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2541 3rd Ave S

Duplex · 2 units: 3 bed / 1.5 bath ×2 unit split estimated · 3,260 sq ft

Minneapolis, MN · Whittier · View the listing ↗

Overpriced

Photos, via Realtor.com.

Asking price
$499,900
2 units · $250K per unit
Monthly cash flow
−$990
at 20% down, 7%
Estimated rent
$3,750/mo
medium confidence · 9 rentals within 0.75 mi
Break-even price
$313,827
where cash flow hits $0

Adjust the numbers See the full breakdown

First look

The in-place rents look strong: $4,240/month for two 3-beds is about $2,120 each, well above our $1,875 estimate. That is a big gap, so verify it with leases and deposits. Even so, our numbers show about -$990/month and a 4.0% cap at the $499,900 ask, with break-even near $313,827. It sells for less than the $513,000 paid in 2022, but taxes of about $8,970 on a non-homestead bill and boiler heat keep it tight. Pull the leases, tenant payment history and boiler details first. If rents are real, a showing could be worthwhile only with a much lower price.

Things to consider

  1. Price is far above what cash flow supports Our model shows about -$990/month and break-even near $313,827, so the ask is roughly 60% above that. Even at the stated rents, expect to need a large discount or heavy cash down.
  2. Stated rents are well above our estimate $2,120 per unit versus our $1,875 mid means the income depends on these leases being accurate and surviving to 2027. Verify with leases and bank deposits.Listing says: “Both units are 3 bedrooms and rented through 2027 - $4,240/month in place”
  3. Taxes are a heavy cost The $8,970 non-homestead bill takes a big share of income, and values could be reassessed after a sale.
  4. Owner-paid heat is likely One boiler usually means the owner pays gas for both units, which cuts net income unless leases say otherwise.Listing says: “Boiler heat, full unfinished basement with common laundry and abundant storage”
  5. Basement unit is speculative Not city-approved, so give it no value in the price until zoning, egress and licensing are confirmed.Listing says: “Potential to add a third unit in the basement - concept sketch available, not city-approved.”
  6. Highway noise and age of building Being close to I-35W may weigh on rents, and a 1900 building needs a full inspection of systems.

From the photos

Listing photo 1
1 of 8Plus

Brick exterior with a covered front porch appears solid, with no obvious damage from the street

Listing photo 3
2 of 8Plus

Kitchen has newer wood cabinets, stainless appliances and a gas range, matching the update claim

Listing photo 6
3 of 8Check

Cast-iron radiators in kitchen, hall and bedrooms confirm steam or hot-water heat; check boiler age and any leaks

Listing photo 4
4 of 8Concern

Hardwood floors in kitchen appear worn and scuffed in places, with some dark patches

Listing photo 8
5 of 8Plus

Original woodwork, leaded-glass windows and fireplace are well preserved, which supports tenant appeal

Listing photo 2
6 of 8Check

Two mailboxes and an entry at the front, with a rear kitchen door in a separate unit

Listing photo 1
7 of 8Check

No photos of basement, boiler, electrical panel, roof or the 3rd-floor unit

Listing photo 10
8 of 8Check

Bathroom shows an older radiator and a vanity-style sink; the layout looks dated but usable

Based on 10 of the listing photos. Photos can hide as much as they show; an inspection is the real answer.

Rents the listing states

  • Both units combined: $4,240 (lease)Listing says: Both units are 3 bedrooms and rented through 2027 - $4,240/month in place

Condition and repairs

  • doneUpdated kitchens with newer cabinets, counters and appliancesListing says: Updated kitchens with newer cabinets, counters and appliances, plus newer windows.
  • doneNewer windowsListing says: Updated kitchens with newer cabinets, counters and appliances, plus newer windows.

AI-assisted first read of the listing description and photos (Claude), checked against public records. Every rent and repair above quotes the listing; verify with the agent, leases and an inspection.

The numbers

Down payment %
Offer $
Management
Interest rate %
Edit rents, costs and assumptions

Default: 20% down (no PMI), offer at asking, self-managed, 7.00% for 30 years, buyer pays closing costs (3%).

The deal

Price
$499,900
Cash to close
$114,977
Price per unit
$249,950
GRM
11.1

Each month

Cash flow
−$990/mo
Cash-on-cash
−10.3%
Cap rate
4.0%
DSCR
0.63×

Break-even

Price that breaks even
$313,827
Rent that breaks even
$5,036/mo

Long run

Year 30: property vs stocks
$1.21M vs $1.48M
Cash flow turns positive
year 20

Monthly

Monthly breakdown

Rent$3,750
Vacancy (6%)−$225
Collected$3,525
Property tax Public record−$747
Insurance Estimate−$240
Water, sewer, trash Estimate−$170
Lawn care ($120 × 6 mo ÷ 12)−$60
Repairs (8% of rent)−$300
Capital reserve (9% of rent)−$338
Net operating income$1,670
Mortgage (principal + interest)−$2,661
Cash flow−$990
Principal paid down (equity, not cash)$339

Cash flow each year

Rents +3%/yr, costs +3.5%/yr. Red bars are months you'd cover out of pocket.

30 years

How those totals add up

If you buy this building$1,213,858
Your equity when you sell
$1,140,586

Sells for $1,213,389 (value up 3% a year), minus 6% selling cost ($72,803). Rent paid down $399,920 of loan.

Rental profits, invested at 7%
$73,273

$57,947 of cash flow over 30 years, plus what it earned invested.

Same money in stocks$1,478,376
Cash to close, invested at 7%
$875,234

$114,977 put into an index fund instead of the down payment and closing costs.

Monthly shortfalls, invested
$603,142

$121,313 you'd have paid in while the building lost money, invested instead.

Stocks come out $264,518 ahead after 30 years.

Future dollars. At 3% inflation, divide year-30 figures by about 2.4 for today's buying power. Rental profits are assumed invested, not spent.

30 years: this property vs. the same money in stocks

This propertyStocks at 7%

Year 30 (loan paid off): property $1.21M, stocks $1.48M. Stocks win.

Comparable rentals

The closest rental listings with each unit's bedroom count, as of 2026-10-06. The estimate is the median asking rent of every rental we found nearby (the count is shown for each); houses are left out. Asking rents from Realtor.com rental listings, not signed leases.

3 bed estimate $1,875/mo · range $1,725–$2,175 · 9 rentals within 0.75 mi

AddressRentBd / BaSq ftDistanceListedType
200 E 27th St, Minneapolis $1,835 3 / 1 1,400 0.1 mi 2026-09-15 Apartment
2821 1st Ave S, Minneapolis $1,600 3 / 1 1,743 0.4 mi 2026-06-17 Apartment
2550 Pillsbury Ave S, Minneapolis $1,950 3 / 2 2,000 0.5 mi 2026-07-10 Apartment
912 E 25th St Apt 2, Minneapolis $1,695 3 / 1 1,014 0.6 mi — Apartment
912 E 25th St Apt 3, Minneapolis $1,675 3 / 1 1,014 0.6 mi — Apartment
2407 Elliot Upper Ave Unit Elliot, Minneapolis $2,300 3 / 1 2,304 0.6 mi 2025-03-15 Duplex triplex
2415 Harriet Ave, Minneapolis $1,695 3 / 1 1,010 0.7 mi 2026-08-24 Multi family
2200 Harriet Ave S, Minneapolis $1,850 3 / 1 — 0.7 mi 2026-03-03 Apartment
2305 Garfield Ave Unit 201, Minneapolis $2,300 3 / 1 970 0.7 mi 2022-05-23 Apartment

On the maps, this property and comparable rentals. Comparable rentals and rent estimate: Realtor.com rental listings. Rents are asking rents from listings; check them against the actual leases.

Red flags and opportunities

Watch for

  • mediumAbout 141 m from I 35W: traffic noise usually costs $50–100/month in rent. Based on: OpenStreetMap: nearest motorway (I 35W) at 141 m
  • mediumAsking is $186,073 above the price where cash flow breaks even ($313,827) at the default scenario. Based on: Derived: price $499,900 vs. break-even $313,827
  • mediumBasement third unit is only a sketch, not approved Listing says: concept sketch available, not city-approved · AI review
  • mediumSingle boiler likely means owner pays heat, which the stated tenant-pays utilities do not cover Listing says: Boiler heat, full unfinished basement with common laundry and abundant storage · AI review
  • mediumNon-homestead tax is a large drag on income at this price Based on: data: county.tax · AI review
  • lowUnit 1 is listed at about 2,000 sf with only 1 bath, while Unit 2 has 2 baths over 3 bedrooms Listing says: Unit 1 takes the front of the main level and the entire 2nd floor (3BR/1BA, approx. 2,000 sf). · AI review

Opportunities

  • No rent cap in Minneapolis, so rents can follow the market at renewal Based on: data: underwriting.rent_rule · AI review
  • Large units and in-place rents above our estimate Listing says: The layout gives each unit far more room than a typical duplex. · AI review
  • Possible third unit in the basement, if permitted Listing says: Potential to add a third unit in the basement - concept sketch available, not city-approved. · AI review

Questions for the agent

  • Can I see both leases, rent amounts per unit, and the payment history?
  • Who pays heat, and is it one boiler? What is the annual gas cost and the boiler's age?
  • What is the age and condition of the roof, electrical panel and wiring?
  • Is the lease through 2027 for both units, and are deposits held?
  • What would the basement unit need to be legal, and has the city been consulted?
  • Why is the price below the 2022 sale of $513,000, and any offers so far?

Bottom line

Rents in place look strong, but at $499,900 the numbers lose money each month, so it only works at a much lower price. AI-assisted summary

What the records say

Where each number comes from

Property tax / yr Public recordHennepin County record, current payable year (non-homestead)$8,970
Insurance / yr Estimateestimate. from units, square feet and age; get a quote$2,877
Water, sewer, trash / mo Estimateestimate. $85/unit/mo, owner-paid$170
Heat / mo Assumptionassumption. tenants pay heat; confirm with the agent$0
Lawn care / mo Assumptionassumption. $120/mo for 6 months, spread over 12; no snow removal$60
Repairs / capital reserve Rulerule. built 1900: +1 pt capital reserve8% / 9%

Price history Realtor.com

On the market since 2026-06-28 (99 days, relisted 1×); down $89,100 (15.1%) from the first ask of $589,000; last sold for $513,000 on 2022-07-06.

DateEventPrice
Listed$499,900
Removed$589,000
Sold public record$513,000
Sold$513,000
Listed$549,900
Sold public record$500,000
Sold$500,000
Price changed$519,000
Price changed$549,000
Listed$579,000
Sold$349,900
Listed$349,900
Removed$399,000
Listed$399,000

County record Public record

Recorded asduplex
Living units2
Year built1900
Market value (2026)$472,300
Property tax$8,970
Special assessmentsnone
Homesteadno
Last sale2022-05-01 · $513,000

Source: Hennepin County parcel records.

City rental license

CHOWN: 2 unit(s), Tier 1, status active, renews 2027-03-01.

Nearest highway

I 35W, about 141 m away.

Crime in Whittier

1,136 incidents in the last 12 months (76 per 1,000 residents), +1% vs. the year before. Minneapolis police incidents, all reported offenses (definitions differ from St. Paul's, so don't compare across cities).