−$2,448
Cash flow−$218
Principal paid down (equity, not cash)$311

Cash flow each year

Rents +3%/yr, costs +3.5%/yr. Red bars are months you'd cover out of pocket.

30 years

How those totals add up

If you buy this building$1,697,583
Your equity when you sell
$1,049,320

Sells for $1,116,298 (value up 3% a year), minus 6% selling cost ($66,978). Rent paid down $367,920 of loan.

Rental profits, invested at 7%
$648,263

$352,711 of cash flow over 30 years, plus what it earned invested.

Same money in stocks$844,818
Cash to close, invested at 7%
$805,202

$105,777 put into an index fund instead of the down payment and closing costs.

Monthly shortfalls, invested
$39,617

$5,887 you'd have paid in while the building lost money, invested instead.

The building comes out $852,765 ahead after 30 years.

Future dollars. At 3% inflation, divide year-30 figures by about 2.4 for today's buying power. Rental profits are assumed invested, not spent.

30 years: this property vs. the same money in stocks

This propertyStocks at 7%

Year 30 (loan paid off): property $1.70M, stocks $845K. The property wins.

Comparable rentals

Nearby rentals RentCast matched to each unit type, as of 2026-10-05. The estimate above is RentCast's, weighted toward the closest matches.

3 bed / 2 bath estimate $2,025/mo · range $1,625–$2,425

AddressRentBd / BaSq ftDistanceListedMatch
411 Belle Aire Dr, Champlin 55316 off market $2,275 3 / 1.5 1,890 5.0 mi 2025-10-08 80%
1048 Lincoln St, Apt 202, Anoka 55303 $1,945 3 / 2 1,100 4.7 mi 2026-01-28 77%
5313 140th Ave NW, Ramsey 55303 off market $2,195 3 / 2 — 2.9 mi 2026-02-06 75%
2820 2826 Euclid Ave, Anoka 55303 off market $1,249 2 / 1 — 3.8 mi 2026-02-10 74%
14601 Helium St NW, Ramsey 55303 off market $2,245 3 / 2 2,004 2.0 mi 2026-03-22 73%
14780 Fluorine St NW, Ramsey 55303 off market $2,200 3 / 2 1,940 1.9 mi 2026-05-13 73%
1845 S Ferry St, Apt 112, Anoka 55303 off market $1,349 2 / 1 — 4.7 mi 2026-05-27 72%
5538 153rd Ct NW, Ramsey 55303 off market $1,850 3 / 2 1,600 1.4 mi 2026-02-23 71%
852 8th Ln, Anoka 55303 off market $1,126 2 / 1 — 5.8 mi 2026-03-19 71%
105 Dean Ave E, Apt 5, Champlin 55316 off market $1,599 3 / 1 1,060 5.4 mi 2026-03-19 71%

On the maps, this property and comparable rentals. Comparable rentals and rent estimate: RentCast. Rents are asking rents from listings; check them against the actual leases.

Red flags and opportunities

Watch for

  • highNegative cash flow at asking price; break-even is about $41K below ask Based on: data: underwriting.cash_flow_monthly · AI review
  • mediumCouldn't match this address to a county parcel record, so taxes and unit count are unverified. Public record: County parcels: no match for 16001 NOWTHEN BLVD NW
  • mediumParcel not matched, so taxes, unit count and rental status are unverified Based on: data: rule_flags · AI review
  • mediumNo rent, lease or occupancy information given. Photos show a vacant-looking room and lived-in rooms, so occupancy is unclear. Based on: photo 6 · AI review
  • mediumRural/acreage property likely on well and septic. Not stated, so verify. Based on: data: county.heat_type · AI review

Opportunities

  • Owner-occupy one unit and rent the other to cut housing cost Listing says: Live in one spacious unit while renting the other · AI review
  • Extra insulated garage bay and outbuilding could earn storage or workshop rent Listing says: plus an additional insulated garage bay · AI review
  • No rent cap lets rents rise with the market Based on: data: underwriting.rent_rule · AI review

Questions for the agent

  • What are the current rents, lease terms and security deposits for each unit, and is either vacant?
  • Is the property on well and septic or city utilities, and when was the septic last inspected?
  • What is the actual property tax bill and is it homestead or non-homestead?
  • Is it a legal, licensed duplex with Andover rental approval?
  • What heating system serves each unit, and does each have separate meters for gas and electric?
  • How old are the roof and siding, and are there permits for the work?

Bottom line

Big, updated duplex on acreage that loses money as a pure rental at $459,900, so it makes sense mainly as an owner-occupant buy or at a lower price. AI-assisted summary

What the records say

Where each number comes from

Property tax / yr Listinglisting, tax year 2026. The tax the listing states. If the seller lives there it may be at the lower homestead rate; an investor owner pays the non-homestead rate, often 20–40% more on the owner's unit.$5,766
Insurance / yr Estimateestimate. from units, square feet and age; get a quote$2,622
Water, sewer, trash / mo Estimateestimate. $85/unit/mo, owner-paid$170
Heat / mo Assumptionassumption. tenants pay heat; confirm with the agent$0
Lawn care / mo Assumptionassumption. $120/mo for 6 months, spread over 12; no snow removal$60
Repairs / capital reserve Rulerule. base rate8% / 8%

Price history Realtor.com

On the market since 2026-09-03 (32 days); down $25,000 (5.2%) from the first ask of $484,900; last sold for $217,000 on 2016-06-13.

DateEventPrice
Price changed$459,900
Listed$484,900
Sold public record$217,000
Sold$215,000
Relisted$219,900
Removed$219,900
Price changed$219,900
Price changed$224,900
Removed$229,900
Listed$229,900
Listed$229,000
Sold$240,000
Listed$239,900

From the listing Listing

Listed asduplex up and down
Property tax, 2026$5,766
CountyAnoka
Parcel number153225410001

As the listing states it (NorthstarMLS, via Realtor.com). We don't have county records here yet; check the tax, homestead status and special assessments with the county.

Crime, rental-license and vacant-building records are only available for St. Paul and Minneapolis so far. Check with Andover on rental licensing before you buy.