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435 Madison St NE

Duplex · 2 units: 2 bed / 1 bath ×2 unit split estimated · 2,190 sq ft

Minneapolis, MN · St. Anthony East · View the listing ↗

Far off

Photos, via Realtor.com.

Asking price
$450,000
2 units · $225K per unit
Monthly cash flow
−$1,328
at 20% down, 7%
Estimated rent
$2,900/mo
medium confidence · 8 rentals within 0.75 mi
Break-even price
$200,520
where cash flow hits $0

Adjust the numbers See the full breakdown

First look

This is a 1968 brick-and-stucco duplex with two 2-bed/1-bath units, and at $450K it doesn't work as a pure rental. Our underwriting shows about -$1,328 a month and a 2.85% cap rate, and rents around $1,450 per unit can't carry that price. The listing gives no rents, lease status or expenses, so ask for the rent roll first. The photos show tidy but dated units with separate furnaces and separate laundry, which is a plus. It only makes sense as an owner-occupied buy at a much lower price, or after a big cut. Don't spend a showing unless the price moves.

Things to consider

  1. Price is far above what the rents support At $450K and about $1,450 per unit, cash flow is deeply negative and the cap rate is under 3%. Only a much lower price or owner occupancy works.
  2. No rent roll or lease data Without actual rents you're relying on our estimates. Verify income and lease status before any offer.Listing says: “Whether you're looking to live in one unit and rent the other”
  3. Property taxes are heavy at the investor rate Non-homestead tax is about $9,230 a year, a large drag on net income.
  4. Dated kitchens and baths Original-looking cabinets and bath fixtures mean you should budget for updates before pushing rents.From photo 5
  5. Seller has a big equity cushion They bought at $195K in 2010 and can accept a sizable cut.

From the photos

Listing photo 1
1 of 8Plus

Brick-and-stucco exterior looks sound with no obvious damage, and the building has two entrances/front doors area visible.

Listing photo 5
2 of 8Concern

Kitchen has original-looking wood cabinets, laminate counters and sheet flooring. Newer stainless gas range and fridge. Functional but dated.

Listing photo 7
3 of 8Concern

Bathroom appears original, with older tile, a wall-hung sink and a tub. Budget for a refresh if you want higher rents.

Listing photo 2
4 of 8Plus

Living areas have newer-looking vinyl plank flooring and fresh paint, so move-in condition appears fine.

Listing photo 8
5 of 8Check

Basement shows two separate furnaces with ductwork, which suggests separate heat per unit. Ask their ages.

Listing photo 9
6 of 8Check

Basement has two electrical panels and a gas water heater, with laundry hookups. Panels look like breaker types, but confirm amperage and age.

Listing photo 3
7 of 8Concern

A window air conditioner is in the wall, so central AC appears absent in at least one unit.

Listing photo 1
8 of 8Check

Photos show only one unit's interior. Nothing shows the second unit, the roof or the garage/parking.

Based on 10 of the listing photos. Photos can hide as much as they show; an inspection is the real answer.

AI-assisted first read of the listing description and photos (Claude), checked against public records. Every rent and repair above quotes the listing; verify with the agent, leases and an inspection.

The numbers

Down payment %
Offer $
Management
Interest rate %
Edit rents, costs and assumptions

Default: 20% down (no PMI), offer at asking, self-managed, 7.00% for 30 years, buyer pays closing costs (3%).

The deal

Price
$450,000
Cash to close
$103,500
Price per unit
$225,000
GRM
12.9

Each month

Cash flow
−$1,328/mo
Cash-on-cash
−15.4%
Cap rate
2.8%
DSCR
0.45×

Break-even

Price that breaks even
$200,520
Rent that breaks even
$4,602/mo

Long run

Year 30: property vs stocks
$1.03M vs $1.95M
Cash flow turns positive
not within 30 years

Monthly

Monthly breakdown

Rent$2,900
Vacancy (6%)−$174
Collected$2,726
Property tax Public record−$769
Insurance Estimate−$196
Water, sewer, trash Estimate−$170
Lawn care ($120 × 6 mo ÷ 12)−$60
Repairs (8% of rent)−$232
Capital reserve (8% of rent)−$232
Net operating income$1,067
Mortgage (principal + interest)−$2,395
Cash flow−$1,328
Principal paid down (equity, not cash)$305

Cash flow each year

Rents +3%/yr, costs +3.5%/yr. Red bars are months you'd cover out of pocket.

30 years

How those totals add up

If you buy this building$1,026,732
Your equity when you sell
$1,026,732

Sells for $1,092,268 (value up 3% a year), minus 6% selling cost ($65,536). Rent paid down $360,000 of loan.

Rental profits, invested at 7%
$0

$0 of cash flow over 30 years, plus what it earned invested.

Same money in stocks$1,952,691
Cash to close, invested at 7%
$787,868

$103,500 put into an index fund instead of the down payment and closing costs.

Monthly shortfalls, invested
$1,164,822

$310,959 you'd have paid in while the building lost money, invested instead.

Stocks come out $925,959 ahead after 30 years.

Future dollars. At 3% inflation, divide year-30 figures by about 2.4 for today's buying power. Rental profits are assumed invested, not spent.

30 years: this property vs. the same money in stocks

This propertyStocks at 7%

Year 30 (loan paid off): property $1.03M, stocks $1.95M. Stocks win.

Comparable rentals

The closest rental listings with each unit's bedroom count, as of 2026-10-06. The estimate is the median asking rent of every rental we found nearby (the count is shown for each); houses are left out. Asking rents from Realtor.com rental listings, not signed leases.

2 bed estimate $1,450/mo · range $1,375–$1,550 · 8 rentals within 0.75 mi

AddressRentBd / BaSq ftDistanceListedType
635 Adams St NE, Minneapolis $1,360 2 / 1 900 0.2 mi 2026-07-07 Apartment
633 Van Buren St NE, Minneapolis $1,720 2 / 1 660 0.3 mi 2026-05-04 Apartment
319 8th St SE, Minneapolis $1,395 2 / 1 — 0.4 mi 2024-04-19 Apartment
744 Polk St NE, Minneapolis $1,399 2 / 1 900 0.5 mi 2025-12-03 Apartment
410 6th St SE, Minneapolis $1,500 2 / 1 800 0.5 mi 2025-11-26 Apartment
621 5th Ave SE, Minneapolis $1,200 2 / 1 — 0.5 mi 2024-04-15 Apartment
720 6th Ave SE, Minneapolis $1,300 2 / 1 — 0.6 mi 2024-05-18 Apartment
1460 Van Buren St NE, Minneapolis $1,361 2 / 1 1,057 0.7 mi 2026-07-30 Apartment

On the maps, this property and comparable rentals. Comparable rentals and rent estimate: Realtor.com rental listings. Rents are asking rents from listings; check them against the actual leases.

Red flags and opportunities

Watch for

  • highNo rents, lease terms or occupancy are given, so income can't be verified. Listing says: Whether you're looking to live in one unit and rent the other · AI review
  • mediumAsking is $249,480 above the price where cash flow breaks even ($200,520) at the default scenario. Based on: Derived: price $450,000 vs. break-even $200,520
  • mediumTaxes are high at the non-homestead rate and eat much of the rent. Based on: data: county.tax · AI review
  • lowListed 52 days with no stated rents. Ask whether there's a price history or tenant issue. Based on: data: listing.days_on_market · AI review

Opportunities

  • The seller bought for $195,000 in Jan 2010, so they can take a lower offer and still come out well ahead. Public record: Hennepin County parcel 1402924430026: last sale 2010-01-01, $195,000
  • Separate laundry per unit supports rent and tenant appeal. Separate furnaces suggest tenants may pay their own heat. Listing says: each unit has its own private laundry, adding convenience for both owner-occupants and tenants · AI review
  • Minneapolis has no rent cap, so rents can follow the market after any refresh. Based on: data: underwriting.rent_rule · AI review
  • Seller's low 2010 basis leaves room to negotiate hard. Based on: data: county.last_sale_price · AI review

Questions for the agent

  • What are the current rents, lease end dates and security deposits for each unit?
  • Is either unit owner-occupied or vacant today, and who pays heat, water and trash?
  • What is the age of the roof, furnaces, water heaters and electrical panels?
  • Are the two furnaces and meters fully separate for each unit?
  • What did the last 12 months of taxes, insurance and repairs cost?
  • Has the price changed since listing, and why is it priced this far above the rent-supported value?

Bottom line

Clean, separately metered-looking brick duplex, but $450K is far above what two roughly $1,450 rents can support, so it's an owner-occupant play or needs a big price cut. AI-assisted summary

What the records say

Where each number comes from

Property tax / yr Public recordHennepin County record, current payable year (non-homestead)$9,230
Insurance / yr Estimateestimate. from units, square feet and age; get a quote$2,348
Water, sewer, trash / mo Estimateestimate. $85/unit/mo, owner-paid$170
Heat / mo Assumptionassumption. tenants pay heat; confirm with the agent$0
Lawn care / mo Assumptionassumption. $120/mo for 6 months, spread over 12; no snow removal$60
Repairs / capital reserve Rulerule. base rate8% / 8%

Price history Realtor.com

On the market since 2026-08-14 (52 days); last sold for $195,000 on 2010-01-29.

DateEventPrice
Listed$450,000
Sold$195,000
Listed$224,500

County record Public record

Recorded asduplex
Living units2
Year built1968
Market value (2026)$486,000
Property tax$9,230
Special assessmentsnone
Homesteadno
Last sale2010-01-01 · $195,000

Source: Hennepin County parcel records.

City rental license

CHOWN: 2 unit(s), Tier 1, status active, renews 2027-03-01.

Nearest highway

I 35W, about 1154 m away.

Crime in St. Anthony East

98 incidents in the last 12 months (45 per 1,000 residents), +18% vs. the year before. Minneapolis police incidents, all reported offenses (definitions differ from St. Paul's, so don't compare across cities).