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5405-07 Central Pl

Duplex · 2 units: 2 bed / 1 bath ×2 · 1,700 sq ft

Duluth, MN · View the listing ↗

Overpriced

Photos, via Realtor.com.

Asking price
$325,000
2 units · $162K per unit
Monthly cash flow
−$540
at 20% down, 7%
Estimated rent
$2,450/mo
low confidence · 6 rentals within 2.5 mi
Break-even price
$223,606
where cash flow hits $0

Adjust the numbers See the full breakdown

First look

This is a 2-unit up/down in Duluth at $325K with the owner living downstairs, so the only documented income is the $1,750 upper rent. That is well above our $1,225 mid estimate for a 2-bed, which makes it the first number to verify with a lease and proof of payment. Our underwriting shows about -$540/month and a 4.4% cap rate, with break-even near $223.6K, so at this price it only works as an owner-occupied buy, not a pure investment. Separate utilities and new furnaces and windows are real positives, but the photos show dated kitchens and the 'handicap accessible' claim is unexplained. Worth a showing only if the upper lease checks out and the seller will move on price.

Things to consider

  1. Price is far above break-even Our underwriting shows negative cash flow of about $540/month and a 4.4% cap rate. At today's rates, this only works if you live in one unit and negotiate down.
  2. Upper rent is well above our estimate If the $1,750 rent is above market, it may drop at turnover and hurt value. Verify the lease and payment history.Listing says: “Currently the upper unit is rented for $1,750, and the owner lives in the bottom unit.”
  3. Recent capital work reduces near-term risk New furnaces, water heater and windows lower big-ticket exposure in a 1900 building and help with heating costs.Listing says: “(2020) 2 new furnaces, new water heater too.”
  4. Kitchens look dated Updating them may be needed to reach top-of-market rent, which adds cost on top of the high price.From photo 8
  5. Separate utilities help the expense side Tenants paying their own utilities keeps owner costs lower and avoids billing-back issues.Listing says: “all of the utilities are separate so tenants can and do pay their fair share!”

From the photos

Listing photo 1
1 of 8Plus

Exterior is two-story with dark painted siding and a small shared front stoop with two doors, consistent with an up/down duplex. Siding looks fresh but the type is unclear.

Listing photo 2
2 of 8Plus

Living area has luxury vinyl plank flooring and painted walls; it appears to be a recent cosmetic refresh.

Listing photo 5
3 of 8Concern

Kitchen has white cabinets, laminate counters and basic appliances that appear dated; budget for an update before pushing rents.

Listing photo 8
4 of 8Concern

Second kitchen has oak cabinets, laminate counters and vinyl plank flooring; it looks dated and the space is cluttered.

Listing photo 7
5 of 8Concern

Upstairs-style living room has carpet that appears worn, unlike the vinyl plank in the other unit.

Listing photo 6
6 of 8Plus

Bathroom has a tiled walk-in style shower and a newer vanity; it appears updated.

Listing photo 1
7 of 8Check

No photos of the basement, furnaces, water heater, electrical panel or roof, so mechanical condition can't be judged.

Listing photo 10
8 of 8Check

Fenced backyard with a deck and a detached garage-type building next door; unclear whether parking or a garage belongs to this property.

Based on 10 of the listing photos. Photos can hide as much as they show; an inspection is the real answer.

Rents the listing states

  • Upper unit: $1,750Listing says: Currently the upper unit is rented for $1,750, and the owner lives in the bottom unit.

Condition and repairs

  • done2 new furnaces and new water heater (2020)Listing says: (2020) 2 new furnaces, new water heater too.
  • done19 new double hung Parco windows (2025)Listing says: (2025) 19 new double hung Parco Windows, Cosmetic updates on the units, and more!!!

AI-assisted first read of the listing description and photos (Claude), checked against public records. Every rent and repair above quotes the listing; verify with the agent, leases and an inspection.

The numbers

Down payment %
Offer $
Management
Interest rate %
Edit rents, costs and assumptions

Default: 20% down (no PMI), offer at asking, self-managed, 7.00% for 30 years, buyer pays closing costs (3%).

The deal

Price
$325,000
Cash to close
$74,750
Price per unit
$162,500
GRM
11.1

Each month

Cash flow
−$540/mo
Cash-on-cash
−8.7%
Cap rate
4.4%
DSCR
0.69×

Break-even

Price that breaks even
$223,606
Rent that breaks even
$3,151/mo

Long run

Year 30: property vs stocks
$845K vs $847K
Cash flow turns positive
year 16

Monthly

Monthly breakdown

Rent$2,450
Vacancy (6%)−$147
Collected$2,303
Property tax Listing−$262
Insurance Estimate−$204
Water, sewer, trash Estimate−$170
Lawn care ($120 × 6 mo ÷ 12)−$60
Repairs (8% of rent)−$196
Capital reserve (9% of rent)−$220
Net operating income$1,190
Mortgage (principal + interest)−$1,730
Cash flow−$540
Principal paid down (equity, not cash)$220

Cash flow each year

Rents +3%/yr, costs +3.5%/yr. Red bars are months you'd cover out of pocket.

30 years

How those totals add up

If you buy this building$845,456
Your equity when you sell
$741,528

Sells for $788,860 (value up 3% a year), minus 6% selling cost ($47,332). Rent paid down $260,000 of loan.

Rental profits, invested at 7%
$103,927

$74,468 of cash flow over 30 years, plus what it earned invested.

Same money in stocks$846,599
Cash to close, invested at 7%
$569,016

$74,750 put into an index fund instead of the down payment and closing costs.

Monthly shortfalls, invested
$277,583

$51,564 you'd have paid in while the building lost money, invested instead.

Stocks come out $1,143 ahead after 30 years.

Future dollars. At 3% inflation, divide year-30 figures by about 2.4 for today's buying power. Rental profits are assumed invested, not spent.

30 years: this property vs. the same money in stocks

This propertyStocks at 7%

Year 30 (loan paid off): property $845K, stocks $847K. Stocks win.

Comparable rentals

The closest rental listings with each unit's bedroom count, as of 2026-10-06. The estimate is the median asking rent of every rental we found nearby (the count is shown for each); houses are left out. Asking rents from Realtor.com rental listings, not signed leases.

2 bed estimate $1,225/mo · range $1,125–$1,500 · 6 rentals within 2.5 mi

AddressRentBd / BaSq ftDistanceListedType
606 N 60th Ave W, Duluth $1,300 2 / 1 1,120 0.4 mi 2026-06-16 Apartment
5402 Ramsey St, Duluth $1,950 2 / 2 1,174 0.4 mi 2025-01-03 Apartment
3015 Restormel St, Duluth $775 2 / 1 850 1.6 mi 2026-09-03 Apartment
2821 Wicklow St, Duluth $1,200 2 / 1 760 1.8 mi 2025-07-03 Apartment
2705 W 2nd St, Duluth $1,195 2 / 1 685 1.9 mi 2026-09-09 Duplex triplex
313 N 21st Ave, West Duluth $1,195 2 / 1 700 2.5 mi 2026-07-14 Duplex triplex

On the maps, this property and comparable rentals. Comparable rentals and rent estimate: Realtor.com rental listings. Rents are asking rents from listings; check them against the actual leases.

Red flags and opportunities

Watch for

  • mediumAsking is $101,394 above the price where cash flow breaks even ($223,606) at the default scenario. Based on: Derived: price $325,000 vs. break-even $223,606
  • mediumOnly one unit is rented and the lower unit is owner-occupied, so there is no rent history for it and income is unproven. Listing says: Currently the upper unit is rented for $1,750, and the owner lives in the bottom unit. · AI review
  • mediumUpper rent of $1,750 is about 43% above our $1,225 mid estimate for a 2-bed; it may not hold at turnover. Based on: data: rent_estimate · AI review
  • lowVague 'handicap accessible' claim with no detail; the photos show entry steps, so check what that means in practice. Listing says: The property provides versatile options, handicap accessible. · AI review

Opportunities

  • Owner-occupy one unit and rent the other, which fits the numbers better than a pure investment. Listing says: Ideal for owner occupancy with rental income or as a full investment property. · AI review
  • Separate utilities mean tenants pay their own, keeping owner expenses low. Listing says: all of the utilities are separate so tenants can and do pay their fair share! · AI review
  • Unfinished basement with laundry could add storage or shared-laundry value. Listing says: a full unfinished basement with laundry too · AI review

Questions for the agent

  • Can I see the upper lease, its end date, and proof of $1,750 payments?
  • What would the lower unit rent for, and is it the same layout as the upper?
  • What does 'handicap accessible' mean here: ramp, entry, bathroom?
  • Is the building licensed as a 2-unit rental with the city, and when was it last inspected?
  • What were the 2025 'cosmetic updates', and were the window and furnace jobs permitted?
  • What are the average annual utility costs for each unit, and are the meters truly separate?

Bottom line

Fine as an owner-occupant buy with new windows and furnaces, but at $325K it runs negative as a pure rental unless the $1,750 upper rent is real and holds. AI-assisted summary

What the records say

Where each number comes from

Property tax / yr Listinglisting, tax year 2026. The tax the listing states. If the seller lives there it may be at the lower homestead rate; an investor owner pays the non-homestead rate, often 20–40% more on the owner's unit.$3,149
Insurance / yr Estimateestimate. from units, square feet and age; get a quote$2,448
Water, sewer, trash / mo Estimateestimate. $85/unit/mo, owner-paid$170
Heat / mo Assumptionassumption. tenants pay heat; confirm with the agent$0
Lawn care / mo Assumptionassumption. $120/mo for 6 months, spread over 12; no snow removal$60
Repairs / capital reserve Rulerule. built 1900: +1 pt capital reserve8% / 9%

Price history Realtor.com

On the market since 2026-10-05 (1 days); last sold for $162,297 on 2020-01-07.

DateEventPrice
Listed$325,000
Sold public record$162,297

From the listing Listing

Listed asduplex
Property tax, 2026$3,149
CountySt. Louis County
Parcel number010-4520-15440

As the listing states it (NorthstarMLS, via Realtor.com). We don't have county records here yet; check the tax, homestead status and special assessments with the county.

Crime, rental-license and vacant-building records are only available for St. Paul and Minneapolis so far. Check with Duluth on rental licensing before you buy.