Back to Minneapolis

2623 Polk St NE

Duplex · 2 units: 2 bed / 1 bath and 1 bed / 1 bath unit split estimated · 2,066 sq ft

Minneapolis, MN · Audubon Park · View the listing ↗

Overpriced

Photos courtesy of Midwest Homes - Broker, via Realtor.com.

Asking price
$409,900
2 units · $205K per unit
Monthly cash flow
−$718
at 20% down, 7%
Estimated rent
$3,000/mo
medium confidence · 12 rentals within 1.5 mi
Break-even price
$274,998
where cash flow hits $0

Adjust the numbers See the full breakdown

First look

This is a fully redone Northeast Minneapolis duplex, and the photos back up the rehab claim. The price does not. The seller paid $200K in June 2025 and now wants $409,900, and our underwriting shows about -$718 a month with a 4.3% cap rate at asking. Break-even is near $275K, so even a big cut leaves it thin. Rents are only estimates in the listing, so get real lease or market numbers first. Then confirm permits for the electrical, kitchens and baths, plus the rental license. Worth a showing only if the seller moves far down on price.

Things to consider

  1. Price is far above what rents support At asking, our underwriting shows a loss of about $718 a month and a 4.3% cap rate. Break-even is near $275K, so there is a large gap to close.
  2. Seller flipped it: $200K to $409,900 in 16 months The renovation may be real, but the asking price assumes the whole uplift as value. Verify what was spent and that the work was permitted.
  3. Rents are unproven Without leases or a rent roll, income is a guess. Our estimates are about $1,300 for the 1-bed and $1,700 for the 2-bed.Listing says: “Rents are estimates!”
  4. No rental license on file Licensing and inspection can add cost or delay before you can legally rent.
  5. Taxes will rise at non-homestead rates The current tax bill is the homestead rate. An investor pays more, which cuts cash flow further.

From the photos

Listing photo 4
1 of 6Plus

Kitchen appears new: shaker cabinets, tile backsplash, stainless gas range and dishwasher

Listing photo 9
2 of 6Plus

Bathroom looks new with tiled shower, new vanity and updated flooring

Listing photo 1
3 of 6Plus

Living room has newer windows and wood floors that appear refinished

Listing photo 10
4 of 6Check

Basement has block walls and exposed wiring and plumbing. The laundry and utility sink look newer, but the furnace, panels and water heaters are not shown

Listing photo 7
5 of 6Check

Exterior is older siding on a narrow 1900 house, and the yard is bare dirt and patchy grass

Listing photo 3
6 of 6Check

No photos of the upper unit, the garage, or the furnace and panels, so the claimed updates cannot be confirmed

Based on 10 of the listing photos. Photos can hide as much as they show; an inspection is the real answer.

Condition and repairs

  • doneTwo new water heatersListing says: 2 new water heaters, 2 new AC units, 1 new furnace
  • doneTwo new electric panels and electrical throughoutListing says: 2 new electric panels and electrical throughout
  • doneAll new windowsListing says: ALL new windows
  • doneTwo new kitchens with gas ranges and stainless appliancesListing says: 2 new kitchens with gas ranges and stainless steel appliances
  • doneTwo new 3/4 bathrooms with tile showersListing says: 2 new 3/4 bathrooms with tile showers
  • doneGarage: new concrete floor, siding, door and openerListing says: One stall garage has a new concrete floor, new siding outside, new door, and opener!

AI-assisted first read of the listing description and photos (Claude), checked against public records. Every rent and repair above quotes the listing; verify with the agent, leases and an inspection.

The numbers

Down payment %
Offer $
Management
Interest rate %
Edit rents, costs and assumptions

Default: 20% down (no PMI), offer at asking, self-managed, 7.00% for 30 years, buyer pays closing costs (3%).

The deal

Price
$409,900
Cash to close
$94,277
Price per unit
$204,950
GRM
11.4

Each month

Cash flow
−$718/mo
Cash-on-cash
−9.1%
Cap rate
4.3%
DSCR
0.67×

Break-even

Price that breaks even
$274,998
Rent that breaks even
$3,932/mo

Long run

Year 30: property vs stocks
$1.05M vs $1.10M
Cash flow turns positive
year 17

Monthly

Monthly breakdown

Rent$3,000
Vacancy (6%)−$180
Collected$2,820
Property tax Listing−$404
Insurance Estimate−$212
Water, sewer, trash Estimate−$170
Lawn care ($120 × 6 mo ÷ 12)−$60
Repairs (8% of rent)−$240
Capital reserve (9% of rent)−$270
Net operating income$1,464
Mortgage (principal + interest)−$2,182
Cash flow−$718
Principal paid down (equity, not cash)$278

Cash flow each year

Rents +3%/yr, costs +3.5%/yr. Red bars are months you'd cover out of pocket.

30 years

How those totals add up

If you buy this building$1,047,311
Your equity when you sell
$935,239

Sells for $994,935 (value up 3% a year), minus 6% selling cost ($59,696). Rent paid down $327,920 of loan.

Rental profits, invested at 7%
$112,072

$82,220 of cash flow over 30 years, plus what it earned invested.

Same money in stocks$1,103,937
Cash to close, invested at 7%
$717,661

$94,277 put into an index fund instead of the down payment and closing costs.

Monthly shortfalls, invested
$386,276

$73,115 you'd have paid in while the building lost money, invested instead.

Stocks come out $56,626 ahead after 30 years.

Future dollars. At 3% inflation, divide year-30 figures by about 2.4 for today's buying power. Rental profits are assumed invested, not spent.

30 years: this property vs. the same money in stocks

This propertyStocks at 7%

Year 30 (loan paid off): property $1.05M, stocks $1.10M. Stocks win.

Comparable rentals

The closest rental listings with each unit's bedroom count, as of 2026-10-06. The estimate is the median asking rent of every rental we found nearby (the count is shown for each); houses are left out. Asking rents from Realtor.com rental listings, not signed leases.

2 bed estimate $1,700/mo · range $1,575–$1,700 · 12 rentals within 0.75 mi

AddressRentBd / BaSq ftDistanceListedType
2526 Polk St NE, Minneapolis $1,700 2 / 1 1,300 0.1 mi 2026-08-18 Apartment
1028 28th Ave NE, Minneapolis $1,595 2 / 1 950 0.2 mi 2026-10-03 Apartment
2636 Jackson St NE Unit 2, Minneapolis $1,600 2 / 1 881 0.2 mi — Apartment
920 24th Ave NE, Minneapolis $1,350 2 / 1 845 0.3 mi 2026-07-21 Apartment
2902 Polk St NE, Minneapolis $1,500 2 / 1 — 0.3 mi 2025-11-21 Apartment
2207 1/2 Central Ave NE Apt 4, Minneapolis $1,600 2 / 1 1,000 0.4 mi 2023-03-22 Apartment
2015 Central Ave NE, Minneapolis $1,600 2 / 1 1,050 0.5 mi 2025-01-03 Apartment
2005 Taylor St NE # 2, Minneapolis $1,595 2 / 1 900 0.5 mi — Duplex triplex
1010 20th Ave NE Unit 2, Minneapolis $1,395 2 / 1 730 0.5 mi 2026-09-17 Duplex triplex
2550 Jefferson St NE Apt 1, Minneapolis $1,495 2 / 1 1,000 0.5 mi 2026-05-27 Apartment

1 bed estimate $1,300/mo · range $1,175–$1,625 · 16 rentals within 1.5 mi

AddressRentBd / BaSq ftDistanceListedType
817 Lowry Ave NE Unit 3, Minneapolis $1,200 1 / 1 801 0.3 mi 2026-09-23 Apartment
920 24th Ave NE, Minneapolis $1,066 1 / 1 607 0.3 mi 2026-07-21 Apartment
2015 Central Ave NE, Minneapolis $1,415 1 / 1 754 0.5 mi 2025-01-03 Apartment
2318 Jefferson St NE, Minneapolis $1,050 1 / 1 — 0.6 mi 2025-11-06 Apartment
2206 Arthur St NE, Minneapolis $1,395 1 / 1 643 0.7 mi 2026-09-01 Apartment
1838 Hayes St NE, Minneapolis $1,150 1 / 1 — 0.8 mi 2025-07-03 Apartment
1460 Van Buren St NE, Minneapolis $1,137 1 / 1 591 0.8 mi 2026-07-30 Apartment
350 26th Ave NE, Minneapolis $1,205 1 / 1 550 0.8 mi 2026-02-24 Apartment
1805 Garfield St NE, Minneapolis $975 1 / 1 600 0.9 mi 2025-01-03 Apartment
900 14th Ave NE, Minneapolis $1,436 1 / 1 667 1.0 mi 2025-07-03 Apartment

On the maps, this property and comparable rentals. Comparable rentals and rent estimate: Realtor.com rental listings. Rents are asking rents from listings; check them against the actual leases.

Red flags and opportunities

Watch for

  • highRents are only estimates, so no income is documented Listing says: Rents are estimates! · AI review
  • mediumNo rental license on file in the city's data. Ask whether the building is licensed as a rental and when it was last inspected. Public record: Minneapolis Active Rental Licenses: no record for 2623 POLK ST N E
  • mediumBought for $200,000 in Jun 2025; asking is 105% more 16 months later. Ask what was done to justify the jump. Public record: Hennepin County parcel 1202924230079: last sale 2025-06-01, $200,000
  • mediumAsking is $134,902 above the price where cash flow breaks even ($274,998) at the default scenario. Based on: Derived: price $409,900 vs. break-even $274,998
  • mediumOne furnace for two units suggests shared heat, which may mean the owner pays heating Listing says: 1 new furnace · AI review
  • mediumFlip-style renovation after a $200K purchase; quality and permits are unverified Listing says: Completely redone duplex in the popular Northeast Minneapolis neighborhood. · AI review
  • low$220 in special assessments on the current tax bill (often street, sewer or code-enforcement charges). Ask what they're for, whether they continue, and whether the seller pays them off at closing. Public record: Hennepin County parcel 1202924230079: special assessments (current) = $219.83
  • lowUnit mix is 1-bed plus 2-bed, so total rent is limited; our estimates are about $2,400 combined at mid Based on: data: rent_estimate · AI review

Opportunities

  • Long time on market: room to negotiate. Based on: Listing data: 57 days on market, 3 price cuts
  • Little near-term capex: new mechanicals, electrical, windows and kitchens Listing says: 2 new water heaters, 2 new AC units, 1 new furnace · AI review
  • No rent cap in Minneapolis, so rents can follow the market Based on: data: underwriting.rent_rule · AI review
  • Large yard and a garage give parking and storage that tenants value Listing says: Wonderful sized yard with a like new garage in the back. · AI review
  • 56 days on market gives room to negotiate Based on: data: listing.days_on_market · AI review

Questions for the agent

  • Were permits pulled for the electrical, kitchens, baths and mechanicals, and who did the work?
  • Is the building licensed as a rental in Minneapolis, and has it been inspected?
  • Is each unit separately metered and heated, or does the owner pay for the single furnace and shared utilities?
  • What do the units realistically rent for, and is there any tenant history or a pending lease?
  • What happened between the $200K June 2025 sale and this $409,900 price?
  • What are the $220 special assessments for, and will the seller pay them at closing?

Bottom line

Nicely redone duplex, but at $409,900 it loses about $718 a month on our numbers, so it only works at a far lower price. AI-assisted summary

What the records say

Where each number comes from

Property tax / yr Listinglisting, tax year 2026. The tax the listing states. If the seller lives there it may be at the lower homestead rate; an investor owner pays the non-homestead rate, often 20–40% more on the owner's unit.$4,848
Insurance / yr Estimateestimate. from units, square feet and age; get a quote$2,548
Water, sewer, trash / mo Estimateestimate. $85/unit/mo, owner-paid$170
Heat / mo Assumptionassumption. tenants pay heat; confirm with the agent$0
Lawn care / mo Assumptionassumption. $120/mo for 6 months, spread over 12; no snow removal$60
Repairs / capital reserve Rulerule. built 1900: +1 pt capital reserve8% / 9%

Price history Realtor.com

On the market since 2026-06-29 (98 days, relisted 1×); last sold for $200,000 on 2025-07-29.

DateEventPrice
Price changed$409,900
Price changed$429,900
Removed$254,900
Price changed$439,900
Listed$449,900
Removed$219,900
Removed$214,900
Removed$233,700
Sold public record$200,000
Sold public record$51,000

County record Public record

Recorded asduplex
Living units2
Year built1900
Market value (2026)$328,600
Property tax$4,848
Special assessments$220
Homesteadno
Last sale2025-06-01 · $200,000

Source: Hennepin County parcel records.

City rental license

No record in Minneapolis Active Rental Licenses.

Nearest highway

I 35W, about 1692 m away.

Crime in Audubon Park

157 incidents in the last 12 months (29 per 1,000 residents), +10% vs. the year before. Minneapolis police incidents, all reported offenses (definitions differ from St. Paul's, so don't compare across cities).