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5820 Nicollet Ave

Duplex · 2 units: 2 bed / 1 bath ×2 unit split estimated · 1,998 sq ft

Minneapolis, MN · Windom · View the listing ↗

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Photos, via Realtor.com.

Asking price
$430,000
2 units · $215K per unit
Monthly cash flow
−$439
at 20% down, 7%
Estimated rent
$3,600/mo
medium confidence
Break-even price
$347,542
where cash flow hits $0

Adjust the numbers See the full breakdown

First look

This is a side-by-side Minneapolis duplex with two mirror-image 2-bed units, asking $430K after 141 days on market. Our rent estimate is about $1,800 per unit, and even the old $1,860 rent on 5820 doesn't close the gap: at ask we model -$439/month and a 5.2% cap rate, with break-even near $348K. The updates look real in the photos (new siding, roof, kitchens, separate furnaces), so condition is not the problem. Price is. Only one unit's rent is known, and that unit is being delivered vacant for an owner-occupant, so ask for the other unit's lease and rent first. Not worth a showing as an investment unless the seller moves well below ask.

Things to consider

  1. Price is far above what rents support At ask we model -$439/month and a 5.2% cap rate. Break-even is around $348K.
  2. Only one rent is known and that unit is vacant We don't know the other unit's rent or lease, so the income is mostly our estimate of $1,800 per unit.Listing says: “5820 is currently vacant to allow for an owner occupant as of 06/30, previous rent was $1860.”
  3. Recent updates reduce repair risk New roof, siding and kitchens lower near-term capex, so reserves can be lean, but get dates and permits.Listing says: “Upgrades totaling over $100,000 include renovated kitchens and bathrooms, new siding, roof, gutters, sewer liner, and more.”
  4. Taxes are billed as non-homestead Tax is $6,439 on a county market value of $340K, well below the ask. A sale at $430K could push the assessment up.
  5. Long time on market gives leverage 141 days listed suggests the market doesn't accept this price. A much lower offer is plausible.
  6. Separate systems let tenants pay their own utilities Separate furnaces keep owner utility costs low, which helps net income.Listing says: “Each side is equipped with central air conditioning and its own furnace.”

From the photos

Listing photo 1
1 of 7Plus

Siding and shingle roof appear newer and in good shape; matches the described updates.

Listing photo 2
2 of 7Plus

Two front doors with two address numbers, and steep front steps with railings; confirms two entrances.

Listing photo 6
3 of 7Plus

Kitchen has granite counters, stainless appliances and a gas range; the cabinets look older but are painted and clean.

Listing photo 7
4 of 7Plus

Vinyl plank floors in the kitchen and hardwood elsewhere appear in good condition; finishes look rental-grade.

Listing photo 3
5 of 7Check

Living room photos are staged with furniture, so the condition of the walls and floors in use is hard to judge.

Listing photo 10
6 of 7Plus

Upstairs bedroom has sanded and refinished hardwood and a closet, and appears to be a true bedroom.

Listing photo 1
7 of 7Check

No photos of the basement, furnaces, water heaters, electrical panels, bathrooms or the second unit; check all of these in person.

Based on 10 of the listing photos. Photos can hide as much as they show; an inspection is the real answer.

Rents the listing states

  • 5820: $1,860 (vacant)Listing says: 5820 is currently vacant to allow for an owner occupant as of 06/30, previous rent was $1860.

Condition and repairs

  • doneRenovated kitchens and bathroomsListing says: Upgrades totaling over $100,000 include renovated kitchens and bathrooms, new siding, roof, gutters, sewer liner, and more.
  • doneNew siding, roof, gutters, sewer linerListing says: new siding, roof, gutters, sewer liner, and more

AI-assisted first read of the listing description and photos (Claude), checked against public records. Every rent and repair above quotes the listing; verify with the agent, leases and an inspection.

The numbers

Down payment %
Offer $
Management
Interest rate %
Edit rents, costs and assumptions

Default: 20% down (no PMI), offer at asking, self-managed, 7.00% for 30 years, buyer pays closing costs (3%).

The deal

Price
$430,000
Cash to close
$98,900
Price per unit
$215,000
GRM
10.0

Each month

Cash flow
−$439/mo
Cash-on-cash
−5.3%
Cap rate
5.2%
DSCR
0.81×

Break-even

Price that breaks even
$347,542
Rent that breaks even
$4,163/mo

Long run

Year 30: property vs stocks
$1.32M vs $901K
Cash flow turns positive
year 9

Monthly

Monthly breakdown

Rent$3,600
Vacancy (6%)−$216
Collected$3,384
Property tax Public record−$537
Insurance Estimate−$192
Water, sewer, trash Estimate−$170
Lawn care ($120 × 6 mo ÷ 12)−$60
Repairs (8% of rent)−$288
Capital reserve (8% of rent)−$288
Net operating income$1,850
Mortgage (principal + interest)−$2,289
Cash flow−$439
Principal paid down (equity, not cash)$291

Cash flow each year

Rents +3%/yr, costs +3.5%/yr. Red bars are months you'd cover out of pocket.

30 years

How those totals add up

If you buy this building$1,323,745
Your equity when you sell
$981,100

Sells for $1,043,723 (value up 3% a year), minus 6% selling cost ($62,623). Rent paid down $344,000 of loan.

Rental profits, invested at 7%
$342,646

$209,747 of cash flow over 30 years, plus what it earned invested.

Same money in stocks$900,681
Cash to close, invested at 7%
$752,852

$98,900 put into an index fund instead of the down payment and closing costs.

Monthly shortfalls, invested
$147,829

$24,157 you'd have paid in while the building lost money, invested instead.

The building comes out $423,064 ahead after 30 years.

Future dollars. At 3% inflation, divide year-30 figures by about 2.4 for today's buying power. Rental profits are assumed invested, not spent.

30 years: this property vs. the same money in stocks

This propertyStocks at 7%

Year 30 (loan paid off): property $1.32M, stocks $901K. The property wins.

Comparable rentals

Nearby rentals RentCast matched to each unit type, as of 2026-10-05. The estimate above is RentCast's, weighted toward the closest matches.

2 bed / 1 bath estimate $1,800/mo · range $1,600–$2,025

AddressRentBd / BaSq ftDistanceListedMatch
7100 Chicago Ave, Richfield 55423 off market $1,350 2 / 1 — 1.7 mi 2026-04-15 91%
4642 Bloomington Ave S, Minneapolis 55407 $1,695 2 / 1 — 1.9 mi 2026-08-04 91%
5704 Chicago Ave, Minneapolis 55417 off market $1,860 2 / 2 — 0.8 mi 2026-08-19 88%
4536 Grand Ave S, Minneapolis 55419 off market $2,095 2 / 1 1,200 1.6 mi 2026-04-02 88%
4436 Grand Ave S, Minneapolis 55419 off market $1,650 2 / 1 1,200 1.7 mi 2026-06-02 88%
4815-4817 Columbus Ave, Minneapolis 55417 off market $1,750 2 / 1 1,100 1.5 mi 2026-07-18 87%
4817 Columbus Ave, Minneapolis 55417 off market $1,750 2 / 1 1,100 1.5 mi 2026-08-02 87%
4815 Nicollet Ave, Minneapolis 55419 off market $1,795 2 / 1 1,000 1.3 mi 2026-01-13 86%
5544 Chicago Ave S, Minneapolis 55417 off market $1,350 2 / 1 900 0.8 mi 2026-07-29 86%
4610 Bryant Ave S, Minneapolis 55419 $1,365 2 / 1 1,000 1.7 mi 2025-04-24 86%

On the maps, this property and comparable rentals. Comparable rentals and rent estimate: RentCast. Rents are asking rents from listings; check them against the actual leases.

Red flags and opportunities

Watch for

  • mediumVacant unit is being held for an owner-occupant, so the listing may favor a buyer who lives there, not an investor Listing says: 5820 is currently vacant to allow for an owner occupant as of 06/30 · AI review
  • mediumOther unit's rent and lease status are not stated Listing says: Both units mirror each other and have been updated throughout the years. · AI review
  • low$68 in special assessments on the current tax bill (often street, sewer or code-enforcement charges). Ask what they're for, whether they continue, and whether the seller pays them off at closing. Public record: Hennepin County parcel 2202824310121: special assessments (current) = $67.61
  • lowHighway about 264 m away; noise may affect rents and resale Based on: data: highway · AI review

Opportunities

  • Long time on market: room to negotiate. Based on: Listing data: 144 days on market
  • Recent updates mean low near-term capex and a fair chance of landing at market rent Listing says: Upgrades totaling over $100,000 include renovated kitchens and bathrooms, new siding, roof, gutters, sewer liner, and more. · AI review
  • Separate furnaces and central air mean tenants can pay their own heat Listing says: Each side is equipped with central air conditioning and its own furnace. · AI review
  • Unfinished basement could add storage or finished space Listing says: the unfinished basement provides laundry, utilities, storage, and potential for additional use or customization · AI review
  • Seller has had no takers for 141 days, so there is room to negotiate Based on: data: listing.days_on_market · AI review

Questions for the agent

  • What rent does 5822 pay now, and what is the lease status and end date?
  • Why was 5820 rented at $1,860, and does that match the current market?
  • What are the $68 in special assessments for, and who pays them at closing?
  • Can you document the $100K of upgrades with permits, dates and the roof age?
  • Is the basement laundry shared or does each unit have its own, and what do tenants pay for utilities?
  • Why is the price still $430K after 141 days, and has it been cut?

Bottom line

Nicely updated duplex, but $430K is about $82K above what the rents support, so it only works at a meaningful discount. AI-assisted summary

What the records say

Where each number comes from

Property tax / yr Public recordHennepin County record, current payable year (non-homestead)$6,439
Insurance / yr Estimateestimate. from units, square feet and age; get a quote$2,300
Water, sewer, trash / mo Estimateestimate. $85/unit/mo, owner-paid$170
Heat / mo Assumptionassumption. tenants pay heat; confirm with the agent$0
Lawn care / mo Assumptionassumption. $120/mo for 6 months, spread over 12; no snow removal$60
Repairs / capital reserve Rulerule. base rate8% / 8%

Price history Realtor.com

On the market since 2026-05-14 (144 days); down $55,000 (11.3%) from the first ask of $485,000; last sold for $200,000 on 2013-09-10; listed for rent at $1,650/mo on 2021-05-02.

DateEventPrice
Price changed$430,000
Price changed$465,000
Listed$485,000
Removed—
Listed for rent$1,650/mo
Sold$200,000
Listed$200,000

County record Public record

Recorded asduplex
Living units2
Year built1947
Market value (2026)$340,400
Property tax$6,439
Special assessments$68
Homesteadno
Last sale2019-12-01 · $302,000

Source: Hennepin County parcel records.

City rental license

CHOWN: 2 unit(s), Tier 1, status active, renews 2027-03-01.

Nearest highway

I 35W, about 264 m away.

Crime in Windom

154 incidents in the last 12 months (30 per 1,000 residents), −14% vs. the year before. Minneapolis police incidents, all reported offenses (definitions differ from St. Paul's, so don't compare across cities).