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701 4th St E

Duplex · 2 units: 3 bed / 1 bath ×2 unit split estimated · 3,050 sq ft

Saint Paul, MN · Dayton's Bluff · View the listing ↗

Cash flows

Photos, via Realtor.com.

Asking price
$295,000
2 units · $148K per unit
Monthly cash flow
$190
at 20% down, 7%
Estimated rent
$3,450/mo
low confidence · 7 rentals within 0.75 mi
Break-even price
$330,750
where cash flow hits $0

Adjust the numbers See the full breakdown

First look

This is a big 1900 up/down with two 3-bed units on a full-depth lot, listed at $295K after 139 days. Our numbers give about $190/month cash flow and a 7.2% cap at asking, and break-even is $331K, so there is some cushion but not a lot. The description gives no rents, no lease status and no repair history, which is the first thing to get. The photos show dated kitchens and baths, stucco, and a finished attic, so budget for updates and ask about the heating system and wiring. Utilities are partly owner-paid and the RUBS plan is a projection, not income. Worth a showing if the rent roll holds up and repairs don't eat the cushion.

Things to consider

  1. Price leaves a thin margin Cash flow is about $190/month and break-even is $331K, so rent or expense misses can still erase much of the return.
  2. Rents and utilities are unverified Without a rent roll and utility bills you can't tell real NOI, and the owner pays part of utilities.Listing says: “Utilities are currently partially owner-paid”
  3. RUBS is a projection and may be capped Billing back utilities isn't income yet and in St. Paul it may count toward the 3% rent cap.Listing says: “ownership implementing a RUBS utility reimbursement program across the portfolio beginning Q3 2026”
  4. Rental license and inspection grade A C grade and an apparently lapsed license mean likely repair orders and compliance costs.
  5. Dated interiors need budget Kitchens and baths look old, so plan for updates before rents can climb, and the 3% cap limits increases for sitting tenants.From photo 6
  6. Redevelopment potential is speculative The lot shape is interesting, but zoning and the cost of redevelopment decide whether it has value.Listing says: “creating uncommon long-term redevelopment potential”

From the photos

Listing photo 3
1 of 7Concern

Stucco exterior with a double-decker front porch; porch floor paint is worn and the porch appears to need maintenance

Listing photo 6
2 of 7Concern

Kitchen appears dated, with older white appliances, basic cabinets and tile counters

Listing photo 5
3 of 7Plus

Original hardwood floors and woodwork look intact in the living areas and bedrooms

Listing photo 10
4 of 7Check

Bathroom has a clawfoot tub and an old radiator; fixtures appear cosmetically refreshed but the plumbing age is unknown

Listing photo 9
5 of 7Check

Finished attic with carpet, skylights and sloped ceilings; check egress, heat and whether it is legal living space

Listing photo 1
6 of 7Plus

Two front entrances are visible, consistent with a two-unit building

Listing photo 1
7 of 7Check

No photos of the boiler, electrical panel, basement, roof detail or garage

Based on 10 of the listing photos. Photos can hide as much as they show; an inspection is the real answer.

AI-assisted first read of the listing description and photos (Claude), checked against public records. Every rent and repair above quotes the listing; verify with the agent, leases and an inspection.

The numbers

Down payment %
Offer $
Management
Interest rate %
Edit rents, costs and assumptions

Default: 20% down (no PMI), offer at asking, self-managed, 7.00% for 30 years, buyer pays closing costs (3%).

The deal

Price
$295,000
Cash to close
$67,850
Price per unit
$147,500
GRM
7.1

Each month

Cash flow
$190/mo
Cash-on-cash
3.4%
Cap rate
7.2%
DSCR
1.12×

Break-even

Price that breaks even
$330,750
Rent that breaks even
$3,203/mo

Long run

Year 30: property vs stocks
$1.55M vs $516K
Cash flow turns positive
year 1

Monthly

Monthly breakdown

Rent$3,450
Vacancy (6%)−$207
Collected$3,243
Property tax Public record−$431
Insurance Estimate−$235
Water, sewer, trash Estimate−$170
Lawn care ($120 × 6 mo ÷ 12)−$60
Repairs (8% of rent)−$276
Capital reserve (9% of rent)−$310
Net operating income$1,760
Mortgage (principal + interest)−$1,570
Cash flow$190
Principal paid down (equity, not cash)$200

Cash flow each year

Rents +3%/yr (St. Paul's cap for sitting tenants), costs +3.5%/yr. Red bars are months you'd cover out of pocket.

30 years

How those totals add up

If you buy this building$1,549,075
Your equity when you sell
$673,079

Sells for $716,042 (value up 3% a year), minus 6% selling cost ($42,963). Rent paid down $236,000 of loan.

Rental profits, invested at 7%
$875,995

$396,254 of cash flow over 30 years, plus what it earned invested.

Same money in stocks$516,492
Cash to close, invested at 7%
$516,492

$67,850 put into an index fund instead of the down payment and closing costs.

The building comes out $1,032,583 ahead after 30 years.

Future dollars. At 3% inflation, divide year-30 figures by about 2.4 for today's buying power. Rental profits are assumed invested, not spent.

30 years: this property vs. the same money in stocks

This propertyStocks at 7%

Year 30 (loan paid off): property $1.55M, stocks $516K. The property wins.

Comparable rentals

The closest rental listings with each unit's bedroom count, as of 2026-10-06. The estimate is the median asking rent of every rental we found nearby (the count is shown for each); houses are left out. Asking rents from Realtor.com rental listings, not signed leases.

3 bed estimate $1,725/mo · range $1,325–$1,800 · 7 rentals within 0.75 mi

AddressRentBd / BaSq ftDistanceListedType
283-289 Bates Ave, Saint Paul $1,249 3 / 1 900 0.1 mi 2026-04-29 Apartment
880 Wilson Ave, Saint Paul $1,425 3 / 1 — 0.4 mi 2026-07-21 Apartment
595 Minnehaha Ave E, Saint Paul $1,155 3 / 1 830 0.5 mi 2025-01-03 Apartment
691 Bedford St Unit A, Saint Paul $2,052 3 / 1 1,050 0.6 mi 2025-09-24 Apartment
586 Reaney Ave E Unit 586U2, Saint Paul $1,614 3 / 1 1,100 0.6 mi 2023-06-04 Apartment
1056 3rd St E, Saint Paul $1,695 3 / 1 925 0.7 mi 2026-08-20 Apartment
1056 3rd St E, Saint Paul $1,695 3 / 1 925 0.7 mi 2026-09-17 Apartment

On the maps, this property and comparable rentals. Comparable rentals and rent estimate: Realtor.com rental listings. Rents are asking rents from listings; check them against the actual leases.

Red flags and opportunities

Watch for

  • highUnusual ownership (land trust, ground lease or co-op): resale price limits or lease terms can cap your upside. Listing says: "to downtown St Paul, public transportation, Mississippi Market Co-Op , and the restaurants, shopping, and entertainment along"
  • highNo rents, lease terms or expenses given, and owner pays some utilities that aren't specified Listing says: Utilities are currently partially owner-paid · AI review
  • mediumFire-inspection grade C: more deficiencies than typical; expect more frequent inspections and repair orders. Public record: St. Paul Certificate of Occupancy – Residential: 701 4TH ST E, grade/tier=C, status=In Process
  • mediumProjected utility bill-backs (RUBS) are not income yet, and in St. Paul they may count toward the 3% cap. Listing says: "are currently partially owner-paid with ownership implementing a RUBS utility reimbursement program across the portfolio beginning Q3"
  • mediumRental license shows 'In Process' with an expiry date in 2024, so it may have lapsed Based on: data: city.rental_license · AI review
  • mediumStucco exterior and old porches may hide moisture or structural problems; inspect Based on: photo 2 · AI review
  • mediumRadiators suggest an older boiler system, but county lists heat as 'central'. Heating type and number of systems are unclear Based on: data: county.heat_type · AI review
  • low$863 in special assessments on the payable 2026 tax bill (often street, sewer or code-enforcement charges). Ask what they're for, whether they continue, and whether the seller pays them off at closing. Public record: Ramsey County parcel 322922140101: special assessments (payable 2026) = $863.46

Opportunities

  • The seller bought for $52,000 in Feb 1998, so they can take a lower offer and still come out well ahead. Public record: Ramsey County parcel 322922140101: last sale 1998-02-20, $52,000
  • Long time on market: room to negotiate. Based on: Listing data: 142 days on market
  • Full-depth lot with frontage on both ends could allow future redevelopment, but verify zoning Listing says: unique full-depth lot spanning the width of the block with street frontage on both ends · AI review
  • Finished attic space could add value or a rentable room, if egress and permits are in order Based on: photo 9 · AI review
  • Seller's low 1998 basis and 139 days on market give room to negotiate Based on: data: listing.days_on_market · AI review

Questions for the agent

  • What are current rents, lease end dates and deposits for each unit? Get the rent roll.
  • Which utilities does the owner pay, and what were the last 12 months of bills?
  • What are the heating system type, age and number of meters?
  • What is the rental license status, and what caused the grade C?
  • What are the $863 in special assessments for, and does the seller pay them at closing?
  • Is the attic finished space permitted and counted in either unit?

Bottom line

Big, solid-looking duplex that cash flows modestly at $295K, but it needs proven rents and a repair budget. AI-assisted summary

What the records say

Where each number comes from

Property tax / yr Public recordRamsey County record, payable 2026 (non-homestead)$5,175
Insurance / yr Estimateestimate. from units, square feet and age; get a quote$2,819
Water, sewer, trash / mo Estimateestimate. $85/unit/mo, owner-paid$170
Heat / mo Assumptionassumption. tenants pay heat; confirm with the agent$0
Lawn care / mo Assumptionassumption. $120/mo for 6 months, spread over 12; no snow removal$60
Repairs / capital reserve Rulerule. built 1900: +1 pt capital reserve8% / 9%

Price history Realtor.com

On the market since 2026-05-16 (142 days); down $75,500 (20.4%) from the first ask of $370,500; last sold for $67,000 on 1998-06-08.

DateEventPrice
Price changed$295,000
Price changed$355,000
Relisted$370,500
Removed—
Listed$370,500
Sold public record$67,000
Sold public record$56,000

County record Public record

Recorded astwo family dwelling - up/dwn
Living units2
Year built1900
Market value (2026)$243,600
Property tax, payable 2026$5,175
Special assessments$863
Homesteadno
Last sale1998-02-20 · $52,000

Source: Ramsey County parcel records.

City rental certificate (CofO)

Residential 2 Units: 2 unit(s), C, status in process, renews 2024-04-25.

Nearest highway

I 94;US 10, about 309 m away.

Crime in Dayton's Bluff

970 incidents in the last 12 months (52 per 1,000 residents), −6% vs. the year before. St. Paul police incidents, excluding proactive visits and community events.