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3940 Park Ave S

Duplex · 2 units: 1 bed / 1 bath ×2 unit split estimated

Minneapolis, MN · Bryant · View the listing ↗

Far off

Photos courtesy of Mazone Real Estate Group, via Realtor.com.

Needs more info before these numbers mean much. The city's rental license covers 1 unit(s); this analysis counts 2.

Asking price
$474,000
2 units · $237K per unit
Monthly cash flow
−$1,912
at 20% down, 7%
Estimated rent
$2,300/mo
medium confidence
Break-even price
$114,735
where cash flow hits $0

Adjust the numbers See the full breakdown

First look

This is a Minneapolis up/down duplex built in 1912 with almost no description, just a 24-hour tenant notice line. At $474K, our underwriting shows about -$1,912 a month and a 1.5% cap rate. Break-even is around $115K, so the price doesn't work as a rental at today's rates. The listing has been up 316 days, so the seller may move, but even a big cut leaves a gap. The owner appears to occupy a unit or has an exempt license, and the city license covers only one unit. Check the license, the real rents and the boiler before spending time on a showing.

Things to consider

  1. Price is far above what the rents support The break-even price is about $115K against a $474K ask, so cash flow is deeply negative even with a large cut.
  2. License covers 1 unit, not 2 An unlicensed second unit can hurt financing, insurance and the ability to legally collect rent.
  3. Tier 2 license means more violations than typical Expect more frequent inspections and possible repair orders, which raise costs.
  4. Rents are unknown The listing gives no rents or lease terms. Our estimate is about $1,150 per 1-bed, so verify actual income first.
  5. Seller has held the property a long time and it has sat on the market The 2002 purchase at $335K and 316 days listed point to room to negotiate, though the gap to break-even is huge.

From the photos

Listing photo 1
1 of 8Check

Stucco exterior appears intact from the front, with a tall front stoop and concrete steps. Check the stucco for cracks and moisture.

Listing photo 3
2 of 8Check

Rear has a window air conditioner and a separate back entrance, which suggests units with separate access. Confirm the entrances and unit layout.

Listing photo 7
3 of 8Check

Bathroom has a modern tub surround and toilet, but the finishes look mixed and partly dated. Appears refreshed rather than fully renovated.

Listing photo 9
4 of 8Concern

Basement laundry room has peeling paint on the walls and a bare concrete floor, which suggests past moisture. Ask about water intrusion.

Listing photo 9
5 of 8Plus

Electrical panel appears to be a breaker box in the basement utility area, not fuses. Confirm the amperage and age.

Listing photo 6
6 of 8Concern

Bedroom has older carpet and trim. Interior finishes look dated, so budget for updates at turnover.

Listing photo 1
7 of 8Check

No photos of kitchens, boiler or roof. These are the big-ticket items.

Listing photo 5
8 of 8Plus

Rear driveway slab with a detached garage appears to be present, giving some off-street parking.

Based on 10 of the listing photos. Photos can hide as much as they show; an inspection is the real answer.

AI-assisted first read of the listing description and photos (Claude), checked against public records. Every rent and repair above quotes the listing; verify with the agent, leases and an inspection.

The numbers

Down payment %
Offer $
Management
Interest rate %
Edit rents, costs and assumptions

Default: 20% down (no PMI), offer at asking, self-managed, 7.00% for 30 years, buyer pays closing costs (3%).

The deal

Price
$474,000
Cash to close
$109,020
Price per unit
$237,000
GRM
17.2

Each month

Cash flow
−$1,912/mo
Cash-on-cash
−21.0%
Cap rate
1.5%
DSCR
0.24×

Break-even

Price that breaks even
$114,735
Rent that breaks even
$4,783/mo

Long run

Year 30: property vs stocks
$1.08M vs $2.85M
Cash flow turns positive
not within 30 years

Monthly

Monthly breakdown

Rent$2,300
Vacancy (6%)−$138
Collected$2,162
Property tax Listing−$720
Insurance Estimate−$211
Water, sewer, trash Estimate−$170
Lawn care ($120 × 6 mo ÷ 12)−$60
Repairs (8% of rent)−$184
Capital reserve (9% of rent)−$207
Net operating income$611
Mortgage (principal + interest)−$2,523
Cash flow−$1,912
Principal paid down (equity, not cash)$321

Cash flow each year

Rents +3%/yr, costs +3.5%/yr. Red bars are months you'd cover out of pocket.

30 years

How those totals add up

If you buy this building$1,081,491
Your equity when you sell
$1,081,491

Sells for $1,150,522 (value up 3% a year), minus 6% selling cost ($69,031). Rent paid down $379,200 of loan.

Rental profits, invested at 7%
$0

$0 of cash flow over 30 years, plus what it earned invested.

Same money in stocks$2,846,550
Cash to close, invested at 7%
$829,888

$109,020 put into an index fund instead of the down payment and closing costs.

Monthly shortfalls, invested
$2,016,662

$615,939 you'd have paid in while the building lost money, invested instead.

Stocks come out $1,765,059 ahead after 30 years.

Future dollars. At 3% inflation, divide year-30 figures by about 2.4 for today's buying power. Rental profits are assumed invested, not spent.

30 years: this property vs. the same money in stocks

This propertyStocks at 7%

Year 30 (loan paid off): property $1.08M, stocks $2.85M. Stocks win.

Comparable rentals

Nearby rentals RentCast matched to each unit type, as of 2026-10-05. The estimate above is RentCast's, weighted toward the closest matches.

1 bed / 1 bath estimate $1,150/mo · range $1,075–$1,225

AddressRentBd / BaSq ftDistanceListedMatch
4106 Chicago Ave S, Unit 7, Minneapolis 55407 $1,099 1 / 1 640 0.2 mi 2026-10-03 100%
4106 Chicago Airbnb Ave S, Unit 9, Minneapolis 55407 $1,349 1 / 1 1,000 0.2 mi 2026-10-04 100%
4106 Chicago Ave S, Unit 5, Minneapolis 55407 $1,099 1 / 1 768 0.2 mi 2026-10-04 100%
4106 Chicago Ave S, Minneapolis 55407 $1,099 1 / 1 640 0.2 mi 2024-08-06 100%
4112 Chicago Ave S, Minneapolis 55407 $1,199 1 / 1 780 0.2 mi 2025-01-31 100%
4112 Chicago Ave S, Unit 7, Minneapolis 55407 $1,199 1 / 1 780 0.2 mi 2026-10-04 100%
4106 Chicago Ave S, Unit 8, Minneapolis 55407 off market $1,099 1 / 1 640 0.2 mi 2026-07-12 100%
4112 Chicago Ave S, Unit 3, Minneapolis 55407 off market $1,099 1 / 1 640 0.2 mi 2026-06-23 99%
4112 Chicago Ave S, Unit 8, Minneapolis 55407 off market $1,145 1 / 1 640 0.2 mi 2026-05-14 99%
4106 Chicago Ave S, Unit 6, Minneapolis 55407 off market $1,099 1 / 1 768 0.2 mi 2026-02-21 99%

On the maps, this property and comparable rentals. Comparable rentals and rent estimate: RentCast. Rents are asking rents from listings; check them against the actual leases.

Red flags and opportunities

Watch for

  • highThe city's rental license covers 1 unit(s); this analysis counts 2. Public record: Minneapolis Active Rental Licenses: 3940 PARK AVE, units=1
  • highRental license shows one unit, not two. Confirm both units are legal and licensed. Based on: data: city.rental_license · AI review
  • mediumRental license Tier 2: the city has flagged more violations than typical; expect more frequent inspections and repair orders. Public record: Minneapolis Active Rental Licenses: 3940 PARK AVE, grade/tier=Tier 2, status=Active
  • mediumAsking is $359,265 above the price where cash flow breaks even ($114,735) at the default scenario. Based on: Derived: price $474,000 vs. break-even $114,735
  • mediumTax bill is the homestead rate. An investor will likely pay a higher non-homestead bill. Based on: data: county.homestead · AI review
  • lowBasement finished space with exposed pipes and peeling paint in the utility area. Check moisture and whether it counts as legal living space. Based on: photo 9 · AI review

Opportunities

  • Long time on market: room to negotiate. Based on: Listing data: 319 days on market
  • 316 days on market suggests the seller may accept a much lower offer. Based on: data: listing.days_on_market · AI review
  • No rent cap in Minneapolis, so rents can follow the market after any updates. Based on: data: underwriting.rent_rule · AI review

Questions for the agent

  • What are the current rents, lease end dates and are tenants month-to-month?
  • Is the owner living in one unit? If so, which one will be vacant at closing?
  • Why does the city license cover only 1 unit, and what were the Tier 2 violations?
  • How old are the boiler, roof and electrical panel, and do the units have separate meters?
  • Who pays heat and water, and what were the last 12 months of utility bills?
  • Has the price been cut, and what offers have come in?

Bottom line

At $474K this duplex loses about $1,900 a month on our numbers, so it only works at a drastically lower price. AI-assisted summary

What the records say

Where each number comes from

Property tax / yr Listinglisting, tax year 2025. The tax the listing states. If the seller lives there it may be at the lower homestead rate; an investor owner pays the non-homestead rate, often 20–40% more on the owner's unit.$8,634
Insurance / yr Estimateestimate. from units, square feet and age; get a quote$2,530
Water, sewer, trash / mo Estimateestimate. $85/unit/mo, owner-paid$170
Heat / mo Assumptionassumption. tenants pay heat; confirm with the agent$0
Lawn care / mo Assumptionassumption. $120/mo for 6 months, spread over 12; no snow removal$60
Repairs / capital reserve Rulerule. built 1912: +1 pt capital reserve8% / 9%

Price history Realtor.com

On the market since 2025-11-20 (319 days); down $15,900 (3.2%) from the first ask of $489,900; last sold for $335,000 on 2002-03-06.

DateEventPrice
Price changed$474,000
Price changed$475,000
Listed$489,900
Sold public record$335,000
Sold public record$94,900

County record Public record

Recorded asduplex
Living units2
Year built1912
Market value (2026)$435,100
Property tax$6,632
Special assessmentsnone
Homesteadno
Last sale2002-02-01 · $335,000

Source: Hennepin County parcel records.

City rental license

CHOWNEXMPT: 1 unit(s), Tier 2, status active, renews 2027-03-01.

Nearest highway

I 35W, about 712 m away.

Crime in Bryant

100 incidents in the last 12 months (35 per 1,000 residents), −31% vs. the year before. Minneapolis police incidents, all reported offenses (definitions differ from St. Paul's, so don't compare across cities).