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2515 Fillmore St NE

Duplex · 2 units: 3 bed / 1 bath and 2 bed / 1 bath · 2,226 sq ft

Minneapolis, MN · Audubon Park · View the listing ↗

Overpriced

Photos courtesy of RE/MAX ADVANTAGE PLUS, via Realtor.com.

Asking price
$439,900
2 units · $220K per unit
Monthly cash flow
−$501
at 20% down, 7%
Estimated rent
$3,575/mo
medium confidence · 10 rentals within 1.5 mi
Break-even price
$345,833
where cash flow hits $0

Adjust the numbers See the full breakdown

First look

This is an up/down Minneapolis duplex asking $439,900 with no rents stated. Our estimates (3-bed around $1,950, 2-bed around $1,625) put cash flow near -$501 a month at asking with 20% down, and break-even is about $346K. At today's rates that gap is too large to close with a rent bump, so this only works as an owner-occupant or at a lower price. The county market value is $339,700 and the last sale was $425,000 in 2021, so the seller is near what they paid. First, get the rent roll and lease dates, plus the heat setup and the ownership structure the facts flag. Not worth a showing as an investment unless the price drops sharply.

Things to consider

  1. Price is far above what rents support Break-even is about $346K against a $439,900 ask. Even with strong rents, the monthly loss is large.
  2. No rents or lease info Without a rent roll you can't verify income. Our estimates are the only guide.
  3. Ownership structure flagged Land trust, ground lease or co-op terms can limit resale and financing options.
  4. Investor tax bill Non-homestead tax of about $6,451 weighs on cash flow and may change after a sale.
  5. Systems are unknown The 'maintenance-free' claim isn't backed by ages. 1900 construction means checking wiring, plumbing and foundation.Listing says: “This beautifully updated (and maintenance-free) up/down duplex offers a total of 5 bedrooms”

From the photos

Listing photo 1
1 of 7Check

Exterior vinyl/composite siding and an asphalt shingle roof appear in decent shape; roof age is not shown

Listing photo 5
2 of 7Plus

Hardwood floors and painted walls look clean and maintained in the living areas

Listing photo 3
3 of 7Concern

Window A/C units are visible, so there appears to be no central air in at least the main living area

Listing photo 6
4 of 7Check

Textured ceilings throughout and older ceiling fans suggest cosmetic rather than full renovation

Listing photo 10
5 of 7Check

Photos show only living areas and hallways; no kitchens, baths, basement, furnace, water heater or panel are shown

Listing photo 9
6 of 7Plus

Upper unit has sloped ceilings and a forced-air floor vent, consistent with the county's forced air heat

Listing photo 10
7 of 7Plus

Tile-floored hallway and separate entry doors suggest the units are separated with their own doors

Based on 10 of the listing photos. Photos can hide as much as they show; an inspection is the real answer.

Condition and repairs

  • doneDescribed as beautifully updated and maintenance-free; no specific recent work listedListing says: This beautifully updated (and maintenance-free) up/down duplex offers a total of 5 bedrooms

AI-assisted first read of the listing description and photos (Claude), checked against public records. Every rent and repair above quotes the listing; verify with the agent, leases and an inspection.

The numbers

Down payment %
Offer $
Management
Interest rate %
Edit rents, costs and assumptions

Default: 20% down (no PMI), offer at asking, self-managed, 7.00% for 30 years, buyer pays closing costs (3%).

The deal

Price
$439,900
Cash to close
$101,177
Price per unit
$219,950
GRM
10.3

Each month

Cash flow
−$501/mo
Cash-on-cash
−5.9%
Cap rate
5.0%
DSCR
0.79×

Break-even

Price that breaks even
$345,833
Rent that breaks even
$4,209/mo

Long run

Year 30: property vs stocks
$1.31M vs $955K
Cash flow turns positive
year 10

Monthly

Monthly breakdown

Rent$3,575
Vacancy (6%)−$214
Collected$3,360
Property tax Public record−$538
Insurance Estimate−$216
Water, sewer, trash Estimate−$170
Lawn care ($120 × 6 mo ÷ 12)−$60
Repairs (7% of rent)−$250
Capital reserve (8% of rent)−$286
Net operating income$1,841
Mortgage (principal + interest)−$2,341
Cash flow−$501
Principal paid down (equity, not cash)$298

Cash flow each year

Rents +3%/yr, costs +3.5%/yr. Red bars are months you'd cover out of pocket.

30 years

How those totals add up

If you buy this building$1,307,496
Your equity when you sell
$1,003,688

Sells for $1,067,753 (value up 3% a year), minus 6% selling cost ($64,065). Rent paid down $351,920 of loan.

Rental profits, invested at 7%
$303,808

$191,139 of cash flow over 30 years, plus what it earned invested.

Same money in stocks$955,380
Cash to close, invested at 7%
$770,185

$101,177 put into an index fund instead of the down payment and closing costs.

Monthly shortfalls, invested
$185,195

$30,940 you'd have paid in while the building lost money, invested instead.

The building comes out $352,116 ahead after 30 years.

Future dollars. At 3% inflation, divide year-30 figures by about 2.4 for today's buying power. Rental profits are assumed invested, not spent.

30 years: this property vs. the same money in stocks

This propertyStocks at 7%

Year 30 (loan paid off): property $1.31M, stocks $955K. The property wins.

Comparable rentals

The closest rental listings with each unit's bedroom count, as of 2026-10-06. The estimate is the median asking rent of every rental we found nearby (the count is shown for each); houses are left out. Asking rents from Realtor.com rental listings, not signed leases.

3 bed estimate $1,950/mo · range $1,800–$2,200 · 10 rentals within 1.5 mi

AddressRentBd / BaSq ftDistanceListedType
920 24th Ave NE, Minneapolis $2,388 3 / 1 1,223 0.3 mi 2026-07-21 Apartment
1709 Fillmore St NE, Minneapolis $2,099 3 / 1 1,350 0.6 mi 2026-08-04 Apartment
2318 Jefferson St NE, Minneapolis $1,715 3 / 1.5 — 0.7 mi 2025-11-06 Apartment
1460 Van Buren St NE, Minneapolis $1,570 3 / 1.5 1,154 0.8 mi 2026-07-30 Apartment
1322 Central Ave NE Unit 1, Minneapolis $1,800 3 / 1 1,150 0.9 mi 2026-09-10 Duplex triplex
1622 Washington St NE, Minneapolis $1,795 3 / 1 1,200 1.0 mi 2026-09-21 Apartment
742 Buchanan St NE, Minneapolis $1,700 3 / 1 — 1.1 mi 2026-04-02 Apartment
1226 Adams St NE, Minneapolis $2,049 3 / 1 1,750 1.2 mi 2026-07-08 Apartment
912 4th St NE Unit Upstairs, Minneapolis $1,900 3 / 1 1,250 1.4 mi 2026-06-03 Duplex triplex
912 4th St NE Unit Main, Minneapolis $2,100 3 / 1 1,120 1.4 mi 2026-03-04 Duplex triplex

2 bed estimate $1,625/mo · range $1,450–$1,675 · 14 rentals within 0.75 mi

AddressRentBd / BaSq ftDistanceListedType
2526 Polk St NE, Minneapolis $1,700 2 / 1 1,300 0.2 mi 2026-08-18 Apartment
920 24th Ave NE, Minneapolis $1,350 2 / 1 845 0.3 mi 2026-07-21 Apartment
2005 Taylor St NE # 2, Minneapolis $1,595 2 / 1 900 0.3 mi — Duplex triplex
1028 28th Ave NE, Minneapolis $1,595 2 / 1 950 0.3 mi 2026-10-03 Apartment
2207 1/2 Central Ave NE Apt 4, Minneapolis $1,600 2 / 1 1,000 0.4 mi 2023-03-22 Apartment
1010 20th Ave NE Unit 2, Minneapolis $1,395 2 / 1 730 0.4 mi 2026-09-17 Duplex triplex
2015 Central Ave NE, Minneapolis $1,600 2 / 1 1,050 0.4 mi 2025-01-03 Apartment
2636 Jackson St NE Unit 2, Minneapolis $1,600 2 / 1 881 0.4 mi — Apartment
2902 Polk St NE, Minneapolis $1,500 2 / 1 — 0.5 mi 2025-11-21 Apartment
1823 Ulysses St NE, Minneapolis $1,300 2 / 1 — 0.6 mi 2025-04-12 Apartment

On the maps, this property and comparable rentals. Comparable rentals and rent estimate: Realtor.com rental listings. Rents are asking rents from listings; check them against the actual leases.

Red flags and opportunities

Watch for

  • highUnusual ownership (land trust, ground lease or co-op): resale price limits or lease terms can cap your upside. Listing says: "local favorites like restaurants, breweries, and the food co-op . Includes three (3) off-street parking spaces ."
  • mediumTax bill is non-homestead and high relative to the county market value Based on: data: county.tax · AI review
  • mediumHeavy price vs. recent sale and county value; seller is asking above both Based on: data: county.market_value · AI review
  • medium'Maintenance-free' is a marketing claim with no system ages given (roof, boiler/furnace, electrical) Listing says: This beautifully updated (and maintenance-free) up/down duplex offers a total of 5 bedrooms · AI review

Opportunities

  • Minneapolis has no rent cap, so rents can follow the market Based on: data: underwriting.rent_rule · AI review
  • Separate washer/dryer in each unit and three off-street spaces support rentability Listing says: Includes three (3) off-street parking spaces . · AI review
  • Owner-occupant option: live in one unit and rent the other to offset costs Listing says: a perfect option to offset your own living expenses · AI review

Questions for the agent

  • What are the current rents and lease end dates for each unit? Can I see the rent roll?
  • What is the ownership structure (land trust, ground lease or co-op), and what does it mean for resale and financing?
  • Who pays heat and utilities, and is the heat separately metered per unit?
  • What are the ages of the roof, furnace(s), water heater and electrical panel?
  • Why has it sat 50 days, and has the price changed?
  • Are the window A/C units the only cooling, and is anything planned to be replaced?

Bottom line

Nice-looking duplex, but at $439,900 it loses about $501 a month by our numbers and only pencils near $346K. AI-assisted summary

What the records say

Where each number comes from

Property tax / yr Public recordHennepin County record, current payable year (non-homestead)$6,451
Insurance / yr Estimateestimate. from units, square feet and age; get a quote$2,592
Water, sewer, trash / mo Estimateestimate. $85/unit/mo, owner-paid$170
Heat / mo Assumptionassumption. tenants pay heat; confirm with the agent$0
Lawn care / mo Assumptionassumption. $120/mo for 6 months, spread over 12; no snow removal$60
Repairs / capital reserve Rulerule. built 1900: +1 pt capital reserve; "fully updated" in the description: -1 pts each7% / 8%

Price history Realtor.com

On the market since 2026-06-24 (103 days, relisted 1×); down $9,100 (2.0%) from the first ask of $449,000; last sold for $425,000 on 2021-06-30.

DateEventPrice
Price changed$439,900
Listed$449,900
Removed$449,000
Sold$425,000
Listed$425,000
Sold public record$270,450
Sold public record$261,000
Sold public record$45,900
Sold public record$51,000

County record Public record

Recorded asduplex
Living units2
Year built1900
Market value (2026)$339,700
Property tax$6,451
Special assessmentsnone
Homesteadno
Last sale2021-06-01 · $425,000

Source: Hennepin County parcel records.

City rental license

CHOWN: 2 unit(s), Tier 1, status active, renews 2027-03-01.

Nearest highway

I 35W, about 1380 m away.

Crime in Audubon Park

157 incidents in the last 12 months (29 per 1,000 residents), +10% vs. the year before. Minneapolis police incidents, all reported offenses (definitions differ from St. Paul's, so don't compare across cities).