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687 Aurora Ave

Duplex · 2 units: 2 bed / 1 bath ×2 unit split estimated · 2,504 sq ft

Saint Paul, MN · Summit – University (Rondo, Cathedral Hill) · View the listing ↗

Overpriced

Photos courtesy of BRIDGE REALTY, LLC., via Realtor.com.

Asking price
$349,900
2 units · $175K per unit
Monthly cash flow
−$644
at 20% down, 7%
Estimated rent
$2,950/mo
medium confidence · 14 rentals within 0.75 mi
Break-even price
$228,842
where cash flow hits $0

Adjust the numbers See the full breakdown

First look

This St. Paul up/down is asking $349,900 and has sat 174 days, and our numbers say it doesn't work: about -$644/month at 20% down and a 4.2% cap rate, with break-even near $228,842. No rents are stated, and our estimate is only about $1,475 per 2-bed unit. The owner pays water, sewer and trash, and taxes are $7,213 non-homestead, which is a heavy load against those rents. The photos show a refreshed lower unit with vinyl plank floors, new-looking bath tile and white kitchen cabinets, but the rental license expired in 2024, so check that first. It's only worth a showing if the seller comes down a long way or you plan to live in one unit.

Things to consider

  1. Price is far above what the rents support Underwriting shows negative cash flow and a break-even price roughly $121K below ask. Only a large cut or owner-occupancy makes it work.
  2. Upper unit income is unverified The description gives no rent or lease. With a 3% cap on sitting tenants, an under-market rent will be slow to fix.Listing says: “while the upper unit is occupied”
  3. Owner pays water, sewer and trash These costs reduce net income and rise over time. Ask for 12 months of bills.Listing says: “Owner covers water, sewer, and trash”
  4. Rental license and special assessments need checking An expired license can block leasing and the assessments add cost at closing.
  5. Lower unit appears refreshed, upper unit unseen Cosmetic updates help lease-up, but unseen systems are the real cost risk in a 1905 building.From photo 5

From the photos

Listing photo 3
1 of 7Check

Brick exterior with a concrete front stoop, simple metal railings and a chain-link fence. It appears sound, but check the mortar and the stoop condition.

Listing photo 5
2 of 7Plus

Vinyl plank flooring and fresh paint in the living areas look recent but cosmetic, and they are the only updates shown.

Listing photo 7
3 of 7Check

Kitchen has white cabinets, laminate counters and what appears to be an older white gas range and fridge. Updated look, but basic.

Listing photo 8
4 of 7Plus

Bathroom has new-looking wood-look tile surround and pedestal sink, with a fresh tub area. This appears to be a recent refresh.

Listing photo 4
5 of 7Check

Carpeted shared stairway with a textured ceiling suggests a shared entry, so check the separation between units and the fire rating.

Listing photo 1
6 of 7Check

No photos of the upper unit, basement, boiler or furnace, water heater, electrical panel or roof. Major systems are unseen.

Listing photo 10
7 of 7Plus

Bedroom has a closet and a large window, which looks fine for egress, though sizing can't be confirmed.

Based on 10 of the listing photos. Photos can hide as much as they show; an inspection is the real answer.

AI-assisted first read of the listing description and photos (Claude), checked against public records. Every rent and repair above quotes the listing; verify with the agent, leases and an inspection.

The numbers

Down payment %
Offer $
Management
Interest rate %
Edit rents, costs and assumptions

Default: 20% down (no PMI), offer at asking, self-managed, 7.00% for 30 years, buyer pays closing costs (3%).

The deal

Price
$349,900
Cash to close
$80,477
Price per unit
$174,950
GRM
9.9

Each month

Cash flow
−$644/mo
Cash-on-cash
−9.6%
Cap rate
4.2%
DSCR
0.65×

Break-even

Price that breaks even
$228,842
Rent that breaks even
$3,787/mo

Long run

Year 30: property vs stocks
$860K vs $988K
Cash flow turns positive
year 18

Monthly

Monthly breakdown

Rent$2,950
Vacancy (6%)−$177
Collected$2,773
Property tax Public record−$601
Insurance Estimate−$222
Water, sewer, trash Estimate−$170
Lawn care ($120 × 6 mo ÷ 12)−$60
Repairs (8% of rent)−$236
Capital reserve (9% of rent)−$266
Net operating income$1,218
Mortgage (principal + interest)−$1,862
Cash flow−$644
Principal paid down (equity, not cash)$237

Cash flow each year

Rents +3%/yr (St. Paul's cap for sitting tenants), costs +3.5%/yr. Red bars are months you'd cover out of pocket.

30 years

How those totals add up

If you buy this building$860,132
Your equity when you sell
$798,341

Sells for $849,299 (value up 3% a year), minus 6% selling cost ($50,958). Rent paid down $279,920 of loan.

Rental profits, invested at 7%
$61,791

$47,532 of cash flow over 30 years, plus what it earned invested.

Same money in stocks$987,824
Cash to close, invested at 7%
$612,611

$80,477 put into an index fund instead of the down payment and closing costs.

Monthly shortfalls, invested
$375,212

$73,774 you'd have paid in while the building lost money, invested instead.

Stocks come out $127,692 ahead after 30 years.

Future dollars. At 3% inflation, divide year-30 figures by about 2.4 for today's buying power. Rental profits are assumed invested, not spent.

30 years: this property vs. the same money in stocks

This propertyStocks at 7%

Year 30 (loan paid off): property $860K, stocks $988K. Stocks win.

Comparable rentals

The closest rental listings with each unit's bedroom count, as of 2026-10-06. The estimate is the median asking rent of every rental we found nearby (the count is shown for each); houses are left out. Asking rents from Realtor.com rental listings, not signed leases.

2 bed estimate $1,475/mo · range $1,325–$1,750 · 14 rentals within 0.75 mi

AddressRentBd / BaSq ftDistanceListedType
627 Aurora Ave W, Saint Paul $1,300 2 / 1 699 0.1 mi 2025-01-03 Apartment
769 University Ave W, Saint Paul $1,155 2 / 1 — 0.2 mi 2026-08-03 Apartment
787-789 Aurora Ave, Saint Paul $1,425 2 / 1 888 0.2 mi 2026-09-15 Apartment
490 Charles Ave Apt 3, Saint Paul $1,400 2 / 1 750 0.5 mi — Apartment
579 Van Buren Ave, Saint Paul $1,275 2 / 1 800 0.6 mi — Apartment
640 Dayton Ave, Saint Paul $1,900 2 / 1 1,080 0.6 mi 2026-09-26 Duplex triplex
655 Selby Ave, Saint Paul $1,300 2 / 1 842 0.6 mi 2026-09-24 Apartment
228 Victoria St N Apt 2, Saint Paul $1,695 2 / 1 1,000 0.6 mi 2026-09-01 Apartment
755 Selby Ave, Saint Paul $1,500 2 / 1 1,003 0.6 mi 2026-02-18 Apartment
826 Selby Ave Apt 2, Saint Paul $1,700 2 / 1 1,200 0.7 mi — Apartment

On the maps, this property and comparable rentals. Comparable rentals and rent estimate: Realtor.com rental listings. Rents are asking rents from listings; check them against the actual leases.

Red flags and opportunities

Watch for

  • mediumAsking is $121,058 above the price where cash flow breaks even ($228,842) at the default scenario. Based on: Derived: price $349,900 vs. break-even $228,842
  • mediumRental license shows renewal due, with an expiry date in 2024. Confirm it is current and that no violations are open. Based on: data: city.rental_license · AI review
  • mediumHeavy non-homestead tax bill relative to the likely rents, which drags cash flow negative. Based on: data: county.tax · AI review
  • mediumDescription gives no rents, lease terms or expenses for the occupied upper unit. Income is unverified. Listing says: while the upper unit is occupied · AI review
  • low$432 in special assessments on the payable 2026 tax bill (often street, sewer or code-enforcement charges). Ask what they're for, whether they continue, and whether the seller pays them off at closing. Public record: Ramsey County parcel 352923410014: special assessments (payable 2026) = $432.50
  • lowProperty sits about 357 m from I-94, so noise may weigh on rents and resale. Based on: data: highway · AI review

Opportunities

  • Long time on market: room to negotiate. Based on: Listing data: 174 days on market
  • Vacant lower unit allows a rent reset and showing without a sitting tenant, so the 3% cap doesn't constrain it. Listing says: Lower unit is currently vacant, providing immediate opportunity · AI review
  • Owner-occupant option: live in one unit and rent the other to lower the carrying cost. Listing says: Live in one unit while renting the other · AI review
  • 174 days on market suggests room to negotiate hard. Based on: data: listing.days_on_market · AI review

Questions for the agent

  • What does the upper tenant pay, and what are the lease end date and deposit terms?
  • Is the rental license current, and were there any inspection orders?
  • What are the $432 special assessments for, and will the seller pay them at closing?
  • What are the ages of the roof, furnace or boiler, water heater and electrical panels?
  • Are the heating and utility meters separate for each unit?
  • Why has it sat 174 days, and has the price been cut?

Bottom line

A tidy-looking brick duplex priced about $120K above what its rents support, so only worth pursuing at a much lower price. AI-assisted summary

What the records say

Where each number comes from

Property tax / yr Public recordRamsey County record, payable 2026 (non-homestead)$7,214
Insurance / yr Estimateestimate. from units, square feet and age; get a quote$2,669
Water, sewer, trash / mo Estimateestimate. $85/unit/mo, owner-paid$170
Heat / mo Assumptionassumption. tenants pay heat; confirm with the agent$0
Lawn care / mo Assumptionassumption. $120/mo for 6 months, spread over 12; no snow removal$60
Repairs / capital reserve Rulerule. built 1905: +1 pt capital reserve8% / 9%

Price history Realtor.com

On the market since 2026-04-14 (174 days); down $15,100 (4.1%) from the first ask of $365,000; last sold for $323,500 on 2021-05-05.

DateEventPrice
Removed$365,000
Price changed$349,900
Listed$365,000
Sold$323,500
Listed$315,000

County record Public record

Recorded astwo family dwelling - up/dwn
Living units2
Year built1905
Market value (2026)$313,200
Property tax, payable 2026$7,214
Special assessments$432
Homesteadno
Last sale2021-05-05 · $323,500

Source: Ramsey County parcel records.

City rental certificate (CofO)

Residential 2 Units: 2 unit(s), A, status renewal due, renews 2024-08-02.

Nearest highway

I 94, about 357 m away.

Crime in Summit – University

1,066 incidents in the last 12 months (59 per 1,000 residents), −13% vs. the year before. St. Paul police incidents, excluding proactive visits and community events.