Back to Minneapolis

2533 Polk St NE

Duplex · 2 units: 3 bed / 1 bath ×2 unit split estimated · 2,550 sq ft

Minneapolis, MN · Audubon Park · View the listing ↗

Close

Photos courtesy of Edina Realty, Inc., via Realtor.com.

Asking price
$440,000
2 units · $220K per unit
Monthly cash flow
−$382
at 20% down, 7%
Estimated rent
$3,950/mo
medium confidence · 10 rentals within 1.5 mi
Break-even price
$368,297
where cash flow hits $0

Adjust the numbers See the full breakdown

First look

This is a side-by-side duplex with three bedrooms each, both vacant. One side looks freshly renovated and the other is dated. At $440K with estimated rents around $1,975 per side, our underwriting shows about -$382 a month and a 5.3% cap rate, so it does not work as a pure rental at today's rates. The pitch is really for an owner-occupant who lives in one side and fixes up the other. Before a showing, get the age of the roof, furnaces and electrical, and price the rehab on the dated side. Then see how far the price can come down, since the break-even is about $368K.

Things to consider

  1. Price is far above what rents support At ask, cash flow is about -$382 a month and break-even is about $368K. A rental buyer would need a meaningful cut to make it work.
  2. Best as an owner-occupied house-hack Living in one side cuts the rental exposure and may allow owner-occupant financing. You still carry high taxes and a rehab on the dated side.Listing says: “Perfect for an owner occupant: one side has been thoroughly updated”
  3. Rehab budget on the dated unit Carpet, paint, kitchen and possibly the bath all look dated. Rent on that side stays below the estimate until the work is done.From photo 10
  4. Rents are estimates only With both units vacant there is no lease history. Our estimate of $1,975 per 3-bed may be off, so verify against current comps.
  5. Seller has big equity and room to negotiate They bought in 2004 for $218K, so a lower offer still leaves them well ahead, though it is only 3 days on market.
  6. Roof and mechanicals are unverified The roof looks worn and the heating, electrical and water heater ages are unknown. Those are big costs on a 1900 build.Listing says: “2 electrical panels, 2 furnaces, 2 water heaters”

From the photos

Listing photo 3
1 of 7Plus

Updated unit has newer vinyl plank flooring, white shaker kitchen cabinets, stainless appliances, and a farmhouse sink; the finishes look recent

Listing photo 4
2 of 7Plus

Updated bathroom appears to have a new vanity, tiled tub surround and a modern toilet, with the original glass-block window kept

Listing photo 10
3 of 7Concern

Dated unit has worn carpet, textured walls with heavy paint, and a kitchen with older appliances and tile flooring; it needs a full cosmetic refresh

Listing photo 5
4 of 7Concern

Back roof shingles appear weathered and stained; roof age is unknown and should be checked

Listing photo 5
5 of 7Plus

Vinyl siding looks in decent shape, with a front porch and a fenced yard; a central AC condenser is visible at the rear

Listing photo 5
6 of 7Check

Two chimneys are visible; check whether they are in use, and their condition

Listing photo 1
7 of 7Check

No photos of the panels, furnaces, water heaters, basement or garage, so mechanicals and structure are unseen

Based on 10 of the listing photos. Photos can hide as much as they show; an inspection is the real answer.

Condition and repairs

  • neededSecond unit needs sweat equity and updatingListing says: live in the other while you put some sweat equity into it
  • doneOne side thoroughly updatedListing says: one side has been thoroughly updated

AI-assisted first read of the listing description and photos (Claude), checked against public records. Every rent and repair above quotes the listing; verify with the agent, leases and an inspection.

The numbers

Down payment %
Offer $
Management
Interest rate %
Edit rents, costs and assumptions

Default: 20% down (no PMI), offer at asking, self-managed, 7.00% for 30 years, buyer pays closing costs (3%).

The deal

Price
$440,000
Cash to close
$101,200
Price per unit
$220,000
GRM
9.3

Each month

Cash flow
−$382/mo
Cash-on-cash
−4.5%
Cap rate
5.3%
DSCR
0.84×

Break-even

Price that breaks even
$368,297
Rent that breaks even
$4,446/mo

Long run

Year 30: property vs stocks
$1.41M vs $883K
Cash flow turns positive
year 8

Monthly

Monthly breakdown

Rent$3,950
Vacancy (6%)−$237
Collected$3,713
Property tax Public record−$628
Insurance Estimate−$223
Water, sewer, trash Estimate−$170
Lawn care ($120 × 6 mo ÷ 12)−$60
Repairs (8% of rent)−$316
Capital reserve (9% of rent)−$356
Net operating income$1,960
Mortgage (principal + interest)−$2,342
Cash flow−$382
Principal paid down (equity, not cash)$298

Cash flow each year

Rents +3%/yr, costs +3.5%/yr. Red bars are months you'd cover out of pocket.

30 years

How those totals add up

If you buy this building$1,411,909
Your equity when you sell
$1,003,915

Sells for $1,067,995 (value up 3% a year), minus 6% selling cost ($64,080). Rent paid down $352,000 of loan.

Rental profits, invested at 7%
$407,993

$241,512 of cash flow over 30 years, plus what it earned invested.

Same money in stocks$883,364
Cash to close, invested at 7%
$770,360

$101,200 put into an index fund instead of the down payment and closing costs.

Monthly shortfalls, invested
$113,004

$17,992 you'd have paid in while the building lost money, invested instead.

The building comes out $528,545 ahead after 30 years.

Future dollars. At 3% inflation, divide year-30 figures by about 2.4 for today's buying power. Rental profits are assumed invested, not spent.

30 years: this property vs. the same money in stocks

This propertyStocks at 7%

Year 30 (loan paid off): property $1.41M, stocks $883K. The property wins.

Comparable rentals

The closest rental listings with each unit's bedroom count, as of 2026-10-06. The estimate is the median asking rent of every rental we found nearby (the count is shown for each); houses are left out. Asking rents from Realtor.com rental listings, not signed leases.

3 bed estimate $1,975/mo · range $1,825–$2,225 · 10 rentals within 1.5 mi

AddressRentBd / BaSq ftDistanceListedType
920 24th Ave NE, Minneapolis $2,388 3 / 1 1,223 0.2 mi 2026-07-21 Apartment
2318 Jefferson St NE, Minneapolis $1,715 3 / 1.5 — 0.6 mi 2025-11-06 Apartment
1709 Fillmore St NE, Minneapolis $2,099 3 / 1 1,350 0.7 mi 2026-08-04 Apartment
1460 Van Buren St NE, Minneapolis $1,570 3 / 1.5 1,154 0.7 mi 2026-07-30 Apartment
1322 Central Ave NE Unit 1, Minneapolis $1,800 3 / 1 1,150 0.9 mi 2026-09-10 Duplex triplex
1622 Washington St NE, Minneapolis $1,795 3 / 1 1,200 0.9 mi 2026-09-21 Apartment
1226 Adams St NE, Minneapolis $2,049 3 / 1 1,750 1.1 mi 2026-07-08 Apartment
742 Buchanan St NE, Minneapolis $1,700 3 / 1 — 1.1 mi 2026-04-02 Apartment
912 4th St NE Unit Upstairs, Minneapolis $1,900 3 / 1 1,250 1.4 mi 2026-06-03 Duplex triplex
912 4th St NE Unit Main, Minneapolis $2,100 3 / 1 1,120 1.4 mi 2026-03-04 Duplex triplex

On the maps, this property and comparable rentals. Comparable rentals and rent estimate: Realtor.com rental listings. Rents are asking rents from listings; check them against the actual leases.

Red flags and opportunities

Watch for

  • mediumBoth units are vacant, so there is no rent history to verify and no proof the rents in our estimate can be achieved Listing says: Both units are currently vacant · AI review
  • mediumDated side appears to need a full refresh; the cost is unknown and the layout is split across main and upper floors Based on: photo 7 · AI review
  • mediumBack roof shingles look worn with debris and moss-like staining Based on: photo 5 · AI review
  • mediumTaxes are high at non-homestead rates and cut deep into income Based on: data: county.tax · AI review

Opportunities

  • The seller bought for $218,000 in May 2004, so they can take a lower offer and still come out well ahead. Public record: Hennepin County parcel 1202924230156: last sale 2004-05-01, $218,000
  • House-hack: live in one side, renovate the other, and rent the finished side Listing says: Perfect for an owner occupant: one side has been thoroughly updated · AI review
  • No rent cap in Minneapolis, so rents can follow the market after the dated side is refreshed Based on: data: underwriting.rent_rule · AI review
  • Free laundry, a 2-car garage and off-street parking help rentability Listing says: 2 car garage + off-street parking · AI review

Questions for the agent

  • How old are the roof, both furnaces, the central air unit and the water heaters?
  • What type and age is the wiring in each unit, and are the two panels breakers or fuses?
  • Is the 2-car garage in usable condition, and does parking work for both units?
  • What was done on the updated side, who did the work, and were permits pulled?
  • Why is the seller asking $440K against a $396,700 county market value, and are they open to offers?
  • Is laundry shared or in each unit, and are the utilities separately metered?

Bottom line

Fine house-hack candidate with one finished side, but at $440K it loses money as a rental, so it needs a lower price. AI-assisted summary

What the records say

Where each number comes from

Property tax / yr Public recordHennepin County record, current payable year (non-homestead)$7,534
Insurance / yr Estimateestimate. from units, square feet and age; get a quote$2,681
Water, sewer, trash / mo Estimateestimate. $85/unit/mo, owner-paid$170
Heat / mo Assumptionassumption. tenants pay heat; confirm with the agent$0
Lawn care / mo Assumptionassumption. $120/mo for 6 months, spread over 12; no snow removal$60
Repairs / capital reserve Rulerule. built 1900: +1 pt capital reserve8% / 9%

Price history Realtor.com

On the market since 2026-09-29 (6 days); last sold for $218,000 on 2004-06-30; listed for rent at $1,800/mo on 2020-10-13.

DateEventPrice
Listed$440,000
Removed—
Listed for rent$1,800/mo
Sold public record$218,000
Sold public record$190,000
Sold public record$98,000
Sold public record$60,000
Sold public record$24,000

County record Public record

Recorded asduplex
Living units2
Year built1900
Market value (2026)$396,700
Property tax$7,534
Special assessmentsnone
Homesteadno
Last sale2004-05-01 · $218,000

Source: Hennepin County parcel records.

City rental license

CHOWNEXMPT: 2 unit(s), Tier 1, status active, renews 2027-03-01.

Nearest highway

I 35W, about 1552 m away.

Crime in Audubon Park

157 incidents in the last 12 months (29 per 1,000 residents), +10% vs. the year before. Minneapolis police incidents, all reported offenses (definitions differ from St. Paul's, so don't compare across cities).